For reasons that I’ve never entirely understood, the media establishment decided a few years ago that Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) is a “serious” lawmaker whose opinions on Iraq necessarily have merit. It’s not clear why — Graham has been wrong about Iraq policy every step of the way for five years.
A few weeks ago, Graham said we need not worry about Iraq failing the vast majority of the agreed upon benchmarks for progress, because a major step forward was near. “In a matter of weeks, we’re going to have a major breakthrough in Baghdad on items of political reconciliation — the benchmarks — because the Iraqi people are putting pressure on their politicians,” Graham said. A few weeks later, the South Carolina Republican told a conservative think tank that U.S. troops are “kicking their ass” in Iraq. Kicking whose ass? Graham didn’t say.
This week, the confused senator went in an entirely new direction, talking about giving Iraq a half-Friedman.
Graham told Time Wednesday that the Iraqi leaders have 90 days to start resolving their political differences with real legislative agreements or face a change in strategy by the U.S. “If they can’t do it in 90 days,” he said, “it means the major players don’t want to.” […]
Graham, who is up for re-election in 2008, said he will not wait forever. “If they can’t pull it together in the next 90 days,” he said, “I don’t think they are ever gonna do it.” He followed that prediction with a promise: “If they don’t deliver in 90 days, I will openly say the chances for political reconciliation are remote.” […]
“If they can’t do it by the end of the year,” he said, “how do you justify a continued presence?”
How utterly bizarre. As Faiz noted, “In February, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) warned against setting any kind of deadline for Iraq. Appearing on Fox News Sunday, he said, ‘I cannot guarantee you success, but I can promise you this: The day you set timelines and deadlines, it’s lost in Iraq.'”
So, what on earth is Graham talking about now?
I suspect that even he doesn’t know.
Graham’s bark doesn’t seem to have any bite, however. His stern words of warning to the Iraqi government are not accompanied by any repercussions. Time reports Graham “would not elaborate on what kind of plan he would push if the Iraqis fail to meet the deadline.”
Graham’s comments to Time are actually helpful in demonstrating the inanity that dominates so much of the Republicans’ rhetoric about Iraq. Congressional Dems were making the same comments in 2004 and 2005, asking how anyone could possibly justify a continued presence. At the time Graham, like his GOP brethren, condemned Dems for supporting “failure,” “retreat,” “surrender,” and a “cut and run” policy.
Now, Graham is using the Dems’ rhetoric for himself, suggesting there are two principal differences between war critics and war supporters. One, supporters are just a whole lot slower. Two, war critics aren’t willing to back up their talk with action. Indeed, as far as Graham is concerned, what happens when there’s no political progress in Iraq come the end of December? Will he start voting with Dems to change course? Will he support withdrawal timelines? A funding cutoffs?
Of course not.
Let’s not forget this exchange between Graham and Tim Russert on Meet the Press in January.
Graham: We should try to win this war. And the day you say we’re going to withdraw — three months, six months, a year from now — the effect will be that the militants will be emboldened, the moderates will be frozen, and we will have sent the message to the wrong people. Who started this…
Russert: So we’re stuck there forever.
Graham: Well, you stay there with a purpose to win.
In other words, we very well may be stuck there forever, at least as far as Graham is concerned. And if we give Iraq three months to make substantial progress, as Graham suggested to Time that we do, Iraq will deteriorate.
Here’s a wacky idea: maybe the Lindsey Graham of January can chat with the Lindsey Graham of September, who can in turn chat with the Lindsey Graham of October. Once they all figure out what they think about an Iraq policy, he should get back to us.