Keeping expectations in check

Yesterday afternoon, two unnamed senior White House aides told CNN that Alberto Gonzales’ testimony was a disaster. One described him as “going down in flames.” Another said he was “not doing himself any favors.”

Political norms tell us there is simply no way Gonzales can stay on the job. I’d just remind everyone that political norms have literally no meaning in the Bush White House.

Even if we remove Dems from the equation altogether, consider the reaction Gonzales received from Republicans yesterday. First, on the Hill.

Not a single Republican, with the possible exception of Senator Orrin G. Hatch of Utah, came to Mr. Gonzales’s defense — not even his old Texas friend Senator John Cornyn. And Mr. Gonzales did not help himself with his testimony that while he took full responsibility for removing federal prosecutors, he did not have a clear idea of why he had done so in some cases until he reviewed paperwork after the dismissals.

It was no surprise that the Democrats on the panel skewered Mr. Gonzales. But it was also apparent that even Republicans had serious doubts about his fitness for the job.

Second, from the base.

Patrick Frey: “I can’t tell you how pathetic he sounds. Please resign. Put us out of our misery. Please.”

Ed Morrissey: “Gonzales is toast.”

Byron York: “a disastrous morning.”

And then, there’s the White House’s take, which said the president “was pleased with the Attorney General’s testimony,” and emphasized that Gonzales “has the full confidence of the President.”

If all of this sounds familiar to you, there’s a good reason — the exact same thing happened a month ago today.

As the prosecutor purge scandal hit the big time, there were multiple reports that the search was already on for a new AG, and a list of possible replacements was already being floated. Dems were demanding Gonzales’ head, several House Republicans gave up on defending him, and the media characterized his ouster as a foregone conclusion.

And then Bush simply rejected the talk out of hand and said Gonzales would keep his job. Don’t be at all surprised if it happens again.

Sure, it’s possible that the president will come to believe that the AG has become a distraction. And sure, it’s equally possible Gonzales will want to spare his buddy the difficulties of being burdened by an incompetent, scandal-plagued Attorney General.

All I’m saying is that just because Gonzales should be toast, doesn’t mean he is toast.

To reiterate a point from last month, there’s a certain reality that even the closest political observers sometimes forget: Bush doesn’t care about traditional norms. Our political system is supposed to follow certain unwritten political “rules.” When a cabinet secretary screws up, creates a scandal, becomes a distraction, loses the nation’s confidence, and possibly engages in criminal behavior, he or she is supposed to resign. If a resignation isn’t offered, a president is supposed to ask for it.

Bush doesn’t concern himself with these “rules.” Donald Rumsfeld, Alphonso Jackson, and Rod Paige proved that the president is more than willing to tolerate cabinet secretaries staying on far too long.

Gonzales has become the most reviled man in the administration, after having been caught lying and losing control of the Justice Department. The rules say Gonzales has to go. Bush, meanwhile, is The Decider — and The Decider doesn’t much care about the rules.

A month ago, the New York Daily News quoted a “senior Republican” saying, “[Bush] wants to fight, but that will change because it has to.”

I can almost hear Bush saying, “No, it doesn’t.”

Yet another case of: “heck of a job, Brownie”. sigh…

  • I wouldn’t be surprised if BushBrat clings to his bestest friend. After all, the desire to stab him in the back in a fit of childish pique (see Rumsfeld*) won’t be an issue because there are no more elections left to lose.

    Plus, he might be smart enough to avoid annoying the people with the really good dirt. I think that’s why Karl is still around.

    tAiO

    * Not that I feel a gram of pity for Don “The Snake” Rumsfilled, but he didn’t get the boot because he sucked as SecDef; he got the boot because Georgie Porgie was mad about the election and needed to take it out on someone.

  • Gonzo’s resignation is secondary. We have his testimony now. When are we getting the Rove e-mails/testimony? What’s the latest on that? Eye on the ball, people..

  • OK, I personally think the Republicans will force Bush to fire Gonezales. But maybe not. Maybe their thinking goes like this:

    All right. Suppose Gonzales were to resign, as is your wish.

    What then?

    I asked Dean Barnett, and he suggested that “Orrin Hatch could cruise to confirmation.” I think Barnett is dangerously underestimating the toxicity of the J-Com right now, thinking that a nominee who is a senator — even one on the committee itself — would “cruise to confirmation.”

    Maybe we could ask a neutral arbiter… say, Sen. John Tower. (We’d need a Ouija board.)

    (Now Sen. Spector, on the other hand, probably would cruise to confirmation — as soon as he swore to end all domestic anti-terrorism programs, from the NSA al-Qaeda intercepts to monitoring the SWIFT program to the Patriot Act itself, which I’m certain he would eagerly do.)

    I asked Rich Galen, but answer came there none.

    I have asked a couple of others to no avail.

    Do you really believe that if only we could get rid of Gonzales, we could get a solid conservative in as Attorney General? You think the Democrats, having gotten one scalp, wouldn’t lunge for a two-fer?

    Let’s see… we could have a recess appointment; but those typically crash and burn, because the bureaucrats dismiss them out of hand as temp workers.

    We could just let the Deputy Attorney General become acting Attorney General. Oh, wait, isn’t that Paul McNulty, the man Pat Leahy would most like to indict for supposedly “misleading” or “lying to” Congress? I wonder how many of the remaining 642 days of Bush’s presidency the acting Attorney General would spend testifying to one congressional committee or another?

    Or maybe Leahy could submit a list of acceptable candidates — Jamie Gorelick, Bob Bennett, Janet Reno…

    Pat, realistically speaking, this close to the end of the Bush term, it would be a complete catastrophe for Gonzales to resign. The confirmation hearings would be a food fight. The nominee would be a piñata. The country would be without a permanent, confirmed attorney general, and nobody would be in charge of the domestic front in the war on global jihad.

    I’d rather have a slightly incompetent, moderate Bush loyalist than an empty desk during time of existential war. Call me irresponsible…

    http://patterico.com/2007/04/19/gonzales-clueless-as-to-why-the-us-attorneys-were-fired/#comment-260587

    Note that I think the wingnut quoted above is insane. But maybe that’s their line of “thought”.

  • To the extent that this keeps the spotlight on Bush’s arrogance and the continuing disaster that his administration is for America, I suppose it is ok if Gonzales stays. I can’t imaging Bush putting anyone in his place who would actually do the job they are supposed to. As it is, the reThugs are put in a deeply unpleasant place by Bush’s behavior. If he were to resign, they would all be saying that there is no need for further investigation, and the msm would report it as fact. If he doesn’t resign, they are left twisting in the wind.

    Greenwald has a similar post to CB this morning. Excellent as always.

  • Gonzales will stay unless impeached.

    Plus there’s no one to replace him. The most competent Republican attorney for the job also put Scooter Libby in jail.

  • I visited some of the wingnnut blogs this morning to see what talking points they are using about Gonzo. But in Wingnutland, it’s as if Gonzo doesn’t exist. As if the hearing yesterday never happened.

    This tells me that there is no White House effort to save Gonzo’s job. When their only friend is Orrin Hatch, even they can see the writing on the wall. Of course they put out their ridiculous statement yesterday that Gonzo “still has the full confidence of the President.” (Did they watch the same hearings that I did?) I predict that within a few days Gonzo will offer his resignation, and Bush will accept it with great reluctance. Gonzo might even get the Medal of Freedom on his way to his new job as a lobbyist.

    Will we get a new Attorney General who is just as odious and incompetent as Gonzo has been? I don’t think so. Whoever is nominated will have to appear before the very same Judiciary Committee and be confirmed by the Democratic-controlled Senate.

  • “I’d just remind everyone that political norms have literally no meaning in the Bush White House… Bush doesn’t care about traditional norms. Our political system is supposed to follow certain unwritten political “rules…Bush doesn’t concern himself with these “rules.” — CB

    YES! Those of us who aspire to be reality-based cannot achieve that lofty goal until we accept the reality that CB has just outlined.

  • Sure, it’s possible that the president will come to believe that the AG has become a distraction.

    A welcome distraction. Keeps the spotlight off the war for a bit.

  • While Gonzales’ treatment of the US Attorneys and his many mistatements to Congress are scandalous and could alone merit his resigantion, the true scandal starts with the politicization of justice in this country, works up through warrantless eavesdropping, authorization of torture, and the overturning of habeas corpus, and culminates in the fact that so few people care about the last four problems.

  • The most competent Republican attorney for the job also put Scooter Libby in jail.

    [episty]

    Competence is a four-letter word in this mAdminstration. Especially when the Deciderator tries to pronounce it. What they’ll want is another souless, syncophant who has been loyal to the Royal Infant in the past.

    Ask yourself two questions:
    What’s Krazy Kat Harris doing these days?
    When’s the next Congressional recess?

    The horror. The horror.

  • Of course, the WH approach on these kinds of matters is to defend the person up and down until the moment when they resign, so these protestations that he has the full confidence of the President don’t mean anything to me.

  • Aw, Orange—you beat me to it. I was just getting ready to say that Gonzales will hand his resignation to Bush—about three hours after Congress begins their next recess. Gotta give those “Congress Critters” time to get stuck in Beltway traffic, y’know….

  • Bush is a bully and a coward. He likes to say “screw you” on everything he can. He will keep Gonzales unless it is proved Gonzales committed a crime and legal action will be taken against him. Bush would have kept Rumsfeld if an election hadn’t taken place and all his advisers pushed for his firing. If Gonzales can’t see he’s already been invalidated no matter what Bush does then it’s like the administration is just giving us the ‘finger’ if a resignation doesn’t take place, and that’s Bush’s favorite thing to do.

  • At this point, Bush has expended any good will (or, if you prefer, capital) he’s ever had. If Gonzales resigns, Bush’s instinct will be, as orange suggests, to fill the position with someone every inch the suck-up toady Al has always been, but in this political climate, with this degree of heat, it might not be as cut-and-dry as it has been in the past, not like getting Bolton in the UN during a recess. That’s the sort of thing that will drop his approval rating (like he cares) in the 20s. But of course, any replacement for Al would HAVE to be a loyal Bushie, because anyone with an ounce of integrity, if he or she even accepted the job, would not give Bush the carte blanche Al always has. And Bush doesn’t know how to govern with restrictions. So the only solution is to try and weather the storm and keep Al in his position. It is bad, but any attempt to replace him would either be worse to Bush, or worse for America.

  • Gonzalez started off by LYING, saying that he wasn’t involved at all in the decision. But then, along comes Kyle Sampson to contradict him. THEN, when forced by overwhelming evidence, he changes his tune. And keeps changing it. It is clear that the leading Attorney for the US is an incompetent liar. People are taking the Fifth to avoid self (other) incriminitation. Um, gee, maybe there’s, like, a cover-up going on?

    Na! If the the Little Idiot says he’s got AG’s back, there must be nothing to see.

    The only solution is to cut the dragon’s head off. bu$$h & cheney must be impeached, repudiated and totally exposed for the criminal enterprise that they are. (see http://www.a28.org/)

  • And for those of you pushing the idea that we might as well keep Gonzales on ’cause there are no good replacements and it’s too close to the end of Bush’s reign, it’s too late. The man has demonstrated his incompetence to such a degree that it’s demeaning to the American voter if he remains. He has politicized the DOJ and needs to be held accountable. Impeached if necessary. Keeping the criminal because we don’t have anything better to replace him with is ludicrous. Getting rid of them one at a time no matter how long it takes is justice. Our anger and frustration is not going to just disappear. We know what was going on at the DOJ and if necessary we should fire them all and start anew if that’s is what it takes. We want accountability over so called ‘practicality’ and ‘convenience’.

  • CB, if you’ve got an office pool, I’ve got two bets on Gonzales going. In the short term, I give him two weeks. Longer, he’ll go over the long Memorial Day weekend (5 pm that Sunday).

  • CBs right. I don’t doubt that Gonzo will stay on, simply becuse that’s what an adminsitration without morals, scruples and principles will do. Gonzo has done Bush’s bidding as well as Rove’s and there are more things to put in place to ensure the 1,000 year reich of the Republican party. The arrogance that has been Gonzo’s hallmark, as well as the rest of the administration’s, is simply telling the rest of the world that wants his resignation, “Make me.”

    But hearing from the wingnutosphere that even they want him to go makes me wonder how many hardcore Repubs are finally feeling embarrassed by these guys and now want to crawl back into the hole they came from.

  • Ohioan (#3) is right, Gonzales is no longer relevant. The various committees must maintain the momentum regarding the true worm within the pile of crap that is this administration. Rove being forced to answer questions would be a delight to behold.

  • Gonzales will gracefully resign as soon as they find a replacement. That might take awhile. Even rats won’t jump onto a sinking ship.

  • Getting a vote of confidence from the boy-president is like getting a kiss from a mafia don. Rumsfeld too had the “full confidence of the president” a week before he was jetisoned. Bush won’t fire Gonzo, who will fall on his own sword when given the word that he must. He is, after all, nothing but the definition of a toady.

    Leaving him and Rove in place is good for the Dems, but also good for the Rethugs. The Dems have a lightening rod. If we have learned anything from the past six years it is the ability of the extensive propaganda apparatus run out of the White House to stage a distraction at will. Gonzo is a wonderful distraction, as is the firing of the US Attorneys, from so much else. Scooter Libby, for instance. All the skullduggery that Cheney is responsible for. What’s actually happening in Iraq. The real story behind the firings, specifically the conspiracy to disenfranchise as many Democrats and others inclined to vote against the regime, all of it gets lost while Gonzo is the center of attention.

    Bush could care less if Gonzo twists in the wind. Losing Gonzo will look like defeat to Bush, and if there’s anything his vulnerable ego can’t bear it’s a challenge to his perceived manhood. He probably has a very small penis.

  • Gonzales is going-going-gone…it is just a matter of time now….but it will be the old the devil you know versus the devil you don’t know.

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