Admiral William Fallon, head of U.S. Central Command, which oversees military operations in the Middle East, has heard plenty of war-mongering rhetoric from the right when it comes to Iran. In some circles, most notably Rudy Giuliani’s inner circle, the debate is basically over whether to start the bombing raids this morning or this afternoon.
Fallon, after listening to all of this, has come to an important conclusion: it’s not helping. (via TP)
“None of this is helped by the continuing stories that just keep going around and around and around that any day now there will be another war which is just not where we want to go,” he said.
“Getting Iranian behaviour to change and finding ways to get them to come to their senses and do that is the real objective. Attacking them as a means to get to that spot strikes me as being not the first choice in my book.” … Adm Fallon declined to comment specifically on whether the US rhetoric was feeding the speculation, but said that “generally, the bellicose comments are not particularly helpful”.
I wonder if Bush’s repeated references to a new world war with Iran qualify as “bellicose.”
Doesn’t Admiral Fallon understand that Ahmadinejad is Hitler? And that Iran is 1930s Germany? And that today we’re in the midst of World War IV? It’s almost as if the U.S. Central Command chief hasn’t received any of the far-right talking points at all.
Fallon added that while dealing with Iran was a “challenge,” a strike was not “in the offing.” That’s at least mildly encouraging, presuming that Central Command is aware of Dick Cheney’s to-do list.
There’s also a big-picture story that’s worth noting. The Financial Times noted that Fallon’s comments “served as a shot across the bows of hawks who are arguing for imminent action. They also echoed the views of the senior brass that military action is currently unnecessary, and should only be considered as an absolute last resort.”
In other words, the senior brass knows there are conservative policy makers who are itching for another conflict in the Middle East — and they’re not going for it.
Of course, the military structure doesn’t exactly work that way. The president is the commander in chief, there’s civilian control of the Armed Forces, and whether the top brass oppose a foolish attack on Iran or not may not be relevant to the West Wing.
What happens if Bush orders strikes that the generals oppose? Fred Kaplan recently considered the consequences.
From the Joint Chiefs of Staff to U.S. Central Command, most of America’s military leaders have expressed wariness about, if not outright opposition to, the idea of bombing Iran.
So, if President George W. Bush starts to prepare—or actually issues the order—for an attack, what should the generals do? Disobey? Rally resistance from within? Resign in protest? Retire quietly? Or salute and execute the mission?
The appropriateness of military dissent is a hot topic among senior officers these days in conferences, internal papers, and backroom discussions, all of which set off emotional arguments and genuine soul-searching. […]
[I]t’s one thing for a sergeant to disobey a lieutenant in the frenzy of battle. It’s quite another for generals to declare a president’s order “unlawful.” That’s not an act of conscience; it’s a coup d’etat. (There are some circumstances that could confuse the most honorable officer. For instance, in the last weeks of Richard Nixon’s presidency, when Nixon was drinking heavily and teetering on the edge of sanity, Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger directed the Joint Chiefs of Staff to check with him before executing any military orders from the White House. Even then, it’s worth noting, the chain of command was circumvented by the civilian defense secretary, not by the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.)
Outright disobedience of a presidential order, then, is an option that no senior U.S. officer wants even to contemplate — and we should be thankful for that. But in a widely circulated article titled “Knowing When To Salute,” published in the July 2007 newsletter of the Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute, retired Lt. Col. Leonard Wong and retired Col. Douglas Lovelace laid out nine options short of disobedience that a senior officer might take when political leaders resist military advice.
If the situation involves little or no threat to national security, they write, an officer can request reassignment, decline a promotion, or take early retirement.
It’s a fascinating issue. Take a look.