This week, the House Armed Services Committee held a hearing on conditions in our other war, the one in Afghanistan. Demonstrating the extent to which the nation remembers the conflict against the country that was responsible for the 9/11 attacks, no reporters bothered to show up for the event, despite testimony from Gen. Karl Eikenberry, the outgoing commander of all NATO troops in Afghanistan.
That’s a shame. Last year was the bloodiest in Afghanistan since we toppled the the Taliban government in 2001, and opium production broke all records in 2006.
Just as importantly, Ron Hutcheson reports that while Iraq represents one crisis, “experts warn that Afghanistan could slip back into chaos.”
U.S. commanders are bracing for a spring offensive by Taliban insurgents that’ll test the staying power of the fragile U.S.-backed Afghan government.
In a sign of the administration’s concern, President Bush will deliver a speech Thursday highlighting plans for a dramatic increase in military and economic aid, but skeptics fear that the renewed focus on Afghanistan may be too little and too late.
“We have our finger in the dike because our resources and attention were turned toward Iraq,” said Rep. Joe Sestak, D-Pa., a former Navy admiral who served in both conflicts. “This is the real front in the war on terrorism. It’s a daunting task, more daunting than it had to be because we let the opportunity almost slip away.”
Hutcheson described “potentially crippling challenges” facing the country, including Hamid Karzai’s shaky hold on power, a terrorist haven along the Afghan-Pakistan border for the Taliban and al Qaeda, and flourishing opium production.
At the hearing few bothered to attend, Gen. Eikenberry said, “A point could be reached at which the government of Afghanistan becomes irrelevant to its people, and the goal of establishing a democratic, moderate, self-sustaining state could be lost forever.”
Yes, Bush may be in the process of losing two wars.
The administration insists it’s taking the Afghan problem seriously. The president’s new budget asks Congress for $6.7 billion in emergency funding to help train Afghan security forces and rebuild the country. That, of course, is this year — for the last five years, U.S. aid to Afghanistan has averaged less than $3 billion a year.
And while we’re on the subject, Kevin Drum noticed that a recently declassified PowerPoint presentation on Iraq, created by CENTCOM in the summer of 2002, highlighted a “key planning assumption” before we launched our Iraqi invasion.
* Operations in Afghanistan transition to phase III (minimal air support over Afghanistan)
As Kevin put it, “Remember all that talk about how Iraq had no impact on Afghanistan and the search for al-Qaeda? Not true. At CENTCOM, anyway, winding down the effort in Afghanistan was apparently considered a prerequisite to action in Iraq.”
And in this case, the “winding down” hasn’t helped stabilize a country teetering on the brink.