I’ve received some terrific feedback thus far on my Washington Monthly article — thanks to everyone for all the support — and there’s one point in the piece that I wanted to flesh out in more detail.
The article talks a bit about how the [tag]adultery[/tag] issue isn’t on the political world’s radar right now, but the GOP base still cares a great deal about candidates’ personal “baggage.” As mentioned in the piece, Carrie Gordon Earll, a spokesperson for Dobson’s Focus on the Family, told me, “If you have a politician, an elected official, and they can’t be trusted in their own marriage, how can I trust them with the budget? How can I trust them with national security?” There was actually more content along these lines that didn’t quite fit in the finished article.
For example, I also asked Earll about whether so-called “values voters,” who were deeply concerned with infidelity in 2000, would care as much in 2008. “I don’t think this changes with the turn of the clock,” Earll said. “Whether it’s 2000, 2008, or 1994, the issue of fidelity would always be important to a values voter.” She added, “As far as our constituency, infidelity is more than an indiscretion; it is a serious violation of a sacred marriage vow.”
It’s not just Focus on the Family. I spoke with the Family Research Council’s Tom McClusky, a veteran of the Bush/Quayle ’92 and Dole/Kemp ’96 campaigns, who expressed concern about the Republicans sliding down a slippery moral slope.
“It used to be drug use would take someone down, except now everybody just does a wink and says ‘Everybody does it,'” McClusky said. “I would hate to have something like that happen with infidelity…. Defining deviancy down is something that needs to taken into consideration.”
McClusky also told me, “If not a disqualifier, [adultery] is something that would make Christian conservative voters put candidates in an adverse category. It would, most definitely.”
When I first started exploring the issue, my initial thought was that Republicans wouldn’t care about McCain’s, Giuliani’s, and Gingrich’s adultery because a) they’re Republicans; and b) pragmatic concerns about electability out weigh “character” concerns. The more I spoke to leading conservative activists, however, the more I realized my initial assumptions were wrong.
As TV preachers like Pat Robertson never tire of reminding GOP leaders, evangelical Christians make up nearly a third of the Republican base. When these “values voters” are evaluating a crowded field of presidential candidates, they’ll look for qualities that differentiate similarly qualified contenders. It’s easy to imagine such a voter siding with a candidate who has a strong family life over one who cheated on their spouse before getting a divorce.
Digby, who wrote some terrific analysis in response to the article, raised a great point.
How can the religious right come to terms with this? (I ask that only rhetorically. We know that they are hypocrites coming and going.) But this could be a successful wedge issue that forces the religious right to either cop to their true permissiveness on an issue they use as a cudgel to beat liberals over the head, namely the sanctity of marriage. Or it will expose them as the rigid, unrealistic tight-asses they really are, and perhaps brand the GOP further as the party of … unrealistic tight-asses. It’s worth thinking about a little bit.
I couldn’t agree more. Before the article took on a media perspective, my premise was that adultery was going to be a “sleeper issue” (pun intended) in the 2008 campaign. It’s not on the political world’s mind yet, but those religious right activists who vote in Iowa and New Hampshire in January 2008 will have to reconcile political pragmatism with deeply held beliefs about the sanctity of marriage.
To date, [tag]McCain[/tag], [tag]Giuliani[/tag], and [tag]Gingrich[/tag] haven’t had to deal with this kind of personal scrutiny at all. Based on what I found in putting this article together, they’d be smart to come up with a compelling response to these questions now, because they’re going to be asked.