Here comes NIE declassification — sort of

Just yesterday, the White House heard the bipartisan calls for declassifying the National Intelligence Estimate, and had a firm response: no.

White House officials said Monday that making the information public would only help terrorists gain a better understanding of how much the United States knows of their operations.

“What we don’t want to do is tell them what we know so they know how to operate around that,” Frances Townsend, the White House domestic security adviser, said in an interview on CNN. “The leaking of classified documents is always very dangerous, and it’s particularly dangerous in this case.”

Less than 24 hours later, the White House has changed its mind.

President Bush on Tuesday said it is naive and a mistake to think that the war with Iraq has worsened terrorism, as a key portion of a national intelligence assessment by his own administration suggests. He said he was declassifying part of the report.

The word “part” kind of stands out, doesn’t it? Specifically, Bush, at a White House news conference with Afghan President Hamid Karzai, said “key judgments” of the report will be released “as quickly as possible” so that “everybody can draw their own conclusions about what the report says.”

Still, by releasing at least some of the NIE, Bush is making progress, right? Well, maybe.

First, if Bush is only releasing “part” of the document, it’s likely we’ll only see parts that the White House likes, and even those parts will lack details. There’s already an established precedent — in 2002, the president authorized the release of the NIE on Iraq, but conveniently edited out all of those pesky conclusions that happened to be right.

Second, as Josh Marshall explained today, we’re looking at more than one NIE — there’s one on terrorist threats in general, and another exclusively on Iraq. If Americans are, to borrow the president’s phrase, going to “draw their own conclusions about what the report says,” the White House is going to have to release both. JMM reported that isn’t likely to happen.

Hill sources tell TPMmuckraker that the administration has been sitting on the report, trying to prevent its dissemination before the election, presumably. And it turns out, from what we’ve heard, that this NIE actually hasn’t been given the official “NIE” label because doing that would have required sharing it with various members of Congress.

The President has already said he’s releasing “parts” of the April NIE — which likely means it’ll cleansed of all the important details. But both should be released. The April NIE and this NIE that dare not speak its name too.

And the only way that will happen is with pressure from constituents. Call your representatives and senators. Rep. Harman has noted the existence of the separate Iraq report and called for its release before the election. Find out from your member of Congress whether they want it released to or not.

And, lastly, there’s one more point to keep in mind: these documents, if released fairly, probably won’t be clear “wins” for either side of the political divide. As I understand the NIE, it’s the collective judgment of a vast intelligence bureaucracy, with some agencies and officials sometimes disagreeing with others. Of course, this isn’t about scoring points; it’s about getting facts, and making sound decisions based on those facts.

Given what we know of the Bush White House, none of this is even remotely likely, but it’s hardly an unreasonable goal, right?

I wonder if the Democrats who have seen the real things will have the guts to actually say that the santized versions are 180 degrees different than the originals?

This time, we can hope so.

  • Screw the release. The word on the street is that the NIE, whether the one on terroism in general or the Iraq report, says that terrorism is flourishing under Bush’s actions and not being prevented by them. Keep banging on that report and if the report is not released in its entirety, Bush and Condi and the others don’t have proof otherwise.

    Condi “refuted” Clinton’s proofs that he did more than Bush ever did about countering bin Laden before 9/11 by childishly snearing “did not” to Clinton’s “did so.” A silver bullet against the Bushies is to say “prove it!”

  • Unfortunately, my Senator happens to be Jim (no)Talent. I doubt he could stop ideologically fellating the President long enough to do much about anything.

    Now, my Rep is Emanuel Cleaver. He I may actually be able to talk to.

    Excuse me while I grab my cell phone and make a call …

  • We have to Rove these suckers. Pick up on whatever bit they claim refutes the conclusions and claim that they have emboldened the terrorists just to try to defend their failing policies. Who cares if it is true?

  • This would be a good time for the Dems to release a compilation of the Bush/Cheney/Republican lies about Iraq. Put it online, and point at it, over and over and over and over. Remind the voters how blatant they are.

    Everyone* knows Bush is full of crap when it comes to Iraq. The “release” of the NIE is… more crap. Everyone with eyes can see that Iraq is not making us safer, especially our kids in Iraq.

    DEMS: Do not play into their hands by acting as if the NIE could even possibly support anything like Bush’s position. Somewhere in it there will be things he will like. He will act as though this means he’s right about everything. His position is bullshit, as always.

    * koolaid drinkers not included.

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