Fissures come to the fore

The decisions made by the White House yesterday — before and during Bush’s national address — only solidified Democratic opposition to the president’s escalation strategy, but it’s worth remembering that Republicans are, with less and less hesitation, jumping ship.

President Bush’s plan to deploy more US troops to Iraq drew rebukes from a range of congressional Republicans yesterday, a break from the lock-step support for the war that the president has long enjoyed from members of his own party.

A number of once-supportive Republican senators, including Norm Coleman of Minnesota, Sam Brownback of Kansas, and Gordon Smith of Oregon, went on record yesterday opposing an escalation in troop levels.

“This is the president’s Hail Mary pass,” Smith said after the speech. “We are extending an ineffective tactic to further the status quo.”

In addition to opposition from several Republican senators, seven rank-and-file GOP House members sent a letter to Bush yesterday, imploring him to reconsider his escalation strategy. Given the recent history of the House Republicans, this was rather unusual.

It gets back to a point we talked about yesterday. Congressional Dems, at least in the short term, seem to believe that dividing the GOP is the first step towards checking the White House’s policy. The key is making opposition to Bush policy bi-partisan.

As the Boston Globe put it, “[I]f a sizeable number of Republicans join Democrats in opposing the president’s plan, Bush could find himself increasingly isolated as he pursues a strategy that the public is largely opposing.”

So far, that’s exactly what’s been happening. Bush and his aides have been desperate to convince Republicans to stand behind him on Iraq, but fewer and fewer are willing to do so.

Rep. Walter Jones (R-N.C.), an enthusiastic war supporter turned virulent critic, helped draft the seven-member letter. “This goes all the way back to four years ago, when the president told us we had to go to war over weapons of mass destruction,” Jones said. “I don’t think the president is listening.”

Jones is hardly alone. Sen. Sam Brownback (R-Kan.), a soon-to-be presidential candidate, said in a written statement issued from Baghdad, “I do not believe that sending more troops to Iraq is the answer. Iraq requires a political rather than a military solution.”

Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.), another likely presidential contender, said there’s a gap between Bush’s rhetoric and the reality on the ground. “This is a dangerously wrong-headed strategy that will drive America deeper into an unwinnable swamp at a great cost,” Hagel said. “More American troops, treasure and casualties will not change this reality. It will make it worse.”

Even Sen. John Warner, the former chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee and a strong White House ally, is distancing himself from the Bush policy.

[Warner] said he will draft a resolution calling on Bush to increase troops only if he’s willing to endorse the major recommendations of the Iraq Study Group, which called for a major rethinking of the administration’s foreign policy.

“Young men and women of US forces and coalition forces should not be caught in the crossfire of a civil war prompted by who should have succeeded Mohammed in — what is it? — 650 AD?” said Warner, a Virginia Republican.

The more Bush is isolated, the more likely it is the White House will embrace serious change. The president simply cannot execute a war opposed by the nation on based solely on the support of John McCain, Joe Lieberman, and Lindsey Graham.

I doubt that anything short of impeachment is going to stop Bush from escalating this war. Consider the loss of American and Iraqi lives to come, the terrible loss suffered by the families, the economic and diplomatic costs of continuing the war – the political costs of impeachment seem very small in comparison.

  • More fissures on the way.

    Down the road, look for McCain to distance himself, to the right, from the Decider’s decision to go surge-lite.

    McCain’s position is if you are going to surge, surge big time or not at all. He does not want the surge to define the “McCain doctrine.”

  • Realisticly, the Dems in Congress can do nothing to stop Bush unless they have enough Republican votes to override a veto. Otherwise, any law that the Dems pass Bush will veto. So dividing the Republicans has to be the first step.

  • The distinct difference between this division and the GOP divisions of the previous decade(s) is that this is not partisan division but rather a division of the reality based and the idealogues. Regardless of how hard Bush tries to deny and ignore it, the reality is that this war is un-winable, damaging to the US and ultimately will become a scar on America and the legacy of GBW.

    Hopefully the leaders operating in reality can act in a effective and timely way to minimize the damage.

  • Brian (Re #3) – It’s not a surge, it’s McCain’s escalation.

    So sad that the Deciderator won’t support our troops by using all available tools (like diplomacy) to try to end this conflict.
    Reminds me of the sloppy, belligerant bar drunk saying “c’mon, I’ll fight you with one arm behind my back! (Hic)”
    And we all know how that ends.

  • Congressional Dems, at least in the short term, seem to believe that dividing the GOP is the first step towards checking the White House’s policy. The key is making opposition to Bush policy bi-partisan.

    Next stop: Impeachment.

  • Gregory #7 – impeachment doesn’t work unless you get votes from 17 Republican Senators. That’s the same number to override a veto. Republican Senators are much, much more likely to vote for a veto override than to vote to remove Bush from office. So until the Dems can get a veto overridden in the Senate, there is no point in talking about impeachment.

  • Dennis — Baby steps, man, baby steps. It’s a matter of getting the Reptile Congresscritters to recognize that it’s in their interests to jump ship from the foundering S.S. Bush. I’m not saying that’s likely, but Watergate showed it’s possible.

    Actually, I think impeaching Cheney could be a marvelous way to test the waters.

  • I don’t think Bush is desperate at all to get Republican support for his moves in Iraq. I think he plans to go ahead no matter what. He certainly has ignored what his Republican fellows have wanted in the past — e.g., his signing statement on the McCain anti-torture bill, for instance. He will bull his way down the path until he’s stopped by extreme measures that he can’t overcome.

    The Democrats are going to have to decide if they want to stop Bush or just to make him, and by extension, the Republicans, “look bad”. They don’t need to help his reputation fall any lower — he does quite well all by himself. Their real responsibility is to stop him with hard ball plays.

  • Since he’s already started to send in more soldiers without Congressional feedback, this will be interpreted as a clear Kiss My Arse to everyone, regardless of party affiliation.

    I think one of the things the Repulsivecons liked about their Exalted Monkey was the fact that he made them feel it was “Us” (the GOP) against those pesky Democrats. Now it is starting to look more and more like “Me,” against everyone else. And of course, these folks still have to think of their careers. Look at how they avoided the Shrub during the last election cycle. It will take more than not meeting him at the airport to show they really have and want nothing to do with this bastard.

    Irrelevant thought: I keep reading the word “fissures” and thinking anal fissures. Inappropriate in one way. Very appropriate in another.

  • Gregory makes a good point. Remove Bush first, and you’ve got to put Cheney in as President—and the whole shooting match starts over from square one.

    But—remove CHENEY first, and the Senate has control over who the next Veep is. Bush can’t just “name” his new sidekick; he’s got to get the Senate to confirm by majority vote. With Cheney out, even a “Lieberman Gambit” gives the GOP nothing better than a 50-50 tie—and we’re already seeing some from the Right (we could call these folks the “Right Lite Gang”) who are starting to stretch their legs, now that they’re no longer under the thumb of “Herr Doktor” Frist. Getting 17 “Right Liters” to throw Cheney under the bus just might be a feasible thing….

  • If Froomkin can see that all of this new “strategy” (“Meet the new policy, same as the old” post) is nothing but a tactic and Gordon Smith can figure it out, why is the WH not seeting the difference? Of course they could be and it is all about managing the PR.

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