Looking for some Joe-mentum in Connecticut

In March 2005, John Orman, a poli sci prof at Fairfield University who ran unsuccessfully for Congress in 1984, said he would take a big risk: he’d take on Sen. Joe Lieberman (D) in a Dem Senate primary. Six months later, Orman looked at his campaign coffers — he’d raised $1,000. Lieberman had $3.8 million. Orman quit.

This is far more serious.

Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, who rose to national prominence as the 2000 Democratic vice presidential nominee, appears likely to face a serious primary challenge this year that could measure the depth of his party’s discontent over the Iraq war.

Ned Lamont, a businessman and war critic, last week began publicly seeking support for a run against Lieberman in the state’s August nominating contest. Lamont is attracting interest largely because of Democratic grumbling — in Connecticut and nationally — about Lieberman’s unflinching support of President Bush’s policies in Iraq.

“The indications I have is that a primary would be good for the party and very doable,” said Lamont, 52, who founded a cable television company.

Lieberman, 63, said he was prepared for a fight. “I am totally energized by this,” he said. “I’m proud of my record and I’m ready to defend it.”

Realistically, Lieberman has reason to be confident. Three-term incumbents with flush bank accounts, high approval ratings, universal name recognition, no scandals, and no meaningful opponents from the opposite party, as a rule, win re-election without trying.

And yet, a recent poll of Connecticut Dems asked whether they’d like to see Lieberman win a fourth term — 52% said yes, but 39% said they would prefer a new candidate. All things considered, those aren’t encouraging results for the incumbent. In fact, it’s already enough to make Lieberman very nervous, as evidenced by his recent outreach to Democracy for America activists.

I have limited inside-info on this, but keep an eye on Lamont’s decisions over the next few weeks. And on Lieberman’s sudden scramble to sure up his base.

There’s an old political metaphor about a mother eating her young, but it is well past time that the Democratic Party starting eating its old. The Washington leadership of the Democratic Party is palpably ineffective, undisciplined, wrongly motivated and out of touch, and, in some respects, Joe Lieberman is the poster child for all that.

Unfortunately, however unpopular Joe may be with Democratic activists in the hinterland, he’s plenty popular in Connecticut.

I don’t think the primary challenge will amount to much. It probably won’t even result in Lieberman’s behaving any better (e.g. regarding the criticism of other Democrats). The Democrats won’t gain control of either house in November 06, and the shock of that may result in some, more serious reform movement in the Party.

  • The Democrats won’t gain control of either house in November 06, and the shock of that may result in some, more serious reform movement in the Party.

    Bruce, if “shock” was going to set in, it came and went with BushCo taking 2004. But I agree that the dinosaurs of losing elections should be retired if they won’t step up to the plate. “Three-term incumbents with flush bank accounts, high approval ratings, universal name recognition, no scandals, and no meaningful opponents from the opposite party” may get reelected, but with Republicans, they’d be a help to their party or they’d be out on their collective butts faster than Rush Limbaugh downs Oxycontin at a Mark Kulkis porn orgy. (and here)

  • Lieberman’s a pompous ass and represents everything that’s wrong with the Democratic Party: if you interest-group him enough, as on choice and Alaskan drilling, he’ll vote with you, but if he sees no direct interest for him–as on the war and corporate scandal–he’ll finger-wag the Dems and brown-nose the Bushistas.

    That said, I think the best result here is that he gets scared silent but keeps his seat and the D after his name. Like him or not–and I definitely don’t–he probably does have some symbolic value outside “the base.” I don’t want to see him go indy, in which case he’d vote with the Republicans much more; and I don’t want to see him join Bush’s cabinet in a fit of pique, because we’d then see the hyper-popular CT Governor Jodi Rell appoint a Republican in Holy Joe’s place.

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