Is the torch being passed to a new generation?

When looking at the Democratic Party’s informal leadership, there are a handful of powerhouses whose endorsements every presidential candidate would love to have: Bill Clinton, Al Gore, Ted Kennedy, John Kerry, and Howard Dean come to mind. Clinton, of course, is clearly spoken for, and Dean, as chairman of the DNC, is committed to staying […]

When anti-war voters back a pro-war candidate

Outside the White House, few have been as supportive of the Bush policy in Iraq as John McCain. He helped sell the war before the invasion; he was an enthusiastic supporter of “staying the course” for several years; he heralded the so-called “surge” policy a year ago, and he’s now talking openly about leaving U.S. […]

Dems’ South Carolina turnout confounds expectations

Putting aside, for a moment, who won, who lost, and What It All Means, it’s also worth noting that the Democrats’ turnout numbers in South Carolina were pretty amazing. In a historical shift, South Carolina Democrats turned out in record numbers on Saturday, besting last week’s underwhelming Republican vote, which was hampered by bad weather. […]

Obama keeps reaching rhetorical heights

It’s unquestionably true that speeches are not the be-all, end-all of a campaign, and it’s simply not reasonable to judge the merits of a candidacy on rhetoric alone. But it’s also true that Barack Obama keeps delivering speeches that confound expectations and raise his stature. Last night’s acceptance speech in South Carolina was another gem. […]

Is South Carolina a game-changer?

Not long after the polls closed in South Carolina, NBC’s Tim Russert suggested that Barack Obama might win by 30 points. The very idea struck me as utterly ridiculous. After all, his biggest lead in a non-partisan poll was 15 points, rumor had it the race had become more competitive the campaign’s waning days, and […]

B. Clinton cites Jackson in explaining Obama victory

I really, sincerely wish Bill Clinton wouldn’t make comments like these. For those of you who can’t watch clips online, the video shows a reporter asking the former president earlier today, “What does it say about Barack Obama that it takes two of you to beat him?” Bill Clinton responds, “Jesse Jackson won South Carolina […]

Fun with exit polls

CNN has posted the exit polls from South Carolina, and given the large margin of Barack Obama’s victory, it probably won’t come as too big a surprise that the Illinois senator pretty much swept the contest in every way a candidate could. There were, however, a few tidbits that jumped out at me: * 61% […]

Obama appears to have cruised to South Carolina victory

The polls in South Carolina closed at 7 pm. By about 7:01 pm, news outlets felt comfortable calling the race. Barack Obama routed Hillary Rodham Clinton in the racially-charged South Carolina primary Saturday night, regaining campaign momentum in the prelude to a Feb. 5 coast-to-coast competition for more than 1,600 Democratic National Convention delegates. Former […]

Managing expectations in South Carolina

The South Carolina Democratic primary is, of course, underway, and from what I hear, turnout is strong. (The record for participation is 290,000 Dems, which most expect to be topped today.) The polls vary widely — while most point to a likely Barack Obama victory, I’ve seen margins ranging from eight to 20 points. The […]

When in doubt, go with a red scare

A week ago, Fox News hosted a discussion, exploring whether market instability is the fault of Democrats. As the Republican network saw it, Wall Street is worried that a Dem will win the presidency in November, and as a result, investors are feel anxiety about the future. This anxiety leads to volatility, and before you […]