Bush administration anonymously presents evidence against Iran

Bush administration officials have been hinting for weeks that they had quite a presentation to show reporters about Iranian meddling in the war in Iraq, and would provide proof just as soon as they could find some. I mean, as soon as they nailed down the details. Yes, that’s it.

Yesterday, reporters in Iraq finally received the briefing they’d been waiting for. It was less than persuasive.

Senior U.S. military officials in Iraq sought Sunday to link Iran to deadly armor-piercing explosives and other weapons that they said are being used to kill U.S. and Iraqi troops with increasing regularity.

During a long-awaited presentation, held in Baghdad’s fortified Green Zone, the officials displayed mortar shells, rocket-propelled grenades and a powerful cylindrical bomb, capable of blasting through an armored Humvee, that they said were manufactured in Iran and supplied to Shiite militias in Iraq for attacks on U.S. and Iraqi troops.

“Iran is a significant contributor to attacks on coalition forces, and also supports violence against the Iraqi security forces and the Iraqi people,” said a senior defense official, who was joined by a defense analyst and an explosives expert, both also from the military.

You’ll notice, of course, that we don’t know which “senior defense official” said this, because the briefers refused to be identified. One of the officials was not only anonymous inasmuch as not giving his name, he was also anonymous to the reporters themselves, who had no idea who he was.

As Kevin Drum put it, “Golly. I wonder why no one wanted their name publicly attached to this stuff? I mean, it’s ironclad, right? A slam dunk, so to speak. It’s certainly puzzling that they’re being so shy about taking credit for their work, isn’t it?”

What’s more, today’s news accounts are admittedly thin. Reporters were shown a PowerPoint presentation including photographs of the weapons allegedly coming from Iran, but military officials “did not allow media representatives to record, photograph or videotape the briefing or the materials on display.” How solid is the intelligence? It’s hard to say — none of the officials at the briefing came from the CIA.

I’m convinced. How about you?

At this point, do we know where the Iranian weapons are going? Well, there’s this.

The officials provided further details on the case of the two Iranians captured during the December raid in the compound of one of Iraq’s leading Shiite politicians, Abdul Aziz al-Hakim of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq.

….[The raid] uncovered weapons inventory documents with information about sniper rifles and mortars, the officials said. When U.S. officials discussed the allegations with Hakim’s representatives, their explanation was that “it is normal for different groups to acquire armaments for protection purposes,” the senior defense official said.

That’s good to know, except, as Kevin noted, it doesn’t help the political situation at all — “[J]ust a couple of months ago Hakim was in the Oval Office for a chat and George Bush was calling him one of Iraq’s ‘distinguished leaders’ and praising ‘His Eminence’s strong position against the murder of innocent life.'”

And in the meantime, Iran stands accused of aiding the Shiite militias, but who’s helping the Sunnis? Paul Krugman had some thoughts on the subject.

Are there people in Iran providing aid to factions in Iraq, factions that sometimes kill Americans as well as other Iraqis? Yes, probably. But you can say the same about Saudi Arabia, which is believed to be a major source of financial support for Sunni insurgents — and Sunnis, not Iranian-backed Shiites, are still responsible for most American combat deaths.

The Bush administration, however, with its close personal and financial ties to the Saudis, has always downplayed Saudi connections to America’s enemies. Iran, on the other hand, which had no connection to 9/11, and was actually quite helpful to the United States in the months after the terrorist attack, somehow found itself linked with its bitter enemy Saddam Hussein as part of the “axis of evil.”

Well, at a minimum, we at least know what the administration claims to have with regards to a case against Iran, right? Wrong. The WaPo article explained that an Iraqi official said the U.S. military’s briefing was just part of the anti-Iranian intelligence. The administration just isn’t prepared to present the rest yet.

In other words, there’s more vague and anonymous briefings with proof we can’t see to look forward to. I can hardly wait.

Ah, unidentified presenter. If Colin Powell had only thought to wear a false mustache when he made his infamous presentation to the United Nations!

  • To use that oft-cited web reference, the Bushies have jumped the shark. Just as they have squandered their political capital, they’ve also trashed their integrity and believability. Why, given the circumstances of the press conference to unveil the “evidence” and with the Libby trial in the background, should anyone believe a single word they say?

    I’m glad the press is talking a lot about Bush’s desire to attack Iran and how the White House is trying to fabricate a reason to justify such an action. But the press needs to connect the dots and tell the world that there is no reason to attack Iran and spell out to the US the damage such an attack will do to our nation. This country needs to call BS on the neocon maneuverings to start yet another war that will do as much harm to us as it will to the Iranians. We can’t wait until the evidence is a mushroom cloud — from our attacking a sovereign nation unprovoked.

  • See the comments at TPM. Not only was there no new information, but on the shells note a lack of Persian script and a uniquely American MM-DD-YY date format. Not too persuasive overall. This may go down as the “farce” after the Iraq intel tragedy.

  • Krugman sez, “But you can say the same about Saudi Arabia, which is believed to be a major source of financial support for Sunni insurgents…”

    Whoa! Slow down, prof! We can only do one invasion at a time. I suppose we could do Saudi Arabia first, but we’ve already got the ball rolling on Iran. 😉

  • I’m also compelled to point out that, even if these armaments originated in Iran, that fact alone hardly proves that the Iranian government supplied it as a matter of policy, any more than the fact that many insurgents use AK-47s proves the Russians are behind them.

    For that matter, the Soviets unquestionably supplied the Vietnamese with weapons back in the day, and we never suggested that doing so was causus belli.

    And, given that the US supplied many of the arms used by Israle to attack Lebanon, does the US really want to suggest that providing weapons in indeed causus belli? If memory serves me right, that’s the justificiation pro-Palestinian groups have used in attacking the US. And the Bush Administration wants to validate that argument? And preemptively justify any attack Hezbollah might see fit to make against US targets?

    Why does the Bush Administration hate America?

  • Dale, I don’t think a moustache would have done it for Gen. Powell. I’m thinking perhaps this would require the fake glasses with bushy eyebrows & big fake plastic nose.
    Or maybe a full Toxic Avenger body suit, to go with the “mobile bio-weapons labs” (AKA Winnebagos of Death) theme.

  • I’m convinced! You did mean “convinced that these idiots are fucking nuts”, right? Cheney’s birth is the worst thing to ever happen to this once-great country.

  • Nancy Pelosi needs to yank her head out of you-know-where and inform Bush that the instant bombs fall on Iran is the instant she introduces Articles of Impeachment against him and Cheney. That might prevent what increasingly clearly is in the works.

  • The Bush Crime Family’s long string now-you-see-it now-you don’t justifications for our presence in the Quagmire bounce around like a fart in a skillet then disappear. Their purpose isn’t to justify or describe. Their only purpose is to temporarily keep us on the hook there so the Family’s obscene profits keep rolling in. Nothing else matters to those calling the shots (the Bushies, the Carlyle Group, Halliburton, Texas oil companies, etc.).

  • …pay no attention to those guys over there with the spray cans and the Iranian stencils near those rocket propelled grenades and cylindrical bombs… that Iranian writing was already on those weapons…. yup.

    Would you put it past them?

  • Following this briefing, I’m now completely sure that we have solid intelligence on where these Iranian weapons are being smuggled into Iraq.

    It’s “the area around Tikrit and Baghdad and east, west, south and north somewhat.”

    snort.

  • This morning’s readers’ poll on the CNN website asks the question, “Do you trust US intelligence about Iran?” When I saw it, 78 percent had answered no. That’s quite a majority.

  • Kathleen – There was a picture of one of the “Iranian” mortar shells in the Telegraph (UK) this morning. The stenciling isn’t even in farsi, it’s in english with a christian date on it. They aren’t putting that much effort and thought into faking this story, you would think the media could see through it.

  • “Hello, Central Casting? We need someone to play a military briefer. No, no one famous — we need a new face, someone nobody knows. We don’t want to ruin anyone’s reputation in case the script doesn’t hold up.”

  • Call it a hunch, but I’m pretty sure the decision has already been made to attack Iran, we just don’t know exactly when. You don’t put two carrier groups (and possibly three) into the area just to show the flag.

    My only question is, and it’s more of a faint hope, really, can pressure from the public and Congress stall the plan or will we just have to helplessly watch it unravel before our eyes again like in Iraq?

  • Yeah—I got your “evidence” right here, George:

    Those “81mm mortar canisters” (the ones with the blurred nomenclature placards) look a great deal like the UK’s L-16, which is, oddly enough, an 81mm mortar. But they look identical (with emphasis on “identical”) to the casings for the US version—the M252 81 mm mortar-shell canister. Even through the intentional blurring of the nomenclature, it’s pretty damned obvious that the lettering isn’t Iranian.

    Now, for those mysterious (blank)PG7(blank)AT-1 grenades? The ones that are “so obviously manufactured in Iran?” Let’s fill in those blanks, shall we, George? The first blank can be filled in with the letter “R,” and the second with the letters “HE.” Once we’ve placed these, we find that what we’re looking at—this so-called “Iranian-specific weapon that’s being smuggled in to Iraq,” is none other than the Soviet-era RPG-7 HEAT-1. It’s exclusively Soviet/Russian, it’s been manufactured in various forms since WW-2, it’s designed specifically to penetrate multi-layered armor, and there’s probably about ONE HUNDRED THOUSAND of the things floating around Iraq, since Saddam bought them by THE FREAKING BOATLOAD from our old cold-war buddies in Moscow.

    Next time this administration wants to pull a weapons-technology scam, they really ought to hire George Lucas. At least he can make something that’s both evil AND original….

  • This makes sense: Reports from inside Iraq are saying that the “senior defense official” was Major General William Caldwell, the chief U.S. military spokesman in Iraq. (On “The Young Turks” this morning)

  • Gregory: “…does the US really want to suggest that providing weapons in indeed causus belli?”

    At this point, it’s sufficient to accuse the Iranians and have them deny it. Shows they’re sneaking around, and being sneaky is what bad guys do. (Bad guys, and the proud American heroes of TV’s “The Unit.”)

    What I hate is that this boils down to our word against theirs — and the freakin’ Iranians sound more trustworthy. How low we’ve fallen.

  • Man, they’re not even trying to be credible this time. I think they’re just putting crap out of their asses to fill time, set the stage, and muddy the water until we or the Israelis stage the Iranian gulf-of-tonkin “attack” (convieniently right when we have all our naval forces ready to attack them).

    Seriously, this is getting unnerving. If they wanted to “find” some real Iranian weapons, I’m sure they could. (not that finding Iranian weapons would necessarily prove anything, as others have pointed out).

  • “I’m thinking perhaps this would require the fake glasses with bushy eyebrows & big fake plastic nose.” – BuzzMon #6

    You think Powell should have disguised himself as Kissinger? Hmm.

    I heard about the damning evidence and the report yesterday on the radio. Seems the US is aware of at least 3 main routes where these weapons are smuggled into Iraq from Iran. This begged the question, why not monitor these routes and stop the shipments? If we defended the border of the country we invaded there would nbe little ambiguity about if Iran was providing material support to militias.

    Could we do a worse job?

  • Thanks for the break-down Steve @ #16. You should pass that along to your local newspaper.

    However, I know a little thing like facts won’t stop these clowns and I’m not wondering if BushBrat will bomb Iran, I’m more focused on when.

    The “Case against Iran” might also explain the increasingly shrill whinging from 1600 Penn. Ave. about how NATO needs to step in and clean up Afghanistan. I suspect our soldiers in Afghanistan will be sent to hold the line against Iranian forces. Funny how leaving a job undone is only an insult to fallen soldiers when a Democrat mentions withdrawing.

  • How can you tell an American official over the rank of Major/Lt. Commander in the military or GS9 as a civilian is lying?

    Look and see if their lips are moving.

  • As reported in Australia (via TPM):

    The top American military officer, General Peter Pace, declined Monday to endorse the conclusions of U.S. military officers in Baghdad, who told reporters on Sunday that the Iranian government is providing high-powered roadside bombs to insurgents in Iraq. General Pace made his comments during a visit to Australia, and VOA’s Al Pessin reports from Canberra.

    General Pace said he was not aware of the Baghdad briefing, and that he could not, from his own knowledge, repeat the assertion made there that the elite Quds brigade of Iran’s Republican Guard force is providing bomb-making kits to Iraqi Shiite insurgents.

    “We know that the explosively formed projectiles are manufactured in Iran. What I would not say is that the Iranian government, per se (specifically), knows about this,” he said. “It is clear that Iranians are involved, and it’s clear that materials from Iran are involved, but I would not say by what I know that the Iranian government clearly knows or is complicit.”

  • Seems to me that the primary cause of weapons getting into the hands of n’eer do wells was the US when we failed to secure stockpiles during and immediately after invading.

  • .[The raid] uncovered weapons inventory documents with information about sniper rifles and mortars, the officials said. When U.S. officials discussed the allegations with Hakim’s representatives, their explanation was that “it is normal for different groups to acquire armaments for protection purposes,” the senior defense official said.

    Mortars for protection purposes?

  • “General Pace said he was not aware of the Baghdad briefing.”

    So they’re keeping their own topkick in the dark, eh? Interesting.

  • “I’m convinced. How about you?” – CB

    Even if everything said about Iran’s involvement and intentions are true, the Bushites don’t get to start another war.

    Dick Cheney has screwed up enough of the world without getting to start a third war.

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