Anything to avoid the voters

After having lost the legal battle at every level, former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Texas) appeared to be stuck: he simply couldn’t avoid facing former Rep. Nick Lampson (D-Texas) in a head-to-head match-up in November. Or could he?

As I noted this morning at Midterm Madness, Time’s Mike Allen reported that DeLay was considering quitting (again) and making room for a write-in candidate. Apparently, that’s exactly what DeLay plans to do.

Dogged by scandal, former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay intends to withdraw as a candidate for Congress, a Republican strategist said Tuesday, a step that would allow the party to field a write-in candidate in hopes of holding his seat.

The development came one day after Texas Republicans lost a court battle in their bid to name a replacement candidate for DeLay on the November ballot.

The strategist described DeLay’s intentions on condition of anonymity, saying the former majority leader intended to make his own announcement.

One conservative noted that this is “just about the dumbest idea I’ve heard in a long time,” and for Republicans who don’t want to lose this seat, it’s hardly an unreasonable assertion.

An official close to DeLay said, “Nick Lampson would lose this race to a write-in candidate who had any name ID at all.” And the GOP believes it can buy that name ID through a relatively inexpensive ad campaign.

It’s not much of a plan. Lampson has been campaigning hard in this race for over a year, has raised plenty of money, and led in early polls before DeLay’s career became a punch line to a bad joke. It is, to be sure, a Republican district, but Lampson used to represent part of it before DeLay tinkered with the district lines.

I wouldn’t call Lampson a shoo-in at this point, but if the best the GOP can come up with a write-in candidate, the odds have to favor the Dem. Heavily.

As for DeLay, we heard some sporadic bravado from the former exterminator over the last couple of weeks, including hints that he could come charging back and reclaim the seat that he held for over two decades. He wasn’t afraid of facing the voters, DeLay said, he simply didn’t want Dems to try and use the courts to manipulate the process.

Now that he’s lost every court battle, DeLay was supposed to step up and put his name on the line. Instead, he’s running away, leaving his party to rally behind a still-to-be-determined write-in candidate. It’s a shame — I really wanted to see the look on his face when the voters rejected him once and for all.

Update: Roll Call says it’s official; DeLay released a statement saying he will not run.

How would polling work in the event of a Republican-backed write-in candidate? Any polling by definition would be helping the Republican since people would then know which name to write. Would polls have to be considered campaign advertisements?

  • So who would be the Republican with high Name recognition? Skilling, and Lay are out (I assume). We are almost out of Bush’s and they live in lefty New England anyway.

    Are there super popular Neocon hacks in Sugarland who are not pit-deep in crap with De Lay? I assume the person has to currently resie in the discrict, correct?

    Good luck with that Tom and good luck in the texas State Prison!

  • Maybe they should rename their write-in candidate to “None of the above”.

    Short of that, they’re screwed.

    HA HA, Tommy. Have fun as a lobbyist until they throw you in jail.

  • DeLays, DeLays, DeLays. Well, back to the old drawing board.

    The earth creature has stolen the Q36 explosive space modulator and the GOP is about to be disintegrated.

  • Boy oh boy is Ken Lay ever out. Pepsico doesn’t even have to change the name of their potato chips he’s so out. There was a rumor on wall street that they were going to aquire another brand like Mother Goose and terminat Lay’s.

  • I don’t know what sort of voting machines they have in DeLay’s precinct but I’d have a heck of a time trying to write in someone not pre-programmed on one of ours (touch-screen); they don’t seem to offer one a Mickey Mouse alternative (the option one of my Republican acquaintances chose in ’00 and ’04)

    And, as someone noted, with DeLay’s name still on the ballot (it won’t be removed, even if he doesn’t run), some people are bound to vote for him anyway, no matter what. It’s certainly easier than trying to write, education not being a Republican priority…

    I like this “write in” scenario very much 🙂

  • Despite the GOP bravado, Nick Lampson has an easy pick-up in TX-22, for the following reasons:

    1. TX-22 comprises parts of four counties: Harris, Fort Bend, Galveston, and Brazoria. A large part of this district was once in Nick Lampson’s district before he was redistricted in the Great Texas Dem Purge of 2003. He has good name ID and favorables throughout the district. And he’s got a ton of cash. Even with DeLay on the ballot, Lampson was going to do well in this district.

    2. There’s no reason to think there will necessarily be only one write-in candidate. Sugar Land Mayor David Wallace has already announced his candidacy; Houston City Councilwoman Shelley Sekula-Gibbs is also considering a run. There’s no way for the state GOP to prevent multiple candidates besides dire threats of future ostracism from the party. And there are competing interests between the GOP officials from the four counties that may make an immediate agreement on who to support problematic.

    3. Texas has straight-ticket voting, and many of the Republicans in TX-22 will undoubtedly vote straight-ticket. A straight-ticket vote means one less vote for a “Republican” candidate.

    4. All four counties vote using the eSlate system from Hart InterCivic. Entering a write-in candidate requires spinning a wheel to select letters from an alphabet grid. A demo on the Hart site has a sample ballot with a demo on how to use the eSlate system. One of the sample entries allows for a write-in candidate. Try it out and see what you think. Then imagine how many voters won’t bother.

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