So, where are we this hour on the scandal d’jour? Rep. Mark Souder (R-Ind.) is the fourth GOP lawmaker to call on Sen. Larry Craig (R-Idaho) to resign, and there will surely be plenty more as the day goes on. According to one theory, congressional Republicans have quickly unsheathed the long knives as part of a lesson learned last fall.
Last year, the House’s Republicans had Rep. Mark Foley of Florida, and his courting of Capitol pages scandal, to contend with near an election that would determine party control of the Congress.
This year, more than a year out from the next critical election, in which Republicans hope to reclaim a narrowly divided Senate and Democrats hope to build upon their majority, the Senate’s Republicans have Sen. Larry Craig of Idaho, who has pled guilty to disorderly conduct following his arrest in an airport men’s room.
But this time, the GOP has a long time to recover. And this time, the GOP is responding with lightning speed — with party leaders stripping Craig of committee assignments and some of the party’s senators calling for their longtime colleague’s resignation.
“The Mark Foley situation still haunts them,” said John Geer, professor of political science at Vanderbilt University, “and with corruption still looming as an issue in the 2008 campaign, the GOP leadership wanted to be decisive.”
That sounds plausible, but it’s clearly not the whole story. To be sure, I think the GOP has learned that letting these scandals linger and drag out indefinitely is a political disaster, which is probably helping fuel the quick response. Republicans heard the story on Monday night, called for an ethics investigation on Tuesday, stripped him of his committee assignments on Wednesday afternoon, and called for his ouster shortly thereafter. No muss, no fuss.
But it’d be naive to think the Foley affair offered the GOP a new scandal-response to be applied evenly in every instance. Craig is feeling swift retribution because a) he’d be replaced by a Republican; and b) Republicans think gays are icky. If 2006’s lessons had really taught the GOP to “respond with lightning speed” to scandals, Sen. David Vitter (R-La.) would have faced real scorn after his prostitution scandal and Sen. Ted Stevens (R-Alaska) would have been isolated after FBI agents raided his house.
But that didn’t cleary happen.
In other Craig-related news this morning:
* Idaho Gov. Butch Otter (R), who has known Craig for 35 years, offered the senator at least tepid support yesterday. Otter said he and his wife met with Craig and his wife, Suzanne, on Tuesday. “I told him, ‘Larry, I’ve made a few mistakes in my private life that slopped over into public news, and you’re going to find out really quick who your friends are, but I want you to know that Lori and I are your friends,'” Otter said. Otter declined to say, however, whether Craig should quit. “I’m not going to go there,” he said. “That’s up to him.”
* The Idaho Statesman, which enthusiastically endorsed Craig in the last election, editorialized today that the senator “needs to resign.” The paper went on to argue, “Two days ago, we urged Idahoans not to rush to judgment, and give Craig a chance to explain himself. Unfortunately, we have seen and heard enough. Judging from his performance Tuesday, Craig seems more interested in hunkering down, operating from a defensive state of denial. This is his prerogative. But he should not compromise Idaho interests in the process. If Craig wishes to keep his secrets, he may do so as a former U.S. senator.”
* If this story continues to go in this direction, what would happen if Craig does decide to resign? Eric Kleefeld explained that under Idaho law, the state’s governor would appoint a replacement who would serve until the next regular congressional election. In this case, it would be convenient, since Craig is up for re-election again next year anyway. The appointee would serve until the 2008 election, at which point Idaho would elect someone to the seat for a full, six-year term. Among the names rumored to be in the mix are Lt. Gov. Jim Risch, Rep. Mike Simpson, and former Gov. Dirk Kempthorne.
Stay tuned.