{"id":2791,"date":"2004-10-18T12:33:37","date_gmt":"2004-10-18T17:33:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com\/archives\/2791.html"},"modified":"2004-10-18T12:33:37","modified_gmt":"2004-10-18T17:33:37","slug":"ohio-is-still-a-battleground-right","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/ohio-is-still-a-battleground-right\/","title":{"rendered":"Ohio is still a battleground, right?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Kerry campaign had an interesting observation over the weekend: Bush hasn&#8217;t been in Ohio in a while. No one knows why.<\/p>\n<p>Ohio&#8217;s polls show the state is still a toss-up. With 20 electoral votes, Bush will almost certainly lose the election without the state&#8217;s support. Kerry is visiting Ohio a couple of times a week, but he isn&#8217;t running into his rival much because Bush isn&#8217;t there.<\/p>\n<p>Bush&#8217;s last visit to the Buckeye state was Oct. 2 (16 days ago). Since then, he&#8217;s hit several key battlegrounds (Colorado, Arizona, Iowa, Nevada), but no swings through Ohio. Looking ahead at the schedule for the next few days, Bush won&#8217;t be there this week either. What&#8217;s the deal?<\/p>\n<p>I have a few theories, ranging from reasonable, to paranoid, to tin-foil hat territory.<\/p>\n<p>* Bush considers his slim lead insurmountable, so he&#8217;s investing time elsewhere because this one&#8217;s in the bag. This seems unlikely, especially since some polls actually <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chicagotribune.com\/news\/specials\/elections\/chi-041012poll-story,1,7513939.story?coll=chi-news-hed\">show Kerry ahead<\/a> in Ohio.<\/p>\n<p>* This is some kind of Rove-inspired, counter-intuitive head fake (a la 2000) where Bush ignores the state he wants most. I know, I don&#8217;t understand it either.<\/p>\n<p>* Bush&#8217;s internal polling shows the campaign in position to win the state, but perhaps the president&#8217;s appearances aren&#8217;t helping matters. Maybe the campaign figures Bush may have a better shot at Ohio if Ohioans <i>don&#8217;t<\/i> actually see the guy in person too much. This seems plausible.<\/p>\n<p>* Because Ohio is dominated by Republicans throughout state government, maybe Bush is counting on it being this year&#8217;s Florida. In other words, the fix is in. (Just because we&#8217;re paranoid doesn&#8217;t mean they&#8217;re not out to get us&#8230;)<\/p>\n<p>Maybe there&#8217;s some other explanation, but it doesn&#8217;t seem to make sense for Bush to avoid Ohio for all of this time. Given Kerry&#8217;s increasing standing in the state, of course, I can only hope Bush continues to stay away.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Kerry campaign had an interesting observation over the weekend: Bush hasn&#8217;t been in Ohio in a while. No one knows why. Ohio&#8217;s polls show the state is still a toss-up. With 20 electoral votes, Bush will almost certainly lose the election without the state&#8217;s support. Kerry is visiting Ohio a couple of times a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[617],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2791"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2791\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2791"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2791"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stevebenen.com\/thecarpetbaggerreport\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}