Bush undermines Karzai government with poppy policy

Demonstrating the kind of bizarre foresight for which it is famous, the Bush administration is pursuing a poppy-eradication program in Afghanistan that could undermine the Karzai government, already on shaky ground, and give the Taliban a boost.

[A]mong European diplomats here, a far greater concern than any environmental or health dangers of chemical eradication is the potential for political fallout that could lead to more violence and instability.

Those diplomats worry particularly that aerial spraying would kill food crops that some farmers plant with their poppies. European officials add that any form of spraying could be cast by the Taliban as American chemical warfare against the Afghan peasantry.

The British have been so concerned that on the eve of Mr. Karzai’s trip to Camp David in August, Prime Minister Gordon Brown called President Bush and asked him not to pressure the Afghan premier to use herbicides, according to several diplomats here.

Who opposes Bush’s policy? Let’s see, there’s Karzai, all of our European allies, Bush’s Defense Department, and Bush’s CIA, all of which believe that the White House’s approach to destroying Afghanistan’s poppy crop will bolster the Taliban, which, the president’s claims to the contrary, is amassing more power in Afghanistan all the time.

It’s the intersection of Bush’s war on drugs and Bush’s war on terror, and the White House seems to be prioritizing the former over the latter. The consequences may be severe.

Mark Kleiman, an expert on drug policy, has a great post on the subject, explaining, “We can’t solve our heroin problem, or Europe’s, by fighting the poppy crop in Afghanistan. And nothing that happens there will make our heroin problem, or Europe’s, noticeably worse.”

The Bush Administration’s utter lack of seriousness about its proclaimed GWOT could have no better symbol than its lunatic insistence on continuing a futile anti-drug policy in Afghanistan.

Probably the right thing for Karzai to do, in terms of his government’s chances against the Taliban, would be to legalize, or at least tolerate, poppy-growing and heroin refining in the areas of Afghanistan it controls, with the goal of enriching its allies and farmers in loyal areas and undercutting the market for opium from Taliban-controlled areas and thus the Taliban’s capacity to benefit its subjects and derive revenue from “taxing” the illicit trade. If that’s right, the U.S. should get out of the way.

Afghanistan, unlike Iraq, isn’t hopeless: yet.

Scott Lemieux added:

[B]oth undercutting the Karzai government in Afghanistan and denying it the ability to obtain revenue from poppy-growing while effectively ensuring that said revenues will instead go to the Taliban is utterly insane. It would be insane even if there was any reason to believe that it would reduce American heroin use, which of course it won’t. To prioritize failed anti-drug war policies over protecting American security is beyond indefensible.

If only I had a nickel for every time I’ve seen that phrase associated with Bush administration policy….

If only I had a nickel for every time I’ve seen that phrase associated with Bush administration

I assume you weren’t referring to the entire passage, Steve, but which part in particular?

“denying it” – certainly a phrase often associated with BushCo;

“utterly insane” – my choice as to the applicable phrase;

“failed” – although this also shows up a lot in the same sentece as “Bush Administration policy”;

“beyond indefensible” – I assume this was what you had in mind, and while it too is applicable, the others deserved their due.

  • It seems to me that they could subsidize the growing of other crops for a lot less money than they spend fighting the opium trade. Industrial hemp grows well in a lot of places that cannot support other crops, maybe that would be a good substitute.

  • Here we go again: it’s Bush’s gut vs. the rest of the world’s heads. What will make a great soundbite in a speech (eradicating poppies!) will once again lead to unanticipated bloodshed and a less-safe world. How many ways can Bush screw up in his remaining time in office? Well this is one way.

  • Who opposes Bush’s policy? Let’s see, there’s Karzai, all of our European allies, Bush’s Defense Department, and Bush’s CIA, all of which believe that the White House’s approach to destroying Afghanistan’s poppy crop will bolster the Taliban…

    So who supports it? Condi Rice, Ph.D.?

    And is that it, apart from Laura and Barney?

  • If only I had a nickel for every time I’ve seen that phrase associated with Bush administration policy….

    You’re just greedy, Steve. A penny would be quite enough for most people’s needs.

  • The only people that would support this are of course the chemical manufacturers that stand to make loads of cash in no bid contracts from the Bu$h administration I am not a big gambler, but I would be willing to bet these chemical companies are well entrenched in the Republican pay to play machine…

    UUGGGHHHHH…..

    I can’t stand this anymore! I don’t want to live in a Banana Republic anymore!

  • Maybe BushCo. can “hire” a contractor to build a supermax prison in Afghanistan, much like one of our own, so the Afghanis can start imprisoning the poppy farmers for being evil drug producers.

    Because everyone knows the best way to address the drug trade and drug abuse is to treat it like a war and just imprison, kill and destroy.

    Or, allow an American pharmaceutical company to find a “use” for the drug(s). Win-win!

  • Why don’t we just buy the poppies from the farmers? Seems like it would probably be cheaper, would reduce the amount of herion on the market and would show our support for the afghani people. The only losers would be the drug lords.

  • Wikipedia says, “In late 2004, the U.S. government estimated that 206,000 hectares were under poppy cultivation, 4.5% of the country’s total cropland, and produced 4,200 metric tons of opium, 87% of the world’s supply, yielding 60% of Afghanistan’s gross domestic product. In 2006, the UN Office on Drugs and Crime estimated production to have risen 59% to 407,000 acres in cultivation, yielding 6,100 tons of opium, 92% of the world’s supply. The value of the resulting heroin was estimated at $3.5 billion, of which Afghan farmers were estimated to have received $700 million in revenue (of which the Taliban have been estimated to have collected anywhere from tens of millions to $140 million in taxes). For farmers, the crop can be up to ten times more profitable than wheat.” So less than $1 billion could buy up the Afghan supply direct from the farmers, at prices above what the farmers would usually receive. Even just buying up crops and destroying them would seem to be a bargain compared to the economic costs of fighting the Taliban.

    Wikipedia also says that six countries consume 79 percent of the world’s morphine, and that poor countries can’t afford it, “even for relieving severe pain in the dying” (for whom addiction is not a problem). If we bought up the supply, we could possibly donate quantities to hospices and hospitals world-wide.

  • Okay, but aren’t poppies against the Taliban’s rules, too?

    I’ve never really seen any of this evidence really say that it’s Taliban getting opium cash, whereas there’s lots of threats that they are…

    …Why do we care about opium production? Wouldn’t it be easier to legalize it? Wouldn’t the legal poppies then be… cheaper?

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