‘Crisis in Confidence’

Given that we, in the political world, have been waiting for this week’s discussion on conditions in Iraq for months, it seems like this would be a good time for some broad, over-arching post about the entire dynamic — the troops, the White House, Gen. Petraeus, Amb. Crocker, congressional Dems, congressional Republicans, the media, everyone.

But really, what more needs to be said? We know, for example, when Petraeus and Crocker testify today and tomorrow, they’re going to argue that there’s been progress in Iraq. There hasn’t. They’re going to insist that the policy is working. It isn’t. They’re going to suggest that more time will produce better results. It won’t.

There’s been marginal security success in some parts of Iraq, some of which has nothing to do with the surge (as in Anbar province), and some of which has to do with the success of ethnic cleansing (around Baghdad). Political progress — the point of the surge policy — is non-existent, and in fact, has gone backwards. War supporters believe it’s wise to reward failure with more blood, more treasure, and more time.

In terms of the big picture, I suppose there’s no reason to rehash every post about Iraq from the last several weeks. That said, given the context and climate, a big-picture analysis is certainly in order. The National Security Network has released a terrific video this morning called, “Crisis in Confidence: The Politics and Policy of the Petraeus Report.” I hope folks will take a few minutes to watch it.

It’s very well done, and covers quite a bit of ground in a short period of time, but perhaps most importantly, I’d draw attention to the fact that everyone featured in the video is considered “serious” by establishment standards. There isn’t a dirty hippie in the bunch.

Rand Beers, for example, is hard to dismiss as a partisan on national security issues. He’s worked for Reagan, Clinton, and both Bushes, most recently as a special assistant to the president for combating terrorism at the National Security Council for Bush 43. (On Reagan’s NSC staff, he had replaced Oliver North as director for counterterrorism and counternarcotics.) And in the NSN clip, he explains why the Petraeus/Crocker testimony should not be accepted as authoritative.

For that matter, Richard Clarke has worked for every president since Reagan and served as Bush 43’s top anti-terrorism advisor at the NSC. And he believes, strongly, that the Bush administration is making a horrible mistake.

I mention this because the establishment, both in the media and in DC, finds it easy to dismiss the concerns of MoveOn, Michael Moore, progressive blogs, the majority of Americans, etc. But this clip includes people who command respect, even at DC cocktail parties.

Today the National Security Network released a new video “Crisis in Confidence: The Politics and Policy of the Petraeus Report” in which frank assessments of the Bush Administration’s flawed Iraq strategy are offered by leading experts such as Richard Clarke, Jon Alterman, and Mara Rudman.

The six minute film features assessments from experts who’ve spent their careers analyzing the Middle East, sharing their outrage over the decisions that have put American lives at risk, and today’s report by General Petraeus to Congress. […]

In addition to Cabrera, Clarke, Rudman, and Beers, the film also features Roger Cressey, former counterterrorism advisor in the Bush White House, Ilan Goldenberg, policy director of the National Security Network, and Jon Alterman, director of the Middle East Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

“Serious” professionals, one and all.

And as long as we’re on the subject, Media Matters has put together an impressive item called, “Myths and falsehoods about progress in Iraq.” You’ll find the most common conservative claims about conditions in Iraq, and the evidence to the contrary. It’s worth holding onto this week; we’ll be hearing quite a bit of nonsense that’ll need debunking.

Those were all very thoughtful comments. I do wonder, however, what impact thoughtul comments will have on the media and DC establishment. I think dirty hippies (or even Brtiney Spears) might be more effective. I just don’t know — it’s become such a TeeVee shallow country that rational analysis has no place anymore. It’s too boring. Not entertaining enough.

Maybe I have a jaundiced or jaded view of Iraq, given my perspective as I, every day, rack up the few US military deaths in that Quagmire. No matter what the “spin” (which we used to call “lies” when we still spoke English), the graph, like the Energizer bunny, just grows and grows. The rate is constant. The elections of 2006 appear to have had no effect whatever, nor has the “surge” (which is difficult to put time limits on because of administrative lying).

What I wish some clever person — still connected, however foolish this may sound, with what we used to call television “news” — would ask every “expert” they interview, in or out of government, Republican or Democrat: “What is your personal economic stake in the Iraq adventure?” That is, do you make any of your income from our continuing this occupation?

This used to be called the journalist’s trick of “follow of the money”. We just might learn something.

  • CB: There isn’t a dirty hippie in the bunch.

    Obviously there’s some confusion about the definition of “DFH”. Let me spell it out: Anyone who doesn’t drink the koolaid is a DFH.

    William F. Freaking Buckley is a DFH.

    “One can’t doubt that the American objective in Iraq has failed.”
    – February 25, 2006, “It Didn’t Work” By William F. Buckley
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Commentary/com-2_25_06_WB.html

  • Keep the message simple. If we start drawing down our troops in Iraq, we will be saving our soldiers’ lives! Democrats should repeat that until they are blue in the face. I started watching the NSN video, and it is good!

  • Racerx said it. The definition of someone who is “serious” is someone who will support a never-ending war in Iraq. Once the line is crossed to an opposing viewpoint by an eminent authority on Iraq, foreign policy or national security, they instantly become “unserious.”

    The Bushies won’t listen to anyone that’s not a cheerleader for the war, but I hope projects like this will give wavering Dem lawmakers a spine implant.

  • Watching that video was so refreshing. I was beginning to believe that all the talking heads had their heads where the sun don’t shine. When I could sit here and debunk everything I was being told by supposedly intelligent men, surrounded by nothing but ridiculous propaganda from this ‘Petrocker’ PR campaign, I was losing all hope for any kind of rational discussion of the realities in Iraq.
    This video was an extremely rational discussion where truth was dominate and I found it uplifting. I’m hopeful that this thinking will begin to dominate our Congress and senate because the WH is beyond hope of truthful rationality. Thanks for posting it.

  • God here come the dems with the we can do nothing because we can’t get 60 votes crap…I’m listening to a congress woman right now who says it’s an uphill battle… we’ got to keep putting pressure on the republicans to “see the light”. Is this more of democrat’s ’stay the course’ in congress. Senate only needs 40 votes to stop funding the occupation.
    Bush has announced he will veto any legislation that contains a timetable.
    Congress should veto any legislation that does not contain a timetable.
    Congress has what Bush wants…not the other way around.

    Congress doesn’t have to get anything from Bush..Bush must get money from congress.

    This “waiting till Republicans see the light” or “we need 60 votes to be able to start withdrawing our forces” is total bull, more lame excuses The dems could force Bush to start withdrawing troops now and force him to put an end to “his” war but so far they have been unwilling to do what is necessary to make this a reality. Win ‘08 elections by default…Lose 2012 elections by allowing Bush to push “his” war off on them to end.

    Like many I am just sick of listening to Dems in office telling me what they can’t do instead of showing me what they can do. Hopefully they will see they are playing the victim and acting like they have been victimized by Bush when they have the keys to the cuffs and can detach from Bush anytime they choose.

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