Tuesday’s campaign round-up

Today’s installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn’t generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:

* The post-primary “bounce” is modest but noticeable for Barack Obama. Gallup now has Obama leading John McCain by six, 48% to 42%, while Rasmussen also has Obama leading by the same margin, 50% to 44%.

* Given that Elizabeth Edwards has been underwhelmed by Obama’s healthcare plan, I found this encouraging: “Thirty minutes into his speech, Obama interrupted his prepared remarks and pointed to the wife of his former Democratic rival to declare his intention of her role. ‘I’m going to be partnering up with Elizabeth Edwards — we’re going to be figuring all this out,’ Obama said when addressing his proposed reform to the health care system.”

* More intra-party reconciliation talk: “The reconciliation process between the upper echelons of the Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaigns has already begun, as advisers and fundraisers look for areas of commonalty in a somewhat disjointed party.”

* On a related note, Obama strategist David Axelrod was asked whether Clinton would hit the campaign trail for the Democratic nominee. “We hope so,” Axelrod said. “We expect so, based on what she said publicly. But this has been an unbelievably grueling process and she deserves some time to chill out.”

* The Clinton campaign’s debts are not just burdensome, they’re record-breaking.

* Yesterday, McCain screwed up and called Vladimir Putin the “president of Germany.” First, it’s Russia. Second, Putin is prime minister, not president.

* A trend to watch: “For years, Republican candidates have counted on mainline Protestants for support, but a poll conducted for Calvin College shows that religious group shifting more toward the Democratic Party. For the first time since the beginning of Franklin Roosevelt’s administration, a larger percentage of mainline Protestants call themselves Democrats than Republicans, the national survey commissioned by the Paul B. Henry Institute for the Study of Christianity and Politics at Calvin College found.”

* E. J. Dionne Jr. talks up Joe Biden for VP.

* The Obama campaign is poised to unveil the “Joshua Generation Project,” which reportedly is intended to “attract younger Evangelicals and Catholics to their campaign.”

* Good news in Alaska, Part I: Rep. Don Young (R) “trails former state Rep. Ethan Berkowitz, his likely Democratic opponent, by a 20-point margin – 58 to 38 percent. A 52 percent majority of voters said they held a negative opinion of Young, while Berkowitz holds strong favorable ratings.”

* Good news in Alaska, Part II: “A recent poll shows Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich leading incumbent Ted Stevens in the U.S. Senate race. The survey found 51 percent of those responding would vote for Begich in November’s general election, compared to 44 percent who said they would back Stevens.”

* I didn’t really expect fist-bumping to become the signature greeting of the presidential campaign, but here we are.

* State Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) looks to be in very good shape in Missouri’s gubernatorial race.

* And NRSC Chair John Ensign is setting very low expectations for his party this year, setting the bar for “success” at losing “only” eight seats: “Ensign pointed out that if the Dems win nine seats they’ll get to the filibuster-proof magic number of 60 — at which point, Ensign warned, ‘they will be able to do pretty much whatever they want.’ So if the Dems can’t get to a 60-seat super-majority, the GOP will have won.”

I’ve even seen some cyber-fistbumps here on The Carpetbagger Report. It’s catching on.

The wingnuts think that fist-bumpers are terrorists. Let’s keep them riled up about it.

  • I wonder what HRC thinks about Obama’s joining forces with Elizabeth Edwards on health care?

  • That mistaking German leaders and Russian leaders can be dangerous to more than your electoral health.

    Give Chancellor Merkel an awkward, unwanted backrub and you get a scowl.

    Give PM Putin an awkward, unwanted backrub and you may find polonium mysteriously crossing your path.

    + + +

    On an unrelated subject, Ensign should probably set the bar a little higher. If we get to 59, we have a word with Ms. Snowe of Maine about whether she really wants to be part of a purely obstructionst approach to governing and be on the wrong side of history, or whether she’d like this lovely little committee chair. . .

  • * Yesterday, McCain screwed up and called Vladimir Putin the “president of Germany.”

    I guess there’s nothing like Senator McMusical-Chairs and his grasp on reality. Now all I need to do is sit back and see who bitch-slaps his campaign first—ol’ Vlad the Gulag-nator, or Angie Merkel….

  • E. J. Dionne Jr. talks up Joe Biden for VP.

    SadOldVet says NO to sitting senators! We need them in the senate, including the esteemed Hillary Clinton…

    SadOldVet talks up Janet Napalitano for VP.

    A pick that makes much more sense! A popular 2nd term governor who could positively impact the southwest, including Arizona. Wouldn’t it be wonderful if Obama-Napalitano carried Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Montana, and a Dakota to go with the west coast states!

    Napalitano, a former U.S. Attorney General, could assist in bringing the Constitution and the rule of law back to the White House. A person who brings ‘law & order’ credentials to the ticket.

    A female who would be young enough to run for president in 2016!

    I hope to live to the age of 90! In those next 30 years, I believe that we can have had our 2nd non-white president and our 2nd female president and that race and gender can become non-factors to the electorate!

    Can others provide reasons for/against Napalitano? Enquiring minds want to know!

  • “Yesterday, McCain screwed up and called Vladimir Putin the “president of Germany.” First, it’s Russia. Second, Putin is prime minister, not president.”

    Dear John McCain,

    Please do not read any books or magazines, watch any news, ask any questions, or use the internet tubes to do “a Google” prior to November 2008. Your lack of a clue has left me salivating, imagining Obama correcting you at every turn at Town Hall meeting after meeting.

    Looking for a napkin to wipe my chin,
    L.D.

  • I think the Elizabeth Edwards comment was a great move. It signals fans of Clinton’s plan that he is willing to move that direction without having to come out and say it. Also, Elizabeth Edwards is very popular and respected on this issue in Democratic circles so she brings a certain amount of clout.

  • we have a word with Ms. Snowe of Maine about whether she really wants to be part of a purely obstructionst approach to governing and be on the wrong side of history, or whether she’d like this lovely little committee chair. . .

    It will never, never, happen.
    Not in a million years.
    She’s married to the state’s last Republican governor.
    She is the state Republican party.
    And she has one of the five safest seats in the Senate.
    There’s absolutely no reason for her to change. If she wanted to be a bigger noise than Queen of Maine, she’d have jumped years ago, when Jeffords did.

  • Wouldn’t you love to be the fly on the wall when Angela Merkel talks privately about American Republicans?

  • Can others provide reasons for/against Napalitano? Enquiring minds want to know!

    The “for” position is pretty easy – she’s strong, impressive, bright and from a great location – and you’ve already made that case. Here is the other side:

    1) Very risky trying to overcome that much history: if the racists and the sexists are highly motivated to vote McCain, that may be a lot of ground to make up. Moreover, I think it would hurt, not help, with HRC supporters who would likely say “if it is going to be a woman, our candidate has earned the right to be the one.”

    2) Inherent in being Governor of Arizona is the need to be pragmatic and realistic about immigration policy. As a result, looked at closely Napalitano has likely had to take positions/actions that upset both the right and the left. Immigration is likely to be a big issue in the fall.

    3) Virtually no national recognition means the average voter will see this as a ticket of two inexperienced candidates. It would shore up a potential concern about Obama to have a little seasoning covering his back (I remain somewhat of a Clark for VP guy) if we can do it without robbing the Senate.

  • As an indicator of the fundraising getting cross-over support, my good friend David wrote me about it (news on the ground if you will)

    From: David Plouffe, BarackObama.com
    To: Dale xxxxx
    Date: Tue Jun 10 07:48:36 2008

    Untitled Document

    Dear Dale, I have some news that I wanted you to hear. People like you have been the heart of Chairman Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy to rebuild our party and empower Democrats to compete everywhere. We’ve all seen the energy and enthusiasm at the grassroots level impact races up and down the ballot over the last three years. I am proud to announce that our presidential campaign will be the first in a generation to deploy and maintain staff in every single state. The network of volunteers and the infrastructure built up during the historic primary season — on behalf of all the Democratic campaigns — have given us an enormous and unprecedented opportunity in the general election. Now it’s time to expand our network and push our organizing resources even further. No matter where you live, our success this November will depend on your involvement. Sign up to join our campaign now, and we’ll make sure you’re aware of all the latest news and opportunities to make a difference: http://my.barackobama.com/getinvolved Of course, some states will be more competitive than others, and we will scale our resources accordingly. But your work building our party means that the list of competitive states will be longer than ever before — and it will include states like Virginia and Montana where your work has helped a Democratic resurgence at the state level. And in every single state, no matter what the likelihood that we carry it in the fall, our staff will build volunteer capacity that will provide help where we need it and impact races up and down the ballot this November. Every day counts — voters head to the polls in less than five months. This is your opportunity to shape this election and our unprecedented 50-state campaign now: http://my.barackobama.com/getinvolved Thanks to your support, we are on our way to building an unprecedented organization for the November elections.

  • DXM – i’m not picky. Collins works just as well.

    (and of course, Chaffee was “the Republican party” in his state – right up until he wasn’t)

  • Patrick said:
    >>

    “Does anyone think Lieberman is going to switch parties?”

    I, for one, fervently desire that he not be given an option by the democratic party – just a 1-way ticket to nowhere!

  • * I didn’t really expect fist-bumping to become the signature greeting of the presidential campaign, but here we are.

    See that look in Easley’s eyes? I think Obama is going to get lucky tonight. 🙂

    Poor Danp–missed making history by one letter.

  • Got to think McCain has had a mini stroke about a month ago — I don’t think he had a history of making these kinds of mistakes before.

    Obama’s speech at the end of the Joshua Project link made me think that he was distinctly talking to young black evangelicals, because he prefaces it all with the marches that led to his being able to be here today, calling those who participated the Moses generation, and then saying there’s still 10% of the work to be done. To me, the speech sounded like he was asking younger African-Americans to do the other 10% for racial equality. Aside from the use of religious terminology, it didn’t strike me as about religion or as having a message about anything other than African-American civil rights. Maybe the clip of it just takes it out of context, but those paragraphs didn’t sound in keeping with the supposed goals.

  • Lil John Henry he said to Sue,
    If I was fist-bumpin’ would you fist-bump too
    Sue told John, “I’m thirty two,
    I was fist-bumpin ever since I was two
    They was fist-bumpin’, they was fist-bumpin’
    They was fist-bumpin”, we fist-bumpin’

  • “Does anyone think Lieberman is going to switch parties?”

    I’d rather seen him shown the door…or kicked throw it. My guess is he’ll keep his ear to the ground. If the senate races look like they fall to the Democrats he’ll try to hang on, but if it looks like the Republicans can keep it as close as it stands now, he’ll jump. If the Democrats do increase their majority I think they’ll toss him out.

    Janet Napalitano for VP, my concern is also that she’s not a national figure.

  • Does anyone think Lieberman is going to switch parties?

    From Independent to Republican? Probably.

    Poor Danp–missed making history by one letter. -Dale

    Nah, it’s just an upgrade: dignity and national pride. After all, our country is on track to make us very proud. Obama ’08!

  • We had a good shot at 60 a couple of months ago — but it looked like we needed a lot of things to break our way. But back then people thought McConnell, Cornyn and Stevens were ‘safe’ Republican seats. Now just about every Republican Senate seat is ‘in play’ and even Ensign’s ‘low expectations’ might be very optimistic.

  • Nah, it’s just an upgrade: dignity and national pride. After all, our country is on track to make us very proud. Obama ‘08!

    Yeah that works. Whew, spared the dustbin of history after all.

  • I like Joe Biden as a person and a senator but he is definitely not VP material, any more than his multiple attempts to get the nomination showed him to be presidential timber.

    Napolitano would be a great choice, among others. I saw some clips of her online and she seems to be a good speaker and have a lot of energy, which are both good qualities for any politician to have. Plus, most people base their ultimate vote on the main candidate not the backup, especially this time around, so her relative lack of national recognition wouldn’t necessarily be a deal breaker.

    That said, there’s quite a pool of talent for the job out there and Obama has good people working out the pros and cons of all the possibilities, so I’m confident that whoever he picks will be fine one way or the other.

    Except Joe Biden. 😉

  • SadOldVet #5: “Can others provide reasons for/against Napalitano? Enquiring minds want to know!”

    On the plus side, she’s a rocking vocalist for Concrete Blonde.

    Wait, that’s Johnette Napolitano.

  • Dale (15): I think Obama is going to get lucky tonight.
    Poor Danp–missed making history by one letter.

    I’m beginning to feel lucky. 🙂

  • Regarding Janet Napolitano . . . umm, doesn’t everyone realize the inherent risk in picking a middle-aged unmarried woman with short hair and a basso-profundo voice? I couldn’t care less as to what Gov. Napolitano’s sexual orientation truly is, but as we all know, perception is everything in politics, and if our country has trouble with the idea of a minority or a woman on a national ticket, you know that it won’t go over too well to have a potentially lesbian candidate for VP!

    (Speaking of which– please stop with the Obama “getting lucky” jokes about male politicians. You realize that you’re doing Rove’s work for him when you make those types of jokes. Remember, the right feminized our ticket in ’04, which was part of why we lost).

  • i think Grump is on the right track.

    i think Johnette Napolitano would be awesome on the ticket.

    Now I just need Former Dan to show up with re-written lyrics, turning “Joey” into “Johnny.” 🙂

  • …the inherent risk in picking a middle-aged unmarried woman with short hair and a basso-profundo voice? -The Caped Composed

    Fine. Secretary of State, then. 🙂

  • * Yesterday, McCain screwed up and called Vladimir Putin the “president of Germany.” First, it’s Russia. Second, Putin is prime minister, not president.

    Is it possible that McCain has become unstuck in time and is continuously shuffling between parallel universes? Because a lot of what he says doens’t really make sense in our universe…

  • Yesterday, McCain screwed up and called Vladimir Putin the “president of Germany.” First, it’s Russia. Second, Putin is prime minister, not president.

    It’s just a matter of verb tense. Elect Obama and see what he means.

  • Comments are closed.