While the capture of yet another #2 man for al Qaeda is encouraging, this seems like an even bigger story right now. For reasons I can’t quite figure out, the U.S. media isn’t giving the story much attention.
The most influential moderate Shia leader in [tag]Iraq[/tag] has abandoned attempts to restrain his followers, admitting that there is nothing he can do to prevent the country sliding towards [tag]civil[/tag] [tag]war[/tag].
Aides say Grand Ayatollah Ali [tag]al-Sistani[/tag] is angry and disappointed that Shias are ignoring his calls for calm and are switching their allegiance in their thousands to more militant groups which promise protection from Sunni violence and revenge for attacks.
“I will not be a political leader any more,” he told aides. “I am only happy to receive questions about religious matters.”
It is a devastating blow to the remaining hopes for a peaceful solution in Iraq and spells trouble for British forces, who are based in and around the Shia stronghold of Basra.
“Devastating blow” sounds about right. As the Telegraph noted, al-Sistani has been “the important Shia religious leader in Iraq and has been a moderating influence since the invasion of 2003.” If he’s giving up, hope for the future is dwindling — assuming anyone still has any hope left.
As C&L reminds us, the Washington Post’s David Ignatius was on The Chris Matthew show in July, discussing al-Sistain’s concerns about Iraq spinning out of control. Ignatius said:
“Well, if you didn’t have enough bad news out of the Middle East this week, Ayatollah Sistani. He’s really the most important and powerful personality in Iraq. He is signaling the Bush administration this week that he is worried that the situation in Iraq is spinning out of control. He is the crucial person. If he gives up on this effort, this effort is over.
“He has been our crucial ally. He is very quiet. You don’t see him, he doesn’t give speeches, he doesn’t meet with Americans. But if he decides the game is up, the game is up.”
As Yglesias noted, al-Sistani was, up until recently, considered the “magic bullet,” not only for Iraq, but also possibly Iran. Now, he’s giving up. It’s not a good sign.