{"id":15046,"date":"2008-03-29T09:00:40","date_gmt":"2008-03-29T13:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/15046.html"},"modified":"2008-03-29T09:00:40","modified_gmt":"2008-03-29T13:00:40","slug":"casey-for-vp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/casey-for-vp\/","title":{"rendered":"Casey for VP?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The significance of high-profile endorsements in a presidential race is certainly debatable, but I&#8217;m certain that the Obama campaign was thrilled to pick up Sen. Bob Casey&#8217;s (D) support yesterday in Pennsylvania. Casey&#8217;s a major player in a key state; he may help Obama connect with white, working-class voters who&#8217;ve been skeptical about his candidacy; and the timing of the announcement helps feed the impression that Obama is surging ahead.<\/p>\n<p>But I nevertheless think talk about Casey as a potential running mate for Obama is misplaced. Noam Scheiber <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.tnr.com\/tnr\/blogs\/the_stump\/archive\/2008\/03\/28\/vice-president-casey.aspx\">makes the case<\/a> for the pairing.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>[Casey] may not be a star in the Senate, as Eve points out. But he&#8217;s popular with the people Obama is weakest among, and who, if Obama were the nominee, would be at greatest risk of defecting to McCain. (Also, don&#8217;t confuse inside-the-beltway reviews with home-state appeal.) <\/p>\n<p>Pennsylvania defections are a real concern for Obama given how close the state&#8217;s been in recent elections. It&#8217;s a state that, under any conventional electoral map, the Democratic nominee has to carry. I&#8217;d bet the idea of putting Casey on the ticket has come up in Obamaland in recent days. [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p>Which brings me to the next point: I&#8217;m guessing the audience for this endorsement is Casey&#8217;s fellow superdelegates as much as it&#8217;s voters in Pennsylvania. It says to the supers: &#8220;Don&#8217;t worry about white working-class defections. Bob Casey is going to help me lock down that demographic, and we&#8217;re not going to have trouble holding this state.&#8221; That may or may not be true, but it does send a powerful message. (Not as powerful as Obama actually doing well among white working-class voters in the primary, but still pretty powerful.)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Andrew Sullivan, independent of Scheiber&#8217;s argument, <a href=\"http:\/\/andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com\/the_daily_dish\/2008\/03\/bob-casey-for-o.html\">also touted<\/a> Casey as &#8220;another interesting one to put on the veep list,&#8221; in part because Casey is a &#8220;pro-life Catholic from Pennsylvania.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not a ridiculous pitch, but I&#8217;m having trouble going for it.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nFirst, Casey, as Sullivan notes, opposes abortion rights. Pro-life politicians can go very far in Democratic politics &#8212; Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is a good example &#8212; but just as Republicans would balk at a pro-choice candidate on the party&#8217;s national ticket, it&#8217;s very hard to imagine Dems putting a pro-life pol on their ticket. This is especially true given the fact that the Supreme Court will be on Dems&#8217; minds in this election.<\/p>\n<p>Second, Casey would likely help lock down Pennsylvania, but I think there&#8217;s ample evidence that either Obama or Clinton would win the state anyway.<\/p>\n<p>Third, Scheiber argues that Casey could help Obama win over white working-class voters. Maybe, but how well known is Casey outside of Pennsylvania? If the goal is to look to the Rust Belt for candidates who could help with this demographic, I&#8217;d much prefer Sherrod Brown of Ohio.<\/p>\n<p>And fourth, this is kind of awkward to say about a senator I like, but Casey really isn&#8217;t a terrific politician. He&#8217;s kind of bland, and he cruised to an easy victory in 2006 because of very high name recognition (Caseys are a big deal in Pennsylvania) and because Rick Santorum had become something of a laughing stock. Isaac Chotiner <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.tnr.com\/tnr\/blogs\/the_plank\/archive\/2008\/03\/29\/casey-for-vp.aspx\">reminds us<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Political junkies may remember that in 2006 Casey destroyed Rick Santorum in a Pennsylvania senate race noteable for its nastiness. While there may be no denying the fact that Casey&#8217;s 17-point margin of victory was unprecedented for a contested campaign in a purple state, Casey&#8217;s win can still be explained in large part by his name ID and the unpopularity of his opponent. <\/p>\n<p>Moreover, watching the televised debates between Santorum and Casey was extremely disturbing&#8211;and not because they reminded the viewer that a bullying moralist was elected to two senate terms. Rather, I cannot think of any debate that I have ever seen at the Congressional level or higher where one of the candidates (Casey, alas) appeared so completely inexperienced and even confused. Some people found Santorum&#8217;s hysterical anger inappropriate&#8211;but I actually felt bad for the Republican incumbent. Here he was&#8211;a hardworking, knowledgeable senator&#8211;facing the fight of his life against a state treasurer who rarely showed up for work and had absolutely no command of the issues.<\/p>\n<p>I am willing to believe that Casey has &#8220;grown&#8221; in office, but the man who debated Rick Santorum less than two years ago is in no way qualified to be vice president. And for that reason alone, it&#8217;s unlikely Obama will actually choose him.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Agreed. A welcome endorsement at a key time is one thing, but considering Casey for the VP slot seems like a pretty bad idea.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The significance of high-profile endorsements in a presidential race is certainly debatable, but I&#8217;m certain that the Obama campaign was thrilled to pick up Sen. Bob Casey&#8217;s (D) support yesterday in Pennsylvania. Casey&#8217;s a major player in a key state; he may help Obama connect with white, working-class voters who&#8217;ve been skeptical about his candidacy; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15046","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15046"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15046\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15046"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15046"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15046"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}