Constituency politics and the Roberts nomination

Over the weekend, Karl Rove, describing the president’s approach to filling Sandra Day O’Connor’s Supreme Court vacancy, said, “Diversity always plays a role in the president’s thinking.” This seems far less apparent today.

I wouldn’t suggest for a moment that the White House apply some kind of quota to diversity on the Supreme Court, but it was interesting to see how the process played out with regards to shaping a high court that “looks like America.”

Polls showed most Americans, including the First Lady, wanted to see a woman replace O’Connor on the Court. Many Hispanic groups were excited about the possibility of the first-ever Hispanic Supreme Court justice, a sentiment shared by party strategists who are anxious to see Republicans make gains among this key voting constituency. Still others held out hope that Bush could name an African American to the post, and former deputy attorney general Larry Thompson’s name was widely circulated.

Bush responded to this discussion — by picking a white, Christian, multi-millionaire man. As constituency politics goes, I was under the impression that Bush already had this group’s support all sewn up.

Up until very recently, it looked like diversity would play a larger role in the White House’s thinking.

President Bush’s advisers are focusing the search for a Supreme Court nominee to see if there is an acceptable female or minority legal figure to succeed Justice Sandra Day O’Connor, the first woman to serve on the court, according to Republican strategists familiar with the selection process. […]

“With the chief off the table, obviously the question of whether the administration chooses a woman becomes far more important,” said one GOP strategist with insight into the thinking of Bush aides, who insisted on anonymity because the White House has tried to keep the selection process confidential. “They are now trying to screen women to see if there are any who are acceptable to the president. That doesn’t mean he has to pick any of them, but it’s perfectly reasonable for them to look at the field of candidates.”

Jay Sekulow, chief counsel at the American Center for Law and Justice and an adviser to the White House on court issues, said Bush could easily find a female nominee who would meet his standards for a justice who adheres to a strict interpretation of the Constitution. “There’s a lot of women who are very well qualified for the position,” he said. “I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s a woman.”

If not a woman, several Republicans close to the White House said Bush may pick a black or Hispanic nominee.

That was word from the White House three days ago. I hate to sound cynical (wait, no I don’t), but do you suppose the Bush gang was giving lip service to diversity so they could say today that they seriously considered women, Hispanics, and African Americans?

Last week, when top Senate Dems met with Bush about the vacancy, reports surfaced that Dems specifically recommended Judge Sonia Sotomayor of the 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals, Judge Ed Prado of the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals, and U.S. District Court Judge Ricardo Hinojosa, all of whom are Hispanic. Some Republicans were furious, not because Dems want a diverse court, but because word leaked out. As far as the GOP was concerned, when Bush tapped another wealthy white guy to join six other wealthy white guys, Dems could say, “Well, we told him to pick a Hispanic but the president wouldn’t listen.”

Now we know why they were so upset.

Given the context, I actually think the Roberts pick is the best of the names that we kept hearing. There’s no way in hell he’s going to get filibustered, so the confirmation battle won’t have nearly enough drama to suck all the air out of RoveGate. Plus, could they have found anybody any whiter than this guy? Confirmation hearings, played right, will give Dems a great opportunity to say to America, “See? This is what happens when Republicans control all three branches. When you get tired of having your freedoms taken away, we’re here for you.”

  • Eh– he’s picking one position. It can’t be 25% black, and everyone seems to agree that the Roberts pick was a shrewd one in terms of GWB’s goals. It seems to me this post should have ended with “I wouldn’t suggest for a moment that the White House apply some kind of quota to diversity on the Supreme Court” — if indeed you did mean that.

    All’s I’m saying is, Bush is a ripe target — hit him with points that land.

  • Not only is he a rich, white male, he’s also a VERY PARTISAN rich, white male. I’m not sure he wouldn’t put party above all else. I realize that most of the other justices are partisans, but this guy is a movement conservative. Exactly the group who has made a mess of this country. I doubt that the dem senators will be able to block him on those grounds, however, but I hope they can find something else to use. Of course, Bush will just nominate another one…

  • Two thoughts, sort of OT but related:

    1. What kind of sh** would Clinton have received had then First Lady Clinton started pushing for a certain type of person for the SCOTUS? He would have been hammered by wingnuttia. Laura Bush on the other hand, not a peep.

    2. This really is a pretty shrewed pick. Yes, it puts another rich white christian on the court. Yes, it rewards the true core of Bush supporters. Yes, it will definitely push the court further to the right–exactly how far right is unknown–but it continues the slow process of moving that bar further to the right. But most importantly, it opens up a seat on the second most influential court of the land to allow Bush to place another much further right nutjob on that bench to go along with folks like Brown. The shift there will not be as subtle as on SCOTUS. That selection will then push the judiciary significantly to the right.

  • Bubba,

    But most importantly, it opens up a seat on the second most influential court of the land to allow Bush to place another much further right nutjob on that bench to go along with folks like Brown. The shift there will not be as subtle as on SCOTUS. That selection will then push the judiciary significantly to the right.

    How could a replacement for Roberts push that court much further to the right? I thought Roberts was about as conservative as they come.

  • Somewhere, in all the analysis yesterday, I heard opined that Roberts IS Bush’s White Male Conservative Christian pick and that he still has his heart set on getting Alberto on the court. I would concur with that view.

    Bush knows that it’s a pretty good bet that Rehnquist will have to step down before he leaves office. He can afford to use this first slot for Roberts and get Alberto teed up for the next one.

  • Edo–another Brown (is that her name, I have purged it from my memory) will push that court so much further into the wingnuttia sphere of the right. Roberts may be strongly to the right, but I don’t think he is in nutball land, like the woman appointed out of California.

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