‘Without deliberate speed’

For the last couple of weeks, all we’ve heard from the White House is about the “new way forward” in Iraq that the president will present to the nation before Christmas. Bush is going through the motions — meeting with all the right people, especially those who agree with him more than the Iraq Study Group — and the new policy, we’re told, is going to be just great.

Yesterday, of course, Tony Snow announced that the Bush gang will keep us in suspense a bit longer. “[Bush] decided, frankly, that it’s not ready yet,” Snow said. He did not offer a specific date for the speech, telling reporters, “[It] is not going to happen until the new year. We do not know when, so I can’t give you a date, I can’t give you a time, I can’t give you a place, I can’t give you a way in which it will happen.”

At a certain level, this didn’t strike me as terribly surprising or disconcerting. The White House says its new-and-improved policy isn’t ready yet. Fine. The Bush gang says they need more time. Fine. They say it’s more important to get it right than get it fast. Fine.

But upon further reflection, it’s not fine. The president has had nearly four years — the more he dithers and dances through his Kabuki-like “listening tour,” the worse Iraq gets.

We are more than eager for this White House to finally get something right on Iraq. But we find it chilling to imagine that Mr. Bush and his advisers have only now begun a full policy review, months after Iraq plunged into civil war and years after experts began warning that the administration’s strategy was not working.

We would like to believe that the reason for delay is that some of Mr. Bush’s advisers have come up with a sensible change in course and they are now trying to persuade the president to take it. Or that behind the scenes Mr. Bush is already strong-arming Iraq’s leaders to rein in the sectarian militias and begin long-delayed national reconciliation talks.

We fear that a more likely explanation is that the president’s ever-divided policy advisers are still wrangling over the most basic decisions, while his political handlers are waiting for public enthusiasm for the Baker report to flag before Mr. Bush tries to explain why he won’t follow through on some of the report’s most important and reasonable suggestions — like imposing a timetable on Iraqi leaders to make political compromises or face a withdrawal of American support.

That, or the White House believes it’s unproductive to roll out a new product line in late-December.

In the meantime, the delays are causing disruptions here and in Iraq.

The absence of an immediate new American plan for Iraq is adding to anxiety among Iraq’s moderate neighbors, who identify with the country’s minority Sunni Arab population, and has opened the way for new proposals from many quarters, in Iraq as well as in Washington, about the next steps. […]

In an interview, Senator Chuck Hagel, the Nebraska Republican who is often critical of the president’s war policy, called the delay “unpardonable” and added: “Every day that goes by, we are losing ground.” Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the Democratic leader in the Senate, said in a statement, “Waiting and delaying on Iraq serves no one’s interests.”

A senior administration official said Mr. Bush had decided over the last two days to prolong the deliberations based on a concern that a pre-Christmas announcement might quickly be overtaken by events. That happened to Mr. Bush in late 2005 after he used a series of speeches to unveil a “Plan for Victory” in Iraq.

Oh right, the 2005 “Plan for Victory.” Remind me; how’d that one work out?

The NYT editorial get this just right: “If the president is delaying because he is searching for a good option, he can stop. There are none.”

They simply don’t want their holiday messed up with the undoubtable folly of debate that will ensue immediately after his address. This is what makes sense to me seeing how they handle things.

  • I think the holdup is related to the Saudi’s US ambassador quitting and the not so subtle threat that the Saudi’s would back the Sunni’s if the US left. We are basically up a creek, and the Bush administration is busy using the paddles to whack people over the head, making things that much worse.

  • Bush has always engaged in magical thinking — that somehow, some way, everything will turn out just fine in the end — and until recently it always worked. Every business and other venture he undertook was magically bailed out just as it started to head south. Never mind the people who lost jobs or the investors who lost money; he always came out with more money and opportunities for even bigger ventures in the future.

    The ISG was supposed to be the bailout this time, except that they reflected a tiny bit too much reality for him to stomach. Why, it made him look bad! That wasn’t supposed to happen; he’s always come out smelling like a rose before.

    Now he’s hoping for something else to come along to magically transform the situation into a “win”, at least for him personally. The longer he delays making a fool of himself by laying out a “strategy”, the greater the possibility that he will be rescued from having to do it.

    (Sorry to get all psychological there, but what can you expect from a psychologist? And, given that Bush’s emotional maturity is at about a three-year-old level, he’s not that difficult to figure out.)

  • I long ago gave up the idea that useful policy would emerge from this White House. Bush invariably does the worst possible thing. So dithering at this point is probably as good as it gets for this bunch. It is certainly better than attacking Iran or dumping another 20,000 troops into the meatgrinder.

    Whenever this new, latest Plan for CYA comes out, I’ll predict that it won’t help, being primarily concerned with domestic political appearances. Even if they agreed to all the ISG recommendations (which they won’t) that would not accomplish much of anything either.

    The bottom line is that a paralyzed, immobile White House is the country’s (and the world’s) best outcome at this point. Too bad for all the poor sods getting killed in the war, but since Bush won’t do the right thing and withdraw, better to keep him from doing the wrong things.

  • A couple of things.
    A) The Saudi announcement might have messed up their big plan of backing the Shiites.
    B) Cock Boy might be waiting for Jesus to speak to him on the 25th. Hopefully Jesus isn’t in a nuclear mood on his bday.
    C) If the new policy is a real change then how many people are going to needlessly die because of the delay.
    D) If the new policy is the old policy with a new slogan, who cares when it rolls out.
    E) Off topic, but this send in another 20-30 thousand troops doesn’t seem to mention the 7,000 Brittan is going to pull out next year.

  • If Bush makes a plan before the Dems take over Congress, then he owns it. Once Jan 3 rolls around, the Dems are in the government and they will have to share the blame.

    With BushCo it’s all about being able to blame someone else.

  • What happened to Shruby’s gut? I thought the main thing that Dear Listener listened to was his gut.

    What’s all this crap about listening Shrubwit? You’re the decider damn it. Pedal to the metal shithead. It ain’t gonna get any easier. Follow your gut fool.

    Decide.

  • I think this delay is part of the plan. It is intended to buy Bush and Cheney some time so that they can have plastic surgery over the holiday break and slip off unnoticed to Argentina where they’ll meet up with Don, and be safe from the consequences the new Democratic Congress has in store for them. The plan: let Nancy deal with it.

  • Its a power struggle between the forces of ultimate evil (Deadeye Dick) and the forces of ultimate incompetence (Condi Dumbass). They both know that whoever has the last word in the president’s ear wins. But the WPE is too busy thinking of candy canes, mobile cars and whatever else was on his list to pay the proper attention. Waiting till after the new year allows widdle george to enjoy Christmas AND recover from his New Year’s hangover.

  • A senior administration official said Mr. Bush had decided over the last two days to prolong the deliberations based on a concern that a pre-Christmas announcement might quickly be overtaken by [A Series of Unfortunate] events.

    So, he won’t say anything now because something might happen to contradict the rosy picture he paints. That darn liberal biased reality, it keeps contradicting Clueless Leader.

    The only way this makes sense is if he plans to do something drastic enough to enforce his desired reality immediately before his speech.

    Open memo to the people of Iraq: Start digging bomb shelters, you’re going to need them.

  • I think there are a couple moving parts here.
    As G2000 and ScottW point to, the Saudis are being unusually public in their Iraq position. This seems to be an absolute slapdown of the neocon’s 80% solution of backing the Shia in Iraq’s civil war. If that was part of the shiny new plan, it’s in tatters now.
    This Bush regime has never done anything without putting politics first. (If not first, second, third and fourth) I expect any new plan for Iraq to be designed more to put the new Dem congress on the defensive, rather than accomplishing anything in Iraq. Bush already has his exit plan for Iraq. He’s going to pass it off along with the keys to the WH in Jan 2009.

  • You guys are so impatient … the new buzzwords for the next phase of not doing anything and hoping things get better will not focus-group and workshop themselves over night. It takes time to see what words W and Tony Snow can use to spin this into a more positive light while the war spins itself ever more out of control.

    Besides, as Bush always says, some good vacation time allows him to make those “crisp decisions” that deciders have to decide on.

  • Boy George II is waiting for the Democrats to do something (anything, likely) that he can use to blame them for the failure in Iraq. The conservative pundits are practically soiling themselves begging to the Democrats to cut funding for the war. But even something as simple as a review of the pre-war intelligence will likely be given as cause for BG2’s failure because it undercuts support for the war at home.

    It has to be our fault, then BG2 can leave with Saddam in an iron cage.

  • Anybody ever watched how long it usually takes for a drunk to “hit bottom,” or how many “bottoms” they have to hit, before they finally decide to go sit in one of those rooms and really listen?

  • A senior administration official said Mr. Bush had decided over the last two days to prolong the deliberations based on a concern that a pre-Christmas announcement might quickly be overtaken by events. That happened to Mr. Bush in late 2005 after he used a series of speeches to unveil a “Plan for Victory” in Iraq.

    Yeah, it will look spectacularly bad if he makes his speech and the next day the Iraqi Resistance hits the Green Zone.

    When Juan Cole first mentioned this prospective act, I thought “they don’t dare,” but I think now that watching them dig the ambassador out of the actual physical wreckage of that place is the only thing that will finally end thisnightmare. I think in the heart of the Administration, they know this is a possibility, and right now W is trying to “whistle past the graveyard.”

  • Though I am tempted to consider this to be part of Bush’s general incompetence and laziness, I think the Saudi position has him running scared. He has always given the appearance of strong loyalty to wealthy Saudis, so why should he change? Perhaps there is a secret plan for a Saudi bailout of Bush’s screw-up. It has happened before

  • “Perhaps there is a secret plan for a Saudi bailout of Bush’s screw-up.” – Gracious

    True. The problem is basically in parts of the Arab world the only way to have stability is for the minority to rule. In Syria the rulers are Shi’a but the majority (80%) are Sunni. In Iraq the numbers were reversed but basically the situation was that “minority rights”, as in “gosh we actually get to live” was only protected when the minority held the power.

    We screwed that one up in Iraq and we aren’t likely to fix it any time soon. But a Sunni “strongman” with Saudi backing, maybe that’s what the Texas Oil Mafia now wants.

  • Um… Has anyone considered the possibility that the delay is due simply to the fact that Bush needs more time to *read* the ISG report? Afterall, it’s a fairly lengthy document, harder to read and understand than his standard fare (like My Pet Goat).

  • Bush wants to drop his new “plan” just in time to steall the news cycle from the Dems and their 100 hours on Jan 4th.

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