Most political observers, regardless of ideology, assume that there will be a Democratic House and Senate next year. It’s too soon to know what to expect from the presidential race, but it’s hardly a stretch to think that come January 2009, there will be a Democratic White House and a Democratic Congress for the first time in 16 years.
Given this landscape, what’s Fox News to do? Time’s James Poniewozik argues the Republican network, which has already seen its ratings plateau after Republicans lost Congress and Bush stopped trying, might be in trouble.
Fox hasn’t gone soft, but from watching its coverage lately, I get a sense that the haven for conservative hosts, and viewers alienated by liberal news, needs to figure out its next act. Fox News is not simply a mouthpiece for the Bush White House: it rose with Bush after 2000 and 9/11, was played on TVs in his White House and reflected the same surety and flag-lapel-pin confidence in its tone and star-spangled look. It was not just a hit; it was the network of the moment.
Now, with two Democrats locked in what seems like a general-election campaign and lame-duck Bush fading from the headlines, it has to figure out how not to seem like yesterday’s news. At times recently, the network has appeared uncertain about its focus. Its primary-night coverage has felt staid and listless. Sometimes it has gone tabloid with celebrity-news, true-crime and scandal stories (WEBSITES POSTING SEXY PICS LIFTED FROM FACEBOOK). At other times it has retreated into a kind of war-on-terrorism news-talgia, playing up threatening chatter and new missives from al-Qaeda leaders while its rivals are doing the election 24/7; flipping to Fox can feel like time-traveling to 2002.
Poniewozik’s argument is straightforward enough. In Bush’s America, with Republicans in ascension, Fox News became the official network of the federal government. Our leaders were anxious to dish propaganda, and the network was anxious to help disseminate it. If Republicans’ fortunes fall apart, the fate of the Republicans’ network should fall right along with it. At a minimum, staying relevant should be a real challenge.
As much as I’d love to agree with the thesis, I suspect the opposite is going to be true.
After all, who watches Fox News? Angry, conservative partisans who want a nationalistic network that tells them what they want to hear. As many have noted, the number one most reliable indicator for Republican performance in 2004 wasn’t NRA membership, country-club membership, or church attendance, it was Fox News viewership — these are the GOP die-hards who find credible news outlets offensive.
Yes, FNC’s ratings have slipped, but consider the landscape — Bush isn’t governing (he’s a lame-duck with no policy agenda), Congress isn’t up to much (thanks to GOP filibusters and White House vetoes), the war in Iraq continues to be a disaster (Republicans haven’t yet found a liberal scapegoat to blame this on), and the economy has come to a halt. There’s just not much for Fox News to tell Republican activists. Even the GOP nomination fight turned out to be rather dull.
But then imagine how thrilled they’ll be if Dems control the House, Senate, and White House. Fox News and its audience are their most content when they have a target for their rage. These guys want someone to be mad at, and come January 2009, they’ll have no shortage of options.
Poniewozik added:
News on Fox looks like a video game, full of bluster, blondes and blaring graphics. Ideology aside, Fox makes the news urgent, even when nothing’s going on.
True, but an Obama/Pelosi/Reid triumvirate practically guarantees that plenty will be going on, and Fox News and its loyal Republican audience will be pissed about it.
It might be the best thing to ever happen to the network.