A flood of political fallout? Don’t count on it

Guest Post by Morbo

You have to love the optimism of the European media. As the floodwaters in New Orleans slowly recede, some commentators are speculating that this time, President George W. Bush might actually be held accountable.

The disaster and the utter failure of the Bush administration to address it are being treated as a seminal turning point in American politics, a defining moment that will ripple across the body politic and bring us to a new and better place.

Johann Hari, writing in the London Independent, succinctly lays out the case against Bush: he ignored the warnings that the levees were weak, he slashed the Army Corps of Engineering funding that could have fixed them, he attacked FEMA’s budget, he myopically insisted that another terrorist attack was more likely than a natural disaster, he cut taxes for the rich in lieu of investing in infrastructure. Hari concludes:

“A limp, passive government serving only corporate interests cannot solve problems, whether it is a hurricane or the slow-motion crisis of American poverty or chaos in Iraq. So could a natural disaster reveal this and jolt Americans out of their thirty-year long slide into small government consolation?…. Could a new American liberalism arise from the fetid waters of New Orleans once again?”

Sigh. In a country where people were smart and rational and fundamentally decent, yes, that’s exactly what would happen. Unfortunately, the United States is none of those things right now.

It must be hard for Europeans. They sit across the pond, see the utter ineptitude of the Bush administration and know exactly what they would do: clean house. It’s so obvious. Yet it does not happen here, and they can only wonder why.

Bush and his gang, led by the incorrigible Karl Rove, have already decided how to play this one: Shift the blame to state and local authorities. Subtly blame the victims. Play the race card. (That always goes over well in red state America.) Work the conservative media.

It’s already working. Polls have emerged showing that most people don’t blame Bush for the post-hurricane mess.

Yet Bush is exactly the one to blame. After all, it was his short-sighted policies and inept appointments that brought the anemic response.

Consider the case of Michael Brown, whom New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd called “the blithering idiot in charge of FEMA.” Brown admitted he was unaware there were 15,000 thirsty, hungry people trapped in the New Orleans Convention Center. That alone should have qualified him for a pink slip. Writes Dowd:

Was he sacked instantly? No, our tone-deaf president hailed him in Mobile, Ala., yesterday: “Brownie, you’re doing a heck of a job.”

Dowd writes pointedly, but I fear incorrectly, that Bush and Co. “shook the faith of all Americans in American ideals. And made us ashamed.”

Would that it were so. It amazes me that after five years plus of the Bush Gang, some journalists still “misunderestimate” him. This is a man who never admits a mistake, a man surrounded by the most craven partisan political operatives imaginable, a man who completely and utterly lacks any shred of a conscience, a man who cares about one thing and one thing only: the acquisition and maintenance of power for the most extreme elements of his party. They will say and do anything to hold on to that power, and if it means lying through their teeth, shifting the blame to innocent people and engineering phony good news, so be it.

Bush went to New Orleans and said inane and offensive things. On the way down, he said he was looking forward to the visit, then realized that was a dumb thing to say and said he wasn’t. Once on the ground, he reminisced about partying there. He made a few cursory visits with victims in one of the nicer shelters, then told everyone he was leaving but that he would not forget them. It was without a doubt the lamest performance by a president during a natural disaster ever and illustrated the depths to which this man is hopelessly out of his element.

Not much to work with there, right? But Bush doesn’t have to burnish his reputation on his own. If he did, we would have been shed of him a long time ago. What saves him is that he has the most cynical team of political jackals the world has ever known at his side. They are no match for progressives, many of whom foolishly continue to believe in the inherent decency of humankind.

That Bush team knows it has a powerful ally on its side: the natural cluelessness of much the nation. They know that if you repeat something enough, with sufficient force, many Americans will start to believe it — no matter how outlandish or disconnected from the truth it is.

Don’t believe me? Then ask yourself this: What percentage of the American public still believes Saddam Hussein was tied to Sept. 11, 2001?

Even now, as corpses are dragged out of wretched waters of New Orleans, as the sick and elderly die and newly minted orphans cry themselves to sleep at night in squalid shelters, even as desperate people wander the streets looking for missing loved ones or pack themselves into tents in strange cities, Team Bush has its priorities straight — not helping the victims, of course, but finding ways to pin the blame for their total and abject failure on someone else.

Watch them work their magic in the days and weeks to come. Watch them and be disgusted. But above all, be ashamed. Be very ashamed.

While this is certainly true, I wouldn’t be so pessimistic. Bush and his disgusting confederates have the upper hand for the moment. But
it might be instructive to recall that Katrina will cause more long-term problems that Bush will have to deal with. The price of fuel is one of them.
The hidden problems with the overall economy will also start to rear their ugly heads. Katrina has set in motion a slow motion disaster that
will require skill and intelligence to deal with- skills the current bunch
of rotters in Washington clearly lack.
Also, not everyone in the press has been cowed by Bush’s power.
Commenatators who were asleep are now begining to wake up to the
true nature of the little beast in the Oval Office.
The cracks are only slowing begining to show i n the dam. When they do a torrent of water will come crashing over us and could finally wash Bush
from power.
October has traditionally been a time when acute political crises manifest themselves. Keep watch over events in the next few weeks. There may be some surprises coming.

  • I agree with cuccia. I think Grover Norquist’s dream of
    drowning government in a bathtub, has been drowned
    in New Orleans. If we’re lucky, the whole damn GOP
    will drown there too.

  • 40% of the American people despised Bush before Katrina, and now despise him even more intently. 30% of the American people are hopelessly stupid or corrupt or both, and are committed partisans of the Right, who will swallow whatever Kool-Aid is served.

    And, 30% of the American people are uninformed, uninvolved middle-of-the-road, split-the-difference, don’t bother me, they’re all alike, can’t believe that morons. And, it is the 30% — the “moderates” without political allegiance or political attention span or political memory — who hold the balance of power.

    The Bush machine has two targets: their own 30% and the middle 30%. The so-called main stream media has only one target: the middle 30%.

    The middle 30% sees a political dispute, but does experience that that dispute as a debate with competing theses and logical arguments, but, rather, as hypnosis. They are drawn into a trance, and uncritically absorb soundbytes as hypnotic suggestions, bumperstickers for the unconscious.

    The Bush machine uses the incompetent self-satisfaction of the MSM as a lever to produce pleasing hypnotic trances for the middle 30%.

    And, in our majority take all, “representative” democracy, the Bushies are able to hold onto political power, reducing the conscious 40% to impotent rage. Thus, are great countries reduced to rubble.

  • Thanks for your comment, Jim B.
    If you want a foretaste of the firestorm that is coming then go to AOL
    and look up the story about the insurance industry deciding that the
    Katrina event is really two separate disasters: a wind event and a
    flood. In fact, they’ve already started calling it the Great Flood of New Orleans.
    So all the poor bastards who trusted in their government to protect them
    are now royally screwed.
    You can just imagine where Chimpy’s sympathies are going to lie, can’t you?
    Can someone provide a detailed list of every candidate in the past five years who received a contribution from the insurance lobby?
    I would like to see how many Republicans are on that list.

  • Right on, Morbo, tragically. The clueless
    American people, the right wing propaganda
    machine, and the compliant press and media
    that trumpet their message will chart the
    same disastrous drown-the-federal-government-
    in-the-bathtub course we’ve been on since 1980.

    Hardly a ripple from Katrina. The latest AP poll
    shows only 52% of Americans disapprove of
    Bush’s performance, which is utterly shocking.
    A seminal event, yes, from the opposite shore.
    It shows this regime can weather any storm
    thrown in its way.

    This stool (changing metaphors) is so sturdy
    because it has four legs, instead of the
    proverbial three: the shockingly ignorant,
    uninformed and disengaged American public,
    the brilliant, Machiavellian right wing propaganda
    machine, the MSM controlled by the corporate
    plutocrats, and finally, an effete, spineless,
    feckless and empty Democratic Party.

    I think it’s instructive to watch cable coverage
    of the Katrina disaster from the point of view
    of what the American public is actually being
    fed. Remember, not only do they not read
    Maureen Dowd, Paul Krugman, William Rivers
    Pitt, Stirling Newberry, Arianna Huffington,
    The Carpetbagger et al, they’ve never even
    heard of them! And what they’re getting is
    at least 80% administrative propaganda now.
    All the interviews are with military and
    administrative officials. Gone is the outrage
    from embedded reporters, who aren’t even
    allowed on the scene anymore.

    And one other, very important factor has not
    yet worked its way into the American psyche:
    it turns out, mercifully, that the death toll is
    far, far less than originally anticipated. They
    are just learning this now. So while this is
    truly great news for the nation, it’s also
    great news for the Bush administration.
    It won’t be seen as the great killer storm that
    it was a week ago.

    Sure, his support has withered to almost
    the impenetrable Republican core, but
    that’s not good enough, given the other
    factors, especially the Democrats, who
    have no message, no vision and no
    alternative platform.

  • Good points, Morbo, but I agree with anthony that you’re being a bit pessimistic. Gradually, even the base will erode under the relentless evidence of Bush’s ineptitude. Nobody likes being made a fool of, and those who have rationalized their support for Bush because he will “protect them” or that he is a “doer” are feeling foolish. Like any political battle, there is a certain amount of tribalism involved. As people see others abandoning their tribe, they’ll look to do the same.

  • Good points, Morbo. Bush was completely derelict in managing the disaster and yet he won’t get even 10% of the crap he deserves. But I’d point to 2 things:

    – America is and has always been very bad at holding its elected officials accountable. When was the last time a cabinet level official went to jail for his/her actions in official quality (I’m not talking little crimes on the side but failure on the job)? So even if there were a Democratic majority in Congress, the atmosphere is way too “bipartisan” good old boys club in Washington for anything serious to happen. Dems and Repugs simply don’t want to go at each other throats as they should in a proper democracy. So we’re not loosing much there.

    – The disapproval is not as overwhelming as it should be. Bush should at 20%/78% in a normal universe. But what’s encouraging is the “strongly disapprove” figure. In the last AP/Ipsos, Bush stands at 39%/59% but the “strongly disprove” category alone is at 40%. Two-thirds of those who don’t like his performance cannot stand the guy at all. Those will not go back towards Repugs before a long time no matter what happens.

    So, things are changing, slowly, slowly but deeply, very deeply. It’s just that the “elite” doesn’t see it coming. As usual. They never see anything coming until it hits them like a 2 by 4 right smack square in the face anyway.

  • Nobody likes being made a fool of, and those who have rationalized their support for Bush because he will “protect them” or that he is a “doer” are feeling foolish.

    People didn’t vote for George because he was going to ‘keep them safe’.

    That’s what they told pollsters, because it is not socially acceptable to tell pollsters why they were really voting for him.

    And Bush is still delivering on his real agenda — the one he never mentioned, because he never had to, and that Bush voters never told the pollsters they supported because the pollsters never asked.

    Foreigners still being blown up? Check.
    Coloreds still being kept in their place? Check.
    Everyone still gets to keep their guns? Check.
    Every day more knees bending at the name of Jesus than the day before? Check.
    Faggots still can’t marry? Check.

    He’s still delivering what they wanted when they voted for him.

    Why would they bail?

  • I’m torn on this one……I really want to believe that the majority of the folks are finally seeing this administration’s true colors, but I’ve been dumbfounded too many times before by how people react.

    I was struck by Cheney’s callous comment today……

    “Vice President Dick Cheney visited an emergency management center in Austin, Texas, and said the government was finally gaining control of the situation. “I think we are in fact on our way to getting on top of the whole Katrina exercise. We’ve got a lot of work ahead of us,” he said.”

    Fucking exercise??????????

    Reminds me so much of the “Last throes of the insurgency comment”………these people have no shame.

  • look at it this way, the r’s have lost at least three states: louisiana and mississippi from the storm and ohio from local scandal. any r running next year in the n.e. better do it as far from the jerks in washington as possible.

    and keep in mind gas prices in the red south are higher than the nat. average because their closest refineries are toast. add on a minimum of a 40% increase in nat gas prices this winter and it is hard making a case for any repub success for the next ten years.

  • People didn’t vote for George because he was going to ‘keep them safe’.

    I’ve seen many people say in blogs that that was exactly what their motivation was. Now they may lie on blogs and to themselves just as they do to pollsters, but I don’t think you can discount the number of people who were fairly sincere in this rationale (never mind how misguided it was) and now feel burned.

    Add to this the massive media coverage of the patronage & cronyism issues in FEMA, the fact that Katrina exposes the myth of Bush as an effective leader, and the fact that states in Bush’s base were hit, and I think you’ll see some noticeable and permanent erosion of support.

  • Why do people live below sea level like that? That is the essential problem. Why do so many people invest in an area that is so dangeous to live in? I want to see it rebuilt above sea level, if at all, becuase I don’t want to pay for its reconstruction if the beauraucrats in Washington can’t save it if another one comes. The problem is not the government, the problem is that the people are dumb enough to build under sea level. And I guess it is their right to be so dumb, but if I were Bush I would relocate the city to above sea level so it at least drains out by itself if this happens again.

  • Check out this comment from TPM cafe starting with, “We must remember before anything else that there are a large number of Bush supporters who truly believe that the man was ordained by God to be the President of the United States.” Read it and weep, it’s pretty convincing (how many of us have seen the evidence among friends and family?).

  • Jimmy, it wasn’t below sea level when it was built. It wasn’t until the Army Corps of Engineers started mucking about trying to control the Mississippi River that the wetlands started to disappear, the silt stopped rebuilding them, and the city started to sink.

    On a completely separate note, I gotta say I really like the simplicity of the anti-spam tool you’ve got here. Who needs random number generators? 😉

  • Even Brian Williams said its time for the MSM to take their gloves off. Americans are waking up. I’m seeing a lot of stuff that would normally only be on lefty blogs on the MSM now. Go to DemocraticUnderground and sign the impeachment petition.

  • “What percentage of the American public still believes Saddam Hussein was tied to Sept. 11, 2001?”

    Indeed, that is one of the best indicators of ignorance. Apparently the vice chairman of the House subcommittee on terrorism believes that garbage…

    “Saddam Hussein and people like him were very much involved in 9/11,” Rep. Robin Hayes said.

    Hayes insisted that the connection between al Qaeda and Saddam and “folks who work for him” has been seen “time and time again.”

    http://www.cnn.com/2005/POLITICS/06/29/hayes.911/

  • according to the Harris Poll #14, February 18, 2005, the public is still largely CLUELESS…

    88 percent of U.S. adults believe that Saddam Hussein would have made weapons of mass destruction if he could have (down slightly from 90% in November).
    76 percent believe that the Iraqis are better off now than they were under Saddam Hussein (same as November).
    64 percent believe that history will give the U.S. credit for bringing freedom and democracy to Iraq (up slightly from 63% in November).
    64 percent believe that Saddam Hussein had strong links to Al Qaeda (up slightly from 62% in November).
    61 percent believe that Iraq, under Saddam Hussein, was a serious threat to U.S. security (down slightly from 63% in November).
    More surprising perhaps are the large numbers (albeit not majorities) who believe the following claims not made by the president and which virtually no experts believe to be true:

    47 percent believe that Saddam Hussein helped plan and support the hijackers who attacked the U.S. on September 11, 2001 (up six percentage points from November).
    44 percent actually believe that several of the hijackers who attacked the U.S. on September 11 were Iraqis (up significantly from 37% in November).
    36 percent believe that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction when the U.S. invaded (down slightly from 38% in November).

    http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=544

  • Convengo con. Pienso el sueño de Grover Norquist en ahogar el gobierno en una bañera, me he ahogado en New Orleans. Si somos afortunados, el GOP de la maldición del conjunto se ahogará allí también.

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