Democratic hopes of expanding its majority in the U.S. Senate got a boost this morning, when former Virginia Gov. Mark Warner (D) announced in a web video that he will run to succeed retiring Sen. John Warner (R-no relation).
Warner’s campaign website is now online, though at this early date, it’s rather sparse.
Watching the video reminds the viewer why Warner is considered the favorite in the race — he was a remarkably successful governor, turning around a state that had suffered after years of Republican mismanagement. He left office with an approval rating around 70%, which is rather startling for a Democrat in the South, and a Rasmussen poll this week shows him with 20-point leads over his likely Republican opponents in next year’s race.
What’s more, Warner will immediately enjoy the enthusiastic support of the state and national Democratic party, while Virginia Republicans are poised to endure a bitter primary between former Gov. James Gilmore (whose presidential campaign, like his gubernatorial tenure, was an embarrassing failure) and Rep. Tom Davis.
How will Republicans go after Warner? We’re already getting some indications, and they’re kind of amusing.
Davis is holding his fire, but Gilmore is giving his talking points a try.
Davis declined to comment Wednesday, saying he would make a statement after Warner’s announcement is official. Gilmore said that he is interested in the race and that Warner’s decision would not affect his: “Sending a Democrat to the United States Senate at this very critical time is not the best policy.”
Yep, that’s it. Don’t vote for Warner — he’s a Democrat. Please.
The GOP can’t very well accuse Warner of being some unhinged, radical liberal. In 2005, Warner was backing Tim Kaine (D) as his successor, and the Virginia Republican Party ran ads insisting that Kaine wasn’t as moderate and sensible as Warner.
Obviously, a lot can happen over 14 months, but if I were a betting man, my money would be on Warner. The result would be a Virginia with a Democratic governor and two Democratic senators for the first time in decades.