Wrapping up yet another week is a post with the latest presidential polling data I can find. All of the results were released within the last seven days, but most were conducted before Iraq started falling apart at the seems and well before Condi Rice’s 9\/11 testimony.<\/p>\n
Florida<\/b> (27 electoral votes) Michigan<\/b> (17 electoral votes) Ohio<\/b> (20 electoral votes) Minnesota<\/b> (10 electoral votes)
\nMason-Dixon Poll<\/a> — Bush 51, Kerry 43
\nComment<\/i>: Florida remains entirely unpredictable. Considering this poll’s eight-point margin, we’ll just have to hope it’s an outlier. (Just as an aside, if Bob Graham joins Kerry’s ticket, the margin drops to 3 points. Hmm.)<\/p>\n
\nSurvey USA<\/a> — Kerry 51, Bush 41
\nComment<\/i>: Kerry is enjoying huge support among Michigan Dems, but is leading by 10 points because he has a 2 to 1 edge among self-identified independents.<\/p>\n
\nColumbus Dispatch<\/a> — Bush 46, Kerry 45
\nComment<\/i>: The happiest people in the world right now are the station managers in Ohio who know millions of advertising dollars are coming their way.<\/p>\n
\nMinneapolis Star-Tribune<\/a> — Kerry 50, Bush 38, Nader 8
\nComment<\/i>: The only state in the Union to vote Dem in each of the last seven presidential elections looks like it’ll go eight for eight.
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\nCalifornia<\/b> (55 electoral votes)
\nSurvey and Policy Research Institute<\/a> — Bush approval rating is down to just 38%
\nComment<\/i>: The poll didn’t do a head-to-head general election match-up, which is kind of annoying, but these results were just devastating for Bush. A majority disapproves of his job performance and a plurality believes, generally speaking, that Bush cannot be counted to tell the nation the truth. Ouch.<\/p>\n