It depends on what the meaning of ‘theory’ is

By way of John Cole, we see that James Q. Wilson helped highlight one of my biggest pet peeves in all of public policy discourse: when opponents of modern science dismiss evolutionary biology as “only a theory.”

People use “theory” when they mean a guess, a faith or an idea. A theory in this sense does not state a testable relationship between two or more things. It is a belief that may be true, but its truth cannot be tested by scientific inquiry. One such theory is that God exists and intervenes in human life in ways that affect the outcome of human life. God may well exist, and He may well help people overcome problems or even (if we believe certain athletes) determine the outcome of a game. But that theory cannot be tested. There is no way anyone has found that we can prove empirically that God exists or that His action has affected some human life. If such a test could be found, the scientist who executed it would overnight become a hero.

Evolution is a theory in the scientific sense. It has been tested repeatedly by examining the remains of now-extinct creatures to see how one species has emerged to replace another. Even today we can see some kinds of evolution at work, as when scholars watch how birds on the Galapagos Islands adapt their beak size from generation to generation to the food supplies they encounter.

The point of Wilson’s piece was to dismiss intelligent-design creationism, but thankfully, he also took time to deal with this confusion surrounding “theories.” Watch any conflict over evolution and, within minutes, you’ll hear a creationist insist that students should be exposed to competing “theories” and that the “theory of evolution” is no better than any other “theory.” The idea is to suggest that if the science were absolutely true, it’d be called the “fact of evolution.”

It’s maddening, and yet, the reality-based crowd has to keep dealing with it. The National Academy of Sciences, one of the world’s most respected institutions of scientific and engineering research, took this on a few years ago.

Scientists most often use the word “fact” to describe an observation. But scientists can also use fact to mean something that has been tested or observed so many times that there is no longer a compelling reason to keep testing or looking for examples. The occurrence of evolution in this sense is a fact. Scientists no longer question whether descent with modification occurred because the evidence supporting the idea is so strong.

Gravity is a theory; just like electromagnetism, plate tectonics, and general relativity. But that won’t stop a few misguided souls in Georgia (and elsewhere) from insisting that science textbooks feature warning labels that tell students that evolution “is a theory, not a fact.”

The mind reels.

Well, I guess the peter principle theory is being proven a fact by this Sadministration and darn near each person in it.

  • Confusion over terminology (when discussing evolution) is a sympton, not the disease. Many people have a powerful emotional need to disbelieve evolution, and so will latch onto any point, no matter how tendentious, to bolster their point of view. You can debunk this ignorant use of the word “theory” as much as you like, but it won’t have any effect on the anti-Darwinists. Assuming you could somehow get them to stop making this idiotic point, they’d just fall back to one of their other equally idiotic points.

  • It does seem like people are set in their beliefs, but over time people do seem to change. So it’s worth it to continue to correct ignorance and mendacity as many times as it rises. Most people who lived through it have vastly different attitudes than they did 40 years ago. It’s slow and frustrating, but what other hope do we have.

    You can’t change a person with one logical argument. Sometimes it takes 30 years of the Civil Rights effort, for instance, to cure a rascist.

  • The difference between the common usage of the word theory with the meaning in context of the scientific method is one that is difficult to argue with creationists. As JimBOB points out, they don’t want to see it.

    The other thing that gets to me is that the same people that try to dismiss evolution as “only a theory!” embrace things such as creationism, which is not supported by any factual evidence, and ID, which is essentially an opinion.

    I do agree with Dale that such beliefs take a long time to win battles. It is frustrating, however, that in the 2000’s the anti-science crowd has such a large amount of support and can even garner legitimizing comments from the president.

  • Sometimes it takes 30 years to cure a racist, Dale said….I think it may take 100 or more. I live in the south and I can attest they are not cured! Not that everyone here is still a racist but there are some and it will take awhile! So lets not think that in 30 years the creationists will understand science.

  • It’s maddening, and yet, the reality-based crowd has to keep dealing with it.

    The Democrats are now taking credit for the theory of evolution? I guess it’s OK since Al Gore invented the internet….

  • BlogReeder sounds like a creationist,

    I am not a democrat but I feel
    proud to be a member of the reality-based community.

    Thank You and have a happy season of excess

  • Gravity IS NOT a theory.

    Gravity WAS a theory until we discovered that gravity DOES NOT EXIST.

    Gravity, as we see it in normal life, is simply the effect of distortions in space-time.

    While I am on the topic:

    Newtons LAWS of thermodynamics have significantly less support in actual testable evidence than
    either
    the THEORY of relativity
    or the THEORY of evolution.

    Why is it that the LAWS are wrong but the THEORIES appear not to be wrong?

    OK. OK. The Theory of relativity appears to fall to pieces when quantum mechanics is needed.

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