{"id":15610,"date":"2008-05-21T09:51:15","date_gmt":"2008-05-21T13:51:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/15610.html"},"modified":"2008-05-21T09:51:15","modified_gmt":"2008-05-21T13:51:15","slug":"going-down-swinging-in-the-wrong-direction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/going-down-swinging-in-the-wrong-direction\/","title":{"rendered":"Going down swinging, in the wrong direction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Following up on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/15609.html\">last item<\/a>, the Clinton campaign has a variety of reasons for hanging around and keeping the Democratic race going, some more compelling than others. In the meantime, though, the campaign&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/talkingpointsmemo.com\/archives\/196122.php\">worst arguments<\/a> do little to build up goodwill within the party.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>If I&#8217;m not mistaken Terry McAuliffe just announced two new goalposts.<\/p>\n<p>1. Hillary has gotten more votes and delegates since March 4th.<\/p>\n<p>2. Hillary has gotten more votes in a nomination race than anyone in history. &#8220;Hillary Clinton has now received more votes than any candidate ever running for president in a primary.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It&#8217;s true; he really did, on Fox News no less:<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"250\" height=\"185\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/2pETHJUCig4&#038;hl=en\"><\/param><param name=\"wmode\" value=\"transparent\"><\/param><embed src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/2pETHJUCig4&#038;hl=en\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" wmode=\"transparent\" width=\"250\" height=\"185\"><\/embed><\/object><\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s just no reason for this. Superdelegates are generally going to be sophisticated enough to dismiss this as nonsense, and rank-and-file Dems in the three remaining primaries (Puerto Rico, Montana, and South Dakota) are unlikely to be moved by the arguments.<\/p>\n<p>All McAuliffe is doing with efforts like these is undermining the campaign&#8217;s credibility and tarnishing its name. The focus, it seems to me, should be on going out on a high note, and McAuliffe is making that harder, not easier.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nOn the first new goalpost, McAuliffe is probably right. Since March 4, there have only been five contests. Clinton won three (Kentucky, West Virginia, and Indiana); Obama won two (Oregon and North Carolina). I haven&#8217;t run the numbers, but if McAuliffe believes Clinton has won more votes and pledged delegates in these five primaries, I&#8217;m certainly willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.<\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t, however, have the foggiest idea why this matters. Why are these five contests more significant than the 50 or so primaries and caucuses before March 4? (For that matter, this newly-discovered metric appears to exclude superdelegates from the equation altogether, many of whom have moved to Obama in recent weeks.)<\/p>\n<p>On the second new goalpost, history is a funny thing. There are more Americans than ever before, and this is the longest primary fight (which means more voters have participated). But that doesn&#8217;t much matter &#8212; FDR got 27 million votes in 1940, while George McGovern got 29 million in 1972. Does this make McGovern&#8217;s performance impressive?<\/p>\n<p>Even the effort to count popular votes in this primary is a fool&#8217;s errand. As Josh <a href=\"http:\/\/talkingpointsmemo.com\/archives\/196122.php\">noted<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Even if you change the rules and fully seat Michigan and Florida and count them for the popular vote totals <i>and<\/i> don&#8217;t count any portion of the Michigan &#8220;uncommitted&#8221; (which were understood to be for Obama) vote for Obama, Hillary is <i>still<\/i> behind in the popular vote total. The only way she moves ahead in popular vote is if you do all that <i>and<\/i> don&#8217;t count four of the caucus states. <\/p>\n<p>Some stuff is just too ridiculous to let pass.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I don&#8217;t mention this to pile on, but rather because it seems McAuliffe&#8217;s argument is so counterproductive. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eschatonblog.com\/2008_05_18_archive.html#1531382722136984185\">Atrios noted<\/a>, &#8220;[I]t isn&#8217;t trivial and it&#8217;s destroying the respect I once had for a group of people. It&#8217;s weird, really, having in some sense started my political life defending the Clintons and now being rather fed up with them. I&#8217;m not important, but I&#8217;m not alone.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s more than just foolish rhetoric from an overeager campaign cheerleader. As Scott Lemieux <a href=\"http:\/\/lefarkins.blogspot.com\/2008\/05\/clinton-campaign-self-parody-watch.html\">noted<\/a>, arguments like McAuliffe&#8217;s &#8220;undermine the legitimacy of the Democratic nominee.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>If there was any significant chance that she could win, that might be acceptable. If she even had a credible argument that she was ahead in the popular vote &#8212; one anyone would have accepted before the nomination, without knowing who it would benefit &#8212; that would be a different issue. But to send flacks to rile up other Democrats against Obama under these circumstances is a disgrace.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>My sense is this will all be over soon, and the antics of various campaign spokespersons will probably be forgotten. But I also get the sense that McAuliffe&#8217;s efforts, among others, will leave many with an unpleasant taste in their mouths. When people look back on the Clinton campaign once the dust has settled, I suspect they&#8217;ll have wanted to do more to enhance the senator&#8217;s reputation and stature, and McAuliffe is doing the opposite.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Following up on the last item, the Clinton campaign has a variety of reasons for hanging around and keeping the Democratic race going, some more compelling than others. In the meantime, though, the campaign&#8217;s worst arguments do little to build up goodwill within the party. If I&#8217;m not mistaken Terry McAuliffe just announced two new [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15610","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15610"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15610\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15610"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15610"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15610"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}