Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ken.) held a press conference yesterday on the Hill, and most of the questions focused on his scandal-plagued GOP caucus. McConnell, after several questions on Sen. Larry Craig’s (R-Idaho) predicament, characterized the controversy as a thing of the past. When a reporter noted rumors that Craig might reconsider resigning, a startled Minority Leader said, “He called me on Friday and indicated what he was going to say on Saturday, and I believe that’s a firm decision.”
As it turns out, that assumption may be wrong.
In his Saturday-morning announcement, Craig said, “[I]t is my intent to resign from the Senate, effective September 30th.” The use of the word “intent” was not an accident, and was apparently part of an effort to leave the senator a little wiggle room. Indeed, after his speech, a CNN correspondent asked Craig if he stood by his claim of innocence. “Absolutely,” he said, adding: “We’ll be fighting this like hell.”
As I noted over the weekend, the comments sounded a bit like O.J. vowing to catch the real killer, but Craig apparently meant it. As of last night, the Idaho senator was reconsidering his resignation.
Sen. Larry E. Craig (R-Idaho) is reconsidering his announced intention to resign, if he can clear his name of criminal and ethics charges before the end of the month, a spokesman said last night. […]
Dan Whiting, Craig’s Washington spokesman, told The Washington Post in an e-mailed statement last night: “As he stated on Saturday, Senator Craig intends to resign on September 30th. However, he is fighting these charges, and should he be cleared before then, he may, and I emphasize may, not resign.”
Sidney Smith, Craig’s spokesman in Idaho’s capital, told the AP, “It’s not such a foregone conclusion anymore that the only thing he could do was resign.”
There are plenty of fascinating angles to consider here.
For Craig, since the scandal broke eight days ago, there has been some conflict between the political and the legal. Politically, Craig was caught hitting on an undercover cop in an airport bathroom, pleading guilty, making up ridiculous excuses, irrationally blaming the media, and losing the support of his party and constituents. Legally, Craig was arrested for conduct that hardly seems criminal — if unwanted advances were illegal, we’d have to shut down every bar in America — and the evidence against him is thin.
In the political world, Craig was given the bum’s rush. In the legal world, the senator apparently realized sometime Friday night that he never actually committed a crime.
Over the weekend, Sen. Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) told Fox News, “I’d like to see Larry Craig go back to court, seek to withdraw his guilty plea and fight the case…. On the evidence Senator Craig wouldn’t be convicted of anything. And he’s got his life on the line and 27 years in the House and Senate, and I’d like to see him fight the case because I think he could be vindicated.” Specter also said it was not too late for Craig to change the status of his resignation. The Pennsylvania senator apparently contacted Craig about this, which helped prompt Craig to reconsider his fate and use the word “intend.”
The more I think about this, the more I come to the same conclusion: what does Craig have to lose? The longer he stays, and the more this scandal is dragged out, the more it hurts the GOP — but that’s the same GOP that turned on Craig and threw him under the bus without a moment’s hesitation. Why would he care whether or not his controversy makes the party look bad? The more he fights, the better his chances of some kind of legal vindication. And if he can reverse his plea and clear his record, Craig can go to Idahoans next year and say, “I was vindicated and deserve another chance.”
This isn’t just some flight of fancy for Craig; he means it. In a voicemail message inadvertently left on the wrong machine, Craig is heard on Saturday morning leaving a message for his lawyer: “Arlen Specter is now willing to come out in my defense, arguing that it appears by all that he knows that I have been railroaded and all that. Having all of that, we have reshaped my statement a little bit to say it is my intent to resign on Sept. 30. I think it is important for you to make as bold a statement as you are comfortable with this afternoon, and I would hope you could make it in front of the cameras. I think it would help drive the story that I’m willing to fight, that I’ve got quality people out there fighting in my defense, and that this thing could take a new turn or a new shape; it has that potential.”
In other words, Craig was about to make this whole mess go away, when Specter decided to intervene and throw Craig a life-preserver. I have a hunch the Senate Republican leadership will not be pleased. Indeed, the Senate GOP heard the rumors about Craig’s change of heart late yesterday, and just about threw a fit.
Idaho Gov. C.L. “Butch” Otter (R) has not yet decided on Craig’s replacement and hasn’t said when he will.
This one isn’t over. Stay tuned.