Latest numbers from Iowa

New data from the Des Moines Register offers poll watchers plenty to mull over. Here’s how the Dems rank in the first caucus state:

Hillary Clinton — 29% (up from 21% in May)
John Edwards — 23% (down from 29%)
Barack Obama — 22% (down from 23%)
Bill Richardson — 8% (down from 10%)
Joe Biden — 5% (up from 3%)
Chris Dodd — 1% (up from less than 1%)
Dennis Kucinich — 1% (down from 2%)
Mike Gravel — less than 1% (down from 1%)

And among Republicans:

Mitt Romney — 29% (down from 30% in May)
Fred Thompson — 18% (up from N/A)
Mike Huckabee — 12% (up from 4%)
Rudy Giuliani — 11% (down from 17%)
John McCain — 7% (down from 18%)
Tom Tancredo — 5% (up from 4%)
Ron Paul — 4% (up from less than 1%)
Alan Keyes — 2% (up from N/A)
Sam Brownback — 2% (down from 5%)
Duncan Hunter — 1% (unchanged)

As for analysis, the Dems’ standings don’t offer too many surprises, though I thought Dodd would be a little better off in Iowa than he is now. Among Republicans, if McCain finishes fifth, that’ll be pretty embarrassing. And Brownback and Hunter should probably reconsider this entire endeavor, now that their numbers in Iowa are on par with Alan Keyes.

Finally! This is the only poll Iowa caucuses I completely trust. But they only do one about every six months — six very looong months for a total poll junkie.

  • Interesting. Re Hillary, most of you know I am not a fan of hers. For the past couple years I do no think I have said more than 2 favorable things about her candidacy here at TCBR. But I really think that the general Democratic voting public sees something in her that they really do not yet see (or see as strongly) in the other candidates–the potential ability to stiffen the spines of the Dem party, particularly the Dems in Congress, and the one with the best ability to move the Dem agenda forward in a somewhat cohesive manner and in a manner that will best withstand GOP BS attacks.

  • I reckon Mayor Mc9/11 is going to get pretty tired of being asked how it feels to be edged out for third by Mike Huckabee before this one fades in the rearview mirror.

  • Huckabee’s rise is significant. With all four frontrunners looking dismal, he might be coming in for an upset — if not in Iowa (with the money difference between him and Romney), then in New Hampshire.

  • I agree with the #4 comment. Look at that huge jump for Huckabee! Incredible. He’s made the most strides of any candidate, finally breaking into the double digits. I’d prepare for much more attention to his campaign in the coming months.

  • There are still many undecided voters, so # 1 today may not be # 1 at the primaries.

    IMHO Hillary is not much different from George. She still supports the war, attacks the Constitution and believes in quid pro quo with lobbyists and corporate “donations”.

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