A mild change of heart

For about a week, there’s been a subtle dance between Senate Dems and the White House when it came to a discussion over John Roberts’ papers from his work during previous Republican administrations. Predictably, the Bush gang said the documents couldn’t be released and were protected under attorney-client privilege. Dems, of course, responded by noting that Roberts has a thin judicial record, making his papers all the more relevant, and the documents are part of Roberts’ work when he was representing the public.

Yesterday, it seems the White House blinked, at least a little.

The White House will make public the bulk of documents related to Supreme Court nominee John G. Roberts Jr.’s service as a lawyer in Ronald Reagan’s administration but will withhold papers generated during his time as deputy solicitor general under President George H.W. Bush to preserve privileged internal deliberations, officials said last night.

The policy was crafted in response to demands by Senate Democrats who want to look at files connected to Roberts’s tenure in two Republican administrations for clues to his views as a potential justice. The White House said it settled on the policy in consultation with Senate Judiciary Chairman Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) and that some documents would be available for review beginning today.

Granted, the “compromise” here is pretty weak. Senators will have a chance to review about 50,000 pages from Roberts’ work in the Reagan White House from 1981 to 1986. Lawmakers will not see materials from Roberts’ work as H.W. Bush’s solicitor general in the early ’90s, which are the ones Dems feel may be the most damaging.

But the phrase I cared most about from the Washington Post report was: “in response to demands by Senate Democrats.” Since when has the Bush White House caved in any way to anything Senate Dems were demanding? The usual response is, “No. What are you going to do about it?”

More and more, I’ve come to believe the notion, as recently articulated by Ryan Lizza, that the Roberts nomination may actually be a sign of Bush weakness.

Bush’s trademark, especially when it comes to his most high-profile personnel decisions, is to select hard-right nominees that spark polarizing debates and send Democrats into a spitting rage. He has done that with Dick Cheney, John Ashcroft, John Bolton, and many of his lower-court nominees. Considering the importance of the high Court to his most rabid supporters, there was every reason to believe that Bush would choose a more ideological conservative than Roberts.

But he didn’t. Just eight months after winning a second term, and with 55 members of his own party serving as the Senate majority, Bush picked a nominee that he thought the Dems might be willing to tolerate. Then, when they started raising a fuss about the nominee’s papers, the White House backed down and said some would be made available.

Dems are hardly in a position to be pleased with themselves, but maybe, just maybe, the prospect of a united-Dem front, coupled by the left’s ready-to-fight grassroots, compounded by low poll numbers and an ongoing White House criminal investigation, made Bush think twice before picking a fight this time.

Dems have been surprisingly strong (and effective) against Social Security, the nuclear option, and John Bolton’s nomination. It’s apparently enough to make even a cocky Republican president a little nervous when filling a Supreme Court vacancy.

I think this has at least as much to do with Specter’s strengths as it does with Bush’s weaknesses. Consider:

Specter was willing to fight to get the 2004 primary win and then again in November; he fought the Rethug Leadership for the Chairmanship of the Judiciary Committee and won, AFTER announcing that radical anti-privacy/Roe candidates would have a hard time getting out of his Committee; he has maintained his demands for information on nominees so that there would not be a “steath appointee” on the SCOTUS; and he is physically sympathetic from his courageous AND vocal battle AGAINST cancer and FOR federal funding of embryonic stem cell research. Specter is NOT going to roll over and play dead like Lugar did on Bolton or Roberts continues to do on Intelligence.

Bush, on the other hand, has HUGE credibility problems with Rove and others on outing Plame, on the Downing Street Memos, on stem cell research, on the economy & gas prices, and on Iraq itself; he has bombed on Social Security and Schiavo; Bolton has been a disaster, especially because of the White House stonewalling on Dems’ document requests that go to the heart of all of the ongoing media interest in Plame; and his overall approval/disapproval ratings — especially on his trustworthiness — keep tanking. There isn’t much on the horizon that portends good things for Bush’s current political fortunes (yippie!).

Can you say that Bush is scared out of his mind? [Well, okay, he would have to have a mind with which to be scared] The bottom line is that the political realities for Bush and his “team” may be changing; it is too soon to tell, but the signs are hopeful. Further, Specter wants someone who will preserve a woman’s right to choose — that is the principal reason he won in “blue” Pennsylvania last November — and he will dig to get a commitment from Roberts OR ELSE Roberts isn’t coming out of the Committee. Period. And there will be none of that horses**t about sending the nomination to the full Senate without a recommendation.

Bush’s caving in on the documents is all about Specter AND Bush and the relative state of their current political quotients. Go Arlen!!

  • Specter was willing to fight to get the 2004 primary win and then again in November; he fought the Rethug Leadership for the Chairmanship of the Judiciary Committee and won, AFTER announcing that radical anti-privacy/Roe candidates would have a hard time getting out of his Committee;

    No, he had to back down from those statements and toured the talk shows making political apologies after he realized he was going to get the chairmanship yanked. He was humbled and it was an embarrassing moment for legislative independence.

    But while I take issue with that particular example, I am also perplexed by what appears to be a non-controversial appointment. Nothing has indicated BushCo considers bipartisanship or non-confrontational behavior an option, whether it helps or hurts. In this case, I would have though it would help shield Rove from the spotlight, trying to kill the story for a while so they could focus on killing the case (by attacking Fitzgerald, the CIA, and liberals, presumably). So why make a non-issue of the appointment?

  • Bush’s political capital is all credit card based debt and the interest payments are getting ready to come due.

  • I think that Roberts is red herring who is pro-establishment/big business, so fits the GOP corporate agenda nicely without raising a ruckus over social issues. The real red meat will come out when Rhenquist retires.

  • I’m not worried as much about Rhenquist as I am about when Stephens retires/buys it. Replacing Rhenquist with a conservative ideologue won’t budge the make-up of the court much. But if/when Bush has a chance to replace a liberal with a conservative, it will get nasty.

  • I think Andy has it exactly right. The Xtian Taliban wing of the neo-GOP is an appendage of convenience – it helps win elections. JR’s true role is to further business interests. But he is a 2-fer. The loonies salivate over the prospect of a soul mate candidate and play their designated role of misdirection. Donkeys take their cue and fulminate over how to protect Roe. JR is appointed to the Supremes and CEOs have a collective orgasm.

  • Just because he’s not gone out of the way to be flamboyantly controversial hardly means he’s not conservative. Was Rehnquist so obviously controversial? The man seems to be very smart and, as I said, not flamboyant, unlike some of the other nominees. But no one from the right seems to be complaining about him. And I haven’t heard of a single opinion of his that suggests he’s anything but a Rehnquist conservative. You don’t have to be flamboyant to vote on the other side on all of the opinions that Sandra Day O’Connor chose to side with the liberal half of the court. And I expect that’s what he’ll do. The only possible exception, I’d think, would be Roe v. Wade, if the conservatives on the Court are given political advice to stay away from that and if they take that advice. But was it here that I read his wife started a group called something like Feminists who are Pro-Life? And really, that’s just one of the many decisions that he will be involved with taking us back to less fair times….

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