About that democracy-promoting agenda…

At the VFW convention yesterday, the president reaffirmed his support for Nuri al-Maliki, describing him as “a good guy, a good man with a difficult job, and I support him.” As for whether Maliki should be replaced, Bush said, “[I]t’s not up to politicians in Washington, D.C. to say whether he will remain in his position — that is up to the Iraqi people who now live in a democracy, and not a dictatorship.”

There’s that word again, “democracy.” In his 45-minute speech, Bush used the word a remarkable 21 times, apparently to reinforce the thinking behind his alleged democracy-promoting agenda. Indeed, on Iraq, the president told VFW members that “a free Iraq will be a massive defeat for al Qaeda, it will be an example that provides hope for millions throughout the Middle East, it will be a friend of the United States, and it’s going to be an important ally in the ideological struggle of the 21st century.”

It all sounds nice until one realizes that even officials in Bush’s administration are becoming increasingly open to the idea of giving up on the idea of an Iraqi democracy. In fact, military leaders are conceding reality.

Nightmarish political realities in Baghdad are prompting American officials to curb their vision for democracy in Iraq. Instead, the officials now say they are willing to settle for a government that functions and can bring security.

A workable democratic and sovereign government in Iraq was one of the Bush administration’s stated goals of the war.

But for the first time, exasperated front-line U.S. generals talk openly of non-democratic governmental alternatives, and while the two top U.S. officials in Iraq still talk about preserving the country’s nascent democratic institutions, they say their ambitions aren’t as “lofty” as they once had been.

Brig. Gen. John “Mick” Bednarek, part of Task Force Lightning in Diyala province, conceded, “Democratic institutions are not necessarily the way ahead in the long-term future.”

The CNN report added that senior U.S. military commanders are suggesting privately that the entire Iraqi government may need to be removed — by “constitutional or non-constitutional” means — and replaced with a stable, secure, but not necessarily democratic entity.

Maj. Gen. Benjamin Mixon, commander of Task Force Lightning, concluded, “I would describe it as leaving an effective government behind that can provide services to its people, and security. It needs to be an effective and functioning government that is really a partner with the United States and the rest of the world in this fight against the terrorists.” If those goals are reached without a democracy, Mixon said, so be it.

In other words, with no political progress in sight, a democracy isn’t going to emerge. The president’s (latest) vision isn’t going to come to fruition. We can keep trying to establish a government that isn’t going to function, or we can aim for a new goal — stability over freedom.

I’m not necessarily denouncing that as a policy option, but it’s worth appreciating the implications. Bush had moved the goalposts so many times, they’re no longer in the same stadium. This war was necessary because of WMD. No, because of U.N. resolutions. Or rather, because al Qaeda. Make that “democracy promotion.” We’d establish a democracy in the Middle East that would, in turn, inspire the region and topple dictatorships. Yeah, that’s it.

Except it’s not. We’ll replace a malevolent-but-stable dictatorship with a benevolent-and-stable dictatorship. Let freedom ring.

In other words, the goal is to get Iraq back to exactly where it was before we invaded.

Let’s impeech and remove Bush and Cheney. Does it really have to be a big deal? Let’s just DO IT!

  • if we were so interested in establishing democracy in the middle east, why didn’t we start with one of the largest non-democratic nations in the middle east – saudi arabia.

    oh, yeah. that’s right.

  • …the entire Iraqi government may need to be removed — by “constitutional or non-constitutional” means — and replaced with a stable, secure, but not necessarily democratic entity.

    Sounds a lot like what has happened in this country –without the stability and security.

    Who are we kidding here anyway? There is totalitarianism in Iraq, not democracy, not when they live in a police state imposed by a foreign occupier. But maybe the Maliki government could be self-sustaining if we weren’t demanding a ransom in oil, by way of the 75% for foreign oil companies in the Iraqi oil “sharing” agreement.

    A damn crying shame that so many people are over there suffering when they are sitting on top of a black-gold mine. No wonder we are not considered liberators.

    If we were truly liberators, we would help them reap the benefits of that resource for the good of all Iraqi’s. But instead we want to put it into the hands of anational corporations? What a disgrace. I am so ashamed of the American leadership.

  • Yet another Vietnam correlation.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vietnam_War#Coup_and_assassinations

    During the summer of 1963 U.S. officials began discussing the possibility of a regime change. The State Department was generally in favor of encouraging a coup. The Pentagon and CIA were more alert to the destabilizing consequences of such an act, and wanted to continue applying pressure for reforms.

    Chief among the proposed changes was the removal of Diem’s younger brother Ngo Dinh Nhu. Nhu controlled the secret police and was seen as the man behind the Buddhist repression. As Diem’s most powerful adviser, Nhu had become a hated figure in South Vietnam. His continued influence was unacceptable to the Kennedy administration. Eventually, the administration concluded that Diem was unwilling to change.

    The CIA was in contact with generals planning to remove Diem. They were told that the United States would support such a move. President Diem was overthrown and executed, along with his brother, on November 2, 1963. When he was informed, Maxwell Taylor remembered that Kennedy “rushed from the room with a look of shock and dismay on his face.”[53] He had not approved Diem’s murder. The U.S. ambassador to South Vietnam, Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr., invited the coup leaders to the embassy and congratulated them. Ambassador Lodge informed Kennedy that “the prospects now are for a shorter war”.[54]

    Following the coup chaos ensued…

  • I hear Manuel Noriega might be available. Maybe Bush can bring him out of retirement and install him in Iraq! That Dick Cheney guy seemed to have it right when explaining why George the 1st didn’t topple Saddam in Gulf War I.

    Maybe the plan is to install Haliburton as the Iraqi government and truely employ the neo-con corporatocracy. Then Cheney can go back and run the world’s first corporate owned state!

  • at the risk of repeating just about everyone: if democracy is such a great idea, george, why not start practicing it at home?

  • …and replaced with a stable, secure, but not necessarily democratic entity.

    Yeah, but if they could never have sold the war if they had leveled with everyone and announced, back in 2003, “Yeah, we’re going to rig the oil law, pick a general, bribe the shit out of him with the proceeds, and leave.”

    Each constituency in the pro-war coalition got its own, targeted rationale for this clusterf*ck, — crusade, WMD, save Israel, $1.00 gas — and the ‘democracy-promotion’ line was specifically ginned up to get the Democratic hawks, the Sons (and Daughters) of Scoop on board. This type of market segmentation is the hallmark of recent national GOP politics.

  • Juan Cole has this up this morning.

    Military Coup Planned for Iraq?

    A rumor is circulating among well-connected and formerly high-level Iraqi bureaucrats in exile in places like Damascus that a military coup is being prepared for Iraq. I received the following from a reliable, knowledgeable contact. There is no certitude that this plan can or will be implemented. That it is being discussed at high levels seems highly likely.

    “There is serious talk of a military commission (majlis `askari) to take over the government. The parties would be banned from holding positions, and all the ministers would be technocrats, so to speak. . . [The writer indicates that attempts have been made to recruit cabinet members from the ranks of expatriate technocrats.]

    The six-member board or commission would be composed on non-political former military personnel who are presently not part of the government OR the military establishment, such as it is in Iraq at the moment. It is said that the Americans are supporting this behind the scenes.

    The plan includes a two-year period during which political parties would not be permitted to be part of the government, but instead would prepare and strengthen the parties for an election which would not have lists, but real people running for real seats. The two year period would be designed to take control of security and restore infrastructure.

    . . .[I]t is another [desperate plan], but one which many many Iraqis will support, since they are sick of their country being pulled apart by the “imports” – Maliki, Allawi, Jaafari et al. The military group is composed of internals, people who have the goal of securing the country even at the risk of no democracy, so they say. “

    Are these ” well-connected and formerly high-level Iraqi bureaucrats” coordinating with BushCo to set up a junta or are they competitors? Cole notes that Americans are said to be supporting behind the scenes. But as you can see from the above passage, these guys don’t like Allawi. However, there is evidence that that Allawi would be BushCo’s choice to lead a junta. Even if there is some cooperation at this early stage, my guess is that BushCo will want a puppet to lead the junta which will ultimately lead to its failure.

  • Hmmm. Remove a sitting legislative body…replace it with a stable, secure but not democratic ruler…are we sure they’re talking about Iraq and not Bush’s plans for the US? 😉

    the entire Iraqi government may need to be removed by constitutional or non-constitutional” means

    Non-constitutional means, eh? Gee, that will reassure the Iraqi Parliament. We know we told you to create a Constitution tout suite but now we’re going to throw it, and you, out.

    and replaced with a stable, secure, but not necessarily democratic entity.

    Stable, secure, able to funnel oil our way.

    Sorry Purple-fingered People, your vote really didn’t count after all. But if it’s any comfort you country is now more like America!

    Oh yes, and sorry to all of the soldiers who were told they were fighting to protect the world from WMDs/bin Laden/ and to spread Democracy n’ Freedum (TM). We really meant you were figthing to install a Benevolent (maybe) Ruler for Life and Oil (TM).

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  • It needs to be an effective and functioning government that is really a partner with the United States military industrial complex and the rest of the world’s defense industries world in this fight against the terrorists.” If those goals are reached without a democracy, Mixon said Cheney and his PNAC buddies thought, so be it.

    there, fixed it for you.

  • Quick question for anyone: isn’t Balloon Juice a right-wing blog (not far right, but right)? I followed the trackback to the Balloon Juice post and then read a few more of thier posts and they seem to be pretty centrist. Almost reality based.

    Did somehting change or have I been laboring under a mischaracterization?

  • And people wondered why Saddam Hussein was executed in such a rush. You think maybe it was so he couldn’t be reinstated by the same Americans who deposed him in the first place once they realized what an unsolvable mess they were in?

    Who knew the Iraqis could be so prescient?

    /snark

  • For someone who doesn’t actually believe in democracy at home I find it “interesting’ that he seems so obsessed with bring it to the masses like Lady Bountiful. Of course he may just be giving it lip service because it sounds so much better than the alternatives.

  • Edo – John Cole and his new blog partner Tim have reacted to Bush like a lot of sane people – they ran away. I think John’s big break came with Schiavo. John is Republican – though I don’t know that he has held to strongly to party affiliation lately. One his tags is “republican crime syndicate” if that tells you anything about how he feels about the GOP as it is currently.

  • We’ll replace a malevolent-but-stable dictatorship with a benevolent-and-stable dictatorship.

    It should be noted that the malevolent and benevolent qualifiers are subjective depending on who you are talking to. Somehow I don’t think the Iraqis that will be slaughtered by the coming bush puppet dictatorship will consider it benevolent.

  • thanks ET, I appreciate the insight. I was starting to question what little sanity I have left.

  • replace it with a stable, secure but not democratic ruler…are we sure they’re talking about Iraq and not Bush’s plans for the US?

    tAiO, we were all fooled into thinking they did Iraq without any pre-planning when in fact Iraq was the pre-planning, the practice run, the experimental lab for what they could do to the US. Consider it Darth Dick’s private skunkworks.

  • Good analysis, as always. The key factor for me is that yet again, the Bush administration is not being honest about what’s going on in Iraq. It’s extremely rare that they are.

  • That’s OK.

    The easiest way to put a Bushie in his place is still to ask him:

    “How’s that ‘democratizing the Middle East’ working out for you?”

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