Newsweek’s unreported poll — questions continue

Yesterday, I noted that Newsweek conducted a poll showing Hillary Clinton leading all of the top-tier Republican candidates in a hypothetical presidential match-up, and Barack Obama doing nearly as well, but the magazine neglected to report the results in its cover story about Clinton, Obama, and 2008.

Newsday, reporting on the results, noted the omission and got a response from the magazine.

The Newsweek numbers on the head-to-head presidential match-ups were not publicized by the magazine. They appeared in a press release on the magazine’s Web site but weren’t included in a Clinton-Barack Obama cover story, which focused on whether Americans were receptive to black or female presidential candidates. A Newsweek editor said the poll match-ups were not pertinent to the cover story.

I’ve been trying to get a sense of why Newsweek would leave these extremely relevant poll results out — in a poll the magazine paid for — but the “not pertinent” explanation is rather odd. As Atrios put it, “Right. The poll numbers regarding how receptive voters were to Clinton and Obama were not pertinent to a cover story ‘which focused on whether Americans were receptive to black or female presidential candidates.'”

Apparently, Clinton aides would like an explanation as well. Who could blame them?

Greg Sargent has been looking into this a bit.

As we reported below, Newsweek magazine yesterday released a poll showing Hillary Clinton beating both John McCain and Rudy Giuliani in head-to-head matchups — but mysteriously didn’t include the stunning numbers in this week’s big cover story about the electability of both Clinton and Barack Obama.

Now Clinton’s advisers are demanding an explanation for the glaring omission. A source close to the Clinton camp tells Election Central that her advisers have privately requested an explanation from Jonathan Alter, the author of the piece, and from Jon Meacham, the mag’s editor. The source adds that Alter has yet to respond to the Clinton camp’s entreaty. Meacham, meanwhile, has responded but has yet to offer any kind of explanation, the source tells us. The Clinton people are continuing privately to press their case.

This isn’t a Newsweek-bashing exercise; indeed, I generally like Newsweek quite a bit (I’m even a subscriber). But the magazine’s handling of this is troubling.

Steve M. makes the case that the poll results conflicted with the preferred media narrative, so they had to be discarded. I hope that’s not the case.

Logically, the predictable answers don’t work. It doesn’t seem to be an issue of space, for example, because Newsweek’s Clinton/Obama article was 4,000 words long. It’s not an issue of disregarding all of the poll, because the article cited several results from the same survey before omitting the most important part.

Why would Newsweek chose to not give readers the whole story? At this point, the “not pertinent” reasoning is wholly unsatisfying. Stay tuned.

Donald Graham (the owner of WaPo and Newsweek) read the polling results and harrumphed that the results were “audacious and impertinent”…the editors at Newsweek were simply doing their job by changing the wording to “not pertinent”…lol.

  • When I first heard about this, I figured there must have been something about the poll methodology that led Newsweek to feel it couldn’t stand behind the results. Later, when I found out Newsweek released the poll numbers in a press release promoting the article, that theory went out the window. Now, with these ridiculous “not pertinent” to the story claims, I’m left no choice but to think that they just didn’t want numbers to get in the way of a good story.

  • “Why would Newsweek chose to not give readers the whole story?” – CB

    Because they want a white man to run for the Democrats in 2008?

    Is there another explanation to:

    1) The whole purpose of the story (to undermine the belief in the electability of Hillary and Barack,

    2) The fact that the contridictory evidence showing Hillary beating the pants of the best known (and still not generally liked in their own party) Republican’ts would undermine the slant of their predetermined spin?

    Now anti-Hillary’s will be stuck with “she’ll be swift-boated by the Republican’ts”!

    As if any Democratic nominee would be so outstanding as not to be attacked by the Rovian machine?

  • Poor MSM used to get away with almost anything, but now they have bloggerdom looking over their shoulder and their credibility is in danger. They’ve been pulling the same crap for decades but there was no way to make them accountable. Now the whole world is watching. Or at least an attentive percentage is.

  • Since Obama is still largely unknown (especially compared to Clinton) the whole story was retarded, but IMO Newsweek ignored the Clinton/McCain numbers because the media loves a close horse race. McCain is their only hope at present of having anything but a Dem blowout in 2008. They’re trying to keep things close, and that poll showed it’s anything but close.

    Obama is just barely behind McCain and Obama is still being confused with Osama. By 2008, the media will be pissed, because the horse race will already be over and that’s all they care about.

  • Right now, it’s just fucking name recognition in terms of the polls. Until the candidates start, you know, campaigning, the polls will be on much more sturdy footing.

    But I expect that there’ll be some deviancy in terms of the polls since I’m sure that people will tell pollsters that they’ll vote for a woman or for a black man but when it comes to actually voting, they’ll vote otherwise. Just look at Harold Ford for that phenomenon.

    If I were Hillary, I wouldn’t rely on it. A lot of people just don’t like her and it may not come out in polls but will certainly in the voting booth..

  • Steve M is absolutely correct…..the Washington Beltway Conventional Wisdom only applies to Republicans if the DEMS appear favorable or dont fit the preferred media narrative most times they are disgarded and marginalized…its really that simple…

    Continue to look for the media conventional wisdom to include:
    Exploiting and expose “shortcomings” in Obama and Hilary’s resumes (Obama – experience, race, politcal position, Hilary – famous spouse) while highlighting McCains “principled stand” in light of being in the minority regarding the Iraq War and his blatent pandering to a small group of far right extremist in his party

  • OK, OK, Newsweek ommitted the poll data. I’m still in “So and What?” mode. It’s December of 2006! This poll is interesting, perhaps (I don’t personally care for Senator Clinton as the Democratic candidate) and accurate until about next week.

    What a respondent tells a pollster on the phone is in a different universe than what a voter does in the voting booth.

    Ten months from now, let’s run the same poll and see what the numbers are, because these numbers will as meaningless then as they are now.

    And as for the “liberal media” theorizing – will Obama, Clinton, or any of the other potential candidates going to change their 2008 campaign strategy based on a single Newsweek article in December of 2006?

    -GFO

  • Newsweek will spout how their story is about the hypothetical question about whether this nation is prepared for either a woman or non-white candidate for president, despite featurng Barack ad Hillary. But those two are not “serious” candidates, after all, since serious candidates want more troops in Iraq and won’t leave until we win.

  • The Newsweek cover, and the related story by Jonathan Alter, really let the left down.

    The premise is that Democrats might be ready to do something historic, like vote for a black man or a woman. But wouldn’t electing Bill Richardson, of Hispanic ethnicity, also count as not a “white male Christian?”

    Furthermore, do people really vote to promote “someone truly different?” Will primary voters want “to try something historic?” Recent history says voters look for the most electable candidate.

    For more on this WTF? article, check out this article.

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