{"id":12743,"date":"2007-09-01T15:26:25","date_gmt":"2007-09-01T19:26:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/12743.html"},"modified":"2007-09-01T15:26:25","modified_gmt":"2007-09-01T19:26:25","slug":"a-masterful-con-job","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/a-masterful-con-job\/","title":{"rendered":"A masterful con job"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A couple of days ago, the <i>NYT<\/i> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2007\/08\/30\/washington\/30policy.html?ex=1346126400&#038;en=394eb076130b23c7&#038;ei=5090&#038;partner=rssuserland&#038;emc=rss\">reported<\/a> that the White House &#8220;is growing more confident that it can beat back efforts by Congressional Democrats to shift course in Iraq.&#8221; It&#8217;s not because conditions in Iraq have improved, and it&#8217;s not because the president&#8217;s policy is producing results, but because the administration has &#8220;a sense the dynamic has changed.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s all about some amorphous &#8220;sense&#8221; that&#8217;s entirely independent of reality. Consider what we&#8217;ve learned this week. The GAO prepared a &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/content\/article\/2007\/08\/29\/AR2007082902434.html\">strikingly negative<\/a>&#8221; assessment of conditions on the ground, with no political progress (the intended point of the &#8220;surge&#8221;) and little evidence of reduced violence. Of the 18 Iraqi benchmarks, Bush&#8217;s policy has come up short <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/content\/article\/2007\/08\/29\/AR2007082902434.html\">on 15<\/a>. An independent federal commission believes Iraq&#8217;s 26,000-member national police force is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2007\/08\/31\/washington\/31policy.html?ei=5090&#038;en=141219721d615f1b&#038;ex=1346212800&#038;partner=rssuserland&#038;emc=rss&#038;pagewanted=all\">beyond repair<\/a> and might need to be disbanded altogether. A working draft of a secret document prepared by the U.S. embassy in Baghdad shows that the Maliki government is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thenation.com\/blogs\/capitalgames?bid=3&#038;pid=228339\">rotten to the core<\/a>. Iraqi civilian deaths are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/nationworld\/world\/la-fg-violence1sep01,1,5197236.story?coll=la-headlines-world\">getting worse<\/a>, not better. The latest data shows U.S. troop fatalities <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonmonthly.com\/archives\/individual\/2007_08\/011974.php\">worse every month this year<\/a> compared to the same months last year. A smidgeon of evidence pointing to at least marginal political progress late last week turned out to be <a href=\"http:\/\/www.time.com\/time\/world\/article\/0,8599,1656994,00.html\">smoke and mirrors<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s against this backdrop that the White House and its conservative allies boast, &#8220;See? This is the progress we&#8217;ve been waiting for.&#8221; More importantly, the conventional wisdom in DC is suddenly in agreement that they&#8217;re right.<\/p>\n<p>How on earth is this happening? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonmonthly.com\/archives\/individual\/2007_09\/011978.php\">Kevin Drum explains<\/a> that Gen. David Petraeus has run a methodical political campaign that has produced exactly the desired effect.<br \/>\n<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>[Petraeus is] keenly aware of the value of both the media and public opinion, and he did what any counterinsurgency expert would have counseled in his circumstances: he unleashed a hearts-and-minds campaign aimed at opinion makers and politicians. For months the military transports to Baghdad have been stuffed with analysts and congress members, and every one of them has gotten a full court press of carefully planned and scripted presentations, tightly controlled visits to favored units, and assorted dollops of &#8220;classified&#8221; information designed to flatter his guests and substantiate his rosy assessments without the inconvenience of having to defend them in public.<\/p>\n<p>And it&#8217;s worked&#8230;. Five months ago Petraeus was guaranteeing to wavering Republicans that they&#8217;d see progress in August, precisely the month when the PR campaign was scheduled to go into high gear. Today he&#8217;s issuing dire warnings about al-Qaeda hegemony and nine-dollar gas if we leave, circulating bio pages that let his staff know whether they&#8217;re dealing with friend or foe among visiting congress members, and insisting repeatedly that violence is down in classified briefings where he doesn&#8217;t have to publicly defend his figures.<\/p>\n<p>If these don&#8217;t sound like the actions of an honest broker to you, they don&#8217;t to me either. They sound like elements of a campaign with one overriding purpose: to convince politicians and opinion makers that we&#8217;re making progress in Iraq regardless of whether we are or not.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>As con jobs go, this is a masterful one. We&#8217;ve been played.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A couple of days ago, the NYT reported that the White House &#8220;is growing more confident that it can beat back efforts by Congressional Democrats to shift course in Iraq.&#8221; It&#8217;s not because conditions in Iraq have improved, and it&#8217;s not because the president&#8217;s policy is producing results, but because the administration has &#8220;a sense [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12743","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12743"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12743\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12743"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12743"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12743"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}