Kristol signals the end of the ‘Huckabee Panic’

At first blush, Bill Kristol’s inaugural column in the paper of record confirms the concerns of critics. It’s filled with the kind of far-right talking points that one has come to expect from the Weekly Standard editor.

He laments the “nanny state”; he warns that Democrats would lead us to “defeat” in Iraq; and just to drive the point home, Kristol quotes Michelle Malkin. I imagine the New York Times’ readers have come to expect better.

Having said that, Kristol’s column is not without a certain political salience.

[T]he most interesting moment in Saturday night’s Republican debate at St. Anselm College was when the candidates were asked what arguments they would make if they found themselves running against Obama in the general election.

The best answer came, not surprisingly, from the best Republican campaigner so far — Mike Huckabee. He began by calmly mentioning his and Obama’s contrasting views on issues from guns to life to same-sex marriage. This served to remind Republicans that these contrasts have been central to G.O.P. success over the last quarter-century, and to suggest that Huckabee could credibly and comfortably make the socially conservative case in an electorally advantageous way.

Huckabee went on to pay tribute to Obama for his ability “to touch at the core of something Americans want” in seeming to move beyond partisanship. And, he added, Senator Obama is “a likable person who has excited people about wanting to vote who have not voted in the past.” Huckabee was of course aware that in praising Obama he was recommending himself.

I was watching the debate at the home of a savvy, moderately conservative New Hampshire Republican. It was at this moment that he turned to me and said: “You know, I’ve been a huge skeptic about Huckabee. I’m still not voting for him Tuesday. But I’ve got to say — I like him. And I wonder — could he be our strongest nominee?”

He could be.

Given Kristol’s position as a member in good standing of the Elite Republican Establishment, this isn’t what he was expected to say about Huckabee. Not even close.

Indeed, Kristol’s column goes on to praise Huckabee as “likable regular guy” with a compelling personal narrative who may appeal well to younger voters. He concludes that the “Republican establishment spent 2007 underestimating Mike Huckabee,” and insists that “Huckabee is a talented politician.”

Kristol didn’t go so far as to endorse the former Arkansas governor — he said, “I’m certainly not ready to sign up” to back Huckabee’s campaign — but that he was willing to be as laudatory as he was should be enough to raise a few eyebrows.

As regular readers know, the Republican establishment, especially throughout the month of December, experienced what John Cole aptly labeled the “Huckabee Panic.” All of a sudden, it seemed to dawn on the party that the GOP nominee may be a former governor who raised taxes, supported immigration “amnesty,” has a record of making extreme comments, and whose understanding of foreign policy and national security issues rivals that of a small child.

Rush Limbaugh, the National Review’s Rich Lowry, Charles Krauthammer, Peggy Noonan, and Stephen Hayes (of Kristol’s own Weekly Standard) all said that a Huckabee nomination would be a calamity the Republican Party must avoid.

And yet, here’s Kristol, effectively giving Huckabee his blessing. It suggests the Republican establishment freak-out, at a minimum, is subsiding, and the party is coming to grips with the former governor being a reasonable alternative to their preferred candidates.

I guess the “panic” is over?

Seriously, don’t you get concerned that the Democrats trying to get the left side of the party to vote for them will make some unpopular pledges that can come back to hurt them in the general election?

I know you often comment on the stupid things the Republicans say to pander to their base. Don’t you think the Democrats are guilty of pandering too.

I am 100% in favor of gay marriage and I can’t figure out why it is not a right protected by the constitution but it has been a vote loser in recent elections. I think it will be a new winner in a few years but i would guess it still might be a vote loser in swing states like Iowa and Missouri.

  • “Huckabee went on to pay tribute to Obama for his ability “to touch at the core of something Americans want” in seeming to move beyond partisanship.”

    Right on.

  • Lipstick: Having a column in the NYT
    Pig: Realizing that Two buck Huck might win the nomination.

  • I don’t know why it should surprise anyone that Kristol has a mancrush for Gov. Huckabee. Huckabee has the one characteristic that Is sufficient for Kristol: irrational hatred of all things Clinton. (cf. Dumond)

  • Kristol needs to remember what ‘conservatives’ hate about Huckabee is his willingness to not just to raise taxes, but to increase Government under the assumption that Government actually does good things.

    It’s that tolerance of ‘competent government’ that makes Huckabee unpalitable to the controlling wing of the Republican’t party. Heck, if Huck won, all the cronysm of the last seven years would go right out the window, and how would Liberty University grads get their government credits before revolving into the K Street pig trough?

    Nope, Huckabee represents something very dangerous to the Republican’t Party. A believer in Government for some other purpose than to make the rich richer.

  • Ah, the party of ideas strikes again with guns, life, same-sex marriages… (yawn). How about some down home Christian theocracy? Now there you’d have something.

  • Opening the Times to see Kristol on the op-ed page has to be like sitting down to breakfast and finding a cat turd on your plate.

    I’m actually glad to see the NYT incorporating more “conservative voices.” But all Kristol does is make David Brooks–the same sort of “national greatness” conservative, but much smarter, less ideological, less arrogant and more willing to step outside partisan hackery–look much, much better.

    As for Huckabee, I continue to find him the second-least unacceptable Republican, pretty close to McCain. And it probably would be pretty easy to conclude that Huckabee would be better for the country than McCain, who’s just way too into war and willing to cede policy control to the Dobsonites in areas he doesn’t care about. (My distinction here with Huckabee is that I trust his judgment way, way more than that sick f*ck Dobson.)

  • I think Kristol Kracker is just trying to make peace with the inevitable. Because the Republicans have screwed the pooch in so many ways, the only people likely to show up in force at the Republican primaries are the fundies, and Huckabee’s their kind of idiot. IMO, if he does OK in NH, he’s the nominee, because SC is going to be his, and that will seal the deal for a lot of Republicans who are tired of waiting for a frontrunner to emerge to get behind.

    This is way too funny, seeing Kristol Krackhead endorse a guy who calls Bush’s foreign policy arrogant.

  • It’s a sign of how desperate they are, that Kristol said what he did. They’ve now slipped to where they have the Tiger (the 28percenters) only by the tip of its tail and they’re hanging on for dear life. 40 years of far right bullshit is coming due for payment in full and their internal contradictions are even more contradictory than the internal contradictions that destroyed the Soviet Union.

    Remember: what’s the scariest part of the Lord of the Rings trilogy? It’s the 10 minutes before Frodo destroys the rings, when Sauron’s power is at its height and the good guys are hanging on by their fingernails and Frodo has to enter Sauron’s lair alone. What’s the scariest part of the good “Star Wars” movie? The moment when Luke goes
    in alone when the good guys are about to get whacked by the Death Star.

    Folks, myths like these are important – they’re stories that say ordinary people are capable of extraordinary things and to hold tight in adversity and you win.

    Stop freaking out over every little thing these far right dipshits do!!! They’re going to lose – IF we keep our eyes on the ball and not on the “shiny objects” they keep trying to point out. Please. We’re on the edge of a generational victory and WE are the ones who can pull defeat from the jaws of victory – but if we keep our eyes on the ball, and keep seeing stuff like this latest from Kristol as the loser’s scream that it is, we’ll defeat the Orcs.

    Kristol talking up Hucklebuck; Jonah trying to scare up white fright over the Big Black Boogeyman; Il Douche screeching “9-11! 9-11!” They’re all signs of the coming disaster for the Right – our victory.

    Keep focus. The NYT put this dickwad on their list because they don’t have a clue either.

  • If Kristol thinks he can win, then Huckabee’s doomed.

    Kristol has a perfect batting average when it comes to predictions — a million made, none of them right.

  • I have been listening to the Upper Class media today and for weeks talking about another gentleman from Hope. Most of the commentators agree the “bunker mentality” is a general election discussion Huckabee is moving toward. In truth Bush must be listening of late for he is beginning to move toward such a policy of talking to world leaders even our enemies the Foreign policy position Huckabee advocates in the article. Huckabee is a rare Republican that thinks using both sides of his brain and sees “green” cares about broken humanity and is endorsed by the NEA. He is a Republican cut of a different clothe that social conservatives, moderates and actually even some liberals can and will support! The elite and establishment Republicans despise Huckabee’s broken humanity policy and are praying the great fish (not a trout) of the bible will swallow him in the Republican primary sea! They mostly care about their money or selfishly the borders within their own habitation! The more they pray their Pharisaical prayers and preach their negative messages and God knows they are coming out of the woodwork the higher Mike goes in the Polls. I must say I am amused! There are even some right wing Arkansas Legislative Republicans that supported a policy which would allow migrant children to suffer or even possible die rather than provide for them medicine. They add to their position of closing the border (which Huckabee supports) an additional policy of not providing medication, or feeding the poor. They preach this policy as if it is from Jesus’s teachings. I am not sure what bible they have been reading. I have not found that policy in mine. The one I own and the one Mother Teresa read states “suffer the little children to come unto me”. I guess the Pharisaical Republicans have added to their bible we must ask what country the children come from and we must look at the color of their skin and if they are not “white American” they are illegal or different and we must not help them. You are right Governor Mike we are a better Country than that. Even Michael Moore is more right on this position than the right wing Pharisaical Republican Legislators fighting Mike Huckabee’s broken humanity policy that gives a human touch to Government.
    I recall in a debate some years back when a Democrat said to a Republican candidate called Dan something to the effect “you are no John F. Kennedy”. Hmm, I think the press is finally getting it that Mike Huckabee is no Pat Robinson. Elect ability? Huckabee beat the Clinton machine in Arkansas four times so I’ll let you answer that. Ed Rollins Reagan’s Architect and now Mike’s still likes donuts and booze and may be getting older and balder but his memory is still good and I think he’s got one more winning campaign in him. Ed remembered Democrats prayed for the Republican nomination of B rated movie star and eventual Governor Ronnie Reagan in 1980 and their prayers were answered. I guess they forgot to pray about the general election for Reagan won with a landslide. I read a few days ago a headline on Drudge and elsewhere the Democrats were again in a “silent” prayer mode for another “B rated star” guy in this case the “Mike” guy called Huckabee who they want to be the Republican nominee. They better be careful what they pray for because he is clothed in the same clothe as Reagan a “Great Communicator and Chief”! I wonder if their prayers will be answered again. Yes we agree with Mike “Jesus is to smart to run for office” and let us add to take sides but I do look forward to watching those old rerun movies with a B star actor replaced by a “Mike” guy.

  • I think the Huckabee stuff is just ass-covering. If Huckabee goes on to win the nomination, then scathing comments about him won’t look good on a righty resume. So Kristol’s comments are very much what a republican courtier should say.

    However, if they do represent a coming acquiescence on the part of the GOP neocon wing in a Huckabee nomination, they could also be part of a strategic choice: if 2008 is a loser year for the GOP, best have the loss be taken by a high-profile christianist-wing gooper. Then when Huckabee loses the general by an embarrassing margin, his loss can be used as a whip to keep the christianists in line. “See what happens when we let you children have your way? Now scoot over and let the grownups take control, or we’ll all go down to defeat again.”

  • Maybe Kristol was reading the tea leaves, and he decided that Huckabee is going to win the nomination. He might as well start paving the road, so that the entire Republican establishment can start rallying behind him. By March, they will all act as if Huckabee was the designated nominee all along. There’s nothing like seeing the Republican party rally hehind their man, regardless of their background… Anybody forgot about Tom Delay, Libby, Vitter, Foley, Ney, harriet Meyers, Gonzales, etc… That is of course until someone better comes along, or if it is politically convenient to dump the ‘crook’.

  • Let the co-opting begin! Kristol figures, quite correctly, it’ll be easier to manipulate the ill-informed President Huckster than any of the Dems.

  • Re #12,

    Dave, please, use a line return now and then. Didn’t your elementary school English teachers teach you about paragraphs?

    As for Huckabee being another Ronald Reagan, if the Democrats can’t manage to point out his manifast faults (for fear of being labeled anti-christian no doubt) then we will get another President who thinks he answers to God, and not the American people. We won’t deserve it (who after all deserved BGII?) but we’ll get it.

  • History has proven that Madame Zelda gives better readings than Kristol. He just draws a better salary.

  • I’m so sad it’s over. The epoch marking event has passed.

    Seriously, Huckabee Panic sounds like the name of a Charlie Chaplin movie. This was my second favority recent political story, after the Shag Fund Scandal, partly because I like funny names.

    Quoting Michelle Malkin is like quoting the crazy lady who lives down the hall from you. I can hardly believe this porno-journalism is selling on newstands all over the country.

  • Two columnists make even looking at the NY Times worthwhile, Krugman and Rich.

    Adding Kristol-nacht doesn’t diversify; it further degrades a once-great newspaper.

  • Huckabee Panic sounds like the name of some game you play in a skee-ball arcade at the shore that has a 1920s or ’30s theme.

    Pictures of that robber-baron dude from Monopoly would adorn the paneling, and what have you.

  • Maybe Huckabee just sounds like the name of some robber baron from the 1880s-1920s, like Montgomery Burns or Flynthart Glomgold.

  • My opinion: Huckabee is the republican candidate we should fear the most. I reached this conclusion last summer while driving my car, when I heard extracts from an interview with him on the radio.
    Why do I think he is the most dangerous republican candidate? Because he comes across as so reasonable. Others have pointed out that he is so “likeable”. These are qualities that can get a candidate elected regardless of his/her positions on policy.
    And if Huck becomes the president, then it would be a HUGE disaster for us. The worst possible. Make no mistake about it, he is a theocrat at heart, and he believes that the world is in the early stages of a global religious war: Muslim vs Christian. Don’t let that “good Christian” stuff fool you.

  • I agree with WaryTale in # 23. Don’t misunderestimate the gullibility of the American public.
    And don’t yawn too much at “teh Gay” hate. Someone (Rove & MSM?) managed to change the subject of the 2004 presidential election from Iraq to gay marriage. This brought out enough Fundies to make it close enough to steal.
    Hate and outrage bring some people out, and I hope that Iraq will do that for the Dems this year.

  • there are striking parallels between obama and huckabee. they are (were) both underdogs, charismatic, intelligent, witty (read: sense of humor), are running unconventional ‘out of the box’ campaigns that scare the hell out of their established party memberships. they’re both religious men, but not religionists (defined in this regard as someone who uses religion to further their political aims) like many of their counterparts. they both have deep moral convictions, whether you agree with them or not. they both stick to the high road for the most part, and dare to criticize their party leaders (e.g. huckabee on the bush arrogance).

    if anything positive can be said for the bush years it’s that the ferment has created the conditions from which candidates like this can emerge.

  • I’m surprised that no one has posited that Kristol may be setting Huckabee up so he can devastate him later on. If any of the other candidates makes up some ground, he can just pivot and say candidate X just totally repudiated the right wing evangelical base and the populism that makes Huckabee popular.

    We will have to see if he turns on a dime after NH and starts with the attacks. Although I do wonder if he would want to attack the evangelical base that the GOP may need in later on in the election cycle.

  • he warns that Democrats would lead us to “defeat” in Iraq;

    Because you can’t count the IED drubbing our men in uniform have been getting as “defeat” until you withdraw them???

    As long as the American public buys this BS, the Dems will feel forced to fund the occupation.

    We can’t get out until a Democrat is in the White House so that we can “declare victory and go home.”

    No Republican will claim victory until every no-bid contract has been canceled and oil is still paid for with US dollars in a desperate attempt to prop up our crippled currency weighed down by 9 trillion in debt paying for Iraq and irresponsible, huge tax cuts to the upper 1%.

    Remember the token tax rebates of $300 for the middle class? Whatever happened to those?
    I guess some tax cuts raise revenue more than others?

  • I have a totally different read on the GOP-punditocracy easing off the Huckabee hate. For thirty years now, the GOP has made shameless use of the evangelical base in order to win elections, since no one can win an election based upon any of the GOPs actual agendas. You rally the “base” with God, guns and gays and get your corporatist oligarchy marched into office on the backs of hymn-singing poor white folks. Flash forward to 2008 and it’s come back to bite them in the ass. The evangelical base have a candidate who truly represents them, and he’s murder on the GOP business as usual crowd. Problem is, if you smear him openly, you alienate the base you’ve spent all those years cultivating. Without them, you can’t get your candidates elected as dogcatcher. So you really, really need him to go quietly into that good night on his own. It’s early yet, so they’re paying him a bit of lip service and trying him on for size. What’s really going to be funny is if his support continues and he becomes the true frontrunner for the nomination. The GOP is going to have to decide if politically destroying him is worth the evangelical fallout.

  • The Chamber of Commerce conservatives are waiting to see if the Democrats put up a candidate they can’t buy/trust before they decide to destroy Huckabee’s candidacy (remember McCain in South Carolina in 2000?).

    If the CoCC’s are comfortable enough with the probable Democratic nominee, they’ll let the Evangelicals have Huckabee this time and watch him go down in flames (note, they aren’t throwing money at any Republican’t this year) just as a warning to the Theocratic wing of the party to behave itself.

    So pundits I.

  • This will be a good test to see if Kristol really has all that much influence. This year it’s apparent that the schism between social conservatives and economic conservatives has grown into a yawning chasm. With the word “recession” being thrown about by even non-partisan citizens, will voters really want the government more concerned with what happens at a gay bar than what is happening to the economy?

    In his desire to keep his pro-war against everybody agenda moving forward, Kristol is selling out in the hopes that if Huck is a Republican he’ll still want to bomb Iran first thing after getting into the Oval Office. I’m thinking the sound of thumping bibles will be no match for the sound money. I think the public is thinking more along the lines of “it’s the economy, stupid” rather than “it’s the bible, silly.”

  • Those token tax cuts were just upfront tax refunds for the next year. If I recall correctly, that amount (I think it was $500) was sent prior to the Xmas holiday (in hopes, nee reality) that it would be used to shop and prop (up the economy).

    It wasn’t a gift. It was a loan. I am surprised they didn’t charge interest on it!

  • During the election of 1980, I was assured repeatedly that, if he won, Ronald Reagan would lead us within days to a nuclear catastrophe in World War III. His openly anti-Communist philosophy was considered a sign of madness. Yet, the results of his strategy are there for all to see.

    Now, again, you can read that Mike Huckabee is a “theocrat” who thinks in terms of Armagedden, and his election will inevitably lead to a nuclear disaster. I believe that these writers are sincere, but badly misguided. The truth is that the strong defense in which Huckabee believes is based on his fervent desire to stay out of war and keep the peace. Moreover, he is a highly intelligent person with a flexible mind who knows how to reach out to adversaries. I am certain he represents the best bet to keep our nation safe in these perilous times.

  • David wrote: “I am certain [Mike Huckabee] represents the best bet to keep our nation safe in these perilous times.”

    I’d be a lot happier if he was asking for America to vote for him, rather than praying to God that he wins. If he asked us, at least then he might consider himself answerable to us. If he relies on God, then who do you think he accounts himself to?

    We’ve had seven years of a President who’s accountable only to God (or History fifty years from now). I’d like one who’s accountable to US!

  • Thus begins the grooming of Huck for the VP spot. Meanwhile, Hunter has to pretend he is quitting to get the media to listen to him gripe about being cut out of debates, Mitt tries to lower expectations in NH, and Hillary says Obama hasn’t done the “spade work” to be president. Oh, my. This campaign could still get interesting.

  • Electability is not an issue in this election. No republican will win the WH. Whomever wins the democratic nomination will be the next president. All the dems are electable…none of the republicans are electable. What I am wanting is the most progressive dem because it’s time to make some bold leaps, especially in energy consumption and global warming which are urgent issues. We need to eliminate the DLC caution which leaves us impotent and under the thumbs of their campaign donors.(telecom amnesty? continued funding of Iraq war/occupation, torture, MAC, judicial appointments, tax breaks for the wealthy).

    Some suggest removing federal government interference and giving control back to the states. The last time this was being done there was a civil war. This is a republic and united we stand. We need to make federal government more efficient not dismantle it or else we will have rich states pushing their poor into poor states and some states having slave(sweatshop) labor. Are you people on drugs? Don’t answer that. We are battling a free market corporate state and the money party. Economic collapse is here now. We are limping toward an election we hope will save us and bring relief from this disaster but a sense of urgency is totally lacking from our MSM. They moved the primaries up…why not the election…we are that desperate for action. Get rid of these obstructionist republicans now and throw this criminal administration out now so we can begin dealing with the disaster they created. Just make the repubs talk about Bush and Cheney because they have supported his every disaster and are acting like they weren’t a part of it.
    My paranoid fear is that Bush will be assassinated while poking snakes in the ME. Doesn’t have enough sense to stay in out of the rain. I guess Bhutto taught him nothing. To advance their cause there are those in the US who would gain much by such action. Like I said, I’m paranoid… it comes from living in daily fear of our president…of what he might do next.

  • Petorado’s analysis is right on:

    “In his desire to keep his pro-war against everybody agenda moving forward, Kristol is selling out in the hopes that if Huck is a Republican he’ll still want to bomb Iran first thing after getting into the Oval Office.”

    The neo-cons will not allow America to admit defeat in Iraq, as this would inevitably lead to a collapse of the petro-dollar system, and with it America’s economic strength.

    Indeed, it seems that, recognizing the danger of Obama’s popularity, the elite have decided to back Huckabee, the only Republican candidate with enough likability to win.

    The Elite probably haven’t bought Huck yet, so they would be selling out their own bought-and-sold candidates to support him. Yet, realizing how desperately they need someone with the charisma to beat Obama, they’ve decided to take a chance on him.

    Given his known propensity for accepting gifts, it seems Huckabee would be more malleable to the Elite than Obama would be, and ultimately, that’s what its all about.

    Huckabee/Lieberman ’08?

    Democrats, we underestimate these people at our peril!

  • Bill speaks wisely! Mike Huckabee is the FUTURE of the party. We all have a lot more to LEARN from him than we do to FEAR from him! Mike Huckabee is a WISE, honest VISIONNARY candidate who will move us in the direction we need to go much like Reagan did nearly three decades ago. Thank you Mike!

  • Rush Limpballs has gone so far out on the Hate Hucklebee talking point that it’s hard to see how he’ll be able to climb down. Who exactly will kiss whose ring to make this happen?

    And how many of the wingnuts will spit up the new flavor Koolaid they’ve been told just last week was poison?

    Good times.

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