John McCain takes a ‘holiday’ from reality

The only thing worse than John McCain’s proposal for a gas-tax holiday is John McCain’s new proposal for a longer gas-tax holiday.

John McCain said Thursday that his proposal to suspend the gas tax for three months this summer may need to be extended longer if high gas prices continue to take a toll on the economy.

“I think we ought to seriously look at whether we need to have it be longer or not depending on what the economy (does),” McCain said, standing beside the Grand River.

“I think we have to consider all options but the fact is we need a gas tax holiday. We need it, we need it, we need it very badly. The Americans that are hurt the most are low income Americans that are driving the oldest automobiles,” he said.

The AP, apparently backing away from its drive to “cut through the clutter,” noted the other side of the story: “Obama has derided the idea as a political gimmick that would provide consumers little real relief, ignore the country’s energy problems by perpetuating U.S. dependence on foreign oil and take money from road and bridge repairs.”

Well, yes, Obama has made those criticisms of the policy. But only because they’re true.

I just find it hard to believe we’re still talking about this obvious nonsense. McCain surely knows that his proposed holiday wouldn’t actually lower the price of gas. Indeed, if he genuinely believed otherwise, McCain would probably go to Capitol Hill — he is still a senator, by the way — introduce legislation, and push lawmakers and the White House to endorse his initiative.

I have to say, McCain is at his least attractive when he takes on the role of con man.

This is just too ridiculous for words. McCain wanted to eliminate the 18.4-cent a gallon federal gas tax over the summer (from Memorial Day to Labor Day). This would cost the Highway Trust Fund between $9 billion and $11 billion. McCain hasn’t said whether he’d just increase the deficit to make up the difference, or just let the transportation money disappear, costing thousands of jobs. Now he wants to make the holiday longer, costing more jobs and more billions of dollars.

And what would consumers get in return? Nothing. Putting aside the volatility in oil prices, and the fact that the cost of a glass of gas will probably go up over the summer regardless of federal taxes, Americans won’t actually be in a position to save any money if the gas tax is temporarily repealed. McCain may not be the sharpest crayon in the box, but he almost certainly realizes this.

He has to.

This is just common sense. As Paul Krugman explained in April:

Why doesn’t cutting the gas tax this summer make sense? It’s Econ 101 tax incidence theory: if the supply of a good is more or less unresponsive to the price, the price to consumers will always rise until the quantity demanded falls to match the quantity supplied. Cut taxes, and all that happens is that the pretax price rises by the same amount. The McCain gas tax plan is a giveaway to oil companies, disguised as a gift to consumers.

Is the supply of gasoline really fixed? For this coming summer, it is. Refineries normally run flat out in the summer, the season of peak driving. Any elasticity in the supply comes earlier in the year, when refiners decide how much to put in inventories. The McCain/Clinton gas tax proposal comes too late for that. So it’s Econ 101: the tax cut really goes to the oil companies.

Got that? We can cut the tax, but the price wouldn’t go down. Oil company profits — which are already breathtaking — would go up, but there’d be no extra money in Americans’ pockets.

Thomas Friedman recently offered a similar critique, arguing that a gas-tax holiday is “a reminder to me that the biggest energy crisis we have in our country today is the energy to be serious.” Friedman added that the proposal “is so ridiculous, so unworthy of the people aspiring to lead our nation, it takes your breath away.”

This, regrettably, is McCain the Con Man. He’s selling snake oil, hoping desperately that voters won’t know the difference. That his proposal wouldn’t do anything to help American consumers, wouldn’t lower the price of gas, and would boost oil company profits seems entirely irrelevant. A confidence man in the middle of a scam can’t be bothered with reality — it only gets in the way of the deception.

On his proposal, McCain, at his most breathtakingly pathetic, concluded, “We need it, we need it, we need it very badly.”

Actually, what we need is a leader who not only tells us the truth, but is in touch with reality. John McCain has proven himself to be neither.

Wow – awesome post. Now if only more people could read/hear/see this…too bad they won’t. The only thing worse than an electorate who doesn’t want to know is a working media that doesn’t bother to dig too deep.

I’d love to see Obama win the election, but I fear he’s got two strikes against him (as outlined above).

  • I think McCain missed his true calling… televangelism.

    Anyway, IMO people will drive across town to get 18 cents cheaper gas, but I don’t think very many of them will vote for a batty old man if he offers them 18 cents cheaper gas for a few months (which of course is the most he’s offering, and way more than anyone would really get.)

    The easy smackdown, of course is: Where’s McCain’s bill? If “We need it, we need it, we need it very badly”, then where the hell is it?

    Even a low information voter can understand that if he doesn’t put forward a bill, then he’s just shamelessly pandering (again). So on behalf of the planet, I would like to thank McCain for pushing his tax holiday idea without any legislation. He’s given us a VERY simple example of his dishonesty, one that everyone can understand.

    THANKS, JOHN!!!

  • McCain doesn’t understand. He gets his knowledge and advice from people who think lower taxes is always a good idea and if oil companies profit, that’s good too because then they’ll have both the motivation and means to increase production and thus lower prices. (yeah, right.) McCain believes this stuff. I know other people who believe it too. They really believe that if the U.S. just okays more drilling then all those nasty speculators will panic and try to dump their oil futures resulting in an oil-bubble burst and drop in prices. (yeah, right.)

  • One more thing: I hope no one asks Hillary what she thinks of McCain’s stupid idea! Better send her on vacation for a week. LOL

  • Gas Tax Holiday: When a really, really stupid idea just won’t go away. If he’s so set on a “GTH”, why doesn’t he shut up and try to get one through the Senate? McPander indeed.

  • Where’s McCain’s bill? If “We need it, we need it, we need it very badly”, then where the hell is it?

    Yeah, he should sponsor a bill … so he can vote against it later, since that seems to be a pattern of his lately.

  • I think it’s even money as to whether McCain actually believes in his gas tax or not. Whatever knowledge of economics he might have picked up at Annapolis has long since been lost as his faculties faded.

    This argument, and indeed this entire campaign, isn’t about reality, it’s about faith. There is no policy but Supply Side, and Ronald Reagan is it’s prophet, spoken with the same fervor as a jihadist about to set off a suicide bomb.

    Why do you think McCain’s top economic adviser Phil Gramm has so vehement in blaming the American people for the current economic mess? According to Supply Side dogma, everything should be going great. Taxes on the uber rich are down, corporations have been de-regulated, workers have been put in their proper (subservient and desperate) place, the people’s ability to seek civil redress has been undermined by Republican judges and the media provides nothing but distraction and propaganda.

    It’s simply unthinkable — no it’s downright blasphemous to suggest that we aren’t living in a “free market” paradise!

    And if we’re not, then the people must be doing something wrong!

    Gramm is like a faith healer who talks a patient into forgoing modern medicine. When the patient dies, Gramm shrugs and says, “It’s the patient’s fault. His faith wasn’t strong enough.”

    And McCain is too “confused” to know any better.

  • I think we need to really help the driving public.

    I think repealing the 18.4 cent gas tax is a great idea.

    It is so good an idea I think we should triple it. Then it would be three times as Good.

    Instead of taxing gas 18.4 cents I propose we give a rebate of 36.8 cents a gallon.

    This would reduce the price of gas by 55 cents.

    Think how much better off we would be if we lowered gas prices by over 55 cents a gallon!!!!!

  • Con artist – isn’t that the definition of any politician? Seems both candidates have done a bit of conning. I seem to remember a promise of a filibuster on FISA that didn’t happen.

  • Neil – why don’t we just buy them more efficient cars (and make thm promise not to drive more)?

    I’m not going to encourage a Hummer driver to drive more, would’t that be, um, …stupid?

  • “the fact that the cost of a glass of gas…”

    Damn! Are we paying for gas by the glass now? 😉

    I’m not sure that the observation that we can’t cut the gas tax and see at least some of it reflected at the pump is true. The oil producers are not the people who collect that tax. That is done at the pump. Independent and francise gas stations work on a very thin margin when selling gasoline (they make their money on cigerettes) and compete on price very seriously (if there are a lot of stations in the near area).

    I’m sure that the big producers would make more in profits, which is why Clinton proposed to pay for the gas tax break by taxing them directly, no? But I don’t think being so dogmatic against oil company profits and ignoring the fact that there would be some reduction in gas prices is a winning proposition.

    Of course, Obama won against Clinton, so maybe it is.

  • steve t @ 7 – fine analogy.

    McCain can keep pandering about the gas-tax holiday because he can. Gas prices will not get significantly better before Election Day, and this way McCain can shrug & say “shoulda listened to me.” And on dumb people it’ll work. It was disproven as a theory by all top economists (which is why McCain started blathering about “psychological relief”), but because it was never tested, McCain will argue that you can’t REALLY prove it would not have worked. God spare us from another Hitler analogy, but Hurtin’ Germans were more susceptible to blame the Jews when nothing else ws turning the economy around.

  • What I find so amusing is that he can still be talking about a “summer gas tax holiday” when the summer is more than half over…. Maybe McCain’s going to go back in time? Sigh.

  • You’re a Senator, Johnny boy. Introduce the damn legislation so we can watch you get your ass kicked or STFU. You do remember the Senate, don’t you? It’s in that big, white building with the funny hat back in Washington. No, not that Washington, Washington, DC.

  • Singing to the choir…need to be singing to the people standing aside the Grand River.

    The idea of McCain as president should bring only laughter never serious consideration.

  • Wow – awesome post. Now if only more people could read/hear/see this… — Ed, @1

    If they did, it still wouldn’t make any diff. They’d simply dismiss it as liberal propaganda. None are so blind (and deaf)…

  • I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again:

    The whole notion of a gas tax holiday “to help taxpayers” is, simply put, “good concept, but no sense”, if Truth be known.

    Especially considering where the Federal Highway Trust Fund is supported by fuel-tax revenue, the fact of which The Terrible-Tempered Mr. Bang chooses to ignore @ his own peril.

    Not to mention TTMB failing to offer viable answers on how the loss of gas-tax revenue to the Highway Trust Fund would be compensated for absent other tax increases.

  • “I think we have to consider all options but the fact is we need a gas tax holiday. We need it, we need it, we need it very badly. The Americans that are hurt the most are low income Americans that are driving the oldest automobiles,” he said.

    McCain claims uncertainty whether Obama is a socialist and we’ve wondered if he would be okay with our wondering aloud if he were a fascist. You be the judge:

    “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”

    — Joseph Goebbels

    I’m not saying McBush is a nazi, but it seems clear they ripped a few pages from their play book in this one respect. Hammer it home, Ace.

  • Doesn’t one have to IMPLEMENT a gax-tax holiday before one EXTENDS a gas-tax holiday??

    And wouldn’t one actually have to show up in the Senate to propose said moronic holiday?

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