Delegates to flex their muscles at convention — no, not those delegates

Given the political climate, any talk about delegates going to the convention and wreaking havoc immediately reminds us of the messy process for picking the Democratic presidential nominee. But in this instance, I’m talking about Republican delegates.

The editors of the National Review, not exactly fans of John McCain, seem resigned to reality. McCain will be the party’s (and the right’s) standard bearer, whether conservatives love the idea or not. But, the magazine argues today, Republican delegates need not make McCain’s life easy.

John McCain won the Republican primaries by running as a pro-life Reagan Republican, committed to low taxes and a strong defense. We assume that he will therefore pick a running mate who shares his positions on fundamental issues whom conservatives can support with enthusiasm. We assume, as well, that he is more interested in winning the White House than in redefining the Republican party, and will not try to make the party platform reflect each of his views.

Win or lose, in picking a running mate Senator McCain will also be conferring front-runner status on a candidate for his party’s future nomination. A selection that reassures wary conservatives will help to enthuse his supporters for the tough race he faces. We also assume the Senator appreciates that the right pick is good politics.

Should the senator make an error in judgment in these respects, however, conservatives should have an insurance policy.

Yep, as messy as the Dems’ convention is going to be, the National Review has a proposal to ensure some degree of political mayhem in Minneapolis, should McCain choose a running mate who falls short of conservative fealty.

With the names of unacceptable candidates being bandied about as possible picks, conservatives should bear in mind that they are not powerless with respect to McCain’s choice. The delegates to the Republican convention have real clout. Even McCain’s own delegates should be willing to use their power, if necessary, to pursue the party’s (and McCain’s) best interests.

Those rules are such that delegates cannot vote against the presidential candidate’s vice-presidential pick. But that pick needs a majority of all delegates to win the nomination, and delegates are allowed to abstain. If a majority of six states’ delegations support another vice-presidential candidate, meanwhile, they can force a floor vote on that alternative. Six delegations are all that is required to contest a portion of the platform, too.

Fun! Better yet, the NR editorial concludes that Republican delegates “should be prepared to stand for their principles, and the party’s future,” and remember that they need not “go along with McCain no matter what.”

The editors weren’t specific — they didn’t, for example, list specific VP possibilities who would trigger this delegate revolt — but one assumes that a pro-choice and/or pro-“amnesty” running mate has the potential to stir things up a bit.

As a Dem, I find this vaguely reassuring. I assume that the Democratic convention will be contentious and divisive, possibly weakening the party for November. It never occurred to me the Republican convention could be a mess, too.

Realistically, will McCain delegates throw a procedural fit if he picks a running mate they don’t like? No, probably not. But if National Review pushes the idea, and talk radio and the blogs pick up on it, we can at least prolong Republican schisms for a while, right? Maybe? Please?

I’ve still got my fingers crossed for Clarence Thomas.

  • It never occurred to me the Republican convention could be a mess, too.

    Well, other than those endless months where there were 5 contenders for the GOP pick and they all looked like they’d make it to the convention.

    This is, however, a good distraction from the Dems if the Dems can’t get their act together by convention time. But I think, when Hillary can’t get the numbers, the “super-duper” delegates will jump ship and push Obama to a fairly easy victory. Clinton won’t have any sway over party loyalists when it’s clear she can only win by tanking the party (that is, by making the party unattractive to moderates by “stealing” the nomination in their minds), which means she won’t have anything to give in her quid pro quo later.

    Besides, there are only so many times a party can shoot itself in the foot before it runs out of bullets.

  • The only thing McCain is going to redefine is the definition of “maverick.” It will now mean a guy who does exactly as he is told to do by the powerbrokers who pulled the strings for him to get the job.

    I’m sure the delegates will shackle McCain to a party platform that will tell the rest of the nation to go Cheney itself. And the press will dismiss it as just a silly formality, rather than a window into the party’s soul, as they always do.

  • The editors weren’t specific — they didn’t, for example, list specific VP possibilities who would trigger this delegate revolt — but one assumes that a pro-choice and/or pro-”amnesty” running mate has the potential to stir things up a bit.

    An indication that they are bluffing and are hoping that McCain and his people are too stupid and/or scared of the base to call them on it.

    Much like the way they whined about McCain getting the nomination in the first place. Had they really wanted to block him they could have picked a candidate, rallied the troops, and put as much weight behind that nominee as possible. Instead they refused to back an alternative and then bitched and moaned when McCain gets the nomination despite the fact that they don’t like him.

    Whatev – they aren’t serious. Call me when they actually pick a standard bearer to actually rally around instead of making empty threats about things that could happen. I’ve seen more credible scenarios for “what’s going to happen” come out of 3am discussions in dorm lounges than what these guys are pushing right now.

  • It’s all Repuke Kabuki. It’s been pre-arranged by the Rovians that the VP pick will be Romney, whom conservatives will support, except for the extreme wingnuts who hate Mormons. Since they couldn’t get Mitt past the voters in the primary, they’ll ensure his ascendance this way and by stealing the election again via ramping up tensions with Iran now that Fallon’s out of the way and starting a war that you’d never trust liberal wimps like Obama to fight. Then, a few months into his term, St. McCain’s “health” will fail and he’ll resign, leaving Romney President, which is what Rove and his oil company and defense industry backers have been working for all along. Perfectly plastic Mitt will be the new front man and Repukes everywhere will feel all safe and warm because Mitt’s a real (!) conservative.

  • A couple of things (as usual). Since when are delegates to a convention ‘not allowed to vote against a candidate’s choice for VP. (Serious question, in fact. Perhaps the rules have been changed that way.) The earliest convention I can remember watching on tv was the 56 Republican — the “Joe Smith” convention where a Republican delegate just couldn’t stand Nixon (wise man) and nominated “Joe Smith” as a protest.

    This is yet another demonstration that McCain is not going to have a chance of winning, no matter what the Democrats do. (I wish Hillary would stop this absurd attacking of Obama, yes, because it is unseemly and because it makes her look bad, and hurts the party down-ticket, but I’ve never argued that it will help McCain because he is literally helplessly doomed to defeat barring some total catastrophe — Obama or Hillary being “Client #10” or an assassination or 9/11 redux.)

    Even with all the Republican ‘ducks’ (better ‘gooney birds’) in a row, and with the war not being half as unpopular as it is and the economy not yet tanking, and with a very weak candidate in Kerry, Bush only won 50.7% of the vote — 51.2 of the two-party vote. McCain won’t have the enthusiastic support of much of the Bush coalition, either candidate we have will be 10 times stronger than Kerry, and the country is going strongly Democratic already. And too many Republicans hate him — including his colleagues and the Bush family. (The feeling is mutual. Did anyone notice how much of a slap in the face his recent praise of Charlie Crist was to Crist’s predecessor — whose name happened to have been Bush.)

    Speaking of Crist, I wonder if that was the choice NR was warning him against. Crist is, really, one of the better Republicans out there. He’s moderate on the social issues, has been a pretty good Governor — at least according to my in-laws who live there — and always had the reputation of being a ‘Republican Democrats could vote for.’

    All reasons why the NR would challenge him, but he has one other characteristic that would make him — from the Republican point of view — a disaster. He’s gay. (I’m not ‘outing him,’ he’s never denied it, even when it was brought up — by a third-party candidate — in the 2006 debates — and he has been known to bring his partner to state functions. He’s not ‘openly’ out, but it is hardly a secret.)

  • Thing is, mccain has not sealed the nomination yet, and us delegates are going to make sure that he doesnt. he will not get 50% of the delegates at the convention, which will allow all delegates to vote for someone else, such as ron paul.

    Dont believe the lies, mccain has not sealed the nomination yet.

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