In light of some Senate GOP resistance to the Bush administration’s special military trials of suspected terrorists, Josh Marshall raises a point that I’ve been thinking about for a while.
Congressional Republicans could have just gone along with an unreasonable White House policy on military trials and forced Dems to oppose it, creating an opening for some baseless, election-year demagoguery. Apparently, however, there just aren’t the votes for Bush’s scheme, and senators actually have a few ideas of their own. It prompted Marshall to ask:
[A]m I wrong to think the old song and dance just isn’t quite working for them this time? I can only imagine what we’re going to see over the next two months. And fear is a powerful weapon. But somehow we seem to have arrived at the chicken with its head cut off stage of the game. As the BS gets less believable the ante keeps getting upped until now we seem to be at the stage of an infinite regress into historical parody. […]
Is the jig up?
I think it is. The GOP has been telegraphic its punches for about a year now, and it was transparently obvious that Republicans would approach 2006 exactly as they’ve approach every other recent cycle. But, with two months to go, the “old song and dance” isn’t working.
In Congress, Republicans are split on military tribunals, warrantless searches, and immigration. With only a few weeks until a scheduled adjournment, there’s a real likelihood that this Congress will end on the same note it’s been stuck on for two years — doing nothing.
In the polls, Republicans expected a big bounce after the alleged UK terrorist plot was thwarted, but it didn’t happen.
On the campaign trail, the GOP is finding little value in playing the race card, a tactic that they used to be able to count on to get them out of a jam, and Dems have finally begun to see the value in taking the offensive in dealing with national security as a campaign issue.
This isn’t the way Karl Rove envisioned September 2006 when he drew up the gameplan earlier this year. Maybe the jig really is up.