Fasten your seatbelts, put your trays up, and put your chairs in the upright position

A year ago, Bear Stearns — up until fairly recently a leading investment, securities and brokerage firm — saw its stock trading for $170 a share. By the end of the calendar year, it was about $88 a share. As recently as four days ago, it was $57 a share. Yesterday, the entire company, in total collapse, sold for $2 a share.

This isn’t exactly a political story, but when a bear roars, it’s hard not to take note. Put it this way: Bear Stearns sold at a value of just $236 million — and its Manhattan building is believed to be worth more than that.

Hoping to avoid a systemic meltdown in financial markets, the Federal Reserve on Sunday approved a $30 billion credit line to engineer the takeover of Bear Stearns and announced an open-ended lending program for the biggest investment firms on Wall Street.

In a third move aimed at helping banks and thrifts, the Fed also lowered the rate for borrowing from its so-called discount window by a quarter of a percentage point, to 3.25 percent.

The moves amounted to a sweeping and apparently unprecedented attempt by the Federal Reserve to rescue the nation’s financial markets from what officials feared could be a chain reaction of defaults.

After a weekend of intense negotiations, the Federal Reserve approved a $30 billion credit line to help JPMorgan Chase acquire Bear Stearns, one of the biggest firms on Wall Street, which had been teetering near collapse because of its deepening losses in the mortgage market.

In a highly unusual maneuver, Fed officials said they would secure the loan by effectively taking over the huge Bear Stearns portfolio and exercising control over all major decisions in order to minimize the central bank’s own risk.

The Fed, working closely with bank regulators and the Treasury Department, raced to complete the deal Sunday night in order to prevent investors from panicking on Monday about the ability of Bear Stearns to make good on billions of dollars in trading commitments.

Reading this story in the NYT this morning, the following words jumped out at me: “systemic meltdown,” “unprecedented,” “near collapse,” and “panicking.”

Yes, the Fed is scrambling, but this paragraph from a Reuters report also caught my eye: “‘The market is totally panicking,’ said a trader at big Japanese bank. ‘The fact that the Fed had to announce its emergency steps on Sunday night highlighted the seriousness of the situation.'”

The LAT added:

For Bear Stearns, a major force in sub-prime mortgage lending, the speed and ferocity of the fall underscored the depth of a crisis that threatens the financial system.

“It’s amazing that a firm with a storied history that has been respected for all these years has within two weeks literally gone from solvent to insolvent,” said Larry Tabb, head of a financial markets consulting firm in Westborough, Mass. “It’s scary and it’s horrible.”

And the next question — one of them, anyway — is whether Bear Stearns’ collapse will spread.

The cash squeeze that brought Bear Stearns to its knees is fanning fears that other investment banks might be vulnerable to the crisis of confidence gripping Wall Street.

Investors are bracing for another volatile week in the markets as bankers and policy makers deal with the fallout from their bid to rescue Bear Stearns.

For now, the prospect of a new wave of consolidation in the beleaguered financial services industry seems remote. That is because would-be acquirers and everyday investors alike have lost faith in the values that Wall Street firms are placing on their own assets.

Of particular concern are the so-called marks placed on mortgage-linked investments like those that undid Bear Stearns, prompting a run on the firm that led the Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase to throw Bear Stearns a financial lifeline last week.

This going to be very unpleasant.

What Krugman said:

“If these numbers shock you, they should. But the big bailout is coming. The only question is how well it will be managed.

“As I said, the important thing is to bail out the system, not the people who got us into this mess. That means cleaning out the shareholders in failed institutions, making bondholders take a haircut, and canceling the stock options of executives who got rich playing heads I win, tails you lose.”

I am not proud of a country that votes against health care for children but is willing to cushion the fall for too-wealthy gamblers. I recognize that market collapse would hurt the poor and the middle class much more than the scum that’s risen to the top, so bailout is necessary. But we must do what we can to make sure that we don’t continue to line the pockets of the assholes who got us into this mess in the first place!

  • “Nothing to see here, move along” says the cop at the exploding fireworks factory.

  • “The issue of economics is not something I’ve understood as well as I should,” McCain told the Boston Globe late last year. He said that in choosing a vice president he’d look for a person with economic experience to compensate for his own shortcomings. “I’m going to be honest,” he told Stephen Moore of the Wall Street Journal three years ago. “I know a lot less about economics than I do about military and foreign policy issues. I still need to be educated.”

    experience counts, remember?

  • Fasten your seatbelts, put your trays up, and put your chairs in the upright position

    Your title implies a safe, controlled landing. You might want to add, “and assume crash positions.”

  • All I know is that if the financial sector wants to be bailed out now, they can damn well be taxed more later to return the favor.

  • Maybe we can get George Fucking Bush to give a “nothing to fear” speech?

    Maybe John Fucking McCain could get his sorry old ass back from photo-ops in Baghdad long enough to say something?

    Maybe the MSM could wake up?

    Happy St. Patrick’s day … please pass the whiskey.

  • This isn’t exactly a political story…

    Actually it is. It’s about the fallacy of free market politics. The Republicans degraded personal bankruptcy protections, allowing banks to ease credit lines, and create the sub-prime class of loans. By bundling and selling these loans, the investment banks reduced their risks until the costs of homes fell. Combine this with free trade agreements and inviting immigrants to come into the country to “do jobs Americans don’t want to do”, many people saw their real income decrease or disappear. By borrowing money from overseas and creating lots of debt through tax policies and an unnecessary war, the dollar fell, energy prices rose, and soon food prices went up as well. Now these Republican policies have led to a tidal wave. Yeah, it is political.

  • If the government (taxpayers) are going to bail these investment firms out I believe that they should be put in recievership. Whereas a federal judge appoints a board to oversee daily operations just as they would if a company is sued and can’t pay up.

  • The world is going to shit, Bear Sterns is just the beginning, there will be more insolvency, big banks will buy out investment firms and other banks for pennies on the dollar, and the Fed and big banks come out looking like heroes after they just screwed us all.

    The truth of the matter is that a President doesn’t need to understand the fine workings of the economny, they just need to focus on policy which keeps jobs from leaving the country, and making free trade work for our people. If John McCain can show that he has the right advisors and picks a respectable VP, then the issue of the economy may not hurt him as much.

    McCain is banking on the fact that America is still scared shitless, and will continue to be scared shitless, and is counting on the Democratic party to implode in order to ride the wave to victory.

  • I don’t anyone to feel undeserved economic pain as a result of this crash so I hope the interventions work, but a part of me is silently cheering the collapse of an unsustainable consumption-based economic system fueled by consumer debt that squanders natural and human resources and contaminates the earth, sky and water. There may be an opportunity here to re-invent the global economy in favor of local economies – but I doubt the political will exists for that.

  • The George “Hoover” Bush conservatism-inspired recession is here – economists like Edward Gramlich, Dean Baker and Paul Krugman were right.

    Meanwhile Greenspan and the a-holes on CNBC (like Kudlow) should be shot by firing squad.

  • So-called “mortgage-backed securities” were really a giant Ponzi scheme perpetrated by investment banks and hedge funds whose executives were rewarded with multi-billion dollar salaries and bonuses. If “civilians” rob people that way, it’s a crime. Make them cough up as much as possible in fines and then throw them all in jail.

  • Seriously, boys and girls, it’s over for George Hitler and Dick Goebbels.

    Is anyone actually listening to them ? We all know they’re a dangerous joke, but up till now, there statements would still be respectfully recorded by the lapdog media.

    but this morning, their insane delusions are finally making it clear to everyone that they just need to be flat-out ignored, if not arrested, over the next seven months.

    this from the MBA president himself:
    “Steering through a rough patch requires a steady hand on the wheel and your eyes up on the horizon. And that’s exactly what we’re going to do,”

    and this from Iraq:

    Cheney said he sensed “phenomenal changes” since his last visit 10 months ago and described security gains as “dramatic”.

    when do armed troops move in and arrest them both ? is there a constitutional expert out there who can summarize for me the requirements for the executive branch ? don’t they have to be of sound mind ? can insanity not disqualify them from office ? i would really like to hear a thoughtful answer ? why … why … WHY would you sheep sit back and give them seven more months to completely drive this nation into smouldering oblivion ?

  • Um … I work in the finance industry and … uh … well, I’m really, really not one to be a doom and gloomer and get all jittery, but … this is bad. Real, real bad.

    Everything is so connected now that if one market catches a cold, the worldwide system feels the symptoms. And this isn’t a cold — it’s the 1918 flu (subprime), mixed with malaria (housing market), and with a heaping helping of immune deficiency (lax regulation thanks to the GOP) piled on top.

    And the fools running the show in this country sure as hell ain’t got the cure, since they’d rather spend billions a week in Iraq.

    **bangs head on wallet**

  • So the federal government has to come in and rescue the economy.

    Well, so much for Laissez-faire.

  • hey in the bush administration you can have record profits AND record debt too!

    what could POSSIBLY go wrong?

  • “This isn’t exactly a political story,…” – Mr. CB

    With all due respect good sir, Au Contraire.

    A comment I lifted in full from TPM:

    TPM Reader SW’s lament …

    I am appalled, though not surprised, at the complete silence by the candidates on the last few days’ events on Wall Street and the world’s stock, bond and currency markets. This has far more effect on all of our futures than racist comments by the oxygen deprived brains of some old political or spiritual leaders. I know why Clinton and McCain are not talking about it: too many of their biggest supporters had too much to do with what happened, and benefited from the deregulation of the past twenty years for which both (and their allies) had a great deal of responsibility. (Remember that Hillary stood by while her colleague Chick Schumer killed the bill to tax hedge fund managers, who ear scores of millions every year, at income, rather than capital gains, rates.) What about Obama? Is he not up to the task of educating people about what the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act did to the markets many Americans poured their retirement and college savings into? Does he know that the Federal Reserve is about to bail out bankers, investors, and outright thieves who helped drive down the dollar, and brought the credit markets to a near standstill? Does he understand the problem? I wouldn’t know.

    Seventy years ago Franklin Roosevelt was able to explain this country’s and the world’s financial crises to a far less educated, and less accessible, American public. That today’s candidates are unwiling, or
    unable to do so, is alarming. Maybe if the media first tried to understand the problems, then asked the proper questions until answers were forthcoming or it was clear the candidates are afraid to ask them,
    political coverage would be more than the extreme sports coverage it has turned into.

    Politics is policy. The policies of our “government” are raping and destroying this country. It didn’t have to be this way.

  • Politics is policy. The policies of our “government” are raping and destroying this country. It didn’t have to be this way.

    That’s mine. I should have used some quotes up there. Sorry.

  • Republicans are supposed to be totally against social programs—but the bailout of the investment banks is the greatest social program of them all! The banks live on, ad infinitum— while every last individual share of Bear Stearns is going to coercively bend over for a measly $2. Bu$h fiddles while Wall Street burns, and he’ll find a way to blame it on Dems for not passing his “Purtekt ‘Murricah Akt.”

    This is theft on the grandest of all scales! Where did the $200B of Fed money from last week go? And where did the $30B from yesterday go, if all Chase is paying for BS is one-tenth of that amount?

  • Nice to see that The Really Big Story has finally showed up here.

    For those who slept in the back of the classroom through “Economic History of the United States,” what has been going on here is what went on for the years prior to 1929: “voodoo economics” in which the rules for approving credit for loans was thrown out the window. The stock market climb of the 1920s was fueled by debt (as has been the housing market now). Back then, investors only had some 5 percent of their own money tied up in the stocks they “owned.” today hedge funds have around 10 percent of their money in the properties they “own.”

    Due to a series of bad decisions by major banks and the government (sound familiar?) the “margins were called” in the fall of 1929. People didn’t have the cash to cover their loans and were forced to sell their stocks. The more stocks being sold the faster they all fell in value and the result was Black Tuesday. The same thing is going on now in any of the exurbs of California, where crackerboxes built from cardboard and sold like gold to people who couldn’t afford them are now on the market 4 for a block – they go down in value, they pull everything around them down in value, and the result is Bear Stearns loses $3 billion last summer on bad mortgages and then Carlyle Group defaults a week ago (why this is so underreported is beyond me, other than this is the hedge fund manager of Bush, Inc.) on $16 billion in margin calls – and this on prime mortgages! It’s so bad that last week “The Pope” became a protestant when Secretary of the Treasure Paulson said we needed more regulation of the financial markets so they could make sense of what they have. A Major Player said over the weekend that nobody now knows what is in any CDO.

    20 years of Republican voodoo economics brought on the Crisis of 1929. 20 years of Republican voodoo economics now brings on the Crisis of 2008.

    And as the Fed lowered the prime rate again over the weekend, the dollar became less atractive to investors. Wednesday the Euro bought $1.55 – Thursday morning it bought $1.60 and Friday morning it bought around $1.62. See the pattern here? As of this morning, the dollar is worth 96 yen.

    Not to mention the article over at Salon today about what $100/barrel oil is going to do to a country founded on cheap energy.

    Fasten your seatbelts indeed. It’s going to be a VERY “bumpy ride.”

  • Ed Stephan (#6) said: Maybe we can get George Fucking Bush to give a “nothing to fear” speech?

    He did. Thursday. He “has confidence in the future.” The audience – composed of the financial services industry – didn’t laugh in his face (just later). As CB suggested in his post on that speech yesterday, go read the whole thing. It is breathtaking in its disconnected stupidity.

    “Prosperity is just around the corner”

  • To anyone on this blog who has said he or she could not possibly vote for Obama or Clinton if the other got the nomination, I suggest you seriously reconsider such a decision.

    A choice not to back the Democratic nominee in full will likely lead to more Republican “leadership” in the White House. Think about it, Mary. You have said you would support Ralph Nader before Barack Obama. Some Obama supporters have said they would not vote, or vote for McCain if Obama didn’t get the nomination. Look around. We don’t have the luxury of making such stupid decisions any more. Me must rally around the nominee and hope he or she can find a way to turn this thing around.

  • 2Manchu @15:

    So the federal government has to come in and rescue the economy.

    Well, so much for Laissez-faire.

    Conservatives are only against intervention for poor and/or brown people. And when it comes to financial institutions, the Invisible Hand is only the rule on the way up, not the way down.

    We have nothing to fear — Bush The Lesser “believes in a strong dollar policy” (whew), and various financial gurus (sic) have assured us, at every juncture, that the unwinding credit bubble “is all contained” (boy, I feel completely confident now).

    A lot of large or venerable institutions, including Lehman, Citi and UBS, have already taken considerable writedowns because of mortgage-related securities and greedy hedge fund manipulations. Bear Stearns did not crater “suddenly and dramatically,” it was a slow-moving shipwreck of bad decision-making. The only drama was in the sudden last-minute move to throw a safety net under them.

    Expect more to come. (Unfortunately.)

  • Despite all the bad news, this is the prefect Republican market. The system is operating exactly the way Republicans want it to:
    – The executive class gets to do extremely risky and “innovative” investing with other people’s money that nets the executives short-term windfalls and self-congratulatory bonuses while the big-money investors are protected and the little investor assumes all the losses.
    – The federal government has encouraged most Americans to invest in these markets so that way we all own a piece of whatever mess the executives come up with and their fate becomes ours. Federal dollars are forced to come to the rescue.
    -The federal government, knowing full well the markets can’t be allowed to correct as Adam Smith had envisioned jumps in with a bailout.
    -The Grover Norquist crowd cheers because the federal government is unable to use public funds on social programs and other progressive concepts because it’s busy using it’s cash to bail-out the markets.
    -The rich take their “get richer quicker” gains and their executive golden parachutes can land them softly on a cushion of money, some of which pays off Republican candidates to keep this system going.
    – Normal folks whose retirement savings have been imperiled by bubble crashes are now forced to take even greater risks in the market in hopes of recouping all their lost savings, perpetuating the system, feeding the next bubble and making the hamster wheel spin even faster.

    It’s time to tie the fates of executives to their decisions. If the common folks take a bath, these guys should be feeling just as much pain proportionally as the rest of us. It’s time to bring back the sticks and quit feeding the losers carrots because we’ve created a market where incompetence is rewarded and incentives to do the right thing are non-existent.

  • Greg Pallast had a very interesting article about why Elliot Spitzer was brought down so suddenly last week, and the announcement of the Bear Sterns buyout. He says, follow the money.

  • The man who designated himself over-sight of Wall Street just could not find it important enough to forgo prostitutes. It is no coincidence the ‘bail-out’ was announced the same day Spitzer resigned.

    We could really use someone with integrity and financial smarts to oversee $30B ‘credit’ line. Spitzer was the man, they cheered on Wall Street for a reason last Thursday. Some days you understand why corrupt officials in China have expedient trials and their families stripped of all wealth. I am not advocating either, but greed is going to get us like it got Russia. The clowns are going to walk away filthy rich and leave the country when it gets nasty.

    I have personally lost about 30% of my wealth (if you can call it that) from a year ago. But I was up about 50%, so essentially today I am around 35% of where I was in October. I wasn’t banking on risky investments, mainly stocks (still fairly young), which until October were barely moderate risk. Now what ?? The dollar is inching closer and closer to obscurity, Bush says it’s OK while the rest of planet is pulling the plug.

    The political hacks have taken over the building and one thing you can always count-on, Bush’s political hacks will make it worse without even trying and if they try, it will become damaged to the point of un-fixable.

    But fear not, the rebate checks are “in the mail”.

  • Fasten your seatbelts, put your trays up, and put your chairs in the upright position

    I guess that is standard procedure in the event of a plane about to crash, isn’t it.

    In this case, of course, it’s the economy that is crashing. But the pro-wrestling adversaries at the helm of this heavy jet are not pulling up.

    The paradigm of the Federal Reserve System, a secretive cartel of “quasi-private” central banks, with the help of their loyal patrons in Congress, is perpetuating fraud on the good people of America through the printing of fiat currency (inflation) and the Orwellian practice of “Fractional Reserve Banking” whereby money is magically multiplied exponentially in the form of bits in a computer somewhere.

    Our dollar is progressively debased over time and our buying power is perpetually diminished (known as rising costs) by what amounts to a Ponzi scheme that has been substituted for a sound monetary system.

    Then you have the Federal Government largely financing its military empire overseas with “loans” from the Federal Reserve which are passed along as a generational yoke onto the backs of our grandchildren’s grandchildren. Hardly a model of National Economic Security.

    But this paradigm faces little scrutiny or debate in the quote-mainstream media or public educational indoctrination or even in the, quote, Reality Based Community. Apparently the efficacy of the Federal Reserve System as a sound monetary policy is somehow self-evident to many otherwise intelligent people. And this, perhaps, is why the Fed’s meetings are not televised as are sessions of Congress and why the majority shareholders of the central banks of the Federal Reserve System are not public knowledge. Somehow we are expected to accept that the Federal Reserve cartel is always a benevolent steward of the economy.

    While the manufacturing sector continues its decades-long decline into the abyss and reported government spending balloons to over twenty percent of GDP, bank bailouts such as the Bear Stearns debacle and an inflationary monetary policy will ultimately end badly for the American people much the same way that another empire, that of the Romans, ended.

  • Let me introduce myself, my name is Kunta Kinte and 0 % reserve is my nomination for the Nobel Prize. Is it the key of my salvation or it is the reason for my starvation, you decide. God bless Plunge Protection Team.

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