{"id":10883,"date":"2007-05-23T08:50:41","date_gmt":"2007-05-23T12:50:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/10883.html"},"modified":"2007-05-23T08:50:41","modified_gmt":"2007-05-23T12:50:41","slug":"an-ugly-game-of-chicken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/an-ugly-game-of-chicken\/","title":{"rendered":"An ugly game of chicken"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It was certainly a frustrating afternoon when we learned that congressional Dems had effectively caved to White House demands and would move forward with a war spending bill with no timelines or meaningful benchmarks. Sixteen hours ago, this seemed like an awful move. Dems and Bush were engaged in a three-month-long game of chicken, and despite having the upper hand, it looked like Dems blinked.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve had a chance to reflect on the negotiations and sleep on it. A half-day later, I&#8217;ve come to believe &#8230; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2007\/05\/23\/washington\/23cong.html?ei=5090&#038;en=9ecd59bf7d0913cf&#038;ex=1337572800&#038;adxnnl=1&#038;partner=rssuserland&#038;emc=rss&#038;adxnnlx=1179918153-UpobDvK7lj6TTN8t4FBqtA\">the capitulation still stinks<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Congressional Democrats relented Tuesday on their insistence that a war spending measure set a date for withdrawing American combat troops from Iraq. Instead, they moved toward a deal with President Bush that would impose new conditions on the Iraqi government.<\/p>\n<p>The decision to back down was a wrenching reversal for leading Democrats, who saw their election triumph in November as a call to force an end to the war. It was the first time since taking power in Congress that the Democrats had publicly agreed to allow a vote on war financing without a timetable for troop withdrawal. [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p>Other Democrats said they had no choice. &#8220;It was a concession to reality,&#8221; said Representative James P. Moran, Democrat of Virginia, who said he intended to oppose the war spending portion of the bill.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>No, I&#8217;m afraid it really wasn&#8217;t. There was a stand-off between two equally powerful parties &#8212; the White House said it wanted a blank check, Congress said it wanted a timeline for withdrawal. The &#8220;reality&#8221; was that the president could have backed down, but he knew that as the pressure increased, Dems would likely fold. He counted on it &#8212; and he was right.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s no great mystery here. Congressional leaders believed <i>someone<\/i> was going to get blamed if war funding didn&#8217;t pass, and they assumed it&#8217;d be them. CNN released a poll last week asking respondents, &#8220;Who do you think is MORE responsible for the fact that the U.S. troops currently in Iraq have not yet received additional funds: President Bush, because he vetoed the Iraq funding bill passed by Congress, OR, the Democrats in Congress, because they passed an Iraq funding bill that they knew Bush would veto?&#8221; A plurality, 44%, said Dems were more responsible. The poll appears to have made the rounds on the Hill, and Dems likely believed these numbers were going to get worse. So they folded.<\/p>\n<p>Despite all of this, I&#8217;m still trying to be a find-the-silver-lining kind of guy (character flaw). There are a couple of reasonably encouraging points to consider.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nIt&#8217;s easy to forget, but in February, the notion of passing a spending bill with a withdrawal timeline &#8212; through both chambers &#8212; was by no means a sure thing. In fact, at the time, it seemed like a bit of a long-shot. Dem leaders resisted the veto threat, overcame White House demagoguery, picked up a few Republican votes, and passed it anyway. It was a fairly impressive display.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;d also add that Dem leaders in the Senate are in a tougher spot than is generally realized. We can have a debate about whether Harry Reid would pursue a sufficiently vigorous progressive agenda with a 60-vote majority and with a Democratic president at the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue, but those aren&#8217;t the circumstances we find ourselves in. Reid has a 51-seat majority, one of whom is physically unable to serve right now, and another of whom is Joe Lieberman. As a practical matter, that means the Senate Majority Leader is trying to exercise power with 49 votes, which is an inherently difficult task, particularly against constant Republican filibusters.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, as disappointed as I am about yesterday&#8217;s surrender, I believe that Dems need to show more backbone, but I also believe <i>Republicans are to blame<\/i> for all of this. We have a Republican president unwilling to negotiate and a Republican delegation, 99% of whom vote the way Bush tells them to. That&#8217;s not Harry Reid&#8217;s fault and it&#8217;s not Nancy Pelosi&#8217;s fault. Excelling in the face of filibusters they can&#8217;t break and vetoes they can&#8217;t override is inherently difficult.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve actually made some progress in recent months. At the start of the year, a vote to end funding for the war was considered ridiculous. Last week, more than half the Dem caucus <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/10815.html\">voted to do just that<\/a>. The week before, 171 House Dems (including 12 Blue Dogs) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/10765.html\">voted<\/a> for a near-total withdrawal of U.S. forces within nine months. In February, both of these seemed highly unlikely, if not impossible.<\/p>\n<p>The reality is Dems forfeited yesterday, but there&#8217;s another game that hasn&#8217;t started yet. There&#8217;s going to be another fight over funding in the fall &#8212; which will give Dems a chance to make up for this failure. Now isn&#8217;t the time to throw up one&#8217;s arms in disgust, now is the time to gear up for round two.<\/p>\n<p><i>Post Script<\/i>: One final thought: Republicans may feel good about themselves given the Dems&#8217; capitulation yesterday, but by standing behind a failed policy, they have nothing to brag about. By backing Bush, GOP lawmakers are making a disastrous war longer, increasing the threat of terrorism, and putting more American lives at risk. If they see this as a &#8220;victory,&#8221; they&#8217;ve lost sight of reality.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It was certainly a frustrating afternoon when we learned that congressional Dems had effectively caved to White House demands and would move forward with a war spending bill with no timelines or meaningful benchmarks. Sixteen hours ago, this seemed like an awful move. Dems and Bush were engaged in a three-month-long game of chicken, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10883","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10883"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10883\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}