As you’ve hopefully come to expect on Friday afternoons, I have some statewide polling data to share. Unfortunately, for whatever reason, there haven’t been as many polls this week, so today’s list is a little shorter than usual. As always, these results were released within the last seven days.<\/p>\n
Massachusetts<\/b> (12 electoral votes) New York<\/b> (31 electoral votes) New Jersey<\/b> (15 electoral votes) Florida<\/b> (27 electoral votes) Washington<\/b> (11 electoral votes)
\nUniversity of Massachusetts<\/a> — Kerry 54, Bush 32, Nader 2
\nComment<\/i>: Duh.<\/p>\n
\nQuinnipiac University<\/a> — Kerry 53, Bush 36
\nComment<\/i>: There were rumors, about a year ago, that Republicans thought they had a chance in New York. How terribly silly.<\/p>\n
\nFairleigh Dickinson University<\/a> — Kerry 41, Bush 40
\nComment<\/i>: Don’t panic. Some early polls in NJ in 2000 showed a relatively close race, right before Gore opened it up and won by 16 points.<\/p>\n
\nRasmussen<\/a> — Kerry 47, Bush 46
\nComment<\/i>: It’s going to be like this all the way through November. A Rasmussen poll from March had almost identical results.<\/p>\n
\nElway Poll — Kerry 46, Bush 41, Nader 2
\nComment<\/i>: Gore won Washington by about 5% in 2000 and Kerry looks poised to win by about the same margin. Bush may make a few appearances to try and help Nethercutt, but I suspect Kerry (and Murray<\/a>) will win.
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\nOregon<\/b> (7 electoral votes)
\nUniversity of Oregon<\/a> — Bush 47, Kerry 45, Nader 1
\nComment<\/i>: An Oregonian poll recently showed Kerry leading by 5, so don’t worry too much. Oregon will probably be close — Gore won by a hair in 2000 — but the state has backed the Dem in four of the last four presidential elections.<\/p>\n