Maybe David Brooks is watching a different race

The NYT’s David Brooks insists today that, rumors to the contrary notwithstanding, it is the center, not the left, that is in ascension in the Democratic Party. Political observers can “learn almost nothing” from the netroots, Brooks argues, because the real power is with centrists and the Democratic establishment (though they are not mutually exclusive).

In the first place, the netroots candidates are losing. In the various polls on the Daily Kos Web site, John Edwards, Barack Obama and even Al Gore crush Hillary Clinton, who limps in with 2 percent to 10 percent of the vote.

Brooks should have checked Daily Kos before wrapping up his column. According to the most recent dKos straw poll, published yesterday, the top three candidates are Edwards, Obama, and Clinton. The netroots’ candidates are losing? Actually, the netroots’ candidates are the Democrats’ top tier.

Brooks then explains his belief that Clinton is excelling by moving away from the base and towards the center.

…Clinton has established this lead by repudiating the netroots theory of politics. As the journalist Matt Bai makes clear in his superb book, “The Argument,” the netroots emerged in part in rebellion against Clintonian politics. They wanted bold colors and slashing attacks. They didn’t want their politicians catering to what Markos Moulitsas Zuniga of the Daily Kos calls “the mythical middle.”

But Clinton has relied on Mark Penn, the epitome of the sort of consultant the netroots reject, and Penn’s approach has been entirely vindicated by the results so far.

I’m afraid Brooks has this largely backwards.

I wonder if Brooks has actually heard Clinton’s stump speech, or caught any of her appearances on the Sunday morning shows a few days ago, or taken a look at her voting record this year. Clinton isn’t stiff-arming the netroots; she’s delivering on most of what the movement wants to hear.

Indeed, Clinton’s performance in the Daily Kos straw polls has gone up steadily all year — she cracked double digits for the first time this month — in part because she supports cutting off funding for Bush’s Iraq policy, she’s responded to fundraising controversies by calling for public financing of campaigns, she rejected the GOP’s cynical anti-MoveOn.org resolution, and she just unveiled a fairly progressive universal healthcare plan that has drawn praise from leading Democratic healthcare bloggers.

This is a vindication of a Mark Penn move-away-from-the-base strategy? I don’t think so — it’s more like the opposite of the Penn approach.

The root of Brooks’ confusion is that he’s missing the forest for the trees. He sees Dems unveiling popular, mainstream policy proposals and says, “A ha! Democrats are giving up on the fringe and moving to the center.” But therein lies the point — progressive Democratic ideas are already mainstream. Most of the country agrees with the netroots on most of the major issues of the day.

Matthew Yglesias explained:

“The left” has only been empowered to a pretty minor degree, but the “centrist” wing of the party is . . . way further left on the merits than where it was in the late 1990s or the early years of the twentieth century. That, in turn, is largely a reflection of a renewed vibrancy on the left that’s both pressured elected officials and expanded the boundaries of conversation. When the centrist strand in Democratic thinking came to represent school uniforms, promises to balance the budget each and every year of the Gore administration, and backing the invasion of Iraq that was one thing. If, instead, we’re going to get universal health care, action to halt global warming, and diplomatic engagement with rival powers in the Middle East, that’s a very different thing.

If Brooks wants to call that latter thing a defeat for the netroots because dKos diarists sometimes find themselves disappointed, well, then I think that’s a kind of defeat people can live with.

Quite right.

the babbling Brooks…

  • How much does Brooks get paid to write this crap? If I produced the same quality of writing in my job, I’d be out on my ass.

  • you have to appreciate the pure partisan chutzpah that no one can pull off quite like the Right. Clinton attended YearlyKos, and the right slammed on her (and everyone else who went) for doing so. Now they try and isolate the netroots by arguing how distant HRC is from people like. . .Kos. huh?

    they truly count on P.T. Barnum being correct.

    CB is absolutely correct, and the netroots and other forms of progressive activist organizations from 2004 to present should be taking credit for what has really happened here, in a rather subtle but critical way: from 1994-2004, the entire dialogue, the entire universe of publicly-discussed policy options increasly moved right, until the choices were limited to Daddy Warbucks Conservative vs. Theofacist Conservative. “Left” in 2003 would have been farily conservative 20 years earlier.

    Beginning in 2004, however, the progressives have managed to pry a little distance into that spectrum, and have moved the center back towards, well, the center. There are now legitimately left-of-center voices in the mix (still not many, and not terribly far to the left, but it is a start), and it is “safe” for Democrats to be modestly democratic again.

    Howard Dean may have gone down in flames, but it was not in vain – his lending a national campaign’s megaphone to Paul Wellstone’s “Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party,” and his exhortations to “Take Our Country Back!” helped restore some semblance of balance to the system.

  • …she’s delivering on most of what the movement wants to hear.

    I guess I need to find a new movement, since Pro-Patriot Act candidates, like Clinton, are at the bottom of my list.

  • Get off it CB, we all know Clinton is the ultimate triangulater and based on this post, clearly doing a great job at it!

    Sure, in primary season she will stump for the issues that the ‘Netroots’ and ‘Progressives’ find attractive to secure the Party’s nomination. If she doesn’t, she would quickly become the next Lieberman of the Party. Yet, like her husband, she will ultimately need to appear as a centrist in the general election to secure victory.

  • She’ll keep us in iraq as long as bush would! She’s full of crap when she says she wants to end the war.

  • The right wing’s attack chihuahua strikes again. Brooks’ intellectual laziness rear its ugly head yet again to attack his most vocal chorus of criticism – bloggers of the left. Just like everything done by the right, Brooks’ screed is about trying to maintain some semblance of his own power by attacking those who attack him as being somehow irrelevant.

    A telling sign of the state of right wing discourse is to compare today’s Brooks column with Bob Herbert’s excellent piece in the NYT about the GOP’s racist record. It’s Brooks’ innuendo vs. Herbert’s fact. David’s puerile thought process vs. Bob’s excellent logical deductions. While the left examines problem and looks for a cure, the right resorts to the only tool left in its toolbox- calling people names.

  • Roshambo. They kicked us in the nuts. Now it’s our turn, and they want to play a different game. Until they can kick us in the nuts again without recourse.

    Bipartisanship empowers concern troll Brook’s party. End of story.

  • David Brooks was dumb enough to pass the IQ test low enough to get into Dartmouth, where he happened to be part of the “intellectual revolution” in which righties proved they could write three consecutive words that made sense, then when the NYT needed to prove their “diversity” by hiring a “young conservative,” they hired him. Once he was among the rest of the otherwise-unemployables who can pass the IQ test low enough to be hired by the Times, he was home free, as they say.

    The Krugmans and the Riches are flukes from the mindset of an earlier age.

  • This is another attempt to push their choice for our candidate on us like they did in ’04. They saw to it that Dean’s face on the cover of every mag in the run up to New Hampshire. That’s all well and good, but they can’t vote in our primaries – we do. I like Dean and all, but among my peers at the time, he most certainly wasn’t our candidate of choice, but the media was complicit in trying to push someone, in my opinion, who was defeatable. They’re doing it again. I dig Hillary and all, plus you get Bill back as a bonus(!), but my network of peers are split among Obama, Edwards and Kucinich. I think Obama is their biggest threat, though, and that’s why their trying to name our candidate for us through media hype. But hey, it didn’t work on us independent thinkers in ’04 so hopefully it won’t work again.

  • Yes, and the ’04 election was a banner day for us independent thinkers, eh Heraclitus? Too bad that result can’t be blamed on Nader.

  • Another problem with Brooks’s thesis: Hillary may be polling ahead among Democrats, but most polls also show she doesn’t match up as well as Edwards (especially) and Obama against Republicans in the general election. Which suggests the “candidates of the netroots” are actually MORE popular than Hillary among independents and Republicans — that is, the NATIONAL political center.

    For some of us in the netroots, it is precisely because we want so badly to WIN those centrist voters that we don’t want Hillary.

  • Couple things here. Yglesias is right that the “center” has moved “left”… largely because the country has moved left. The utter, comprehensive failure of the right to effectively govern the country tends to do that. The reason Sen. Clinton and others can offer health care plans that are pretty good is because Bush has shown the utter intellectual bankruptcy of Republican policy tools to achieve such goals.

    But it’s also true, much as I hate to agree with some of those who’ve commented here, that Hillary Clinton is, on the merits, by far far far the Democratic candidate most ideologically and temperamentally compatible with the sociopaths and idiots on the right who have gotten us into this mess. She’s perfectly comfortable with the Executive Branch SuperDuperPowers that Bush and His Loyal Bushies have amassed; hence her support of the atrocious Patriot Act and non-opposition, or at least sotto voce opposition, to the Military Commissions Act and the effective repeal of the Fourth Amendment.

    Similarly, she’s fine with the premises that underscored our Iraq Adventure–that we can do what we want in the world by virtue of overwhelming force, and that there’s no moral qualm about waging wars to secure resources.

    I wish the press would ask her a bit more directly about her views on all these things. But I won’t hold my breath, so long as there are stories to be told about cleavage and such.

  • What Heraclitus said. Republicans are determined that Clinton get the nomination, because they are sure she’ll be the easiest to beat – and certainly the easiest to smera – since she has a long a colourful history from which to choose. The Republican nightmare is a candidate whose appeal suddenly exploded, but who has little history or thick file of quotes that could be turned against them, to make them appear indecisive or even a liar.

    Hence headlines like WaPo’s “Can Nothing Stop Clinton?”. I don’t get to vote, but my money would be on Obama. Even John Edwards has history that could be turned against him. The comforting thing is, even the weakest Dem candidate would make a far better president than Golden Boy Mitt Romney.

  • As your blog again ate my comment, I’ll only leave an abbreviated version.

    Brooks is way offbase, I agree. But I equate campaign performance to shadow boxing. There’s nothing remarkable in the idea that candidates can pander. Only in governance will we have anything that judgment can be passed on.

    Will US imperialism, xenophobia, racism recede? Will the working and non-working poor be left out of the legislative successes still?

    After 32 years of watching the middle move to the right, yes, I see the tide’s turned. And I understand younger writers have yet to grasp where the middle should properly be.

    The netroots have shown the Left is no longer on life support but it’ll take a decade of perseverance to demonstrate that the changes are not merely the cosmetics of campaign seasons.

  • Many Republicans want Hillary because they can fundraise, but FOX’s pandering is due to the fact that Hillary knows politics, and Murdoch has no soul. What other Dem is adroit enough to buy Murdoch?

    The woman knows the system.

  • Brooks does not have to have any connection to reality, he’s giving the Righties what they want to hear.
    He’s a prime example of “WingNut Welfare.”
    I understand the need to refute his babbling, but anyone who takes him seriously may be unreachable.

  • Agreed, but “the system” has evolved into a monolithic monster that allows unchecked presidential power and is contemptuous of the electorate save for the extent to which they can be manipulated. Hillary does not impress me as someone who is above using that kind of power to move the country in a direction it may not necessarily want to go, “for its own good”.

  • Brooks goes by facts he wants to be true rather than those that are true. He uses facts to validate his credibility without any attention to what they actually mean. What the hell does he imagine far left is in the democratic party? Because all the issue positions he mentions are mainstream America. So what the hell is he talking about?

  • Heraclitus, Mark

    Dean was KILLED by the media.
    “The scream” was played 24/7 for three friggin days.

    Sure, landing in third was no great victory thanks to his unwise tiff with Gephardt, but New Hampshire was right next door to his home turf.
    Without the coverage of his enthusiastic outburst in front of a crowd who were drowning him out with their own cheering, he could’ve won New Hampshire (Dean took 2nd, getting more than double Edwards’ support who landed in fourth place).

    Then what?

    A victory in New Hampshire may well have put him in second in South Carolina behind Edwards. Kerry in third, after a second place finish in NH, would start causing his receipts to dry up and he’d lose momentum. Dean’s netroots ($75 average donation) would continue pouring in the funds.

    Would Dean have won without the saturation of the airwaves of the non-event in Iowa? It’s not implausible but calling Dean the media darling of 2004 is a joke. They’ve been brutal to him as chair in the past (with the tacit approval of Pelosi and Reid) yet he helped orchestrate the sweep of the GOP from both houses a mere two years after he was given the reins.

    If “the establishment” was afraid of anyone, shouldn’t it have been Dean with that kind of effectiveness demonstrated?

  • Bah.
    Wrong about SC. He got his clock cleaned there and Oklahoma, but landed third almost everywhere but the south that day, despite the scream. Clark, Kerry and Edwards all vying for first and second on a rotating basis.

  • Neobobocon David Brooks, always late to the party, who discovered the suburbs more than two generations after the construction of Levittown, should chat more with the store employees next time he’s at Home Depot buying a plunger.

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