{"id":1533,"date":"2004-04-06T12:30:08","date_gmt":"2004-04-06T17:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/1533.html"},"modified":"2004-04-06T12:30:08","modified_gmt":"2004-04-06T17:30:08","slug":"national-polls-with-encouraging-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/national-polls-with-encouraging-results\/","title":{"rendered":"National polls with encouraging results"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I noticed two interesting national polls were released yesterday, one from the <a href=\"http:\/\/people-press.org\/reports\/display.php3?ReportID=210\">Pew Forum<\/a>, the other from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zogby.com\/news\/ReadNews.dbm?ID=815\">Zogby<\/a>. Both polls were conducted between April 1 and 4, which meant respondents were aware of some good news for Bush (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/articles\/A44269-2004Apr2.html\">strong employment numbers in March<\/a>) and some bad news for everyone (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/articles\/A37891-2004Mar31.html\">the brutal attacks on Americans in Fallujah<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately for those of us anxious for new leadership in the White House, neither of the polls had much good news for Bush.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/people-press.org\/reports\/display.php3?ReportID=210\">The Pew Forum poll<\/a> pegged Bush&#8217;s overall job approval rating at a stunning 43%. It&#8217;s not only the lowest rating Bush has had in any Pew Forum poll; it&#8217;s the lowest support Bush has seen in <i>any<\/i> poll conducted during his presidency. A Pew poll from mid-January showed Bush&#8217;s approval rating at 56%, which is helpful in noting how far Bush&#8217;s popularity has fallen in a short period of time.<\/p>\n<p>At this point, the Pew results suggest an across-the-board lack of confidence in Bush on most of the major issues of the day. <\/p>\n<p>* A majority of poll respondents &#8212; 53% &#8212; disapprove of Bush&#8217;s handling of the war in Iraq. While 40% still approve, that&#8217;s down 20 points from mid-January.<\/p>\n<p>* Only 39% support Bush&#8217;s handling of the economy, while 53% disapprove, both records for Bush&#8217;s term.<\/p>\n<p>* On the nation&#8217;s energy policy, which Bush has tried to make a campaign issue of, only 29% approve of Bush&#8217;s efforts in this area, down from 47% last fall.<\/p>\n<p>The depressing part of the Pew Forum poll had nothing to do with Bush and everything to do with the public&#8217;s attention span.<br \/>\n<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>At this point, the spiraling price of gas may be overshadowing jobs on the public&#8217;s radar. Public attention to news about rising gas prices, already quite high, increased markedly in early April &#8212; fully 58% paid very close attention to reports on the high price of gasoline, compared with 36% who followed the recent attacks on Americans in Iraq very closely.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>That&#8217;s pretty ridiculous. Respondents who said they were following the price of gasoline was not only 18 points higher than those following events in Iraq; it&#8217;s <i>double<\/i> the number who said they were following the 9\/11 Commission. How sad.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zogby.com\/news\/ReadNews.dbm?ID=815\">The Zogby poll<\/a>, which was brought to my attention by a Carpetbagger regular I fondly call Morbo, also had some bad news for Bush. Zogby has Bush&#8217;s overall approval rating at 47%, while 53% disapprove.<\/p>\n<p>In a head-to-head general election match-up, Kerry continues to lead Bush, 47% to 45%. Both are down one percentage point since a mid-March Zogby poll. A majority &#8212; 51% &#8212; said it&#8217;s &#8220;time for someone new&#8221; in the White House.<\/p>\n<p>Kerry is doing better with his geographic base of support than Bush is with his base. Within &#8220;Blue&#8221; states, where Gore won in 2000, Kerry leads 47% to 42%. But within &#8220;Red&#8221; states, where Bush won in 2000, it&#8217;s much closer, with Bush leading 48% to 46%.<\/p>\n<p>The only results that could be encouraging to Bush were the responses to a question about terrorism.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In the case of a possible major terrorist attack in the United States, exactly 51.6% (52% rounded) of voters prefer to be led by Bush as compared to Kerry with 40%.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I admit, this doesn&#8217;t make a lot of sense to me. If the nation were attacked again, wouldn&#8217;t that mean that Bush&#8217;s efforts to combat terrorism weren&#8217;t working? That we may want to consider a different leader who would be more effective in keeping us safe? Just a thought.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I noticed two interesting national polls were released yesterday, one from the Pew Forum, the other from Zogby. Both polls were conducted between April 1 and 4, which meant respondents were aware of some good news for Bush (strong employment numbers in March) and some bad news for everyone (the brutal attacks on Americans in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1533","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1533"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1533\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1533"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1533"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1533"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}