If the ‘surge’ isn’t the ‘surge,’ then everyone can love the ‘surge’

At the risk of belaboring the point, one last thought on John McCain’s decision to redefine what the “surge” policy actually means.

Up until yesterday afternoon, everyone, everywhere, knew exactly what the “surge” was. In fact, the White House communications office came up with the word in January 2007, because “troop escalation” didn’t poll well. Given public attitudes at the time, “surge” sounded better, and was easier to sell to a skeptical electorate.

The surge was straightforward: we’d send tens of thousands of additional troops, primarily to Baghdad, in order to lessen the violence and offer Iraqi leaders “breathing space” to reach political reconciliation. We now know the policy was about half-right — more troops, in combination with other factors, produced more stability, but political progress remains elusive.

Never mind all that, McCain argued yesterday, the surge isn’t what we all think it is: “A surge is really a counter-insurgency strategy, and it’s made up of a number of components. This counter-insurgency was initiated to some degree by Colonel McFarland in Anbar province, relatively on his own.”

We talked earlier about why this is complete nonsense, but my friend Anonymous Liberal raised a point I’d overlooked.

If you define “the surge” as broadly as he does here, you can no longer claim that Barack Obama opposed it. Obama, of course, has never been opposed to the use of more effective counter-insurgency tactics in Iraq. Indeed, from the moment Obama arrived in the Senate in 2004, he criticized the Bush administration for failing to appreciate that it was dealing with an insurgency and adopting appropriate counter-insurgency techniques. For example, in this 2005 speech Obama argued that we need to “focus our efforts on a more effective counter-insurgency strategy and take steam out of the insurgency.” His point at the time was that the Bush administration had failed to re-evaluate policies in Iraq that had contributed to the growth of the insurgency.

McCain and his surrogates are slamming Obama for supposedly failing to acknowledge that he was wrong about “the surge,” even going as far as to assert that Obama’s failure to do so is reminiscent of George Bush’s own inability to admit error. The truth, however, is that Obama has, on numerous occasions, acknowledged that “the surge” has contributed — along with a number of other factors — to the decreased violence in Iraq, and he’s praised the troops for their outstanding efforts. McCain on the other hand, stubbornly refuses to acknowledge when he gets basic facts wrong, instead resorting to ludicrous definitional games to try to explain why what he said was correct all along.

Yep.

The only foreign policy argument John McCain has made over the last two weeks is that he was right about the surge while Obama was wrong. And what draws him to that conclusion? Well, in January 2007, McCain supported Bush’s decision to send 20,000 additional troops to Iraq, and Obama didn’t. Since this troop escalation was partially responsible for a reduction in violence, McCain is patting himself on the back. The policy didn’t fail.

But yesterday, McCain redefined the policy, and changed the equation. If we should consider the “surge” the broader policy of a “counterinsurgency,” then Obama wasn’t wrong at all. In fact, Obama doesn’t even disagree with McCain about the merits of the surge. Everyone supported the notion of a counterinsurgency — we’ve been engaged in a counterinsurgency for years.

In other words, McCain’s Wednesday argument necessarily undoes his Tuesday argument.

Yglesias added:

[O]f course maybe McCain will say that he has a private language in which “surge” means “counterinsurgency” and it’s therefore wrong to bother him about this. In which case, I suppose it’s hard for anyone to ever prove that he’s wrong. But on the other hand if that’s what he means, then it’s hard to make sense of the claim that McCain was “right about the surge” whereas Obama was “wrong” since if “the surge” is just a generic term for the use of counterinsurgency tactics the I don’t think McCain and Obama ever really disagreed.

Isn’t word parsing fun?

I guess next the McCain campaign will redefine Shiite and Sunni, so that he can be right about them being in cahoots.

And their buddies in the media will let them.

  • Eric Sinseki said in 2002 we needed “Several Hundred Thousand Troops” to deal with post-invasion Iraq. That would have been based on standard Army counter-insurgency planning calculations. Don R[D]um[b]sfeld thought that numbers like that would be a deal breaker (as they would, as they would have required a draft) and came up with Shock and Awe.

    And we got a insurgency that Dick Cheney denied existed for the longest time, then claimed was on its last throws (sp?) when it was going strong.

    If Obama said we needed a counter insurgency strategy when we were engaged in a General Casey led Force Protection strategy (i.e., hiding in our bases) meant to reduce AMERICAN casualties from three a day to three a week to three a month (scan George F. Will’s columns in 2006 and you’ll find that very phrase) so that Americans will be reconciled to a permanent occupation to protect the Texas Oil Mafia’s investment in Iraqi Oil Production then he clearly has a better record than JSMcC*nt. Of course the problem with the Casey strategy (it’s not really his, but he’ll have to bear the guilt of it for all time) was of course that it:
    1) didn’t reduce American casualties fast enough,
    2) didn’t account for Americans becoming upset at Iraqi Civilian (and Security Personnel) casualties, and
    3) didn’t win the Republican’ts the 2006 election.

    So now, rather then follow the advice of the Iraqi Study Group to GET OUT, Boy George II decided to embrace the Surge and put Petraus in charge of a Counter Insurgency strategy rather than a Force Protection strategy, which has proven ‘successful’ in so much as we are still there in Iraq and BGII won’t have to accept the fact that he lost in Iraq (the oil contracts the Texas Oil Mafia told him to secure for them in exchange for getting to be the Republican’t Nominee for President over…

    … yes, you’ve guessed it, John Sidney McC*nt).

    Oh, and since the Force Protection strategy was in place until General Casey left, JSMcC*nt is lying again. A full Colonel does not set Strategy in a war zone.

  • McCain argued yesterday, the surge isn’t what we all think it is: “A surge is really a counter-insurgency strategy, and it’s made up of a number of components.”

    Another component of the 2007 “counter-insurgency strategy” was an inceased emphasis on training Iraqi troops.

    Really??? After four years?

    None of these Republican morons should be put in charge of anything more complicated than a shovel to dig ditches with.

  • Prediction: If Obama points out that he agreed with areas of what McCain is now defining as the surge, he will be accused of “flip-flopping.”

    As a result, McCain will be allowed to define the term anyway he wishes.

  • An unflushed toilet, no matter how you re-define it, still stinks up the whole house….

  • Today’s headlines should have been:

    “McCain speaks in Cheese Aisle, disagrees with modern understanding of linear time”

  • Boy, Alex Koppelman was right this morning when he defined the ol’ Bagger as “the indefatigable Steve Benen.”

    Now if the rest of America would just take the time to read all this, McCain would be the toast lying atop the rest of the garbage out in the composter.

  • I believe I am responsible for McCain’s change in strategy. I could, of course, be wrong.

    For the last couple days I’ve been promoting this post of mine, which clearly shows McCain and Bush claims about surge are false, and that the media is acting as a proxy for the McCain campaign and Bush administration by unquestioningly repeating those claims.

    My argument is that the troop numbers proposed by McCain at the time were meaningless, and that troop levels could not possibly be responsible for the change in violence rates in Iraq.

    The one thing I don’t say that might be responsible is that the Iraqis might be getting tired of fighting. The three factors I do note are : Casey was a sockpuppet while Petraeus is reasonably competent and intelligent, we are now paying off the people who used to be trying to kill us (the Sunni Awakening), and Moqtada al-Sadr declared a ceasefire almost a year ago.

  • the mainstream media has no clue- their fact-checking consists of reading the Drudge report, rather than the AP wire ( tho the AP seems to be riding shotgun to JMcC

  • I think McCain’s just testing the waters to see if he can get away with his solution for Iraq: Renaming it Hitlerland before nuking it into oblivion. While opinion is divided on what to do in Iraq, everyone hates Hitlerland. It’s the perfect solution.

  • verbal microparsing has become the hallmark of campaign strategies. It’s dumbing things down by omission and sound byte to appeal to the lazy shiftless wifebeater wearing luddites, God bless em.
    People would rather believe an anonymous chain email rather than a reliable source.

  • In this public dialog on the surge and what it is and when it started I notice that there seems to be a feeling that the surge began in January 2007. If I remember correctly that was the time when it was just announced and perhaps measures were taken to begin the surge process. But it took many months for the additional troops to arrive. The violence level during that time was high and the government response was that the surge hadn’t actually begun. So in reality the surge didn’t happen till somewhere around mid 2007, long after the start of the “Anbar Awakening.”

    The surge for Republicans seems to begin at whatever point in time is suitable in dealing with the political talking points of the moment.

  • This isnt terribly important and only tangentially related, but I found this redefinition of the surge amusing:

    From John McCain speaking to Sean Hannity:

    “[I]t’s pretty clear that Senator Obama was not going to change his wrong view that the success had not succeeded, and the fact is it has succeeded, and we’re winning, and he refuses to acknowledge that.”

    Wow, so now we’re just calling the surge “the success”. You cant argue that success has not succeeded, can you? Well CAN YOU, Senator Obama???

  • I’ve tried like hell to remember where I read it, but there was some reporting about native Sunni tribes approaching US forces as long a a year before the awakening proper started, but they were rebuffed (by whom exactly I don’t know, i.e., whether it was the commanders themselves, or higher up the chain). The prevailing idea was essentially everyone who didn’t want foreign troops in Iraq was al-Qaeda.

  • Gotta love the GOP — when they say something that doesn’t match reality, they just try to change reality.

    So when everyone else has one definition of the surge, and it doesn’t match McCain’s, he just changes the entire definition so that everyone else is wrong and he’s right.

    It’s a neat little trick. Deceitful and slimy as all hell, but a trick nonetheless …

  • I watched Anderson Cooper on CNN the other night for a few before Jon Stewart came on and they were talking about one of McCain’s gaffes and he said, “Well, the campaign has been long and exhausting and lack of sleep can do funny things…” I was so infuriated I had to turn the channel early.

    Speaking of Jon Stewart, did anyone catch him last night? He showed McCain saying, “I would rather lose a campaign than lose a war, but Senator Obama would rather lose a war and win an election.” Jon said, “Senator, why make the bar so low? You still have time to lose both!” LOL

  • The surge did begin before the surge began.

    Iraq does border Pakistan.

    Sunnis are Shia.

    Shia are Sunnis.

    Iran and Al Qeada are allies.

    Czechoslovakia is still a country.

    Why do you hate the troops and baby jeebus so much, whiners?

  • Rege, Joey and others lately I’ve missed.

    Thanks for the compliments. It makes putting such thoughts in order to read your appreciation.

  • I thought Obama was going to stand on principle and maintain his opposition to the entire invasion of Iraq on false pretenses. Personally I am disappointed that this overarching idea is not being put forward consistently and continually. This war was wrong from the very beginning. Why are the supposed “merits” of this debacle being debated as though this was ever the right thing to do???

  • What I don’t understand about the whole “The Surge Has Been Successful” line, is if the surge WAS successful, then why is it still not possible to reduce the troop level in Iraq, at least to pre-surge numbers? Why, if success was achieved already, are American troops still giving their lives fighting in Iraq? Why, with a successful surge is there a need for 147,000…147,000!!…troops to continue to fight in Iraq?

    And most importantly, why is no one in the media asking that question of McCain?

  • The Age of Aquarius has taken root in Europe (despite US global warming):

    “I won’t hide for you that this kind of thing is really not the type of problem that interests us,” she said. “There are, in my opinion, far more important things than paparazzi taking photos of a glamor couple [Brad and Angelina]”

    “Barack Obama’s Magical Media Tour hit its high point Thursday night as the ABC, CBS and NBC evening newscasts all led with Obama’s speech in Berlin, with NBC’s Brian Williams and Andrea Mitchell the most giddy, though ABC featured a German man who hailed Obama as ‘my new messiah.’ “

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