When Democrats reclaimed their congressional majorities, there were high expectations about legislative progress. A Republican Congress and Republican White House had effectively stopped governing, and Dems started the 110th Congress with a lengthy wish list, nearly all of which enjoyed strong pubic support. The question wasn’t whether things would get done, but rather, how fast things would get done.
Six months later, even most Dems on the Hill would agree there’s been less progress than expected. In some cases, Dems have passed bills Bush has vetoed; in other instances GOP senators have blocked bills that enjoy majority support. TNR’s John Judis is sympathetic to the stumbling blocks and encourages Harry Reid and the Dem leadership to draw on the example of the early ’90s.
If Harry Reid and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi want guidance, they should look back at what the Democrats did during the presidential term of George H.W. Bush. The Democrats had a brilliant Senate majority leader, George Mitchell, and a competent House speaker, Tom Foley, who generally deferred to Mitchell. Mitchell and Foley forced Bush to veto popular bills that also enjoyed some Republican support in Congress. They showed up Bush as a heartless extremist and split his own party. And they handed Democrat Bill Clinton a platform on which to run in the fall of 1992.
During his term, Mitchell and Foley sent Bush 36 pieces of legislation that he vetoed. These included the Family and Medical Leave Act, tax relief and urban aid (in the wake of the Los Angeles riots), extended jobless benefits (during a recession), a crime bill, the removal of a Bush administration ban on federal funding of fetal tissue research (which had been instrumental to discovering a polio vaccine), a bill removing the gag rule that forbade federally funded family planning counselors from discussing abortion, a bill regulating cable rates, and a campaign finance measure.
Sounds great, right? Sure, Mitchell had more Democratic votes than Reid does now, but Mitchell peeled off GOP moderates, set an agenda with the Democratic House, and kept forcing vetoes, which at a minimum, showed Dems legislating. Why can’t we do that again?
Because Republican moderates are all but gone.
Consider what we’ve seen the last few months when it comes to GOP obstructionism. Senate Republicans have filibustered a non-binding resolution criticizing Gonzales, a minimum-wage increase, a debate over a non-binding resolution on the war (twice), and a bill that would have led to lower prices on prescription medication. And that doesn’t even include procedural hurdles in committees. (All from the party that whined about non-existent obstructionism for six years.)
Why has Reid failed to garner moderate GOP support the way Mitchell did? Because the numbers just aren’t there. Reid has 51 members in his caucus. One of them is Joe Lieberman. Another is Tim Johnson, who has been physically unable to work. So, to break a filibuster, Reid starts with 49 votes and looks around for Republican moderates.
As Kevin Drum added, he’s not finding many.
Unfortunately, all of these votes, as Judis acknowledges, required support from Republican moderates in order to pass. But that strategy pretty clearly won’t work in today’s Senate, which contains no more than half a dozen Republicans who could truly be called moderate. And even those half dozen are rarely willing to join Democrats in passing moderate legislation. The ties of party loyalty are just too strong.
The result is that Senate Republicans can filibuster anything they want to keep off Bush’s desk, allowing through only those bills that he’s willing to sign — or those in which a veto is actually helpful to the cause. Democrats simply don’t have the ability to force moderate legislation to the White House as veto bait.
If we want more progress, we’ll need to give Reid more Democrats.