{"id":2048,"date":"2004-07-02T10:03:36","date_gmt":"2004-07-02T15:03:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/2048.html"},"modified":"2004-07-02T10:03:36","modified_gmt":"2004-07-02T15:03:36","slug":"another-month-of-disappointing-job-numbers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/another-month-of-disappointing-job-numbers\/","title":{"rendered":"Another month of disappointing job numbers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We&#8217;ve been hearing all week that June&#8217;s employment numbers were going to be impressive, bolstering the White House&#8217;s arguments about Bush&#8217;s stewardship of the economy and hurting John Kerry&#8217;s chances of using Bush&#8217;s job numbers against him in the campaign.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, today we have bad news for the economy, bad news for workers, bad news for Bush, and good news for Kerry.<\/p>\n<p>Economists predicted a rise of at least 250,000 new jobs last month. It&#8217;d still be far short of the White House&#8217;s predictions in the wake of its third major tax cut, but it would nevertheless show consistent and relatively steady growth in the job sector. Instead, the economy produced <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2004\/07\/02\/news\/economy\/jobless_june\/index.htm?cnn=yes\">less than half the number expected<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Employment growth slowed in June, as the government reported 112,000 new jobs in the U.S. economy last month, falling well short of Wall Street forecasts. <\/p>\n<p>The gain was about half of May&#8217;s revised gain of 235,000 jobs, and marked the weakest jobs report since February after three straight strong reports. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a gain of 250,000 jobs in the month.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Moreover, the Labor Department revised April&#8217;s and May&#8217;s number downward, because they <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/articles\/A22778-2004Jul2.html\">weren&#8217;t as strong<\/a> as had previously been reported.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;I&#8217;m not ready to panic,&#8221; said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pa. &#8220;But clearly the job market is not as strong as we initially thought.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\nAnd speaking of weak job numbers, <a href=\"http:\/\/slate.msn.com\/id\/2103111\/\">Slate&#8217;s Daniel Gross<\/a> had an item earlier this week, <i>before<\/i> June&#8217;s feeble growth was reported, explaining how the nation&#8217;s labor market is still performing poorly &#8212; and it may &#8220;still be deteriorating&#8221; &#8212; Bush&#8217;s rhetoric not withstanding.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The economic numbers show a persistent underutilization of America&#8217;s greatest asset &#8212; its workforce. The addition of 1.4 million jobs in 10 months is paltry by historical standards, and given the size of today&#8217;s potential workforce, it&#8217;s anemic. All the happy talk in the world can&#8217;t hide that.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I don&#8217;t imagine we&#8217;ll be hearing much in the way of &#8220;happy talk&#8221; out of the White House today.<\/p>\n<p><b>Update<\/b>: The fine folks at the Economic Policy Institute prepared a helpful chart to show how well actual job growth has fared against Bush&#8217;s promises about job growth after his latest tax cut became law.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/archives\/jobchart.gif\" alt=\"jobchart\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We&#8217;ve been hearing all week that June&#8217;s employment numbers were going to be impressive, bolstering the White House&#8217;s arguments about Bush&#8217;s stewardship of the economy and hurting John Kerry&#8217;s chances of using Bush&#8217;s job numbers against him in the campaign. Instead, today we have bad news for the economy, bad news for workers, bad news [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2048","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2048"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2048\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2048"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2048"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2048"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}