Four more years

I have to admit, I’m a little surprised (and confused) by the field of Republican presidential candidates making no real effort to offer voters a change from Bush-Cheney. Given that the president is the least popular of any in the modern political era, this shouldn’t be too tricky.

And yet, the GOP field seems confused. Two weeks ago, it was Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney arguing over who agrees with Bush’s foreign policy the most.

Today, Paul Krugman notes that it’s part of a larger trend.

On one side, the Democrats are all promising to get out of Iraq and offering strongly progressive policies on taxes, health care and the environment. That’s understandable: the public hates the war, and public opinion seems to be running in a progressive direction.

What seems harder to understand is what’s happening on the other side — the degree to which almost all the Republicans have chosen to align themselves closely with the unpopular policies of an unpopular president. And I’m not just talking about their continuing enthusiasm for the Iraq war. The G.O.P. candidates are equally supportive of Bush economic policies.

On the one hand, the Republican field seems to be at least tacitly aware of their political predicament. Most of the time, these guys have been told not to utter the president’s name at all. At the most recent Republican debate, not a single GOP hopeful used the word “Bush” over the course of the 90-minute event.

But then there’s the other hand, with a realization that doesn’t make any sense: the public is clamoring for change, and the Republican presidential candidates are offering more of the same.

Obviously, Bush maintains some popularity with the far-right Republican base, so it stands to reason that his would-be successors would be reluctant to criticize him during the primary fight.

But Krugman noted that they’re not only missing an opportunity here, they’re also reinforcing the belief that they will “cower before the power of movement conservatism,” even if that means embracing failed policies. He uses John McCain as Exhibit A.

Mr. McCain’s lingering reputation as a maverick straight talker comes largely from his opposition to the Bush tax cuts of 2001 and 2003, which he said at the time were too big and too skewed to the rich. Those objections would seem to have even more force now, with America facing the costs of an expensive war — which Mr. McCain fervently supports — and with income inequality reaching new heights.

But Mr. McCain now says that he supports making the Bush tax cuts permanent. Not only that: he’s become a convert to crude supply-side economics, claiming that cutting taxes actually increases revenues. That’s an assertion even Bush administration officials concede is false.

Oh, and what about his earlier opposition to tax cuts? Mr. McCain now says he opposed the Bush tax cuts only because they weren’t offset by spending cuts.

Aside from the logical problem here — if tax cuts increase revenue, why do they need to be offset? — even a cursory look at what Mr. McCain said at the time shows that he’s trying to rewrite history: he actually attacked the Bush tax cuts from the left, not the right. But he has clearly decided that it’s better to fib about his record than admit that he wasn’t always a rock-solid economic conservative.

So what does the conversion of Mr. McCain into an avowed believer in voodoo economics — and the comparable conversions of Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani — tell us? That bitter partisanship and political polarization aren’t going away anytime soon.

It’s also one reason I remain cautiously optimistic about Democrats’ chances in November — very few Americans want four more years similar to the last seven, but that’s exactly what the Republican field is offering.

I think Krugman is wrong. The Republican’ts are cowering before the power of Neo-Conservatives and their Multinational Corporate enablers, not “Movement Conservatives”.

It is the former, not the later, who are Boy George II’s puppet masters.

  • Thank goodness the bitter partisanship isn’t going away anytime soon, as this means Republicans will continue doggedly clinging to moronic policies which don’t work and are largely unpopular.

  • [minor word transposition in your post, Steve – “few very” in the last sentence should be “very few”]

    Is there anyone who wants to be president more than John McCain? Although, in truth, I think the GOP candidates have proven to be willing to say anything – even in the face of incontrovertible proof of their prior statements – to anyone, in the hope of getting a vote.

    I guess when the option is to sound more like the Democrats you’ve demonized for years, or stick with the same, old, tired and damaging policies of the current administration – even when the public is overwhelmingly opposed to them – they just can’t bring themselves to sound more like Democrats. They’d rather stick with policies that hurt the country than set ego and pride aside in hopes of benefitting the country.

    The stubborn and inflexible current occupant of the WH must be just so proud.

  • Shalimar is right. These guys would rather eat bugs than admit (even to themselves) that their party’s policies for the past seven years have been a fiasco and a disaster. And this can only be good for Democrats.

  • What the Republicans know that Krugman doesn’t is that the people are too stupid to know these are Bush’s policies. As long as they don’t say Bush’s name but say they want to cut taxes and fight wars (new wars are better than keeping the old wars going, so Iran is the best target), the people lap it up. This is going to be a much closer election than most people think because the American public is genuinely stupid.

  • Conservative ideology isn’t viable in the modern world, but the conservative mindset knows nothing else. Their outlook is based on misguided beliefs and unquestioning faith. Take that away and they’re just empty, babbling, blathering fools.

  • Shalimar said:
    Thank goodness the bitter partisanship isn’t going away anytime soon, as this means Republicans will continue doggedly clinging to moronic policies which don’t work and are largely unpopular.

    Unfortunately, it also means that the Democratic leadership in Congress will continue to meekly put up with Republican obstructionism and continure to move further to the right in order to “meet them halfway.” The Democratic leaders still cower under their desks and soil themselves at the mere thought of catching the attention of the Republican smear machine and having a talking point aimed in their direction.

    Here’s a question I’d like to see asked at the next Democratic cadidate debate: Will any of you promise to try to return balance to the courts by nominating judges who are as far to the left of center as George W. Bush’s nominiees have been to the right of center?

    Watch how quickly they ignore the quesiton and tell people how tough they will be on (mostly dark-skinned) criminals.

  • I was looking at the internals on one of the bigger polls that came out over the weekend, and mentioned to my wife that Republicans and Democrats are, at this point, essentially different species, wired entirely differently.

    The poll asked respondents of each party for the issue(s) – I believe it was up to three – most important to them in the election. There was virtually no overlap in the top 5 responses. Note this also throws a wrench in the Broder/Bloomberg/Boren Bipartisanship movement. It isn’t that “the masses” all want the same thing and those damned politicians are too partisan — it is that half of the masses want one thing, and the other half want something totally different. It is even worse than holding opposing positions on a particular issue under discussion – the sides can’t even agree on what issue is important to discuss!

    (Being of the Democratic Species, I couldn’t help but analyze the Republican choices as looking entirely grounded in fear, judgmentalism and weakness — Moral Values, Terrorism, and Immigration were the top three. For Dems, the top three were, IIRC, Getting out of Iraq, Economy and Health Care.)

  • Why do many Democrats in Congress seek to put themselves halfway between Bush treason and Republican fascism?

    The U. S. Congress is too gutless to stop the Bush war of aggression against the Iraqi people; the U. S. Congress is too gutless to end the funding for the Bush criminal illegal occupation of Iraq; the U. S. Congress is to gutless to Impeach, Try, Convict and Remove from Office the lying, election-stealing, torturing war-mongering traitors, Cheney and Bush, but they can outlaw our beloved 100-watt light bulbs.

    Brilliant. Actually, if you want to do something about stopping the ongoing and accelerating destruction of the Earth by human activities and human developments, stop having children: just don’t reproduce. Human overpopulation is the biggest threat to the planet Earth, its natural environment and the many plants and animals that share this sphere.

    Many of us enjoy having nice, bright one-hundred watt light bulbs in our lamps so that we can see and read books. We do not want to have our homes resemble dimly-lit cheap motels, with 40-watt bulbs or 60-watt bulbs in a few dinky lamps and over-head light fixtures.

    My house is often cold, especially in the autumn, winter and spring, here in coastal California and I happily use a 100-watt light bulb as a handy heat source. I have no interest in being forced to use very expensive fragile cold fluorescent bulbs in my house. Please rescind this legislation outlawing our incandescent light bulbs as soon as possible (and withdraw all of our troops from Iraq and Impeach, Try, Convict and Remove from Office the lying, election-stealing, torturing war-mongering traitors, Cheney and Bush).

    Happy New Year !

  • When I can stand to go to the “off-topic” boards at various discussion groups for my favorite hobby (where I am then reminded of the irony that I share my favorite hobby with a gaggle of drooling morons – it’s sooooooo embarassing), one can find the 28percenters raving on in their own alternative reality, where everything Georgie and the Dickhead have done has been for the salvation of the planet, if not the entire universe, where all intelligent people see the goodness of The Leader’s leadership, and where eight more years like the last eight wil be a Wonderful Thing as God gives The Leader the knowledge he needs to save the world for the Second Coming.

    I’m not kidding.

    And 28 percent translates to 70+% of the Republican Party. So yes, their candidates will continue to tell the lemmings that the cliff ahead is really the jumping-off point to a Wonderful Life.

    Movement Conservative, Neo-Conservative, Theo-Conservative – all mere facets of the sorcerer’s stone that is American Fascism.

  • Shouldn’t surprise anyone – repugs stole last 2 presidential elections – why should they care if the public does not actually support what they say and do?

    Even the so-called “opposition party” that was elected in 2006 to provide a little “oversight” does not challenge dur chimpfuhrer – contantly caving in to whatever he wants no matter how unpopular it is with the American public.

    In fact – even the front leading dems like hil and ‘bama consistently take position on issues that are closely aligned with the chimp.

    The leading DEMS and repugs don’t give a damn what the people want.

  • I agree with Zeitgeist, and his linking it to the bipartisan post earlier today. I’ve believed for a long time and said several times in comments that I think right and left are hopelessly polarized in this country. We don’t want the same things or the same kind of country. And I don’t know how you split the difference, or move to the center, on many of these issues anyway. It sounds great, but what’s the center when you are talking about Iraq? Or healthcare? There isn’t any. Keep 60,000 troops in Iraq for half of forever? Give half the uninsured access to partially affordable health care and strike out half the pre-existing conditions? Allow five commandments to be posted everywhere? Allow half the gays to get married? Flip a coin for each first trimester abortion request? Fight global warming halfway? Attack half the countries the neocons want to destroy?

    Edwards is right. There are two Americas, only it’s not rich and the rest. It’s left and right. Well, he’s half right. There’s that, too.

  • Bizzaro World Reality

    Gore ran away from a popular president. The Republicans run toward an unpopular president.

  • The “bipartisan” meme is not what people think it is.

    The problem is that the labels themselves get in the way of change. I’ve always been interested in progressive candidates who can either rebrand the Democratic Party or accomplish progressive goals under alternative guises. Wes Clark in 2004 struck me as a stealth progressive: if you took his policy positions at face value, he was well to the left of all the other viable Dems–but those stars on his shoulders would have bought a lot of leeway. Likewise Jim Webb, Jon Tester and other 2006 winners who offered potential to change the larger perception of what “Democrat” means. Likewise, perhaps, Barack Obama.

    What Zeitgeist misses in his otherwise typically perceptive point is that while the Democratic and Republican priorities were different, it’s likely that most Democrats want to feel protected from terrorism (and, though we might not like it, that illegal immigration is controlled) and that most Republicans want to improve the health care system and feel a bit more confident in the condition and fairness of the economy. We *do* want substantially the same things.

    As I’m back to thinking that Clinton is going to slide through to the nomination by virtue of Obama and Edwards splitting the Not-Hillary mantle, I’ll be waiting and hoping that Bloomberg comes in after all. As annoying and demeaning as it is to find myself in some kind of agreement with a tool like David Broder, my reasons differ from his: Bloomberg, by virtue of his political and financial independence, is probably a better bet for progressives than Our Lady of Perpetual Triangulation anyway. The trick would be getting low-information Democrats to recognize this while winning enough Republicans who think that any billionaire must have the mandate of heaven.

  • Beginning with the 2004 election cycle questionnaires like Pick Your Candidate have become popular. Basically, they ask you your opinion on a number of policy issues. This one lets you agree/disagree minimally (1 pt), intensively (3 pts) or key (5 pts). Your policy picks are then compared with the candidates’ – the more you agree the higher your score, the less the lower.

    Here’s how I came out (scores after candidates): Kucinich (44), Gravel (36), Obama (26), Edwards (22), Clinton (22), Dodd (20), Richardson (20), Biden (18), Paul (0), Cox (-15), McCain (-16), Giuliani (-16), T.Thompson (-17), Brownback (-25), Huckabee (-29), Tancredo (-36), Romney (-38), Hunter (-43)

    It’s clear there’s no overlap between Republicans (ugh) and Democrats (yay). So bipartisan cooperation would require either the Second Coming or a real external threat.

    I checked nearly all issues as important, none key. My personal choice is Edwards. As is evident, there’s more to presidential choice than policy agreement (electability, governing style, etc), but it’s interesting nevertheless. Incidentally, I don’t know if the “T. Thompson” is Tommy Thompson (who dropped out) or a misprint of Fred Thompson (who isn’t listed and got into the race late).

  • RepubCo thinks the handwriting on the wall says that people of power and wealth will be less and less subject to laws and that more than ever in this country, money will be the most important thing that a person can possess.

    They may not want to link their name to Shruby, but they see him as a rich and privileged guy who just spent the last 7 years with his middle finger raised high to everyone who wasn’t like him and then just skating the hell out of Dodge. They want to be like George.

    Glenn Greenwald had an excellent post yesterday.

    http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2007/12/30/oligarchy/index.html

    From the post:

    “And thus we have a perfect oligarchical system in which, literally, our most powerful and well-connected elite are free to break the law with impunity, exempt from any consequences. While exempting themselves, these same figures impose increasingly Draconian “law and order” solutions on the masses to ensure that even small infractions of the law prompt vigorous prosecution and inflexible, lengthy prison terms.”

    Idealistic dreams talk and money walks in this country of ours. RepubCo are the money guys. The guys who can make things happen for those who view the world as a turnip with a drop of blood yet to be squeezed out. There are no other priorities. America isn’t a thing to be sustained. It’s a thing to be used without letup.

    Elections, laws, compromises. All are impediments set up to enable the rabble. They don’t want four more years. They want ’em all. And they don’t want to live in a world that has the stench of something like progressivism or social responsibility lingering over it.

    Ya know how Shruby never has a plan B? Well RepubCo doesn’t either.

  • The further away from the American mainstream the Republicans get, the easier the choice will be in the 2008 election. Republicans are banking on the prospect that Americans will vote against their own self interests again. I think we’re too smart for that after 8 years of an administration that doen’t listen.

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