Clinton no longer worried about appearing worried

Ah, the advantages of front-runnerdom. For months, Hillary Clinton enjoyed the benefits of having huge leads in every poll, in every state, leading her to remain largely above the fray. She had no motivation to lash out her Democratic rivals — why bother attacking a candidate who’s losing? — and could remind voters that she was doing her part to keep the race positive and issue-oriented.

Of course, now the race is tightening. Clinton’s lead in Iowa has all but vanished, and her margin in New Hampshire is shrinking quickly. Given this landscape, it’s probably not too big a surprise that Clinton would go negative – but I didn’t expect her to go this negative.

With a new poll showing her losing ground in the Iowa caucus race, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) mounted a new, more aggressive attack against Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) on Sunday, raising direct questions about his character, challenging his integrity and forecasting a sharp debate over those subjects in the days ahead.

Clinton has hammered Obama recently over his health-care proposal, arguing that he is misleading voters because it omits millions of people and would not lower costs. But Sunday, in a dramatic shift, she made it clear that her goal is to challenge Obama not just on policy but also on one of his strongest selling points: his reputation for honesty.

“There’s a big difference between our courage and our convictions, what we believe and what we’re willing to fight for,” Clinton told reporters here. She said voters in Iowa will have a choice “between someone who talks the talk, and somebody who’s walked the walk.”

Asked directly whether she intended to raise questions about Obama’s character, she replied: “It’s beginning to look a lot like that.”

The strategy isn’t hard to understand. Obama’s recent upswing is based, at least in part, on the idea that he’s an honest candidate with integrity. So, instead of targeting Obama where he’s weak (say, years of experience in statewide office), the Clinton campaign is targeting him where he’s strong — an approach to negative campaigning Karl Rove has advocated for years. (This isn’t to compare Clinton to Rove at all; it’s just to note the general trend.)

But attacking a Democratic rival on matters of character is not only rough, it brings with it huge risks.

The new Clinton strategy, acknowledged by her senior advisers as an intentional pivot, carries significant risks and could produce a potential backlash if voters perceive her as growing too negative. The Register’s poll also found that Clinton was seen by Iowa voters as the most negative of the Democratic contenders. […]

Clinton, campaigning across Iowa on Sunday, appeared to be spoiling for a fight with her chief Democratic rival in national polls — even at one point describing the battle as “fun.”

“I have said for months that I would much rather be attacking Republicans, and attacking the problems of our country, because ultimately that’s what I want to do as president. But I have been, for months, on the receiving end of rather consistent attacks. Well, now the fun part starts.”

In a step that seemed unusually cheap for Clinton, her campaign even went after Obama for saying he wanted to be president in kindergarten.

From my perspective, going after Obama on Social Security policy seemed entirely fair. Questioning Obama on healthcare mandates is reasonable and worth discussing. But for Clinton to target another Democrat by questioning his character and challenging his integrity is disconcerting. There’s a decency line that candidates should be cognizant of, and once intentional character attacks become part of a campaign strategy, one starts to get a little too close to that line.

Worse, it looks a little desperate. OK, more than a little. In October, Clinton’s cruising to the nomination, and she doesn’t believe in attacking Dems. In December, Clinton’s struggling, and Obama is of weak character and questionable integrity? C’mon.

For that matter, the desperation seems unnecessary. Clinton is still the front-runner. She’s still leading this race and is the odds-on favorite for the nomination. Lashing out wildly at this stage in the process isn’t likely to do her any favors — Iowa Dems have generally frowned on this style of campaigning.

As for the “fun” line, Obama’s campaign pounced on the opportunity.

That drew a swift rebuke from Obama. “This presidential campaign isn’t about attacking people for fun, it’s about solving people’s problems, like ending this war and creating a universal health care system,” he said in a statement. “Washington insiders might think throwing mud is fun, but the American people are looking for leadership that can unite this country around a common purpose.”

Ben Smith concluded, “I guess it’s safe to say we’ve gotten beyond the point where the Clinton campaign was worried about looking worried.”

What would be just fine with me is if Clinton and Obama got so involved in their steel-cage death match that John Edwards would end up winning in Iowa, and it’s my hope that Edwards can now leave the destruction of Clinton in the candidates’ own capable hands and set his sights on snapping up those voters turned off by the mud-slinging.

  • “Well, now the fun part starts”

    Yeah, watching you go down, along with all your DLC handlers.

    Buh bye.

  • They certainly didn’t ask me, but every instinct tells me this will actually hurt HRC, at least here in Iowa. She should have pounded on experience, and kept up her hits on Obama’s health care and social security plans, and focused on meeting more people in smallish groups (her positives have tended to go up in Iowa when people meet her personally) and on perfecting her caucus organization. I think this is a very bad idea — it also undermines any chance of Obama as a running mate shuld HRC win.

  • …the Clinton campaign is targeting him where he’s strong — an approach to negative campaigning Karl Rove has advocated for years. (This isn’t to compare Clinton to Rove at all; it’s just to note the general trend.)

    Yet you are comparing her tactics to Karl Rove’s!

  • Hillary’s characterization of the questions regarding her policies and her voting record as “rather consistent attacks” sounds uncomfortably close to something that a Republican would say. If this keeps up I look for her campaign to announce that if you criticize her then you don’t support the troops.

  • I’m emphatically with Anne (#1) – have at each other, Hillary and Barak. Maybe a real, principled, traditional Democrat will win Iowa after all.

  • This seems like a fool’s tactic on Clinton’s part, and is more likely to backfire. The Rovian strategy depends on a divided electorate. Democrats certainly have their differences, but we’re not divided in the sense that this sort of thing relies upon.

    The only reason for her to go this route is if she has nothing to lose. Her campaign’s internal polling must be something awful.

  • We’ve all been saying that Hillary is the only moderate Republican running in this election. Why wouldn’t she use Rove’s strategy? I do hope this is the beginning of the implosion.

    (Before the criticisms begin, let me repeat: I will vote for any Democrat over any Republican and don’t vote third party on the national level).

  • Gloves are off. Welcome to a modern presidential-level campaign. Ho hum.

    Look, this is how these things are done these days. Clinton knows what happened to Michael Dukakis, and she’s not going to let it happen to her. Attack her enough, and she’ll hit back, hard.

    I think it was inevitable we’d come to this. Rather than telling us Hillary is the second coming of Rove, this really just says she’s serious about winning, and if that means beating Barack into a pulp, she’ll do it.

    Hey, it’ll give her some practice before she takes on the GOP nominee in the fall.

  • If Hillary does this, she loses my vote for good. The whole point behind putting a democrat in office to stop officeholders from acting like republicans.

  • This is the campaign for the US Presidency, not the Chair of the local Rotarians. Taking the high road isn’t going to work for Obama. Lofty-sounding bromides and assorted ephemera will not change the fact that a few years ago this guy was selling linoleum. If anything, Clinton should have been boxing the mulatto’s ears the day after he lead the pile-on like the punk he obviously is a few weeks back. Let’s see if he really has the stuff to be a real President and not a leftish version of just another wingnut halfass.

  • Oh, for Christs sake… “Now the fun begins” is a figure of speech and every single so-called journalist, every single worker on Obama’s campaign, and every single person on this board knows that.

    That said, it’s particularly ridiculous of her to attack him personally and will definitely backfire.

  • If anything, Clinton should have been boxing the mulatto’s ears the day after he lead the pile-on like the punk he obviously is a few weeks back.

    Stay classy, pal.

    Jen Flowers at #9 has this exactly right. Clinton is the moderate Republican in this race, and the face of the political Establishment on both sides of the partisan divide.

    Note the promised mode of attack: going after Obama’s character. Given what we know about how Iowa works, the preferable route might have been to draw clear policy distinctions–but then, that would mean taking clear policy positions, a non-starter for Our Lady of Perpetual Triangulation.

  • zeitgeist

    About this:

    I think this is a very bad idea — it also undermines any chance of Obama as a running mate shuld HRC win.

    I agree but had the opposite thought. It also means that if Obama wins, Hillary has undermined HER chances of being his running mate, with the advantage of being positioned for the presidency later. If she loses the primary because she turns people off with these personal attacks, I think she loses everything. If John Edwards wins, he isn’t likely to want her, might prefer Obama if the waters don’t get too rough between them personally.

  • Anne (#1) and Ed (#7) get it. Let Hillary and Barack go after each other with the hope that John Edwards pushes both aside.

  • She said voters in Iowa will have a choice “between someone who talks the talk, and somebody who’s walked the walk.”

    Big words for someone whose own rhetoric doesn’t match her voting record, but this still sounds like she’s hitting him on experience, which is a silly argument anyway.

    He has at least as much experience as she does and a great line in his back pocket about how Cheney, Rumsfeld, and Clinton had all the experience in the world but still involved us in a no-end-in-sight quagmire. He wins this issue, and it is probably why she’s so keen to pull away from it.

  • Given what we know about how Iowa works, the preferable route might have been to draw clear policy distinctions–but then, that would mean taking clear policy positions, a non-starter for Our Lady of Perpetual Triangulation.

    It would actually mean HAVING a clear policy distinction from Obama – which she doesn’t have. That’s been Obama’s problem with making policy attacks on Clinton – his policy ideas are not fundamentally different enough from Clinton’s to be able to make an attack on that front. They may have their differences, but their differences only come out in nuance and deep discussion of the issues – they cannot make those distinctions in a 30-second soundbite form.

    This has helped Clinton for a while now – as long as she was in the lead it stymied Obama’s ability to mount an attack on policy grounds and he had to make attacks on character. The whole dynamic exactly reverses when Obama takes the lead – now CLINTON has nothing to attack him on but character because her positions are the same as his. That’s not where she wants to be.

  • A key part of the Rovian strategy that Hill isn’t getting is that attacks need to come from an attack dog, not the candidate him/ herself. If a campaign chair lobbed these stink bombs it would be one thing, but for Hill to get her hands dirty throwing mud takes opinion of her down a notch, at least for me.

  • Hillary has undermined HER chances of being his running mate,

    My guess is Hillary has had enough of being second banana. She doesn’t WANT to be anybody’s running mate. If she loses this race, a career in the Senate is a pretty decent consolation prize.

    now CLINTON has nothing to attack him on but character because her positions are the same as his. That’s not where she wants to be.

    True dat. Still, the Clintons are wily campaigners, and at their best when they are down. Going up against a cornered Clinton isn’t something I’d want to do. Remember she hasn’t sicced the Big Dog on anyone yet.

    Full disclosure: I am NOT a HRC supporter. I’ll probably toss my (once again irrelevant) primary vote to Dodd.

  • anney #15–I see what you’re saying, but I don’t think there was ever much chance of Clinton being anyone’s running mate. As a matter of ego, I don’t think she’d do it, and as a matter of choosing someone who helps the nominee win, I don’t think Obama or Edwards or whoever would ask her.

    If Edwards is the nominee, I think he picks someone whose focus is foreign policy. If it’s Obama, I’d love to see him tap someone like the governor of Arizona, Napolitano (sp?), or maybe Richardson (though he’s been such a lousy presidential candidate that I’m not sure I’d trust him to help in the general election as a #2). But I don’t see any scenario in which Clinton is the VP pick.

    Also, a point I meant to make above about Clinton going negative: her biggest problem thus far has been perception of her personality–cold, vicious, calculating, et al. Attacking her closest opponent doesn’t seem like a tactic that will help on this score.

  • She will do what she can to slice and dice Obama as I would expect any candidate who really wants the prize to do, and which Obama and Edwards have been doing for weeks now. Personal attacks? She has been on the receiving end for weeks. I didnt see anyone say they would stop supporting Obama and/or Edwards because of it. There is nothing Rovian about it by the way. This is the way it has been since before Rove was a dream in his mother’s mind. Fact: negative campaigning works and always has. Just ask Obama.

  • Jammer,

    Can you give me examples of these personal attacks on Clinton that you claim Edwards and Obama have been making for weeks now?

  • Obama’s attributing it to her being under stress is a very interesting comeback. On the surface, it seems reasonable and forgiving, showing an interest in keeping the debate on a higher plane. Under the surface, I have to wonder if it wasn’t designed with the intent to belittle Hillary as a woman. A kind of substitute for saying “it’s that time of the month,” which would no longer apply to HIllary. Which would make it at least as “below the belt” as Hillary’s attack on his character. Which I agree is wrong — not because it’s about character, but because her evidence is so incredibly weak. If those kinds of things pass for evidence, there is far more evidence that Hillary has a character problem, than Obama.

  • Why not compare Hillary to Rove? They’re both lying asswipes who can lie to your face with a smile.

    Watching her get defeated in the primaries is going to be fun.

  • A Clinton raising questions of character creates a wholly new and original level of irony. Hasn’t she ever heard of what people who live in glass houses shouldn’t do?

  • When will Hillary release her kindergarten documents?

    It’s debatable whether or not going on the offensive is going to work for Hillary. But going after kindergarten Obama? It takes the legs out from under her own argument for experience in a candidate. An experienced candidate wouldn’t go after her opponent’s childhood.

  • I thought the same thing as many of you did, a Clinton discussing someone else’s character? Who woulda thunk it? And she hasn’t really been personally attacked by Obama and Edwards, there points were more about policy differences than personal attacks. Her response to them at the last debate signaled she felt they were personal attacks when she accused Edwards of mud-slinging. He rightly pointed out he was talking policy differences. Or her lack of specific policy perhaps.

    SB, I don’t understand why you pulled back from comparing Clinton to Rove, this is half-pure Rove. Though his tactic is a bit more refined and insiduous, attack your opponents strength and accuse him of your biggest weaknesses. I.e., John Keery, Max Cleland and John McCain are not heros and can’t be trusted to be C-I-C. Al Gore is a seriel exagerator, and nothing out of your mouth is a truth. You get the idea. Yea, this is pure Rove. And in Iowa at least, I hope it jumps up an bites her on the ass.

  • I think the Edwards supporters who think Barack’s response is going to hurt him are fooling themselves. The potential backlash for Hillary comes because she’s so bluntly questioning another person’s character.

    Obama and Edwards have been drawing policy distinctions that implicitly call Hill’s character and honesty into question, without coming out and saying, flatly, “she has no character/she’s a liar and a crook/etc”

    While the media and even bloggers were wringing their hands over how subtle Obama’s “attacks” were, they were obviously working, not backfiring on him in Iowa.

    His responses have been the same. Joking about the kindergarden attack (Bill Burton said something like, “tomorrow they’ll accuse him of being a flip-flopper for telling his 2nd grade teacher he wants to be an astronaut”) or otherwise dismissing the attacks as “old” politics in response to bad polls…is not going “negative”. That’s not the stuff that turns voters off.

    If Obama responded by saying, “well, that’s just how Hillary is, she loves to attack other people, and I think that’s a serious character flaw” well, then, that would backfire I think.

    But his campaign is being smart about this.

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