Newsweek giveth, and Newsweek taketh away

I wasn’t especially excited when Newsweek said Barack Obama enjoyed a 15-point lead over John McCain three weeks ago, and I’m not especially discouraged now that Newsweek shows Obama leading by three now.

A month after emerging victorious from the bruising Democratic nominating contest, some of Barack Obama’s glow may be fading. In the latest NEWSWEEK Poll, the Illinois senator leads Republican nominee John McCain by just 3 percentage points, 44 percent to 41 percent. The statistical dead heat is a marked change from last month’s NEWSWEEK Poll, where Obama led McCain by 15 points, 51 percent to 36 percent.

Obama’s rapid drop comes at a strategically challenging moment for the Democratic candidate. Having vanquished Hillary Clinton in early June, Obama quickly went about repositioning himself for a general-election audience — an unpleasant task for any nominee emerging from the pander-heavy primary contests and particularly for a candidate who’d slogged through a vigorous primary challenge in most every contest from January until June. Obama’s reversal on FISA legislation, his support of faith-based initiatives and his decision to opt out of the campaign public-financing system left him open to charges he was a flip-flopper. In the new poll, 53 percent of voters (and 50 percent of former Hillary Clinton supporters) believe that Obama has changed his position on key issues in order to gain political advantage.

The news wasn’t all bad for Obama. The same poll showed that 61% of his backers support him “strongly,” while for McCain, the numbers are reversed — 61% of his backers don’t support him “strongly.”

The number to keep an eye on, though, was the switch among independents: “In the new poll, McCain leads Obama among independents 41 percent to 34 percent, with 25 percent favoring neither candidate. In June’s NEWSWEEK Poll, Obama bested McCain among independent voters, 48 percent to 36 percent.”

This, frankly, seems hard to believe. I know the media/McCain attacks about Obama’s alleged “flip-flops” have been an aggressive part of the discourse, but it’s just not realistic to think there’s been this big a swing among independents in such a short time.

Indeed, if the Newsweek poll felt like an outlier in June because Obama’s lead appeared too big, this latest Newsweek poll also feels like an outlier because his lead is too small.

The latest Gallup numbers, for example, show Obama leading by six, 48% to 42%, his biggest margin in a month.

And the latest CNN Poll of polls has Obama up by eight, 49% to 41%. “Obama’s lead has grown a bit over the course of the past month. It is still relatively slim, but it is certainly solid,” CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. “The burden is on McCain to find a way to shake things up as we enter the traditional summer doldrums.”

And the latest Pew Research Center poll has Obama up by eight, 48% to 40%.

The moral of the story: polls are going to show some fluctuations. Don’t take them too seriously.

Post Script: And by the way, the same Newsweek poll added this:

Twelve percent of voters surveyed said that Obama was sworn in as a United States senator on a Qur’an, while 26 percent believe the Democratic candidate was raised as a Muslim and 39 percent believe he attended an Islamic school as a child growing up in Indonesia. None of these things is true.

To my mind, there are only a couple of ways Obama can lose in November. The preponderance of foolish people who believe nonsense is one of them.

The preponderance of foolish people who believe nonsense is one of them.

Given that it was the fools and the morons who gave us the most foolish moron to ever be President, this shouldm’t be “one of them” but should be “the main one.”

  • The Newsweek, and to a lesser extent, Time polls have been the most insanely volatile ones since the 1992 election, which is when I first followed them. Ergo, I kind of ignore them. When the June poll came out, people like Nate Poblano and Mark Blumenthal used many polite euphemism for “this publication’s polls suck.”
    My personal suspicion is that Newsweek polls have an uncanny tendency to mirror whatever story line Howard Fineman, et. al. are pushing in the issue in which the poll appears.

  • I’m not especially interested in these general “which candidate do you support” kind of polls. Gives us something to blog about, I suppose, but they aren’t really news. The constant re-sampling creates the illusion of a footrace to win the election and it’s not a race. A better metaphor would be a trial: to write about it as if the candidates were presenting a case over the next few months and on Election Day we will hand in our verdict.

  • Why is the pollster asking such foolish questions as Did Obama attend a madrassa and Did Obama swear in on a bible or Quran? Are they asking such questions about McCain? That kind of crap can affect a poll.

    The CNN poll of polls, btw, must include the other Newsweek poll at +15, so it’ll come down a bit when it’s replaced with this new one.

    I remember Newsweek well from 2004 as well — it was always the one to swing up and down the most, apparently overly sensitive to whatever blip is happening in the moment. The same thing is obviously happening again.

  • Not only does Obama not provide pay equity for his senate staff, here is his take on Bernie Mac’s jokes about menopause at a recent fundraiser (jokes that reportedly caused members of the audience to heckle and complain):

    “We can’t afford to be divided by race. We can’t afford to be divided by region or by class and we can’t afford to be divided by gender, which by the way, that means, Bernie, you’ve got to clean up your act next time,” Obama said. “This is a family affair. By the way, I’m just messing with you, man.”

    So, Obama views sexism as divisive, not wrong, just divisive. And he implies that the problem with Mac’s joke was that families were present, not that it was inherently offensive. The joke would have been fine if it were before a different audience, such as one full of sexists? Is it just the fact that the joke was told at his fundraiser that makes it problematic, not the attitude toward women that it exemplifies?

    What are we to make of the “By the way, I’m just messing with you, man.”? Can Obama really not tell one of his celebrity supporters to stop making sexist jokes about menopause at his fundraiser without taking back the criticism at the end? Was he “just messing” with Bernie Mac — didn’t he mean it?

    Women are clearly being sold out by this candidate who doesn’t have the spine to stick up for them, even at a fundraiser before a sympathetic audience, already heckling and booing Mac for what he said. Obama is clearly trying to placate the upset contributors without also rocking the boat with the sexists in the crowd, the folks who think being nice to women makes you less of a man. As the article about this went on to reassure us, Obama is clearly a “man’s man”.

    This stinks. CB is obviously unconcerned by Obama’s treatment of his own staff, as are others here who made no response whatsoever to Mabelle’s complaint yesterday about pay inequities, except to call for sourcing. Now that I have posted the sourcing for Mabelle’s comment and it comes from valid sources, why don’t all you so-called progressives support women on this issue? Clinton did. Even McCain cares enough about it to make sure he isn’t discriminating against women in his own staff office — because he knows someone will check and, unlike Obama, he wouldn’t want to look like a sexist pig just to show he’s a man’s man.

    Go ahead, call me crazy for thinking that a candidate should do more than just talk about women’s issues. Tell me how putting Sibelius on the ticket or paying off Clinton’s campaign debt will bring pay and job equity to Obama’s senate staff office or make him less squeamish about speaking up for women when his own campaign is making sexist jokes. Maybe it is time for Obama to visit another African American church and lecture them about treating their wives better. Hypocrites!

  • Hey, at least Newsweek said

    None of these things is true.

    instead of the more usual

    Some Democrats allege that none of these things is true.

    That’s progress, of a sort.

  • obama has shown himself to be just another lying shill – independents (and most of America) does not support telecom immunity.

    He sold us out – is it any surprise he took a hit at the polls. Maybe you obamabots want to proclaim we need to support democrats in name only, but repugs and independents (and REAL progressives, not the faux “advertise liberally” circle-jerk) will vote on issues.

    obama fails there – supported destruction of constitution, does not support universal healthcare, has already launched attacks on social security, is backtracking on ending iraq war, is picking up the propaganda against iran, and genuflects to israel.

    He will lose the general and America will be better off for it. That is the only way we can hold democrats responsible for REAL change and not lies and obfuscation.

  • In case you missed this in the Equal Pay for Equal Work thread, here it is again.

    According to MSN Money:

    http://moneycentral.msn.com/community/message/thread.asp?board=PoliticsandtheMarkets&threadid=711674&boardname=Hide&header=SearchOnly&footer=Show&linktarget=_parent&pagestyle=money1

    “On average, women working in Obama’s Senate office were paid at least $6,000 below the average man working for the Illinois senator. That’s according to data calculated from the Report of the Secretary of the Senate, which covered the six-month period ending Sept. 30, 2007. Of the five people in Obama’s Senate office who were paid $100,000 or more on an annual basis, only one — Obama’s administrative manager — was a woman.

    The average pay for the 33 men on Obama’s staff (who earned more than $23,000, the lowest annual salary paid for non-intern employees) was $59,207. The average pay for the 31 women on Obama’s staff who earned more than $23,000 per year was $48,729.91. (The average pay for all 36 male employees on Obama’s staff was $55,962; and the average pay for all 31 female employees was $48,729. The report indicated that Obama had only one paid intern during the period, who was a male.)”

    The $11,000 Mabelle referred to yesterday comes from comparing the average for males of $59,207 to the average for females of $48,729.91.

    That stinks! The right is plastering this all over the place because, as Mabelle noted, both Clinton and McCain manage to pay their staffs equitably. Why can’t Obama?

    One of the conservative papers points out that the positions must be comparable to claim that there is an inequity. That is wrong because if we assume the positions are not comparable, then the numbers suggest that Obama is hiring men for the higher paying, presumably more responsible positions and bypassing women for such positions. That conclusion is supported by the fact that only his office administrator makes over $100,000 whereas the remaining people who do so are all male. Are we to conclude that Obama cannot find qualified women in Washington DC? Here we are back to McCain’s contention that women need more education and training, except it is Obama exemplifying that old canard.

  • Way to deal with the issue itself! You’re right. This election is all about me.

    Maybe all the complaints about women’s issues are caused by silly women who have menopause and women who have no sense of humor, who all have a hurt on for all men, especially good ones like Obama.

    Why would anyone possibly have a hurt on for Obama? He’s only ever been kind and good and nice and smart and tall and…

  • Must…follow…Obama…blindly…must…follow…Obama

    Must…not…think…about…actions…must…listen…to…pretty…words…

  • I was in a bank yesterday and HUSSEIN Obama came on and everybody booed.
    And this was in liberal NY.

    The fact is that Newsweak poll from 2 weeks ago was so biased, it was a joke.
    And that PEW poll is old – 2 weeks ago as well.
    The CNN “poll” is a combination of polls and it should go down when this Newsweek poll replaced the old one – and they count that INCORRECT LA TIMES poll.

    Trust me. We Hillary supporters will choose McCain in November.

  • Mary – you asked for ideas about what blogs to read – here are some sites that actually stand for REAL progressive/liberal ideas and not self-promotion and distractions that hijack the rich tradition of progressive/liberal politics in the United States.

    Yes, these sites even post stories about labor and economic issues that affect most working Americans. More important, they address the root causes of socio-economic injustice that is behind EVERY other issue we blog about (something flamed and banned at the faux “advertise liberally” circle-jerk):

    http://www4.gregpalast.com (a real journalist, not just a stooge that plays one on TV or the blogosphere)

    http://www.inthesetimes.com

    http://socialistworker.org

    http://www.wsws.org

    http://www.alternet.org

  • Trust me. We Hillary supporters will choose McCain in November.

    Of course you will. Because you’re not Democrats, you’re Republicans.

  • Thank you Doe.

    I am hearing crickets here from the regular commenters, who are apparently all over in the thread about McCain’s divorce.

  • @mary,

    I’ve been enjoying this site for a long time and I was worried when I first read your posting on this as a female myself, I’m concerns with may woman’s rights issues.

    I first followed your link to MSN thinking that’s an interesting article, only to find out it’s a forum with a user posting a link to CNS News site. I first thought CBS vs CNS News and realized my mistake. I clicked the link the user posted on the forum only to find a NON EXISTING page. I’m not be able to find on CNS news link of the original article which you seem to quote from.

    THEN from there, I’m curious who is CNS?

    From wikipedia:

    Here’s another thing about CNS news

    I also find out that CNS news also tried to attack Rep. John P. Murtha questioning his war medals: http://www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com/archives/16173.html#more-16173

    So I’m suppose to take this site seriously on their research on Obama?

    Nice.

  • Oops, missing text from wikipedia, my apologies:

    Cybercast News Service (also CNSNews.com) is a conservative news website operated by the Media Research Center.

    Critics likened the CNS article to the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth attacks on the war record of Democrat John Kerry during the 2004 presidential campaign as another example of conservatives attempting to discredit the military credentials of Democrats in order to blunt their criticism of the Iraq war.[11]

  • Sorry, Ken, I am a Democrat supporting McCain this November.

    Why?

    HUSSEIN Obama RAPED Hillary for months. He ran the most SEXIST campaign ever.

    Screw HUSSEIN Obama. Payback.

  • Donna

    I’m disappointed in Obama myself, but you are seriously nuts to claim that Obama’s primary campaign was a rape of Hillary and sexist. Get over it. Vote as you wish. We all will

  • Donna, your screaming Obama’s middle names in capital letters over and over sends too subtle and ambiguous a message for us to be able to decode it. What could you possibly mean? Does anyone have any idea what Donna could mean?

  • I think he took a hit on FISA, even though, he really had to vote for it, and I believe as Commander in Chief he will revisit it. He took the heat for all the dems who caved to Bush, once again. He can’t change the way Washington works until he is the President. As Senator, he has only one vote, and he did vote against retroactive immunity. As President he will get us out of Iraq, get us universal healthcare and implement an energy pollicy that will finally get us off our dependency on foreign oil. He will also restore our standing in the world. If he does these things, he will have put our country back on track. This is why I support him and am voting for him. The ACLU is bringing suit as they should. I hope they win. But holding BO to some unreallistic standard at this point is childish and unrealilstic.

  • […] both Clinton and McCain manage to pay their staffs equitably […] — Mary, @9

    Could you point me to the sources which would back that statement? Also to some dissection — similar to the one in your quote — backed with numbers (ie how many female staffers vs how many male staffers, what their positions and pay are)?

    Because, when I tried to search for “McCain’s Senate office+female staff+equal pay”, all I got was the same article you have quoted, repeated multiple times. Not being a very adept “web-naut”, I don’t know how else to find data supporting your claims (which is why I didn’t even try for Clinton’s Senate office composition)

  • I am not worried considering the fact that the template for demographics being polled , still leaves out key groups of voters. Youth , African Americans and Latinos , continue to be underpolled and they make up a huge part of Obamas base. So, I’m not worried at all.

  • Uh, Donna? Wake up. Obama’s middle name really isn’t the issue here, and not sure why exactly you think it’s important unless you’re trying to make some racist statement or breed fear or something. But to call his political victory over Hillary a rape is just plain crazy…not to mention insulting to women everywhere who have to live with the reality or threat of sexual violence. Way to trivialize rape.

    As for voting for McCain as “payback” to Obama, think again. Your payback harms others way more than Obama, especially current and future generations of women.

  • 1. Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll has it Obama up by 1 point and Gallup dipped to Obama up by 4 points today, so Newsweek’s 3-point Obama lead is right on the money.

    2. As for the many who believe Obama was raised as a Muslim child, they are correct until he was age 10, at least. An LA Times investigation found witnesses in Indonesia who saw Obama attend mosque on Friday nights with his Muslim stepfather Lolo. He was registered as a Muslim at Indonesia public school where he took classes in reading the Koran aloud in Arabic. Obama has said he first became a Christian at age 26 when in 1988 he joined Trinity — a Christian church that sells Nation of Islam DVDs.

  • As Senator, he has only one vote, and he did vote against retroactive immunity. — anita preer, @24

    a) Retroactive immunity amendments were dead ducks before they even hatched; even I knew it and I’m not a politician. So, voting “yea” for those was just so much empty posturing, unless you also voted “no” for the main bill (like people like Dodd and Feingold and Boxer and Clinton and Durbin and several others)

    b) As far as I’m concerned, retroactive immunity was only a part of the main FISA “fix” and not even the most important one.

    I, for one, don’t like the idea of being on a “party line” (I think that’s what it’s called in US? We called it “shared line”, when I was growing up in Poland), where the second person on the same line — on all lines in this country — is an agent of my government. Been there, done that, didn’t like it then, don’t like it now. I may not have anything to hide — didn’t have then, either, or not much — but the *idea* is still abhorrent.

    I’ll vote for Obama but only because the alternative is even worse, not because I believe he’ll give me a pony, much less decent healthcare, quick pullout from Iraq, and reversal of the — alarming — global warming trends. I did believe him on some of those or, at least, believed he’d try. Now, I don’t know what to think about his trustworthiness.

  • But wait. I thought Obama DID attend “an Islamic school as a child growing up in Indonesia,” not that there’s anything wrong with that. Obama wrote in Dreams Of My Father, “In Indonesia, I’d spent 2 years at a Muslim school, 2 years at a Catholic school.”

  • I FEEL SO BETRAYED!!!

    After the powerful primary rhetoric of Obama, then betrayal. Rejecting federal; campaign financing, FISA? NAFTA? Faith based initiatives, ETC. The most recent betrayal is opposing English as our national language.

    “You will know them by their fruits. Do men gather grapes from thorn bushes or figs from thistles? Even so, every good tree bears good fruit, but a bad tree bears bad fruit. A good tree cannot bear bad fruit, nor can a bad tree bear good fruit. Every tree that does not bear good fruit is cut down and thrown into the fire. Therefore, by their fruits you will know them.” (Matthew 7: 16-20)

    WHEN YOU CANNOT BE BEATEN OUT IN THE OPEN BY FORCE OF REASON, YOU CAN BE BEATEN BY HAVING YOU DESTROY YOURSELF!!! THAT IS HAPPENING NOW WITH THESE BETRAYALS. WHO IS ADVISING OBAMA ON THESE DISASTROUS BETRAYING MOVES?

    Further, by means of the cadre of advisers he is choosing in the face of the above disastrous decisions, he is clearly being sandbagged by CORPORATIST interests. There are no more liberals or conservatives or republicans or democrats. THERE ARE ONLY PRO CORPORATE AND ANTI-CORPORATE FORCES AND INFLUENCES THAT WILL DETERMINE THE ELECTION OUTCOME IN NOVEMBER. GOD SAVE US FROM CORPORATIONS.

    Corporations are not merely misguided, incorrect, or even selfish and greedy. THEY ARE CORE ROT EVIL, EVIL TO THE CORE.

    So Obama is confused about the rapid decline in his support? He ain’t seen nothing yet. I cannot and will not vote for a betrayer. That is what I thought Obama was against, and that is why I had planned to vote for him.

  • I’m still shocked that people are running with the Obama-is-a-flip-flopper nonsense. That John McCain (who has shifted position on dozens of issues) has the nerve to attack Obama on this is a sad sign of how little accountability the mainstream media truly has. They should be holding McCain’s feet to the fire on this….

  • Polls at 5 months out from the election are interesting, but not necessarily indicative how well a candidate will do. I believe Barak Hussein Obama will do better than John Linsay McCain in the General election. McCain is a gaffe a day candidate. He has flip flopped on policy issues 61 times and counting, this election season. Shall we nickname him the “rubber band man” for bouncing all over? ^_^ Obama does a good job of staying on message and lets face it-the Democrats offer better solutions for today’s and the futures problems. Republicans have been winning for the last 8 years by having a better attack machine. Take that away, and like the tale of the emperor with no clothes, the Republican message has no solutions for the middle class. The rich will benefit, so if you earn more than $250,000 a year, Republicans are better for you tax wise. . Every time the Republicans raise those bitter comments, Democrats will raise the nation of whiners that are in a mental recession comment.

    When it comes to family values, Obama has McCain beat hands down. Obama is married to his first wife and has adorable children. McCain married his second wife before the divorce to the first one was final-is he living in sin? His second wife and her family connections played a major role in getting his political career started.

    Lastly, Obama is a christian. Nuff said.

  • “To my mind, there are only a couple of ways Obama can lose in November. The preponderance of foolish people who believe nonsense is one of them.”

    CLASSIC liberal arrogance!!! keep it up dude!

  • Obama’s declining poll numbers may be because I am not the only former Obama supporter who has awakened fully, and now sees that Obama DOES have more than one face.HIs reversal on public financing was NOT severe enough to stop being a supporter, his reversal on FISA was a shocker to me. I unsubscribed from his website, and completely stopped ANY $$$(small as it may have been) from going to the Obama campaign given his reaction to General Clark’s well-reasoned, principled statement regarding John McBush’s qualifications for the Presidency..Obama showed he TOO can become weakkneed, but this time, it was the wrong moment to do so..I plan on sitting out this election, or -at best- write in Hillary’s name…..I have had enough of these politicians…Obama an agent for change..??…Me-thinks NOT

  • The same newsweek that had Obama by 19 in the Pa primary, the week before?

    clinton won it by 10, excuse me, 9.2%.

    Soem reality about the polls-
    if a poll has Obama by 50, or within 50 if you add moe, the poll is wrong.
    if a poll has McCain below 40, the poll is wrong.

    Obama has a tangible lead 3-5 pts, but the undecideds are at least 10%. If he was already in the 50 range, he wouldn’t be flopping to the middle.

  • Come on people this election is too important to continue dwelling on who did what to who. It is time to look at the big picture. Time for some logic or hand the election to John McCain that will continue making the wealthy richer. It is 95% of the voters time to receive the tax benefit rather than continue Bush’s breaks for the top earners.

    The link to the MSN Message Board is blogger non-factual smears. Every time a discussion turns to whether Obama was a Muslim or Rev Wright, the focus turns away from John McCain’s bold-face lies that the MSM mostly ignore. They also would rather talk about non-issues.

    Obama plans to fix the FISA when he is elected. It will not happen under John McCain. Obama has to get elected first. McCain would have used the famous Republican fear tactic by telling everyone, “see, I told you he would not keep you safe.” After the fall election the balance will be even more Democratic, which will give Obama the power to fix the FISA issue. He has strong support from other Democrats, but they have to play the game by getting Obama elected. There are not enough liberals to elect Obama.

    What does it matter whether Obama accepted campaign financing? How does that impact you? He did it to avoid taking money from PACs to fight McCain’s swift boat ads. Do you want Obama to lose by standing by an issue that does not impact anyone or leave him in the position of taking money from lobbyists?

    There is not a word that comes out of Obama’s mouth that people do not mince and spin to say something negative, while mostly ignoring lies out of McCain’s mouth that impact our life.

    Read the article on McCain & ‘Foreclosure Phil’. It has an excellent analysis between the severe damage that Phil Gramm, McCains chief financial adviser, has caused for everyone and “what has Rev Wright done that has affected your life.”

    “2,620 YouTube videos call Wright, Barrack Obama’s former pastor, a “racist” and an “anti-American” – in comparison to only 58 that accuse Gramm of being an economic “manipulator” and financial “scam artist.” These results are curious. You’d think Americans would be more outraged over Gramm’s controversial economic policies than Wright’s racially charged sermons.”

    Think about it. How has Jeremiah Wright had a direct effect on the average American? How has he made our lives harder, more expensive? Sure, his use of racial slurs is shocking to those not familiar with “black liberation theology,” but on a daily basis, Wright’s sermons don’t make much difference.

    But ex-Sen. Gramm – “Foreclosure Phil” – is a whole different story. We feel the aftershock of his reckless policies regularly.
    Regardless of whether you’re liberal or conservative, socialist or capitalist, one thing’s very clear: Gramm’s policies are associated with the Enron scandal, the subprime mortgage meltdown and the fiasco on the energy futures market.

    http://www.philly.com/philly/opinion/24443494.html

  • “There are only a couple of ways Obama can lose in November.” He’s actually engineering–and ensuring–that loss now, because of how he uncontrollably wags his narcissitic, inexperienced, arrogant, clueless, dangerous-to-America tongue.

    But more damage’s on the way, as the continuing fiasco unfolds about the Democrat convenntion in Denver.

    And Obama’s lack of testicularity in meeting John McCain in any townhall debates,

    And …

  • some other caveats about polls 4 months before an election:

    polls right now are a product of-
    “Who do you support?”

    in the last week of the election, the question becomes-
    “Who do you fear?”

    I can prove the accuracy of the statement, to individuals-if you have already made up your mind on how you will vote-you have already answered the second question.

    I do not support McCain, I wouldn’t sit thru a telephone poll to sing his praise, and I certainly wouldn’t send him money. I will be voting for McCain, becuase I have answered the second question.

    historically Republican candidates poll low in this period, Reagan trailed by 18 in 84, Bush the elder by 15 in 88. Both outcomes were landslides, going the other way. Obama’s current support is good, but not anywhere near the support held by Kerry, Dukakis, or Mondale.

  • 15 points to 3 points; I’ll tell you why. There are American’s like myself that feel that Obama is a flip flopping more of the same un”changed” politician.
    Especially after the FISA vote, I personally know many that are not voting for this man. We were all on board in Democratic Party unity. No longer. I am not saying I am voting for McCain; I am saying I am not voting period, as I suspect many of us Democrats have now decided. I cannot in good conscience vote for a Presidential candidate that vote for the FISA bill, its unAmerican.

  • Obama has stopped being Obama. It’s as if he scored a quick two baskets in the early going and is now trying to run out the clock, with 46 minutes left in the game. It won’t work.

    He has to be the Obama of hope and change, with some meat on the theme during the campaign, to beat McCain, and in my opinion it’s showing now in the polls. We have to remember that the McCain we see, the true one in my opinion, is not the McCain that the public sees, and if the media has its way, the American people will never see this bumbling, stumbling, ignorant, stupid and cantankerous old has-been, or more likely, never-was. They’ll see the legend.

    So that commenters here know where I’m coming from, and where my biases might lie, I admit to favoring Hillary slightly during the primary, although I became resigned to her defeat a couple of months before she stepped down officially. I am solidly behind Obama, but I am disappointed that he’s not acting like an agent of change anymore.

    Bill Clinton spoke at the National Governors Association Centennial Meeting today and I caught it on C-Span while on the treadmill. He was electrifying, and I couldn’t help contrast his performance with the listless Obama of late.

    I think we’re in trouble, and believe me, I think McCain would be a disaster for this country. We cannot let him win.

  • Most of the racist, xenophobic slurs came from Hillary Clinton who has committed the criminal offense of taking undisclosed millions form foreign governments by sitting in the Senate.
    Now one of you is say Obama raped her. Gotta hand it to Evita. That was her subliminal message, actually not that subliminal now that I think of it.
    Don’t send her to the White House. Send her to the “big house.” She’s earned it.

  • Thus, Obama will not beat McCain – we need to get Hillary back – she can do the job,,,not Barack!

  • When Obama gives great speeches everyone says, we do not need an eloquent speaker, we need more than empty words, we need someone with experience. At the same time these same people do not know McCain’s issues or experience.

    Obama gives speeches on issues affecting everyone, people say what happened to Obama, he is not inspiring anymore, he is not talking about change.

    A poll conducted by Planned Parenthood in 16 likely battleground states uncovered the following:

    Despite his extreme voting record, 51 percent of women voters in battleground states have no idea what John McCain’s positions are on women’s reproductive health issues.

    Forty-nine percent of women currently backing McCain express pro-choice views, and 46 percent of women supporting McCain over Obama want to see Roe v. Wade upheld

    yet McCain supports overturning the legislation.

  • Most people never gave Barack or his campaign a chance to beat the Clintons in the primaries, and look what happened. Barack is an extremely smart man (unlike McCain who jokes about being so foolish and graduating at the bottom 1% of his Naval School). The Barack campaign did not need our opinions when they won the primary and, frankly, they don’t need them now.
    We should support the smartest, most amicable, visionary ever to run our country — Barack Obama, and cast aside the Fox News, bitter Hillaries, negative Republicans and other folks who are full of negativism. That is the only chance that we have for this country to come together. If the Barack campaign wants to “reposition” him for the general election, so be it.
    I find it interesting that the polls in the United States only have Barack leading McCain by single – digits, while polls overseas have Barack ahead by as much as 51 points. We’ve been the laughing stock of the world for almost 8 years now. Wake up, America!

  • wHAT DO i THINK? – Not surprising – the MSM lauds McCain even as he lies & flip-flops- the Youtube video alone where he praises a GI bill he never supported, and says all Vet groups adore him (an outright lie) should send him into oblivion– while they fault Obama for every comment by every supporter – is the epitome of MSM hypocrisy. Why does the MSM love Bushie/war-monger McCain while blasting intellectual, creative, understanding Obama?

  • Ol’ Mare evidently started drinking, presumably her usual mix of Haterade and Schnaps, early today. And she’s not the only one.

  • I thought the first Newsweek poll was meaningless and never used it as any measure of Obama’s success. I think this second poll is equally meaningless. The considerable discrepancy between their two results (lacking any real evidence for such a change in how Obama is doing) only verifies my initial view after the first poll that this polling lacks any value in predicting the outcome in November.

  • Julie,

    I find your data, and many other similar surveys showing considerable ignorance over McCain’s views to in some ways be encouraging.

    Best case scenario is that most of these people learn about the candidates during the course of the campaign (assuming they will be paying far more attention this fall than they are now) and will vote based upon this, greatly increasing Obama’s lead over McCain.

    Of course the nightmare scenario is that voters will not learn any more than they know now, and will still vote. This did help the Republicans in the past two elections.

  • Reasons MSM ignores McCain:

    The owners and people working at MSM will benefit financially from a McCain Presidency, the people with income over $250,000.

    Obama is new and not well known. Obama is much different than boring McCain. How long can someone talk about McCain without putting people to sleep.

    The MSM would have to learn enough about McCain and Obama’s tax and economic tax plans to be able to discuss it. That takes too much effort.

    It makes better ratings to talk about flag pins, Rev Wright, whether Obama should have let his children be interviewed or what Jesse Jackson said through a hot mike.

  • “the racist, xenophobic slurs”

    hmmm…all those left wing references to bush looking like a chimp…

    can you do that with Obama? although some have missed it with David Gregory.

  • All the bitterness, the name calling, the racism (HUSSEIN…you know who you are) is completely stupid, now normally i would call it ignorance, but ignorance is when you dont know any better, stupidity is when you know better and do it anyway. So c’mon folks, how are you going to sit there and spew this hate-crap? this is a political converastion!! i have seen more self control/intelligent exchange of ideas on a rap music board. P.S. Never underestimate old rich men. They ALWAYS find a way.

  • RonChusid the problem is discussed below:

    Emotion Is More Important Than Logic In Determining How People Vote

    A well respected book that is based on years of research that included measuring body responses.

    He is currently blogging at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/drew-westen

    “The Political Brain: The Role of Emotion in Deciding the Fate of the Nation”
    by Drew Westen

    http://www.thepoliticalbrain.com/videos.php

    http://www.amazon.com/Political-Brain-Emotion-Deciding-Nation/dp/1586484257

    The main thesis of “The Political Brain” is that emotion is more important than logic in determining how people vote. This explains why Democrats keep losing elections “despite polls showing that the average voter agrees with Democratic positions on most policy issues, from protection of the earth to fairness to middle-class taxpayers who want nothing more than a better life for their children,” Westen writes.

  • Perhaps a basic intelligence test should be given in order to vote. If you beleive that the moon landing was faked or that Saddam Hussein ordered the 9/11 attacks you do not get to vote. This would insure that a Democrat never loses another election of course.

  • The internals tell the truth. When you increase the number of Republicans in a poll and decrease the number of Democrats, the GOP candidate appears to be surging. The poll is incredibly misleading and skewed. SCheck out the facts. They are there for all to see.

  • I hope you hillary supporters vote mcain and he wins and he appoints another judge to oveturn Roe V Wade. Jophn Mcain and the republican party has never ever brought one piece of legislation to thew floor of the house or senate that directly benefitted women.

    You are so bitter Mary that you are now willing to give up all you have gained just because your a cry baby..Good luck with any womens issues under McCain.

  • Face it, losing 12 points in 30 days is a fiasco. Plain and simple. When the first Newsweek Poll came out, every left wing talking dog in America went on TV and declared this a coming landslide for ODUMBO.

    I can’t wait to hear how Fineman squirms out of this poll. The last I heard, the Newsweek Poll indicates a coming trend. The Newsweek Poll is actually measuring what is going on in the country right now. RAsm., tied, Gallup 4, Newsweek three. That means these three polls are measuring the same thing.

    The PEW Poll, which polled over 11 days, 1500 plus reg. voters ended sampling on 6/29.

    It is old news now, and means nothing. Face it. ODUMBO’S flip flops has got him in trouble with independents. He flipped to attract independents and moderate voters. All this did was cause people, who already had their doubts about ODUMBO, to reinforce their beliefs that ODUMBO could not be trusted. The left hates him now, and the Moderates and Conservatives do not trust him and thinks he is lying about what he really believes.

  • Here’s what is troubling to me: John McCain blasts Obama over an absentee Senate vote regarding an Iraqi terrorist group…which was a vote that McCain HIMSELF was also absent for!

    John McCain votes against expanding GI bill benefits (Obama voted for) yet endlessly talks about how he would be more beneficial to soldiers due to his own experiences.

    John McCain dubs Obama an out-of-touch elitist while his own economic advisor states that struggling Americans are simply imagining the economic downturn and that their financial problems are “mental”!

    And many women who support John McCain or Hillary Clinton claim that Barack Obama isn’t in tune with women voters are either blind or ignorant to the fact that McCain is ardently anti-choice and would readily appoint Supreme Court justices so conservative that Roe vs Wade would be overturned faster than John McCain divorced his first wife and married his mistress.

    For all his faults, Barack Obama would be LIGHT YEARS better for this country than the man who jokes about the deaths of Iranian civilians.

  • Dont you just love how the racist like jason bourne here uses capital letters to shout out what a racist he is!

  • Way to go anthony looks…..youre such a hypocrite! Obama had nothing to do with FISA …..the democratic leaders in the house and senate are to blame. If you are so bright as to thinK Obama’s one vote changed anything then you havent done your homework in citizenship class. You must have been sleeping the past eight years if you are just finding out about this FISA crap!

    Tell me Anthony, just how pro American are Bush, Cheney and McCain are compared to Barack???? Hmmmm?????

  • I don’t believe the polls this far out from the election. I think BO is probably ahead by double digits because they can’t poll people who don’t have land lines. I also believe that the media spins this in a way to make it seem close because they don’t benefit, financially or in the ratings, by a blowout. Now that the primaries are over, they don’t have any real news to report, so they manufacture or make it up. Also, there has been a lot of hoopla over BO’s Fisa vote. I don’t particularly agree with the vote but it won’t be enough to make me not vote for him,( i.e.let’s not forget the Supreme Court),but Hillary’s vote against it, in my view, was strictly pollitical calculation. She is definitely to the right of BO idealogically, lets not forget she voted for the war. I think she must still believe she can get the nomination from BO at the convention. There’s some groups out there, supposedly disgruntled Hillary supporters and I think Donna is one of them, (I think they are really repubs playin games) who actually want to take this to the convention floor. I personally am sick and tired of these people. If you want the next generation to grow up under a repressive Supreme Court, if you want civil rights turned bac.k 50 years, if you want the rich to continue to get richer at everyone elses expense, and if you want this insidious war to go on forever, then vote McCain Donna, that’s your perogative.

  • Any People Interested in Issues?

    Check out Meet the Press on Sunday

    Exclusive Debate:

    The McCain campaign vs. the Obama campaign on the economy, taxes, gas prices & more.

    Squaring off: RNC Victory Chair and former CEO of Hewlett-Packard Carly Fiorina for the McCain campaign and

    Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), the national co-chair of the Obama campaign.

    Both are on the potential VP list.

    I am betting that Sen Claire McCaskill will have Carly Fiorina stammering on her lies about McCain’s tax and economic plan.

    It would be funny if McCaskill ask Fiorina about McCain’s initiatives for women, such as paying for Viagra, but not birth control pills.

    As a former state auditor and prosecuting attorney McCaskill frequently grilled liars. She is also great in Senate Hearings.

    The author of the Political Brain book, Drew Westen, included the following about Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill, Co-chair for Obama’s campaign:

    “Personally, I think if Hillary Clinton is not our first female president, my money is on Claire McCaskill, who has a wonderfully folksy way about her — along with a very sharp mind — and who manages to blend traditional femininity with the toughness of a prosecutor, in a way that allows us to activate both of our models of womanhood: the more unconscious ones that come from (most of) our experiences being raised by a woman, and our more conscious values, which are more egalitarian.”

  • The Newsweek Poll is like Fox news AKA “Faux” news. I honestly can’t wait for this election to be over with. I believe that all of this negative information is as a result of one thing and one thing only…BO is BLACK!!! and for a black man to be elected president is just too much for some in this country. McCain gets almost a FREE pass on EVERYTHING but BO has to answer to EVERYTHING even if he had NOTHING to do with it. Just look at the stupid post about BO having to apologize for a stupid Joke made by Bernie Mac. In all honesty what was so bad about the freaking thing that BO had to be made to apologize,this is really sad. We say we are proud to be Americans but we sure know how to treat our own like crap. BO is crazy to want to be the President of this country but I applaud him for wanting to do it. Should he win in spite of all of the negative stuff from Faux news, Newsweek, Joe Scarborough, Pat Buchanan, David Gregory and now The Huffington Post, no matter how bad of a shape this country is handed to him, he will be blamed if he doesn’t get EVERYTHING fixed in his first 60-90 days. The sad thing is those who voted for GB gave him 7 years to consistently screw up this country. I pray that BO makes it through this with his sanity. With that said, I would like to add that I’m not voting for BO because he is black. I’m voting for him because he has shown that he can think outside the box unlike those Washington “has been” who continue to do the same stupid things over and over again. They get to keep their seats for 10, 20 and even 30 years and all we get is little to NO progress. I admire his campaign’s mastery of the Internet, Mr.Obama has used the Web to learn things and continually refine his message. His campaign knows exactly what works and what doesn’t work online. HRC and even McCain has tried to copy BO’s online campaign style. “Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery”–Charles Caleb Colton.

    BO using the internet like no other politician has been quite successful in raising a ton of money for his campaign. Unfortunately he will never get the credit he deserves for thinking outside the screwed up Washington box. All the talking heads can do is criticize his decision to reject public financing.

    Next, Jesse Jackson makes a nasty comment about BO Because BO wants blacks to take responsibility for their actions and pick themselves up to improve their own lives and make tell black men that they need to take care of their family. Instead of these idiot talking heads (i.e. David Gregory) news reporters stand behind him and hit Jesse Jackson hard for his dumb comments and admitting that BO is right, they decide to say that BO has a “new reverend problem”. I wish we could do away with reporters who are incapable of telling the truth, reporting facts and allowing us to decide for ourselves who we we like or don’t like. I guess it makes sense when a greater % of the population need those talking heads to tell them what to do. Thank God I have a mind of my own and do not need lying news reporters who report half truths decide for me who I should vote for.

  • Oh, and something else:

    McCain voted with Bush 95% of the time while in the Senate. George Bush’s approval ratings are setting records as being the lowest in history.

    Knowing this, why would anyone vote for John McCain and expect this country’s problems to improve any more than they did under Bush?

    As far as I’m concerned, you could have put a parrot in the Oval Office these past eight years, trained it to say the exact opposite of anything Bush would and the United States would be at least 75% better off than we would’ve been (for as bad as our President is he does not operate unilaterally–Congress is hardly any better).

  • Obama lost me when he betrayed America by voting for FISA. He figures he can pander to the right and we’ll vote for him anyway simply because we have had enough of the republicans. i can only speak for myself, but – wrong! Former Constitutional Law professor. Calls himself a “progressive.” Yeah right. Obama has sold out even before he has been elected.

  • I am extremely disappointed in Barack Obama’s drift toward the center, especially re faith-based initiatives and his alleged “compromise” on FISA vote.

    I am not a low-information voter. I thoroughly understand why progressive voters would be very unhappy with Obama. I haven’t reached that point yet because of the alternative but a few more “drifts” and I shall seriously consider not voting at all.

  • Voting for FISA, was the right thing to do. Obama can change this within his first 100 days in office. Some of you do not know politics, this is how the game is played on this level. Why give the rethuglicans ammo to use against him in the general election. He must win the election first and foremost. So Buckup and get with the political hardball game.

  • McWar’s poll numbers have stayed the same he never gets over 45% I mean never.

  • Obama needs to go to the center his base will never leave him. All the hardcore lefties will not vote for McWar!

  • CHILL OUT! Look, Democrats all across the country had a long, exhausting primary season. We are tired. “Journalists” keep writing about how Obama’s poll and fundraising numbers have dropped. Will you genius “journalists” give us a time out? A half-time if you will? Barack’s poll and fundraising numbers will increase when they need to. Right before the Dem convention and thru the general election. Stop asking stupid questions and better yet, chill out until the conventions.

  • I have been an avid supporter for Sen. Obama knocked on doors the whole nine yds !
    I am getting concerned that he is wandering off in another direction.
    The best thing I see he should do is stay with his advisors and voters that won him the Democratic nominee instead of changing course !!
    He is being told that the left won’t leave ,He should not really count on that one !!!

  • Those ‘Hillary’ voters who cannot bear to bring themselves to vote Obama better be wary of this fact. Hillary has not retired form politics. She may yet need the vote of Obama supporters. What will your response be at that time to Supporters of Obama?
    What if Senator Clinton happens to be the nominee after the convention? What will your plea be?

    Be careful, The butcher’s knife that kills the sheep also kills the goat. Be careful!!

  • I don’t have much faith in polls, and I have no faith in the media institutions
    that deliver us these polls, but I will say this… Three weeks ago, I openly supported
    Obama and now I don’t. The s**t he pulled with the FISA bill is just another example
    of how it doesn’t matter which side you vote for. In the end, these people all
    represent the world oligarchy and those who try to change that, never make it. We
    need to stop looking to these D.C. droids and start organizing our own communities
    and refusing to be any part of their neo-liberal system of profit, war and lies…

  • To Mary: To spread the notion that Obama is unfair to women based on your cherry-picking some statistics that lack specifics is indefensible. Please consider what a McCain supreme court will do to women’s health and women’s pay. For instance, his response to the court’s decision to overturn the decision on women’s pay because the suit hadn’t been filed within eighteen months. McCain’s response was, “Well, we’ve got to educate women more.” McCain did NOT stand up for this woman or for the principle that a corporation should be held responsible for unequal pay. All your commentary about women working for Obama not being treated well is just a smoke screen.

  • Despite his charisma and oratory, the fact remains that Senator Obama offers more promises and less achievements than any major party candidate for President since…. Warren Harding? He is a first term Senator who has passed no major piece of legislation, has made some great speeches, and changed his positions on several issues. He’s basically a smart rookie chosen to captain a long-losing team overdue for victory.

    Celebrating style over substance and experience, the superficial mainstream media elevated Obama on affirmative action grounds. Now we are running an experiment: can the Democrats win with a weak, inexperienced candidate against a strong, aging war hero? I hope so, but I also resent the fact that this election is even close. We should have nominated somebody with proven competence (Richardson, Biden, Edwards, Dodd) and avoided the silly identity politics. Given the enormous economic, social, and military problems facing our nation, Democrats should win a record landslide like FDR in 1932.

    Instead, we have to cross our fingers and hope – always hope – that Obama can learn on the job, keep some of his promises, and win in November. Pathetic. When will the Democrats learn that identity politics hurt America and hurt the party????

  • I just do not get it. Some of you peope will cut off your own nose to spite yourself. McCain is the most flip-flopper of all. He has changed his positions more than you can count on both hands Just to name a few, immigration, taxes, his economic knowledge/plan, religious right.( agents of intolerance but please vote for me). If elected, he will place more conservative justices on the bench to overthrow Roe V Wade, and every civil rights law that comes before them. Mary, McCain’s record on women right issues are horrible. From daycare in the work place, equal pay to insurance companies offering birth control like they do viagra. These are both personal choice issues. His civil rights record is horrendus. He has not done anything to support the hispanic, black, native americans or asian communites. Forget about the poor. He just cannot relate. He has said that he believes in people pulling themselves up by their own boot staps & not wait for the governent to help. The problem with that is the Republican party has made it hard for the poor to even purchase a pair of boots. Do not take my work for it, yust look at his record as Senator of Arizona. It is of public record. I did. Just because Senator McCain is a decorated war hero, does not qualify him to be President alone. He is not the John McCain of old. The maverick is no more. People say Obama has no experience but when you view his record in Illinois and as US Senate, he has done a lot and has worked across party lines. He as help pass legislature for our veterans, health care, education, minimum wage, environment and the list goes on. Obama has said from the beginning of his campaign that he is going to be different & not to expect him to vote all liberal because he is a democrat. He said that he will not just try to work with liberal left but with all sides. His FISA vote, faith-based initiative stand & campaign finance position change in position does not bother me one bit. It is not a surprise. Don’t blame him because some of you placed your own expectations on him. McCain as President will be a 3rd Bush term. I changed from the Republican party because I am disgusted with them and Obama cannot do no worse than Bush. I will vote for Obama. It is time for change and I am glad that this Brillant man is African American. By the way, I am a White woman who believed our founding fathers words ” WE HOLDS THESE TRUTHS TO BE SELF EVIDENT THAT ALL MEN ARE CREATED EQUAL”

  • i am one of the grassroots supporters, donating $1,000.00 first time ever to a political campaign. i am also one of the dis-enchanted with his flip- flopping. does he really need to pander to the right in this way?

  • “To my mind, there are only a couple of ways Obama can lose in November. The preponderance of foolish people who believe nonsense is one of them.”

    That comment really scared me! If that’s the case, then Obama doesn’t stand a chance!

  • What a surprise???? He backtracks on every promise he has made and wonders why his support is diminishing. The people who elevated him to his new grandiose opinion of himself have the ability to bring he back to earth again. He is a disappointment and a fraud. “Change you can believe in” brought by a changling.

  • Mary,

    You pulled that information out of a website cnsnews.com, which is less than credible. The ultimate link to any data was dead, and this appears to be a sham site for propagating misleading or false information. Take into consideration a quote from one of three articles written about the same subject on that site by the same person:

    Reines also pointed to staff changes since the last Secretary of the Senate report covering the six-month period ending Sept. 30, 2007.

    “You are looking at a single six-month period that does not accurately reflect either the current or historical facts, both in terms of make up and salary,” he said. “For instance, several members of the staff, including myself, are paid both through the Senate and through the senator’s presidential campaign.”

    Seven women working for Clinton’s Senate office earned a combined $320,000 on an annual basis from the Clinton presidential campaign, Reines said. Further, two men working for the Senate office earned a combined $50,000 on an annual basis from the campaign.

    He said these figures should be calculated into the average salaries for Clinton’s office. Otherwise, he said, the average could be “low by tens if not hundreds of thousands of dollars.” Clinton’s office provided only the aggregate compensation that the campaign paid to these staffers, not the individual salaries paid to each of them.

    Neither McCain’s nor Obama’s office responded to a question from Cybercast News Service as to whether they had congressional staff who were also separately compensated by their campaigns for work outside the office. The analysis reported here deals strictly with the tax-funded staff compensation records reported by the Secretary of Senate.

  • Here’s the reason for the difference in the polls: In the first poll, the breakdown was R26/D38/I36. In the other poll, which Newsweek polled a few weeks later, the country’s electorate is split R32/D32/I36.

    So as noted on Kos:
    In one country, polled in June, 84% of the electorate is white. In the other country, polled a few weeks later, 88% of the electorate is white.

    In one country, polled in June, 19% of the registered voters are under 40, 39% are between 40 and 59, and 42% are 60 or older. In the other country, polled a few weeks later, only 17% of the registered voters are under 40, 38% are between 40 and 59, and 45% are 60 or older.

    In the younger, slightly more racially diverse and much more Democratic country, Barack Obama was supposedly leading by 15 points. In the country that is somewhat older, is somewhat whiter, and is evenly split between Republicans and Democrats, Barack Obama is supposedly leading McCain by only 3 points.

    So Newsweek basically rigged the numbers; they probably got a call from McCain begging them to make it look closer.

  • And while everyone was arguing, discussing, analyzing, posturing, defending, attacking, etc., etc. etc. ad nauseum: World War 3 Started in Tel Aviv, Israel. Iran attacked Israel with a long range nuclear missile – Israel promptly retaliated by Nuking Teheran into oblivion, the USA moved across the Iranian border into the oilfields (what else would we want – oil is oil – with or without Radiation) Russia promptly attacked the USA for possesion of an oilfield and China followed suit). Russia got repelled by Marines and then launched a nuclear warhead obliterating NEW York and Washington in one shot – but the US got off a nuke in time to take out Moscow and Beijing (in one shot – cause we bad too) and that pissed China off who nuked Russia cause the USA lied and said the Russians did it and so on and so on until there was no more Planet Earth to live on…Two people survived the nuclear Holocaust – Barack Hussein Obama and John Linsay McCain – guess which man became President of “The World?”…

  • To the original poster and all the rest of you Hillary-only pseudo-feminists: get a life, get a sense of humor and get a brain.

    Hillary’s out and Obama’s in. Get used to it – it ain’t gonna change. And the alternative is an aging rabid anti-woman anti-choice Rethuglican.

    If you really think he’s a better choice for you, then you’re not a feminist at all, you’re a total fraud or a total idiot. Or both.

    A comedian makes a sexist joke and thousands of Democratic women suddenly think Obama is the anti-christ?

    What a selfish, self-centered and absurd reaction.

  • Obama is dropping in the polls because people are now seeing what a total, utter hypocrite he is. Anyone who sets himself up as “beyond politics as usual” had better live up to his word. By breaking his word (FISA/public campaign financing), Obama has destroyed his credibility.

    We Hillary supporters knew something was fishy in Obamaland for some time now…and now, sadly, too little too late, others are starting to wake up.

    For those who think McCain is a worse option – not by a longshot. McCain is a moderate Republican with a decent track record, so much so that he was considered for the Democratic VP slot. I will take him over Obama any day of the week.

    I have been insulted as a woman by the Democratic Party this year, and for what? A hypocritical, lying candidate (Obama) who doesn’t even have the cojones to stand up to McCain in a debate. No, Obama will not get my vote. No way, no how.

    And yes, I am still a registered Democrat, not some sort of Republican plant.

  • Perhaps you underestimate the damage of his FISA vote.

    I was a strong backer of Obama. I have never wanted to see Clinton get the nomination, but this FISA vote is a deal breaker. Perhaps Kucinich or Gore should get the nomination.

    At the very least Obama needs a good scare so that he isn’t tempted to do another FISA betrayal.

  • Obama should not be getting so much flack over FISA. The revised bill wasn’t 100% of what he wanted but in Washington you have to sometimes be willing to accept 75% in the name of progress. He had to vote for the bill as the Republicans are desperately trying to get the “soft on terror” label to stick on Obama.

  • Rasmussen Reports just came out with their latest poll results. He says they are tied.

    You could look it up.

  • McCain will a “One Term Wonder” under the control of an aggressive Democratic MAJORITY and will accomplish nothing . . . Obama with a Democratic Majority will create Bush Lite and from the history of his actions, voting and comments be a Conservative Troll – sorry, let McCain dust the furniture until Hillary in 2012 . . . Obama is a light weight pandering Conservative in disguise . . . . and with each passing day his “move to the Center” shows the betrayal and sellout of the true supporters that brought him along. The “move” was THERE just overlooked in our rush to embrace a “Messiah” . . .

  • I hope commenter #90 (“Hillary or Bust”) is really a Republican operative, despite denying it. I find it unfathomable for any woman of childbirth age, and a one time Hillary supporter, would EVER vote for McCain simply for the Supreme Court ramifactions alone. And to call McCain a Republican with a “decent record” is to underscore notion of the “UNDER INFORMED VOTER”. Obama could not vote against the FISA bill, in order to cover the butts of other Democrats who have known all along about the illegal wiretapping, and would have had hell to pay. The Telecoms can be held to account in various ways, and the entire law can be challenged when Obama is inaugurated. To make this a deal breaker, and to opt for McCain, is to completely and absurdly vote against ones self interest. Better email Hillary. She’ll say don’t do it. And as for the Newsweek poll – why are we believing this poll anymore than right wingers believed it last week when Obama was 15 points ahead? They didn’t.

  • The names, Donna and Mary. Supposedly disgruntled Hillery supporters that fit the profile the Republicans said would vote for McCain. You know, the guy who can’t speak and has that weird laugh at the wrong moment. Donna and Mary were part of that campaign for Hillery that was in constant turmoil and disagreement, whereas Obama’ campaign was always touted as running like a well tuned clock and managed by a dream CEO. I took these compliments and put them high on my short list for qualities that qualify Barrack for the Oval Office. The more McCain shows himself getting shot down the more I question how does that prepare him for the presidency? Maybe if he didn’t score so low in school and low again in fighter plane school, maybe he would have avoided the ground to air missle? My Cousin, Robert Winslow was a Marine on Wake Island in the early stages of WWll when his troop was captured by the Japanese. I’m currently reading his writings regarding his Marine career and his experiences as a POW. Very powerful stuff, but I have to wedge the info out of him. He spent WWll in a Japanese prisoner of war camp, worked as a Marine Recruiter during Korean War and was back in Combat pretty much from 63 to 70 fighting the war we lost. Perhaps that is why McCain wants to win so bad, he is willing to have countless young Americans killed and by doing so he is still missing the point. BTW, my Cousin retired as a decorated Sargeant Major and is a strong advocate of the Democratic Party. I don’t know the answer to that question yet, I can safely guess.

    Hillary is a piece of work and so is her husband. Their calculated comments were straight from the Clinton political playbook. I used to like them until I saw them in action ganging up on Obama. He held his ground and fought back as he should have. He literally had 3 candidates against him. I really don’t count McCain because he is over the hill and mark my word, if he wins it will be the President in Absentia, the same kind of treatment with cue cards they gave Reagan. I lost my respect for hillary when she made that dumb ass remark that both she and McCain are qualified to be President, whereas Obama “gave a speech”. Bill also jumped on that band wagon with comments that he tried to link the polarizing figure of Jesse Jackson to Obama. It was obvious. However, sometimes I think he was submarining her so she wouldn’t find out about his latest transgressions post Gore and Kerry. Bill Clinton was personally responsible for two fine candidates loosing the election (for the wrong reasons again) yet he is still arrogant as they go. If I heard her say her 18 million votes again I would have vomited, especially when she raises her voice to speak through a vocal crowd.

    Obama is the one, he is cool under fire and is especially cool when pressured. You can be smart as hell but break down under stress, Obama gets more solid as the pressure builds. That is what I like to see in a President. He won’t be playing John Wayne with our military, he will have them trained to the highest standards and be ready for anything. He will make our military the guiding light in a world in termoil. There is no denying it, Barrack Obama can inspire people to move in his direction. I admire that quality as well, you have to have extra of that quality before stepping outside without the Army behind you. That doesn’t advocate the will of the people, quite the contrary, people will come to the table with a chip on their shoulder.

  • flip flopping is an over-rated issue. both as to obama and mcain . people change their minds as a normal part of human conduct , and for good reasons including new data , more insight , and yes to better meet their objectives.
    bush is an example of what you get , when someone won’t change their mind .

  • I talk to stupid people every day that believe Obama is a muslim or he was not born in the U.S. or he does not put his hand over his heart during the national anthem, just reminds me of how bad we need this man to improve the educational system in this country. I try to sway them but it very rarley works, stupid people are also often racist. So what are we to do, keep trying, because John Mcsame is not the answer.

  • For those who think McCain is a worse option – not by a longshot. McCain is a moderate Republican with a decent track record, so much so that he was considered for the Democratic VP slot. I will take him over Obama any day of the week. I have been insulted as a woman by the Democratic Party this year, and for what?

    You’re about to get insulted again, and boy, do you have it coming. You clearly have no fucking idea whatsoever what McCain’s record is–do some homework and find out, instead of repeating disgruntled Clintonite talking points that outrageously twist the facts to try to support a bunch of angry, low-informed voters’ decision to vote for McCain. Your vote for this man is a banner for your ignorance, misplaced hostility and self-delusion. Wear it angrily and self-destructively, accompanied by your slack jaw and empty gaze.

  • 90. On July 12th, 2008 at 9:07 pm, Hillary or Bust said:
    For those who think McCain is a worse option – not by a longshot. McCain is a moderate Republican with a decent track record, so much so that he was considered for the Democratic VP slot.

    Every women’s group that has ever rated congress critters says you are full of shit. McCain has always been extremely anti-women’s issues, his record is far from decent.

  • Can we withstand four more years of corporation control of our goverment? Do we want a man that finished 894 out of 899 in his class to be President? A 72 year old warmonger for comander in chief? Do we want to go deeper in debt? Do we want to send more of our jobs overseas? Do we want wallstreet in charge of our social security ? We all need to look at the whole picture not just one issue. I do not agree with every thing that Barrak Obama does but I do believe that he works for we the people not we the corporations and that he will take direction from us.
    Before you vote you should look at how each candiate has voted on prior issues.
    Take the time to read Barrack Obama’s plan for America on his website. This election is much more important than any single issue. It is about if we the people want to control our goverment or do we want exxon and walmart to stay in control. Paul Dolph

  • “I hope commenter #90 (”Hillary or Bust”) is really a Republican operative, despite denying it. I find it unfathomable for any woman of childbirth age, and a one time Hillary supporter, would EVER vote for McCain simply for the Supreme Court ramifactions alone.”

    First of all, I am a woman of child-bearing age who marched to support abortion rights in the 90s. But don’t try that tired old “supreme court” crap on me. There are bigger issues at stake here than abortion rights. You have a lot of nerve to suggest that Obama is going to stand up for abortion rights when he just FLIP-FLOPPED on them and now thinks that mental distress should not be considered for women who want late-term abortions.

    I use birth control, I’ve never needed an abortion, and abortion rights are not my number one issue. So that is not my deciding factor in November. There are bigger issues at stake, one being DEMOCRACY and not rewarding the Democratic Party for pushing out Hillary Clinton in the undemocratic manner that it did.

    “And to call McCain a Republican with a “decent record” is to underscore notion of the “UNDER INFORMED VOTER”.”

    I don’t agree with everything he does, but he has done some decent things, for one, voting AGAINST the Cheney Energy Bill that Obama voted FOR.

    “Obama could not vote against the FISA bill, in order to cover the butts of other Democrats who have known all along about the illegal wiretapping, and would have had hell to pay.”

    What a LAME excuse. Obama first said he would filibuster FISA. Then he votes for it all of a sudden because “he has to”? The average American isn’t pro-FISA and all Obama did by voting for it was appease his big corporate donors at the expense of pissing off his progressive base. It was a stupid move on this part that may well indeed cost him the election.

    There is something to be said for standing up to principles, and Obama showed with FISA that he has no backbone nor does he have principles. In some strange way I’d like to thank him for that, because he’s now proven that his word means NOTHING. And you honestly believe he’ll somehow “reverse” this when he’s in the White House? DREAM ON.

  • “Do we want wallstreet in charge of our social security ? We all need to look at the whole picture not just one issue. I do not agree with every thing that Barrak Obama does but I do believe that he works for we the people not we the corporations and that he will take direction from us.”

    Instead of reading Obama’s propaganda on his own website, you might consider doing research from a less biased source. Obama has received MORE WALL STREET DONATIONS than McCain. Goldman Sachs is one of Obama’s biggest contributors. Get a clue. Obama is all about corporate money. That’s why he decided to stop taking public campaign financing, because he wanted more of that corporate money that fed him throughout the primaries.

    You people need to realize that the neocons/corporate hegemony would not fund another Republican after Bush being so unpopular. Those with money are backing Obama as their new puppet, because people will be fooled into thinking he’s an “alternative” when he is not. Obama’s move to center is indication of where his true priorities lie. Electing Obama will be starting Bush’s third term in office.

  • Newsweek has poor controls. The best polls are Gallup, Rasmussen and Zogby, in that order. Most of the rest of them are quite errant.

  • For those of you who think that the United States will be better with McCain as President, think about this.

    He says he will help the middle class by keeping the Bush tax cuts. Which means you won’t pay any more in taxes. However, you won’t get your taxes cut. That prize goes to the rich and corporations.

    He says that he will cut government spending. No Republican president, Reagan included, has kept that promise and all of them have made this promise.

    Reagan blew up the deficit and the national debt through defense spending. George H.W. Bush couldn’t keep it down because of the S&L crisis (created by Reagan), Clinton got it down, but then Dubya brought it back up, though he, like other Republicans said that he would keep the deficit and the debt down. So much for that promise. (Debt: 9 trillion and counting) McCain has already said that we need to spend on saving mortgage lenders (not homeowners) and a missle shield while giving the rich buckets of money in tax cuts. Please.

    As for Obama’s FISA vote: he couldn’t filibuster (which is what he wanted to do) because the people voting for it made the bill filibuster-proof because they had over 60 votes. The Senator tried to introduce a bill to exclude the immunity clause, but he didn’t have the votes.

    The reality is that this bill was going to pass and he had to make a tactical decision regarding the Republicans. They would most certainly attack him repeatedly on this issue. Remember, the object is to win.

    He will probably gut FISA if he becomes President. He will have a Democratic House and Senate and will get what he wants.

    McCain will only make things worse. Much worse. Trust me on this.

  • So now that the dust has settled and Obama has practically won his party’s nomination, we are finding out that he is not the Messiah and does not walk on water. His inexperience and his vacillation are clearly showing despite his rhetorical skills, which I personally find contain a whole lot of nothing.
    Experience? Community activist is supposedly his big thing. I have a friend, Ruben, who is a community activist: he heads a union that organizes school workers, organized older women who previously worked in the textile field to the point where they are self-sufficient because they now make products and sell them for profit, organized a neighborhood to battle contaminants left by the government when Kelly AFB closed, organized young men and women into becoming more aware of their culture and participating in civic issues. Just to name a few. And he didn’t even go to Harvard.
    As much as I admire Ruben, though, I would hesitate to support him if he were to run for President although I bet his activism leaves Obama in the dust. If I had to choose between Ruben and Obama, though, I’d choose Ruben.

  • I think it needs to be pointed here that organizations pay for people to come on websites and troll the comments… Radio show host Tom Hartman for Talk America was talking on his show of how a he had a comment section on his website and how it would be flooded with negative “progressive” content. And he wondered why so many people that he thought were listeners of his could be anti-progressive if he is progressive and he did some research and found out that they were being paid like ten cents a post to go on websites such as this and say some of things that you hear above that seem so out of character like the rape comment…encouraging Hillary supporters to vote for Mccain just for revenge… take that into account while reading these posts… there may be some manipulation.

  • I think Newsweek is inaccurate most of the time. They seem to skew the numbers and more often than not seem to have an agenda. Frankly I don’t take what they say being reliable. Numbers go up, numbers go down however whoever does the polling for Newsweek should consider another job!

  • “encouraging Hillary supporters to vote for Mccain just for revenge”

    Why is it so hard for you guys to understand that this is a legitimate movement of real people who are upset about the treatment of Hillary and who just don’t like Obama?

    I am a registered Democrat, a female, who is paid by NO-ONE for what I do. My blog started up way before PUMA even started. I didn’t even know there’d be other people feeling the way I did. I was just sick and tired of the way Hillary was treated and how Obama was put on a pedestal he did not deserve.

    I am not voting for McCain out of “revenge.” I am not voting for Obama because he is NOT QUALIFIED, I DON’T TRUST HIM, and the Democratic party SPIT on my face as a woman by their ousting of Hillary.

    If you continue to downplay this movement of real Hillary supporters, well, you are in for a shock in November, that’s all I can say…there are a LOT of us and the more you dismiss us and try to act like we don’t exist, the more fuel you add to the fire.

  • Obama and the DNC need we “bitter, menopausal women, Bible-thumping, gun-toting, xenophobic hicks.” We were told we weren’t wanted and not needed and to go away. So that’s exactly what we did and are still doing.
    NO we are not republicans in disguise. Most of us have been life-long democrats who have faithfully supported our Party through “thick and thin.” Some of us can trace our first involvement with politics during the tumultuous “60’s” – anti-Vietnam war protests and the “Civil Rights Movement.”
    What we have now in the democratic party is an affront to the “democratic ideals” that so many of us have held sacred. I believe the polls are reflecting the fact that many voters cannot support a candidate who stands for “who stands for who knows what” and has been foisted upon us with next to no vetting while the other candidate was forced out of the race and her supporters were dismissed. Yes Hillary has endorsed Obama but many of her supporters have not endorsed him and never will.

  • Hmm, lets see…McCain comes off a week where he sounds close to incoherent in most of his statements but Obama is losing ground.Given the evidence that the current admin is a certifird disaster and that McCain is likely yo propagate this ongoing fiasco, is ther any reason not to conclude that Obama would be a huge improvement? What honest American would want to see this current course pursued? let’s broom these pricks for the good of our children and get on with it…trained monkey’s could do better.

  • hey really pathetic hillery supporters in items 112 &113…how do you think you are going to like being totally marginalized by the rising tide of republican facism that is taking hold in America. Forget bitter, earlier this week your repub buddies classified you as “whiners”…yeah, Im so sure you’ll be able to trust them with America’s future.You can be upset with the treatment of Hillery but she still lost. And this country is going to keep losing if you throw your lot in with a specious shill who will perpetuaate this current travesty of a government.Rage on fools, your childrwn will live to regret your mindless choice in the most critical election in American history

  • To former Hillary supporters who are voting for McCain: I get it. You don’t like Obama, and you feel the Democratic Party had dissed you and Hillary Clinton. You’ve been in a tough family feud, and it hurts. I understand where you are coming from because I felt the same way, except in reverse. I felt that the Clinton campaign acted like Republicans and dissed Obama and dissed me in the process.

    But that other family across the street – the Republicans, they hate you through and through, despite any nice words they may have to say right now. Anti-war protesters – they call them traitors over on the Republican side. Civil Rights Movement – they call it “racism” in the GOP. Women’s issues – they don’t exist in the Republican Party. Check McCain’s recent discomfort over being asked why he voted against including birth control in health care reimbursements.

    As for me, I’m hoping for an Obama/Clinton ticket in 2008.

    Michael Brook

  • The popular vote in the general is as meaningless as it was in the primaries–think Al Gore in 2000. Obama is pursuing his primary strategy, but now it is for a majority of the electoral vote rather than elected delegates.
    fivethirtyeight.com (“Electoral Projections Done Right”) has Obama ahead 312.4 to 225.6 ( total “538”, winner takes all) in the latest state polls. Even though he has Obama leading by only 3.1 points in the popular, echoing the Newsweek poll.
    So far, so good if I’m reading 538 right. Even better if McCain has a couple of Mark Penn think-alikes as campaign strategists.

  • Ive been signed on to polling point for the last five years.
    All through the primary about once a week i got email polls in which at some point it asked if i was for Mccain Clinton or Obama.. since the primary has ended i have not had one polling point poll that asked of my choice between Mccain or Obama.. During the 04 election i got polls asking my choice so why the sudden stop once the primary was over. I have real serious doubts about the honesty of polls, its simply not in the interest of MSM and these polling outfits to have a run away election. Id be interested to hear if any other participants have found the same experience with polling point or other polls they have signed up to.

  • “Rage on fools, your childrwn will live to regret your mindless choice in the most critical election in American history”

    It’s not a mindless choice. It’s a deeply thought out decision. I honestly believe Obama will be worse for this country than McCain. Much, much worse. The neocons have no love for McCain. McCain is conservative, yes, but he’s no George Bush. I don’t hate Republicans just to hate Republicans. Such “us vs. them” thinking is hardly enlightened or intelligent.

    McCain is someone I disagree with on certain issues, but I have no doubt in my mind that he loves this country and will do what he thinks is best for it. Obama, on the other hand, seems to me to be someone who is after power for his own self-aggrandizement and will do anything to get it.

    Obama has already done a good job at destroying the Democratic party and gutting it for his own purposes – what on earth will he do in the White House? I shudder to think. Obama is no fan of democracy, that’s for certain. He’s in it for himself and his ego. This is a man who needs to stay far away from the position of the most powerful person in the world.

  • Its always a chore wading through the fecal comments left by thos disenfranchized Hillary supporters…the only thing that comes to mind is the math…Hillary has just over $23 million in debts…and 18 million supportters..so..why don’t you all just put your money where your mouth is and send her a couple of dollars each..it would retire the debt immediately.For all of you who claim to have been an Obama supporter who have ” awaken”..to the truth..umm sure… IYou either support him or you don’t. And for mary mary quite contrary….how does your brain cell grow? Being a man of some intelligence I am often impressed by “pretty” words, especially when they are strung together in a way that delivers a message by an articulate intelligent person. Thats Obama. I am sorry you lack the mental capacity to absorb the meaning of what is said and can only concieve the message as “pretty words’ but, perhaps if you work at it. your skills of understanding words will improve, although , that skill is not required if you are a McCain supporter so, perhaps you should hang out with him a bit more with your glassy eyed look. He can not ever remember the “prety” words he has written concering himslf..so..not surprised you would be blessed will special abilities, like an education.

  • Good God Kathy..take a pill..Hillary wasn’t forced out of anything..she lost..she ran a bad campaign..she lost, she didn’t get enough support, she lost, she didn’t win over enough superdelegates, she lost, the only way she maintained the illusionn of being ahead was by using “fuzzy” math..she lost. This in no way denegrates Hillary Clinton, she lost, many people have lost, she lost. Have I said it enough times?..She lost..get over it..and elect the right person for the position, the person picked by the majority, the person who won..Obama.

  • I can see why so many people simply do not like Obama. He has a lovely wife, great kids( they are beautiful), he is articulate, well educated, intelligent, cares about people, an author of best selling books, a great speaker, charismatic and the first blackman to seriously challenge and run for the whitehouse. So, what part of all this do you agree with? I wish we could get more people of his quality to run for office. The world would be a better place.

  • Ummm, sorry, but he did attend a Muslim school in Indonesia, was taught to memorize the Koran in Arabic, and even showed that skill off to a reporter a few years back. Spouting talking points from the Obama camp doesn’t make it disappear, as much as you’d like it to. Also, how about getting a REAL copy of his birth certificate out for the voters to see? The State of Hawaii says the one on “fight the smears” is a forgery! Lastly, did Senator Obama register for Selective Service like all American men born after 12/31/1959 are required to do? Google al that, and you’ll see that I’m right!

  • hello. is anybody at home? He was sent in to knock out Clinton,that’s all. So now you find our he was bought and paid for like all of them. Big surpirse. Have we got a nation of idiots here or what?

  • The world’s most listened-to talk radio host, Rush Limbaugh (over 30 million regular listeners) has developed a program known as “Operation Chaos.” This program is designed to get conservatives, Republicans and others to register as Democrats and cross over to vote in primary states, to keep the contest going up until the Democratic National Convention in Denver, Colorado. Many feel that “Operation Chaos” has helped to keep Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-NY), the former First Lady and wife of former President William “Bill” Clinton, in the race against the neophyte candidate Senator Barack Hussein Obama (D-IL). With Senator Clinton still in the running, pressure has mounted on the Democrat’s so-called “Super Delegates” (mostly elected officials and other poo-bahs) to choose between Senators Obama and Clinton.

    Details on Senator Obama’s relationship with his controversial, racist and anti-American pastor of 20 years, Jeremiah Wright, his friendship and work with former Weather Underground terrorist and communist Bill Ayers, and his shady dealings with financier Tony Rezko would not have become an issue without Mrs. Clinton staying in the race. Similarly, Mrs. Clinton’s lies about her Bosnia trip and other gaffes would have not become well known without Limbaugh’s campaign.

    Some feel that Limbaugh’s “Operation Chaos” merely makes it more likely that Senator Clinton will be the nominee and defeat the presumptive GOP nominee, Senator John McCain, Vietnam hero and former POW. I don’t agree: At this point, I feel that the American public is beginning to see that both Obama and Hillary are fatally flawed and not deserving of the White House. Senator McCain, with all his weaknesses and contradictions, is head and shoulders above a man two years out of the state legislature and a conniving, lying shrew that reminds many men of their ex-wife. Neither Clinton nor Obama spent a day in uniform, and neither has any real-world executive, foreign policy or administrative experience. No, when the rubber hits the road, the American people will make the right choice, and Mr. Limbaugh helped make that happen. All Americans should feel grateful that he used his “bully pulpit” to expose the Democrats for the unpatriotic, socialist, tax & spend leftists that they truly are. If you’re like me and can remember the disasterous Carter administration, you know that we cannot afford another far-left president like that!

  • Andrea Shea King has an interview with Will Bower, co-founder of the dissident Democratic group PUMA/Just Say No Deal:

    Nearly 18 million people voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2008 presidential primaries and many of them believe their candidate was cheated out of being the Democratic nominee for president.
    Now more than two million, based on donation and other records, are determined to protest the nominating process and push for an open convention in Denver this August. . . .

    “We said we are not falling in line just because Obama and (David) Axelrod and the DNC were saying ‘All right, this is over, let’s all get behind Barack Obama.’ There are plenty of us out here saying, ‘No this is not over. You have treated us very unfairly and in fact, anti-democratically,'” he said. . . .

    “CNN did a poll at the beginning of June that showed 1 of every 5 Clinton supporters would not vote for Obama. Well, just one month later that’s now 1 in 3. So we’re getting our numbers up and we’re growing strong. And if the DNC’s not worried about us, then they’re clueless as to this movement.”

    http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=69294

  • HILLARY ALL THE WAY. WITH HAROLD FORD JR. AS HER VEEP. EVEN CHARMING, HANDSOME SILVER=TONGUED BLACK MEN NEED EXPERIENCE.

  • Good. Maybe now Senator Obama will begin to act like a candidate again instead of a shoe-in. Didn’t he see what a sense of entitlement got Hillary Clinton? He has yet to convince a lot of voters that he has the realism to see and the backbone to address the energy crisis & avert inflationary chaos. If he doesn’t have the guts to stand up to the Luddite environmental whack-jobs in his party and to propose sweeping, realistic & balanced energy crisis management measures, Senator Obama does not deserve to be the next president. The problem with that outcome is that John McCain is clueless and GOP party leadership is shell-shocked by their own incompetence. Vote Green. Buy Gold.

  • Yes, Obama caved over FISA. The reason I am not more upset by this is, with our country so heavily influenced by telecom lobbyists and our judicial system the same, do you really think anything would ever come of those lawsuits? Look at the Exxon Valdez verdict.

  • Goodness! What a thoroughly Republican trollfest last night! Hardly a Democrat in the bunch (and why they think they’re fooling anyone is a mystery–they don’t do fictional personas any more convincingly than they do government).

    The mass insomnia that the GOP understandably feels at having McCain as their best and brightest certainly manifests itself in frantic late-night posting. I suppose it keeps them off the streets.

  • How could this be happening. After all, Obama turned his back on his progressive base who supposedly have nowhere else to go. Maybe the progressives can not be taken for granted as if Obama owns them. Also with Obama breaking his own brand by voting for FISA for no understandable reason- where was the great outcry from the center to support spying on Americans and letting Bush get away with doing it? Obama’s illogical pandering maybe is causing people to notice what an empty suit he could be. No specifics. Nothing clear and definite just the typical Democratic game plan that has cost us one election after another.

    Obama is not trying to persuade the “centrists” why the Republican positions on the Iraqi occupation, the “war” on terrorism etc. are wrong and what he would do differently. No, Obama as Democrats usually do, is avoiding the debate and hoping things will get so bad the voters will go for Dems without Obama having ever had to take a stand and fight for itl

    Maybe at the convention Gore could go for the nomination (not another centrist like Clinton) Personally I am sick and tired of being ruled by the right wing whether they are called Republicans, or Centrist Democrats.

  • The country is to the left or at least more progressive than either the Democratic and Republican party. The disgust is so bad we don’t need any pandering to get to the supposed center. I almost lost my cookies with all of Obama’s pandering. The Democratic leadership is really misreading the public. They are going to get their butts handed to them just like the Republicans if they don’t watch out. Where are the polls asking the public if they think the president should be impeached? Obama should never listen to the people who lost Hillary’s chances to be president. We need the old Obama; we don’t need any new Obama, morphing into some creature that has no substance just like all the others. He started running against his brand and people are showing their disgust. He needs to stick to his guns and be that person who says not what people want to hear, but what they need to hear. Things are getting really bad in this country, and running against his successful brand will, perhaps, lose him the election. The country does not need a black George Bush.

  • I don’t know the methodology of the Newsweek polling, but it must not be very good to have such a wide swing (without a good reason, like a scandal or a major gaffe) in the space of one week. Obama likely wasn’t really 15 points ahead a week ago, and he probably isn;t only a few points ahead this week. In any event, polls this early are essentially meaningless. My prediction is that therace will be within ten points until the debates, when Obama will be seen as thoughtful, strong, and competent. McCain will probably do fine in the debates, but if Obama holds his own he wins–the debates and the election.

  • Reading through the prior posts sure makes me disappointed. The level of animosity and volume of misinformation is truly staggering. All this discussion about what the Newsweek poll actually means is worthless. We’re simply too far out from the GE and what really matters is what is happening state by state, since the goal of the Obama campaign is to redraw the Electoral map. He’s doing just that, and the strategy is the same as the one he employed when he won the Dem primary…by focusing on delegates, not the popluar vote.

    As for all this discussion about tacking to the center…did any of you read Obama’s second book? His beliefs and goals, as outlined in that book are completely consistent with what he contunies to say today. He’s simply saying that it is going to be very difficult to change the culture of politics of division which the Republicans have mastered through Atwater, Gingrich, Delay, Rove. He believes we start from another perspective, not that which divides us, but from that which we agree on. That’s how we’ll get things done. That change in political mindset is what is so threatening to the Republicans because they have always relied on wedge issues to energize their base resulting in very narrow victories.

    Have any of you who are so upset on FISA actually read the bill? It says that to get immunity from civil suit (not criminal) a company must have in writing from the AG or Director of National Intelligence the demand for the info; and it must have been between 9/11 and 1/07. So that is pretty confined. A judge will look at the petition from a company and decide if their situation falls within these constrained conditions before they are immune.

    Barack explains this very well in his letter on his site. Though it does “remove an important tool for us to demand accountability for abuses” (Barack’s words) in the short-term, it does not remove ability to demand accountability if it is proven that Administration broke the law. And he insists he will pursue that as President. The bill does negate all the horrible things in the Protect America Act, which was the original revised FISA that has expired — thankfully. It puts the power and transparency back into the hands of the FISA court, which is what we wanted in the first place. And it keeps the door open for the next Administration to criminally go after some people. In short, it was the best we were going to get. All this anger is just about the desire to hold the Bush Administration accountable for their bad deeds and that isn’t going to happen right now.

    Barack has always said we are not a country of blue states and red states, but the United States. That means compromise from both sides. That means us blue folks must be willing to compromise to get the better good. My hope is that as an electorate, we can start focusing on just that and in the process become a bit less entertained and a bit more informed.

  • Obama’s FISA vote has lost me. As far as I’m concerned he’s a traitor to the Constitution and the principles so many have died for over the past two and half centuries. I couldn’t care less about political expediency. He says “Change we can believe in” and then sells out the country. At least the coward McCain had the good sense not to vote. With McCain at least I know we’ll get another scumbag like Bush, but Obama is a Trojan Horse, a wolf in sheep’s clothing, whose rhetoric is hollow and meaningless like all the other yellow politicians. I will never vote for Obama, and until last week I was a staunch supporter and actually believed the garbage he’s been spewing. Not any more.

  • What you miss in your analysis is with the economy in the tank, unemployment up, gas prices up, housing in a depression, unpopular war, and W’s ratings in the mid-20’s, McCain is still very much in the race for the Big Chair.

    Rasmussen Tracking, today, find the contest to be an even tie. Gallup has also gotten closer. Something is happening.

    Do you agree with Robert Redford that should Obama lose the Democratic Party should go out of business?

    MAC IS BACK

  • Dear Harriett in Manhattan: If you think Hillary Clinton was “CHEATED out of being the Democratic nominee for president,” then you have the right to vote for anyone other than Senator Obama on the ballot in November. I would first like to point out that Senator Clinton ran one of the worst campaigns in recorded memory. She began what I called “Hillary Clinton’s multiple-personality campaign,” with an arrogant sense of entitlement; she shifter her focus and personae, seemingly aimlessly, until desperation borne of reality set in, then she turned vicious. She raised the question: “Who would you want answering the red-phone at 3 am?” Then acted in a way that the answer to that question would have cost her party the election. Her complaints about the “unfairness” of the process are completely disingenuous; everyone in the room knows that if she were winning by those rules she’d be on the other side of every argument. You have the right to vote for senator McCain in November. At least, unlike the GOP nominee in the last two elections, he is an honorable man. The problem is that he is clueless and his party is in moral and intellectual disarray. I hope someone out there in TV-land recognizes that America is facing, what may be the most serious economic crisis in our history (to say nothing about our corollary military miasma) , whoever is elected president in November will have to be very strong to guide us through it. John Adams warned us long ago: “There never has been a democracy that did not commit suicide.” Bonne chance..jt

  • I’ve been a staunch supporter of Obama throughout the primaries. But that’s over. The guy has proven to be a bullshitter. His vote in favor of continued eavesdropping on Americans and amnesty for the telcos that provided the government with wiretaps is a slap in the face to anyone who has any idea at all about freedom and privacy and who respects our protections against illegal searches and wiretaps.

    Obama is a bullshitter. I’m very sorry to see it, but there is absolutely no other conclusion I could possibly arrive at after his recent actions. I’m an independent voter who always goes for the Democrat. But bullshit always makes us independents walk. And we walk fast.

  • I have some questions based on the Newsweek poll, which reports that: “Twelve percent of voters surveyed said that Obama was sworn in as a United States senator on a Qur’an, while 26 percent believe the Democratic candidate was raised as a Muslim and 39 percent believe he attended an Islamic school as a child growing up in Indonesia.” With an electorate that is either utterly ill-informed or willfully believes bigoted ignorant lies, what sort of leadership does this nation deserve? What sort of leadership are we most likely to get? Why is anyone surprised that we are on the brink of a classical economic and political melt-down? Is anyone even aware of the economic risks that we’re facing? Shouldn’t we be debating among plans for comprehensive energy reform; banking reform and political reform? Or, is just that it’s summer and the surf up?

  • Hey Alessandro, here’s a newsflash…you aren’t an Independent if you always vote Democrat. You’re a Dem who wants to play like you are an Indy. If you are more concerned with punishing the Bush Admin and the telecoms than you are with restoring the FISA court, you are definately a Liberal and not worried about the 4th Amendment. If you walk away from Obama do you walk toward, McCain? What was his vote on this bill? He skipped it! The Democrats have a great history of standing on principle and losing the election. Sounds like that’s what you’re advocating. The first order of business is to win.

  • Dear Jimbo: You said: ” My prediction is that the race will be within ten points until the debates, when Obama will be seen as thoughtful, strong, and competent. McCain will probably do fine in the debates, but if Obama holds his own he wins – the debates and the election.” I think that’s a very level-headed assessment. It should hold up. I’ve been saying: “Unless senator Obama is caught in a bathroom with Larry Craig and a 14 year old by he wins the election.” But, I think you’re closer to the correct balance. Senator Obama must develop comprehensive positions on the major issues (1. energy 2. the economy 3. foreign relationships & involvements 4. domestic security and the restoration of civil rights 5. turning America inward without isolationism) then he must carry those pragmatic solutions into the debates with the eloquence and conviction that he’s already demonstrated.. If he does that, he wins.

  • “Hillary has just over $23 million in debts…and 18 million supportters..so..why don’t you all just put your money where your mouth is and send her a couple of dollars each..it would retire the debt immediately.”

    Her debt is down now to about $11 million now, THANKS TO HILLARY SUPPORTERS, who are actively working to pay off her debt.

    It’s so funny to me to see Obama people making these snarky comments around the net about how the Hillary supporters need to put our money where our mouths are…which is PRECISELY what we’ve ALREADY been doing!

    We’re two steps ahead of you already. We ARE paying off her debt.

  • LOL! The CNN poll you offer as evidence that the current NEWSWEEK poll is likely an outlier is two weeks old, before Obama started recanting his former position. The PEW poll is even older (started a week earlier than CNN’s), and the Gallup poll is older yet.

    Take another look at the current tracking polls from Gallup and Rasmussen, both through July 12th, and you can readily see these data are not outliers! Gallup shows Obama at +3 and Rasmussen has them tied.

  • Her debt is down now to about $11 million now, THANKS TO HILLARY SUPPORTERS, who are actively working to pay off her debt.

    Her debt is “down” because she decided to write off the $11M she lent herself, dumbass. You are possibly the least informed voter I have met this year, which is saying something.

  • There is only one poll that counts. It takes place in November, Between now and then, Senator Obama has a lot of work to do to prove that he deserves to be president of a great nation in crisis. The Republicans have thrown a four-year-old’s birthday-party and eaten all the cake and ice-cream which has left all of us with the belly ache. Scrub Bush is a tough act to follow because the boob is leaving a burning stage. I ask a question that I have asked once before, when Reagan-Bush similarly left the country in saving’s & loan chaos: Who’s going to clean up after the elephants?

  • Obama acts as He is the President of Germany and the whole globe.
    This man thinks, that He can tell Kancler Markel of Germany, that He is coming, and the whole . First, Germany is not USA, and He is disrespecting German People and People of the whole Globe!!!
    I believe that Hillary must stay in race, and We must have recount of all Super Delegates, because Hillary has all ready won POPULATE VOTES!!! I believe that many delegates wish , that they never support Obama.
    WELL, it is time to start talking-screaming, “dear super delegates”, TIME TO SAVE THIS COUNTRY FROM 0BAMA!!!

  • Obama is not only disrespect US-Americans, but also He is disrespecting heads of other countries, like Angela Markel, whi is chanclellor of Germany by telling Her and People of this country, that H will speak there, because this is His choice. This is an ignorance and disrespect for HEAD of Germany. He is not asking He is telling. This man is sick, this is not normall. Wake people , we are going wrong direction. He started disrespecting His own blac people, how He can respect US-whites and especjally Latinos……

  • He betray US on Fisa, He defends children rapists and molestors, He supports NAFTA, HE will stay in Iraq, will take money from very reach and lobbysts. He lies in primaries He will never keep His promises given in primaries, He will sign FREE TRADE WITH COLUMBIA.
    Did any one saw report about 3 man , who stay in Columbia prison, what they did to them. How anyone can think about supporting a such messure with Columbia??? Obama betray US on every promise, how WE can support this man.
    Come on SUPER DELEGATES !!!! it is time to show US some guts and honesty, You owe Hillary, by turning Your back on the BEST CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT OF USA!!!!!

  • I am sending to Hillary 10 dollars, if avery ONE send Her 5 bucks, She will have enough to continue fight for PRESIDENCY, because She is still on ballot!!!!!!

  • You can always spot the end of these threads,… when the discussions degenerate from disagreement and debate to illiterate drivel punctuated by slander… Oh well… so long for now…jt

  • “Her debt is “down” because she decided to write off the $11M she lent herself, dumbass.”

    Oops, EXCUSE ME, my numbers were wrong. According to the latest word on the street, Will Bower over at PUMA says that we’ve raised $10 mil for Hil and there’s only about $4 mil to go to pay her debts off.

    The bottom line is, Hillary supporters are working to decrease her debt, which was the initial criticism. It’s all over the blogosphere. Go do a search on it if you don’t believe me.

    No, I don’t expect all 18 million people who voted for her to give money to her campaign (and the same could be said for Obama – not all voters are that committed) but a good number of Hillary supporters are still putting their money where there mouth is.

    “You are possibly the least informed voter I have met this year, which is saying something.”

    First of all, “sweetie,” you haven’t “met” me. Second, you need to try harder than that to have an intelligent argument. Language like “dumbass” only shows your lack of maturity and your inability to come up with anything of real substance to say.

  • there’s only about $4 mil to go to pay her debts off

    Thanks for the 411. I’ll donate to Obama when the pantsuit bitch’s debt is finally relieved. If only one cent of my money is used to help that egotistical whore in any way, it’s criminal.

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