‘If the claim holds up, it is hard to see how the speaker survives’

Rumor has it that House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-Ill.) will host a press conference in Chicago this morning. I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if he, at a minimum, announces that he will not seek the speakership in January, because at this point, it’s hard to see how his authority can remain intact. The facts are simply, and literally, overwhelming.

A longtime chief of staff to disgraced former representative Mark Foley (R-Fla.) approached House Speaker J. Dennis Hastert’s office three years ago, repeatedly imploring senior Republicans to help stop Foley’s advances toward teenage male pages, the staff member said yesterday.

The account by Kirk Fordham, who resigned yesterday from his job with another senior lawmaker, pushed back to 2003 or earlier the time when Hastert’s staff reportedly became aware of Foley’s questionable behavior concerning teenagers working on Capitol Hill.

It raised new questions about Hastert’s assertions that senior GOP leaders were aware only of “over-friendly” e-mails from 2005 that they say did not raise alarm bells when they came to light this year.

In addition to the emails, Fordham explained yesterday that he had a detailed conversation in 2003 abut Mark Foley’s excessive interest in teenaged pages with Hastert’s chief of staff, Scott Palmer, probably the House’s most powerful aide. What’s more, Palmer reportedly followed up by confronting Foley, three years ago, about his conduct — a meeting which Hastert reportedly knew about. (Palmer insists that Fordham’s accounts are wrong, though it’s unclear what motivation Fordham would have to lie right now.)

With this in mind, it’s increasingly difficult for Hastert to assert he had no idea there was a problem, and that he was completely in the dark until seven days ago. No one, anywhere, buys it. Fordham’s revelations appear to be the nail in the coffin — a GOP strategist with close ties to Capitol Hill told the LA Times, “If the claim holds up, it is hard to see how the speaker survives.”

To be sure, the sharks are circling.

Human Events, one of the nation’s key right-wing news magazines, will reportedly join the Washington Times today in calling for Hastert’s resignation. “We think the Republicans need new leaders, and I don’t think Hastert will be there much longer,” Tom Winter, the editor-in-chief said. “I think he has to do this for the team, he has to step down.”

In key, competitive House races, meanwhile, several candidates nationwide — including Martha Rainville (Vt.), Rick O’Donnell (Colo.) and Peter Roskam (Ill.) — have all said publicly that they won’t back Hastert for Speaker until the Justice Department completes its investigation

In the Senate, meanwhile, John McCain (R-Ariz.) is making the House look pretty foolish by calling on credible former lawmakers to come in and help determine how badly the House GOP leadership screwed up. It only helps reinforce the notion that the chamber is in desperate need of some grown-ups.

It’s even reached the point in which National Review’s John Podhoretz offered a message for Nancy Pelosi: “Madame Speaker, you may start measuring the drapes.”

The irony, of course, is that Fordham was going to keep these key details to himself. He didn’t go out in a blaze of glory, trying to take the GOP leadership with him; he resigned quietly and blamed Democrats and the media. Then, unable to help themselves, Hastert and his team started making Fordham the fall guy for the whole sordid mess.

As Christopher Orr noted, it was perhaps the dumbest move imaginable.

Fordham sees the smear (which he categorically denies) and is incensed–he was, after all, trying to take one for the team by resigning. So he blows the whole place up by noting that, in fact, he’d contacted Hastert’s office concerning Foley’s inappropriate behavior a full two years ago and they did nothing.

How unimaginably stupid are the GOP “sources” who tried to screw Fordham over?

Assuming Hastert gives up his post as a result of this scandal, he’ll be asking that question for quite a while.

Would it have been a big deal to write me back? Bloggers are not as cool as they think they are.

  • Americans don’t just need a change of Republican leadership, they need a whole change of the majority team in the Chamber!

    Vote the Rascals Out in ’06 and ’08! -Kevo

  • You know Bush can save us from all this simply bombing Iran. One A-bomb and the whole country would be like “Foley who?” – sorta like the Chandra Levy frenzy during the summer of 2001 before 9/11.

    I’m not gonna hold my breath that Hastert’s gone until it actually happens – there’s too many other things in play right now and Rove is NOT going to let this dominate the news until the elections.

  • Does this change anything (assuming this is correct)???

    On Tuesday ABC news released a high-impact instant message exchange between Foley and, as ABC explained, a young man “under the age of 18.”

    ABC headlined the story: “New Foley Instant Messages; Had Internet Sex While Awaiting House Vote”

    But upon reviewing the records, the DRUDGE REPORT has learned, the young man was in fact over the age of 18 at the time of the exchange.

    A network source explains, messages with the young man and disgraced former Congressman Foley took place before and after the 18th birthday.

    Developing…

  • But Coach Hastert has saved himself. He has blamed all of this media attention on George Soros 😉 and the Democrats.

    You see, (as CB as pointed out) the problem is not his coverup, the problem is the media talking about his coverup.

    The Base is going to be so upset (he claims) when they find out this has all be a political plot to depose him.

    Why that should be grounds for complaint after years of Rovian politics he does not explain.

    On the boring side of this scandel.

    As JRS Jr. points out, apparantly at least some of the most explicit sext-messages were with a former page over the age of eighteen. I’m coming to the conclusion that Foley, having written the laws himself, knew exactly what he could do and when he could do it with these boys. Hence his deep and abiding interest in the pages’ birthdays. He was lining up the boys to deflower them after their eighteenth birthdays 😉

    All this convinces me also that Foley would just tell the Republican’t Leadership that he was not doing anything “illegal” and thus they need not worry.

    Ethical and Moral not being benchmarks for the Republican’t party.

  • Is it safe to assume that Denny won’t be doing those 30-odd fundraisers this election season?

  • If Hastert steps down as speaker, there’s going to be a scramble to name a new Speaker—and that might spread into the replacement of Majority Leader, as well. With Boehner being wrapped up in this mess, I doubt he’d win the top job, and his chances of surviving in an ML reselection won’t be too good either. They can’t go too far to the right; placating the bible-thumpers will isolate the moderate portions of the base, and placating the moderates will just further antagonize the Reich to stay at home—or worse, yet, “vote Democratic.” Any portion of the “Xian vote” that has gotten tired of the Theofascist rhetoric may shift to the Left. Either way, the GOP has “screwed the pooch” on this one (pardon the pun), and the 15-seat shift needed to retake the House could double; maybe triple.

    There’s something that’s bugging me about this whole thing, however. If everyone knew about this, and held it in check, could it have been for an ulterior reason? The Republikanner beast knows that it’s probably going to lose at least one—if not both—chambers of Congress. Suppose that all the dirt that’s been coming out on the Hill is “meant to come out”—to keep a Dem-majority Congress busy cleaning up the mess on their turf, rather than initiating investigations relating to the corruption and ineptitude of the administration? This thing could actually be “Rove’s October Surprise.” It’s a “burn the faithful who failed to measure up” kind of thing—right out of the Rovian playbook.

    However this turns out, Dems must keep their sights set on the great task still before them—being “the final assault on Fortress Bush….”

  • Drudge Report! Ha ha ha ha ha ha!

    JRS will you please email Haik Bedrosian? He’s miffed.

    The FBI will see if there are Foley crimes. The story is the so-called House leadership.

  • I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if he, at a minimum, announces that he will not seek the speakership in January, because at this point, it’s hard to see how his authority can remain intact.

    I’m surprised that he hasn’t done this by now. It’s the only move he has.

    His refusal to step down only adds another thread to a story already dominating the news. It raises uncomfortable questions for repub candidates across the country, who were already desperate to distance themselves from DC.

    OTOH, were he to step down today, it would leave the repubs without leadership heading into the midterms. It would also likely spark a messy bloodbath for his successor.
    In either case, it becomes difficult for repubs to maintain a consistent message.

    Agreeing to step aside after this term would likely satisfy those calling for his head and appease those who wish that he’d just go away. On top of that, there’s no certainty that his party maintains the house next year, so agreeing to this might not cost him anything in the long run.

    I never thought Hastert was a particularly bright bulb, but I never thought someone could be this patently stupid and become Speaker of the House.

    As a partisan Dem, I hope he fights it out to the bitter end. You just can’t have too many symbols for republican arrogance.

  • “I’m coming to the conclusion that Foley, having written the laws himself, knew exactly what he could do and when he could do it with these boys. Hence his deep and abiding interest in the pages’ birthdays. He was lining up the boys to deflower them after their eighteenth birthdays.” — Lance

    So far, it seems from all the stories come out from former pages, Foley was friendly, but within legal limits, with pages while they served, but waited until after they left Washington to initiate his more “intimate” messages. It knind of sounds like Foley was treating the page service as a produce store where he could check out the fresh product, but he would then wait until the pages were “ripe” before trolling for interest on the page’s part.

  • Tradesports.com now (10:23am EDT) has the odds of Hastert resigning by the end of October at 47%.

    Basically, the odds are about 50/50.

  • Lance.
    Even if he was at the time, they still have to deal with the fact one of their own was gay. The base isn’t sleeping well these days.

  • ScottW

    Two of their own are Gay. Which is not too much of a surprise in a caucus of over 200 members. Homosexuals are about 5 to 10% of the population after all and you can only filter so much with elections (clearly, Newt the Adulterer being exhibit #1).

    What is interesting is that they knew he was gay and he knew they were homophobes. So why did he go with them and why did they take him? It seems to me that Foley went with the Republican’ts because he’s a predator of young men and the Republican’ts don’t care about abuse of power. It seems that the Republican’ts accepted Foley because he passed them huge sums of money, probably from the sex predator community. A match made in hell if you ask me.

  • Americans don’t just need a change of Republican leadership, they need a whole change of the majority team in the Chamber! [kevo]

    And the Republicans need a change of pants because they keep crapping the one’s they’re wearing.

    So why did he go with them and why did they take him?

    [Lance]

    Or, why did former Mayor Jim West make a career of out of gay bashing?

    Upon close but reluctant observation I’ve concluded that the louder someone screams about this or that “sin,” the less they care when one of “their own” is the one doing it. Trust me, Foley isn’t the dirtiest sheet in the Republican laundry basket by a long shot, these guys know it and they probably like to watch. Exhibit A:
    http://www.armchairsubversive.com/

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