‘Having trouble’ at Treasury

Rumor has it that [tag]Treasury[/tag] Secretary [tag]John Snow[/tag] will get the boot any day now. Part of the problem, apparently, is that the White House is reportedly “having trouble” finding someone qualified who wants the job. That’s not a good sign.

Bush hasn’t had much luck with Treasury secretaries, historically one of the Big Four cabinet posts. [tag]Paul O’Neill[/tag] was ignored and mistreated, leading him to help write a book that blasted the president. Snow was hired to be a cheerleader for economic policies that don’t make any sense, and he’s never been particularly good at it.

The Wall Street Journal reported that former Sen. [tag]Phil Gramm[/tag] of Texas has generated “increasing attention” for the job.

The thinking is that previous secretaries and other candidates have either too much politics and not enough economics or too much economics and not enough politics.

His assets: Credibility on Capitol Hill, strong on substance, good communicator, private sector experience at UBS. His liabilities: A reputation for being an independent thinker in an administration that wants an implementer rather than a policymaker.

I can’t quite figure out why Gramm, or really anyone, would want the job. As the WaPo reported the last time Snow had one foot out the door, top-flight economists don’t want to give up lucrative, serious jobs to become a Bush lackey.

One economist, who was rumored to be up for a position on the Council of Economic Advisers, said he could not take a job that has been steadily pushed to the sidelines over the past two years. “You can’t be attracted to a job where you’d be out of the loop,” he said.

Bruce Bartlett, before his was fired from the conservative National Center for Policy Analysis for criticizing Bush, said, “Why would you want to take a job where you have no influence? What’s the point?”

Still, the Gramm possibility is intriguing for a few reasons.

Would Gramm, who once fancied himself presidential material, want to return to Washington to become a Bush sycophant? To take a post that has lost its historical significance and join a team in which cabinet secretaries have little power and even less influence? I have a hard time picturing it.

For that matter, if the job is effectively that of a “cheerleader” for Bush’s economic policies, couldn’t the White House find someone with a little more…cheer? Gramm is one of the more dour, unlikable, and unfriendly people to serve in the Senate in recent memory. Gramm makes Dick Cheney look like Ned Flanders. When thinking about someone Bush could turn to in order to rally support for his economic plan, Gramm hardly seems like the ideal choice.

On the other hand, Gramm’s confirmation hearings could be highly entertaining. As Dan Gross once told Noam Scheiber:

Just this morning I was dreaming about the prospect of a CNN split screen with his confirmation hearing on the left, and his self-satisfied professional-economist warnings that the 1993 Clinton budget/tax hike would instantly lead to a recession on endless loop on the right.

It’s one thing to be an economic ignoramus if you’re a career bureaucrat. It’s quite another thing — and an altogether more amusing one — to be an economic ignoramus when you’ve got a Ph.D. in the subject.

That’s a good point. When it comes to economic policies, few have been as spectacularly wrong as Phil Gramm. That’s probably what helped him make it onto Bush’s short list.

Also it’d be another chance to bring up the soft core porn movie he bankrolled. Dobson and Co. will love that.

  • What, he’s not Phil Gramm anymore?!

    OK, as typos go, you have to admit that’s kind of funny.

  • Gramm will only take the job if he has some chance to influence policy or sees it as a way to earn even more money when he leaves the post. I think that charges of conflict of interest regarding laws that Gramm pushed that favored Enron while his wife served on the board would be a problem in the confirmation hearing. The administration might not want to highlight its ties to Enrton at the same time that the trial is reaching a climax.

  • “… his self-satisfied professional-economist warnings that the 1993 Clinton budget/tax hike would instantly lead to a recession …

    It’s one thing to be an economic ignoramus if you’re a career bureaucrat. It’s quite another thing — and an altogether more amusing one — to be an economic ignoramus when you’ve got a Ph.D. in the subject.” – Dan Gross

    That’s not being an ignoramus. That’s trying to use your academic credentials to quash a policy with which you do not agree. If the Clinton tax hike hadn’t gone through, Gramm’s prediction would never have been tested, and he would not look quite the idiot today.

    It’s dangerous to try to use your professional credentials to oppose a policy with predictions that will come back and bite your ass.

  • CB wrote:

    When it comes to economic policies, few have been as spectacularly wrong as Phil Gramm. That’s probably what helped him make it onto Bush’s short list.

    Bingo. “Implementer” = hatchetman / goon.

  • What Hurricane Katrina did to the Gulf Coast, Hurricane Incompetence has done to Treasury. God bless the poor soul who will have to clean this up …. which most likely won’t happen until after ’08.

  • In terms of being a self-important asshat who’s been wrong on just about every substantive policy question he’s ever grappled with, Gramm is fully in the Texas tradition of Bush, DeLay and the perfectly named Dick Armey. Awful as Cornyn has been in the Senate, he’s a slight improvement on Gramm, who demonstrated his “compassionate conservative” bona fides the day he observed that America is the only country in the world where the poor children are fat.

    On the other hand, few if any presidential-hopeful concession speeches gave me as much pleasure as when he dropped in 1996. There ain’t much better in this life than watching some egomaniacal Republican face the end of his/her dearest hopes for near-unlimited power in front of the cameras.

  • Can anyone come up with a list of public quotes made by people who opposed the Clinton tax package listing all the terrible things that were going to happen?

    It seems to me that it would be fun to see Gramm’s response to the question: How can we trust anything you are telling us now until you admit you were wrong back in 1994? and then quote exactly what he said.

  • I don’t think such quaint criteria as ‘qualifications’ matter to this group. Maybe they just can’t find anyone stupid enough to take the job at this point. Who would want to oversee an economy on the precipice of disaster?

  • “[Gramm said that America is] the only country in the world where the poor children are fat.” – dajafi

    Yep, that’s because they are fed processed food with practically no nutritional value. In every other industrialized country in this world, kids actually get to eat FOOD, and not denaturalized carbohydrates.

    Kids in Mexico probably have a better diet than most kids in America.

    “It seems to me that it would be fun to see Gramm’s response to the question: How can we trust anything you are telling us now until you admit you were wrong back in 1994? and then quote exactly what he said.” – Neil Wilson

    I’d just like to get him to explain HOW he was wrong in 1994.

    There is a curve of revenue received based on the tax rate that resembles a bell curve (hopefully you all know what that looks like). At one end (left), the tax rate is 100%, the economy is $0, and the tax revenue is $0 (100% of zero is zero). At the other end (right), the tax rate is 0%, the economy is $LOTS, and the tax revenue is $0 (0% of Lots is zero). Somewhere in the middle there is the optimal tax rate to generate the greatest possible revenue. In 1994, Clinton moved the tax rate and (amazingly, to Gramm et al) tax revenue and economic growth both went up. That means that the tax rate was before 1994 was to the right of optimal point. Despite this obvious proof of concept, Bush comes in in 2001 and declares that the 1994 tax rate was to the left of the optimal point and needed to be reduced to bring us back to optimal. As you all well know, tax revenue has fallen, not risen. So clearly, we are still on the right side of the optimal point.

  • Since when did this administration give two cents about qualification for a task? Political reliability was really only the deciding factor.

    Besides, since the Republicans don’t know anything about economics or monetary policy, it doesn’t matter if they put Binky the Wonder Slug in for head of Treasury. If it does what its masters tell it to, it’s doing a “heck of a job.”

  • They had problems at Treasury from the beginning of the Bush presidency because Bush was president. It was compounded when Snow took over. Can’t see that they are likely to hire some Treasury needs because one it could be in direct conflict with the WH and two, when have they ever put aside political desires and gone for competency?

  • Does Bush really need a Treasury Secretary? Having one implies he actually gives a rat’s ass about the countrys’ financial future which he obviously doesn’t. Maybe he oughta just fire Snow. Then every time a reporter asks when he will pick a new one he can honestly answer that he’s doing the job every time he pisses and flushs the toilet.

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