{"id":14374,"date":"2008-01-26T20:22:46","date_gmt":"2008-01-27T01:22:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/14374.html"},"modified":"2008-01-26T20:22:46","modified_gmt":"2008-01-27T01:22:46","slug":"fun-with-exit-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/fun-with-exit-polls\/","title":{"rendered":"Fun with exit polls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>CNN has posted the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/ELECTION\/2008\/primaries\/results\/epolls\/#SCDEM\">exit polls<\/a> from South Carolina, and given the large margin of Barack Obama&#8217;s victory, it probably won&#8217;t come as too big a surprise that the Illinois senator pretty much swept the contest in every way a candidate could.<\/p>\n<p>There were, however, a few tidbits that jumped out at me:<\/p>\n<p>* 61% of voters were women, and Obama beat Clinton among women 53% to 30%.<\/p>\n<p>* Obama did extremely well among African-American voters, but he also easily defeated his rivals among non-blacks under the age of 30 &#8212; 52% for Obama, 28% for Clinton, 20% for Edwards.<\/p>\n<p>* After excessive attention on the role of Bill Clinton on the campaign, 58% of South Carolina Dems said the former president&#8217;s role was &#8220;important&#8221; in the campaign (more than one in four said it was &#8220;very important&#8221;). Interestingly, though, there was no backlash &#8212; the more important a voter considered Bill Clinton&#8217;s involvement, the greater the likelihood the person supported Hillary Clinton&#8217;s campaign.<\/p>\n<p>* For all the recent speculation about race and gender, here&#8217;s a tip about the real divide: age.<\/p>\n<p>Among voters between 18 and 24, Obama beat Clinton, 66% to 25% (a 41-point gap).<br \/>\nAmong voters between 25 and 29, Obama beat Clinton, 70% to 21% (a 49-point gap).<br \/>\nAmong voters between 30 and 39, Obama beat Clinton, 62% to 23% (a 39-point gap).<br \/>\nAmong voters between 40 and 49, Obama beat Clinton, 61% to 25% (a 36-point gap).<br \/>\nAmong voters between 50 and 64, Obama beat Clinton, 51% to 26% (a 25-point gap).<br \/>\nAmong voters 65 and older, Clinton beat Obama, 40% to 32% (an 8-point gap <i>in the other direction<\/i>).<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, among those over 65, Obama was almost <i>third<\/i>, with Edwards just five-points behind him with 27%.<\/p>\n<p>So, what&#8217;s up with older folks? Why did Obama cruise to easy victories in every age group except seniors? Discuss.<\/p>\n<p><i>Update<\/i>: To further the point about age, Obama won broad support among African-American voters in every age group, but his smallest margin came among blacks over the age of 60. Interesting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CNN has posted the exit polls from South Carolina, and given the large margin of Barack Obama&#8217;s victory, it probably won&#8217;t come as too big a surprise that the Illinois senator pretty much swept the contest in every way a candidate could. There were, however, a few tidbits that jumped out at me: * 61% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14374","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14374","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14374"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14374\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14374"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14374"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14374"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}